Kevin's Pick(s):
Two picks added below...
5 UNIT = San Francisco Giants @ Arizona Diamondbacks - DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-140)
Listed Pitchers: Peavy vs Collmenter
(Note: I'm risking 5.00 units to win 3.57 units)
2 UNIT = Los Angeles Dodgers @ Colorado Rockies - OVER 10 RUNS (-120)
Listed Pitchers: Haren vs Matzek
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.67 units)
2 UNIT = Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres - UNDER 6.5 RUNS (+102)
Listed Pitchers: Burnett vs Kennedy
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.04 units)
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Miami Marlins @ N.Y. Mets - OVER 6.5 RUNS (-104)
Listed Pitchers: Eovaldi vs. Colon
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.92 units)
A roller coaster of a cover last night with the Tigers blowing a 6 run lead, but then getting back-to-back jacks from Torii Hunter and Miguel Cabrera to give the Tigers a 8-6 lead. It wasn't over then though, as the Twins came out in the bottom of the 9th hitting a lead-off double. Luckily they left him there, and we got the 8-6 final to cash the ticket.
This number stuck out to me right off the bat. Bartolo Colon regularly garners totals of 6.5, banking on his success from last season. I thought he was going to hit a wall this season, and while he is still a decent pitcher, his numbers have tailed off significantly. He had an ERA of 2.65 last season, but it has dipped to 4.12 in 2014. 8 of his last 10 starts have gone OVER the number. Note that none of those numbers were over 7.5. He has better numbers at home, but recently got shellacked for 6 runs against the Nationals and 5 against the Nationals. Colon owns a 7.63 ERA over his last three starts, parlayed with a 1.70 WHIP and .378 OBP. He has been in the league since 1999 and it appears that his arm is finally fading way. I don't expect him to be around for that much longer. Nathan Eovaldi has his troubles as well lately, posting a 4.24 ERA with a 1.71 WHIP and .375 OBP. He started the season off pitching considerably well, but I don't like where things have been going for him the past couple of months. Half of his last ten starts have resulted in 4 or more runs being allowed. He is better on the road, 3.75 ERA, but nothing that scares me away from this total. The total is low for the kind of production we are getting from both of these pitchers. Colon is still getting respect from last season. I think this should be a total of 7 or 7.5. I'll look to pick up another winner in September on the OVER 6.5 in New York Tuesday night.