FOXSHEETS-MLB
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings
(61-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.9%, +43.3 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (977) BOSTON vs. (978) OAKLAND
Favoring: BOSTON on the money line.Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BOSTON) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings
(34-18 since 1997.) (65.4%, +34.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +3.5 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (977) BOSTON vs. (978) OAKLAND
Favoring: BOSTON on the money line.Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BOSTON) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games
(34-18 since 1997.) (65.4%, +34.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +3.5 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (965) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (966) LA DODGERS
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the run line.Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (SAN FRANCISCO) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, playing on Tuesday
(84-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +52.3 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (11-2 +7.4 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL)
(66-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.0%, +46.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-3 +4.3 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), in July games
(42-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +30.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1 +3.9 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (979) CHI WHITE SOX vs. (980) SEATTLE
Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), in July games
(42-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +30.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1 +3.9 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (955) COLORADO vs. (956) FLORIDA
Favoring: FLORIDA on the money line.Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (COLORADO) - good offensive team - scoring >=4.8 runs/game on the season (NL), playing on Tuesday
(69-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.6%, +43.7 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2 +6.2 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (979) CHI WHITE SOX vs. (980) SEATTLE
Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.Play Against - Road teams against a 1.5 run line (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 20 games
(33-13 since 1997.) (71.7%, +28.1 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1.6 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (969) LA ANGELS vs. (970) NY YANKEES
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the money line.Play Against - Home teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 6+ innings
(32-14 since 1997.) (69.6%, +28.7 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (951) MILWAUKEE vs. (952) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (MILWAUKEE) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, playing on Tuesday
(69-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.0%, +43.5 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-5 +6.7 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL)
(42-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +31.2 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2 +4.2 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (969) LA ANGELS vs. (970) NY YANKEES
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games
(79-29 since 1997.) (73.1%, +45.4 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-4 +1.4 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (973) TORONTO vs. (974) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts
(66-27 since 1997.) (71.0%, +39.4 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2 +3.2 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (951) MILWAUKEE vs. (952) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: MILWAUKEE on the run line.Play Against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (PITTSBURGH) - red hot hitting team - batting .350 or better over their last 3 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings
(40-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.8%, +31.4 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +3.2 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (BALTIMORE) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings
(61-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.9%, +43.3 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (977) BOSTON vs. (978) OAKLAND
Favoring: BOSTON on the money line.Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BOSTON) - cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings
(34-18 since 1997.) (65.4%, +34.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +3.5 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (977) BOSTON vs. (978) OAKLAND
Favoring: BOSTON on the money line.Play On - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (BOSTON) - starting a pitcher who was rocked for 6+ runs in his last 2 outings, cold hitting team - batting .200 or worse over their last 3 games
(34-18 since 1997.) (65.4%, +34.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +3.5 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (965) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (966) LA DODGERS
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the run line.Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (SAN FRANCISCO) - average hitting team (AVG = .255 to .269) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.70) -NL, playing on Tuesday
(84-21 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%, +52.3 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (11-2 +7.4 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL)
(66-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.0%, +46.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-3 +4.3 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), in July games
(42-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +30.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1 +3.9 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (979) CHI WHITE SOX vs. (980) SEATTLE
Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (SEATTLE) - below average AL hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), in July games
(42-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +30.6 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-1 +3.9 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (955) COLORADO vs. (956) FLORIDA
Favoring: FLORIDA on the money line.Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (COLORADO) - good offensive team - scoring >=4.8 runs/game on the season (NL), playing on Tuesday
(69-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.6%, +43.7 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-2 +6.2 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (979) CHI WHITE SOX vs. (980) SEATTLE
Favoring: SEATTLE on the run line.Play Against - Road teams against a 1.5 run line (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a team batting average of .265 or worse on the season (AL), red hot hitting team - batting .300 or better over their last 20 games
(33-13 since 1997.) (71.7%, +28.1 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1.6 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (969) LA ANGELS vs. (970) NY YANKEES
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the money line.Play Against - Home teams (NY YANKEES) - with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a tired bullpen - after 2 straight games throwing 6+ innings
(32-14 since 1997.) (69.6%, +28.7 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (951) MILWAUKEE vs. (952) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: PITTSBURGH on the money line.Play Against - Road teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (MILWAUKEE) - with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.50 or worse on the season, playing on Tuesday
(69-34 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.0%, +43.5 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-5 +6.7 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (971) TAMPA BAY vs. (972) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.Play On - Home teams against a 1.5 run line (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL)
(42-18 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +31.2 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2 +4.2 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (969) LA ANGELS vs. (970) NY YANKEES
Favoring: LA ANGELS on the run line.Play On - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (LA ANGELS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 10 games
(79-29 since 1997.) (73.1%, +45.4 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-4 +1.4 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (973) TORONTO vs. (974) KANSAS CITY
Favoring: TORONTO on the money line.Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (KANSAS CITY) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 1 or more HR's/start against opponent with a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts
(66-27 since 1997.) (71.0%, +39.4 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2 +3.2 units).
