DALLAS DAVE SPORTS
PLAY OF THE DAY
San Diego Padres RL: +115.0
Rodrigo Lopez will be the starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks on this day. He is 5-11 this season with a 4.94 ERA. Starting with an 8-5 loss in San Diego on July 17, when he was tagged for a career high-tying four homers, Lopez is 0-4 with a 6.53 ERA in his last seven starts.
Starting this game for the Padres will be Clayton Richard. He has a 3.69 ERA to go along with a 11-5 record this season. Richard is 2-0 with a 2.13 ERA in his last two starts after posting a 6.69 ERA in his previous seven.
The Winning Angle:
San Diego is 24-8 in its last 32 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. On the opposite end of the spectrum, Arizona is 20-48 in its last 68 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. This translates to 72% winning angle - 72 wins versus 28 losses.
Moreover, in the last 6 meetings in San Diego the Padres are 6-0, having outscored the D-Backs 42-16 overall. In all six of these meetings the Padres won by 2 runs or more. In my humble opinion, laying $100 to win $115 on the Padres minus the run-line is a play with very high value.