jeff benton tuesday
0-1 yesterday MINUS 20 dimes or MINUS $250..overall, 81-102-3 MINUS 435.
YOU DIDNT THINK HE WOULD ACTUALL WIN DID YOU ? THE LOSER CONTINUES GUYS. AS I MENTIONED BEFORE, CONTINE TO BE THE OPPOSITE OF WHAT JEFF PICKS. BY DOING THIS IN THE MONTH OF JULY I'M WINNING AT A VERY GOOD CLIP. IF HE EVER GETS ON A WINNING STREAK (WHICH HE WILL) THEN GO WITH INSTEAD OF AGAINST HIS SELECTIONS.
Tuesday's Winner ... 15 DIME selection on the TORONTO BLUE JAYS on the run line (-1 1/2 runs) over the Orioles. Pitchers are automatically listed with run-line wagers, so both Ricky Romero (Toronto) and Kevin Millwood (Baltimore) must start this game or this play is VOID!
Blue Jays (-1½ runs)
For starters, the Blue Jays and Orioles have squared off 10 times already this season and Baltimore has exactly … ZERO victories. Not only that, eight of Toronto’s 10 wins against the O’s this season have been by more than one run.
Toronto lefty Ricky Romero has been on the hill for two of those multi-run victories (6-1 at home; 4-2 on the road), and he gave up all three runs (but only one earned) on just 11 hits and three walks in 16 innings. Likewise, veteran right-hander Kevin Millwood has faced the Blue Jays twice this year, and he’s allowed nine runs (five earned) in 13 2/3 innings, losing 5-2 at home and 5-0 on the road. Since August 2007, Millwood has matched up against Toronto five times and his teams have lost four times.
For the season this year, Millwood is 2-9 with a 5.84 ERA, including 1-5 with a 5.82 ERA in nine road games. Baltimore has dropped eight of those nine on the highway – the only win came in an interleague contest in San Diego – and of those eight defeats, six have been by multiple runs. In fact, Millwood’s win in San Diego (three runs allowed in six innings) is his only quality start in his last nine trips to the mound. In the eight other games, he’s given up 43 earned runs in 40 innings (9.68 ERA).
Back to Romero. He’s pitched so much better than his 7-7 record, it’s not even funny. He’s got a 3.52 ERA on the season, but he’s been especially good at home, where’s 4-2 with a 2.16 ERA, a 0.99 WHIP and 57 strikeouts in 58 1/3 innings. Take out one poor start versus the Red Sox in his last home outing – he gave up nine runs (five earned) in 2 1/3 innings of a 14-3 loss – and Romero’s numbers in Canada would be 4-1 with a 2.08 ERA.
Also, with Romero coming from the left side, it’s interesting to note that Baltimore is hitting just .234 against southpaws on the road this year. And over their last 10 games, the Orioles are hitting .213 against lefties.
Lastly, not only has Toronto won all 10 meetings this year, but it is 15-3 in the last 18 head-to-head clashes dating to last summer and 36-17 in the last 53 battles in Canada. The Jays have also won 23 of 29 as a home favorite, while the Orioles are in a slew of tailspins, including 35-81 overall (2-9 last 11 games), 14-45 on the road (all as an underdog), 14-43 within the division and 17-42 against left-handed starters.
Baltimore is just 7-15 in July – shockingly, four of those victories came at first-place Texas – and that includes blowout losses of 10-4, 7-2, 5-0, 8-1, 10-1, 4-2, 4-2, 7-5, 12-9, 9-3, 8-1 and – last night – 9-5.