SpOrTs-JuNkiE
08-27-14: MLB: Nationals vs Phillies (7:05 pm est.)
$500 MLB Play: Phillies ML -104 Americasbookie <—— (Pending)
Key TRENDS for this game:
Nationals are 18-41 in their last 59 games as a road underdog.
Nationals are 2-5 in Gonzalezs last 7 road starts.
Nationals are 1-4 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalezs last 6 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Nationals are 0-6 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts vs. National League East.
Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 9-4 in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts as a favorite.
Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 5-2 in Hamels’ last 7 starts.
Phillies are 5-2 in Hamels’ last 7 starts on grass.
Phillies are 7-3 in Hamels’ last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 9-2 in Hamels’ last 11 home starts vs. Nationals.
Phillies are 21-8 in Hamels’ last 29 starts vs. Nationals.
Home team is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 games with Gonzalez behind home plate.
08-27-14: MLB: Nationals vs Phillies (7:05 pm est.)
$500 MLB Play: Phillies ML -104 Americasbookie <—— (Pending)
Key TRENDS for this game:
Nationals are 18-41 in their last 59 games as a road underdog.
Nationals are 2-5 in Gonzalezs last 7 road starts.
Nationals are 1-4 in Gonzalezs last 5 starts with 4 days of rest.
Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalezs last 6 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts as an underdog.
Nationals are 1-5 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts as a road underdog.
Nationals are 0-6 in Gonzalezs last 6 starts vs. National League East.
Phillies are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 overall.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games on grass.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 home games.
Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Phillies are 7-2 in their last 9 games vs. a left-handed starter.
Phillies are 9-4 in their last 13 games as a home underdog.
Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts as a home favorite.
Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts as a favorite.
Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
Phillies are 4-1 in Hamels’ last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 5-2 in Hamels’ last 7 starts.
Phillies are 5-2 in Hamels’ last 7 starts on grass.
Phillies are 7-3 in Hamels’ last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Phillies are 9-2 in Hamels’ last 11 home starts vs. Nationals.
Phillies are 21-8 in Hamels’ last 29 starts vs. Nationals.
Home team is 4-0 in Gonzalezs last 4 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 games with Gonzalez behind home plate.
Sportswagers
Cleveland @ CHICAGO
Cleveland +115 over CHICAGO
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]The White Sox have dropped six in a row. Over that span they are batting .214. Personally, I watched two of their three games in New York this past weekend and instead of being jacked up to play in the Big Apple like most teams get, the South Side looked completely disinterested. Errors, mental mistakes, poor base-running and swinging at pitches three feet out of the strike zone are all signs of a team going through the motions only. The trade of Gordon Beckham to the Angels last week sure hasn't been a lift for the South Side either, as Beckham was hugely popular in the dugout and he is a great defensive third baseman. Carlos Quintana is also trending the wrong way. Quintana has had some tremendous outings this season but all of the signs now point to a pitcher running on fumes. Santana threw 200 inning in 2012 split between the minors and majors. Last year he threw another 200 innings and this year he's already up to 161. Santana is 0-3 in his last three starts with an ERA of 4.91. His groundball rate has shown a significant decrease recently, going from 45% in the first four months of the year to 34% over his past five starts. In his last start he struck out three batters in six innings. The White Sox have lost each of Qunitana's last four starts by scores of 16-3, 4-1, 7-1 and 5-1. In all those starts he struggled miserably the second and third times through the order. Carlos Quintana is a pitcher in trouble right now pitching for a team that is also in trouble.
[/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]T.J. House has a mediocre 3.80 ERA and ugly 1.49 WHIP after 66 innings so far. As a result, he's being overlooked as just another mid to back-end rotation guy. A closer look suggests now's a good time to buy him low. His 3.43 xERA is the result of his solid command and very high groundball rate of 61%. House is beginning to figure things out quickly. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate of 65%/15%/20% over his last three starts is the best profile in the majors over any three-start span this season. Furthermore, left-handed hitters have very little shot chance against him, as House has posted 8.1 K's/9 and a 67% groundball rate against lefties. In the end we're left with a motivated Indians' team with an undervalued pitcher going against a White Sox team that is playing like they can't wait for the season to end. [/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Our Pick[/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Cleveland +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)[/FONT]
Chicago @ CINCINNATI
[/FONT]CINCINNATI -1½ +121 over Chicago
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]Johnny Cueto is not pitching his best baseball of the season right now, as his 3.92 xERA in August is by far his worst month of the season. He will be looking to improve that statistic against the free-swinging Cubs, who are averaging over 10 strikeouts per game in the month of August. That should bode well here for Cueto, who has still struck out 43 batters over his past 44 innings and that has 191 K's overall in 193 frames. Great American Ballpark has been the place to be for Cueto, where he has gone 9-3 with a 1.81 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, and 10.1 K's/9 in 13 starts. Cueto is one of the best but this one is still more about fading Travis Wood.
