Kevin's Pick(s):
Two big underdog winners last night, and that makes our system plays 4-1 over their last 5 (with no higher than -109 odds). Today is by the far the busiest day of the year for me with 6 system plays going...
2 UNIT = Miami Marlins @ Los Angeles Angels - UNDER 8 RUNS (-112)
Listed Pitchers: Eovaldi vs Shoemaker
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.79 units)
2 UNIT = Texas Rangers @ Seattle Mariners - RANGERS TO WIN (+181)
Listed Pitchers: Martinez vs Paxton
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 3.62 units)
2 UNIT = Cleveland Indians @ Chicago White Sox - INDIANS TO WIN (+112)
Listed Pitchers: House vs Quintana
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.24 units)
2 UNIT = St Louis Cardinals @ Pittsburgh Pirates - CARDINALS TO WIN (+120)
Listed Pitchers: Lynn vs Cole
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.40 units)
2 UNIT = Boston Red Sox @ Toronto Blue Jays - RED SOX TO WIN (+114)
Listed Pitchers: De La Rosa vs Dickey
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.28 units)
2 UNIT = Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles - ORIOLES TO WIN (-104)
Listed Pitchers: Cobb vs Chen
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.92 units)
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Chicago Cubs @ Cincinnati Reds - REDS -1.5 (+107)
Listed Pitchers: Wood vs. Cueto
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.14 units)
The Blue Jays have Reyes, Cabrera, Bautista, and Encarnacion. All failed to get a hit until it was the 9th inning. They did tie it up, but it was more of a tease because the Jays gave it right back in the next inning, ultimately losing 4-3 in extras. It doesn't matter if it is hockey or baseball, both Toronto teams have the same syndrome.
I am looking to catch Cueto on the bounce back after he gave up 4 runs in his most recent start. That ties for his second worst start of the year. That was on the road however, where he has been strong, but not automatic like we have come to find out in Cincinnati. Cueto has a road ERA of 2.56 which is strong in its own right, but that number falls to 1.81 at home. He also possesses a WHIP of 0.82 at home compared to 1.07 away. The Cincinnati offense had a horrible stretch for awhile there, but with Brandon Philips back I think they'll be better. Considerably better? Without Joey Votto around I doubt that, however, they should do enough to give Cueto a relatively easy win here tonight. The Cubs are hitting only .227 against right-handers, they get a pretty damn good righty tonight. The Reds' hitters will have the opportunity to do well against Travis Wood, a pitcher that has been struggling mightily. He's pitched 71.2 innings on the road and has a 6.03 ERA and 1.76 WHIP to show for it. In 13 starts on the road, 10 of them he allowed more than 2 runs. I don't think it'll take much for the Reds to win and cover -1.5 because I expect Cueto to roll through this lineup. I figure if the Reds can make it to 4 runs, which I believe they will, they'll cover the number. With that said give me the Reds.