[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Wood is in terrible form, going winless over his last 12 starts, where he has only three pure quality starts while going 0-6 with a 5.45 ERA. Going on the road has been an adventure this season, as he is 4-7 with a 6.03 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 13 starts. Wood has had the same groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate for three straight years at 35%/23%/42% and that's a profile that does not play well in hitters parks like Great American. Throw in Woods' shaky control (66 BB in 150 IP) and lack of confidence and you can see why he's a blowup risk every time he takes the hill. Seldom is it recommended to spot runs with the Reds but this is one of those games in which they figure to score plenty while giving up very little.
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[FONT=arial !important]Our Pick[/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Cincinnati +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)
[/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial ! important][FONT=arial ! important]Our Pick[/FONT]
[FONT=arial ! important]CINCINNATI -1½ +121 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)[/FONT]
[/FONT][FONT=arial !important][/FONT] [/FONT]
Cleveland @ CHICAGO
Cleveland +115 over CHICAGO
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]The White Sox have dropped six in a row. Over that span they are batting .214. Personally, I watched two of their three games in New York this past weekend and instead of being jacked up to play in the Big Apple like most teams get, the South Side looked completely disinterested. Errors, mental mistakes, poor base-running and swinging at pitches three feet out of the strike zone are all signs of a team going through the motions only. The trade of Gordon Beckham to the Angels last week sure hasn't been a lift for the South Side either, as Beckham was hugely popular in the dugout and he is a great defensive third baseman. Carlos Quintana is also trending the wrong way. Quintana has had some tremendous outings this season but all of the signs now point to a pitcher running on fumes. Santana threw 200 inning in 2012 split between the minors and majors. Last year he threw another 200 innings and this year he's already up to 161. Santana is 0-3 in his last three starts with an ERA of 4.91. His groundball rate has shown a significant decrease recently, going from 45% in the first four months of the year to 34% over his past five starts. In his last start he struck out three batters in six innings. The White Sox have lost each of Qunitana's last four starts by scores of 16-3, 4-1, 7-1 and 5-1. In all those starts he struggled miserably the second and third times through the order. Carlos Quintana is a pitcher in trouble right now pitching for a team that is also in trouble.
[/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]T.J. House has a mediocre 3.80 ERA and ugly 1.49 WHIP after 66 innings so far. As a result, he's being overlooked as just another mid to back-end rotation guy. A closer look suggests now's a good time to buy him low. His 3.43 xERA is the result of his solid command and very high groundball rate of 61%. House is beginning to figure things out quickly. His groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate of 65%/15%/20% over his last three starts is the best profile in the majors over any three-start span this season. Furthermore, left-handed hitters have very little shot chance against him, as House has posted 8.1 K's/9 and a 67% groundball rate against lefties. In the end we're left with a motivated Indians' team with an undervalued pitcher going against a White Sox team that is playing like they can't wait for the season to end. [/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Our Pick[/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Cleveland +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.30)[/FONT]
Chicago @ CINCINNATI
[/FONT]CINCINNATI -1½ +121 over Chicago
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial !important]Johnny Cueto is not pitching his best baseball of the season right now, as his 3.92 xERA in August is by far his worst month of the season. He will be looking to improve that statistic against the free-swinging Cubs, who are averaging over 10 strikeouts per game in the month of August. That should bode well here for Cueto, who has still struck out 43 batters over his past 44 innings and that has 191 K's overall in 193 frames. Great American Ballpark has been the place to be for Cueto, where he has gone 9-3 with a 1.81 ERA, 0.82 WHIP, and 10.1 K's/9 in 13 starts. Cueto is one of the best but this one is still more about fading Travis Wood.
[/FONT][/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Wood is in terrible form, going winless over his last 12 starts, where he has only three pure quality starts while going 0-6 with a 5.45 ERA. Going on the road has been an adventure this season, as he is 4-7 with a 6.03 ERA and 1.76 WHIP in 13 starts. Wood has had the same groundball/line-drive/fly-ball rate for three straight years at 35%/23%/42% and that's a profile that does not play well in hitters parks like Great American. Throw in Woods' shaky control (66 BB in 150 IP) and lack of confidence and you can see why he's a blowup risk every time he takes the hill. Seldom is it recommended to spot runs with the Reds but this is one of those games in which they figure to score plenty while giving up very little.
[/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Our Pick[/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important]Cincinnati +115 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)
[/FONT][/FONT]
[FONT=arial !important][FONT=arial ! important][FONT=arial ! important]Our Pick[/FONT]
[FONT=arial ! important]CINCINNATI -1½ +121 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.42)[/FONT]
[/FONT][FONT=arial !important][/FONT] [/FONT]