Tuesday, 07/20/2010 (951) MILWAUKEE vs. (952) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: MILWAUKEE on the run line.Play Against - All teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (PITTSBURGH) - red hot hitting team - batting .350 or better over their last 3 games against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings
(40-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.8%, +31.4 units. Rating=*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +3.2 units).
FOXSHEETS-WNBA
Favoring: TULSA on the money line.
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (TULSA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, playing with 2 days rest
(29-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.4%, )
The situation's record this season is: (2-2 ).
Favoring: NEW YORK on the money line.
Play Against - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, after a home game where both teams score 75 or more points
(32-20 since 1997.) (61.5%, )
The situation's record this season is: (0-1
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games
(60-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 )
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games
(71-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.5%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 ).
Favoring: TULSA on the money line.
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the money line (TULSA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, playing with 2 days rest
(21-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.6%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-2
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games
(45-10 since 1997.) (81.8%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 ).
Favoring: NEW YORK on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, playing with 2 days rest
(47-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 ).
Favoring: NEW YORK against the spread.
Play Against - Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
(34-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Favoring: NEW YORK on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
(29-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.9%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 ).
Favoring: LOS ANGELES against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (LOS ANGELES) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games
(48-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%,)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 ).
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games
(52-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.2%, *)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 ).
Favoring: TULSA on the money line.
Play On - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (TULSA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, playing with 2 days rest
(17-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 ).
Favoring: NEW YORK on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CONNECTICUT) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%)
(26-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (89.7%, )
The situation's record this season is: (0-0
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread against opponent after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
(38-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.6%, )
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 ).
Favoring: TULSA on the money line.
Play On - Road teams vs. the money line (TULSA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, playing with 2 days rest
(29-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.4%, )
The situation's record this season is: (2-2 ).
Favoring: NEW YORK on the money line.
Play Against - Home favorites of -165 to -500 vs. the money line (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, after a home game where both teams score 75 or more points
(32-20 since 1997.) (61.5%, )
The situation's record this season is: (0-1
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
Play On - Home favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games
(60-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 )
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 3 straight games
(71-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.5%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 ).
Favoring: TULSA on the money line.
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the money line (TULSA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, playing with 2 days rest
(21-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.6%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-2
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 (SEATTLE) - top caliber team - outscoring their opponents by 9+ points/game, after scoring 70 points or more in 2 straight games
(45-10 since 1997.) (81.8%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 ).
Favoring: NEW YORK on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CONNECTICUT) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, playing with 2 days rest
(47-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 ).
Favoring: NEW YORK against the spread.
Play Against - Home favorites (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
(34-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Favoring: NEW YORK on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (CONNECTICUT) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a win by 10 points or more over a division rival
(29-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.9%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 ).
Favoring: LOS ANGELES against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (LOS ANGELES) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games
(48-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (80.0%,)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 ).
Favoring: LOS ANGELES on the money line.
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (LOS ANGELES) - after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 70 points or more in 4 straight games
(52-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.2%, *)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 ).
Favoring: TULSA on the money line.
Play On - Road underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (TULSA) - revenging a loss where opponent scored 85 or more points, playing with 2 days rest
(17-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.0%, )
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 ).
Favoring: NEW YORK on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CONNECTICUT) - after 1 or more consecutive wins, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%)
(26-3 over the last 5 seasons.) (89.7%, )
The situation's record this season is: (0-0
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 (LOS ANGELES) - after failing to cover 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread against opponent after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread
(38-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.6%, )
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 ).
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 20th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
****************
[976] Minnesota |8*|-170|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[968] Detroit |5*|+115|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[973] Toronto |5*|-106|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
****************
[976] Minnesota |8*|-170|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[968] Detroit |5*|+115|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[973] Toronto |5*|-106|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
SPORTS WAGERS - RANDALL THE HANDLE
Houston +2.26 over CHICAGO Pinnacle
Let’s just say that this line is absolutely ridiculous. Yeah the Cubs can win and yeah they have a big edge on the hill but so what. If the better pitcher won every time out we’d all be rich. Fact is, the Cubbies are a way below average team and can lose to anyone. Hell, they’ve dropped something like 10 of 12 games to the Pirates this year. The Astros are picking it up and have been doing so for the better part of the last six weeks. They’re 22-21 over its last 43 games and overall they just have better players on its club than the Cubbies do. Wesley Wright gets the call up from the minors but he’s no stranger to the majors. He has dominating stuff but his command is a serious problem. In 110 major league innings he’s struck out 111 but he’s walked 62. If he can hit the strike zone he could have a strong game. Ryan Dempster is tough and he’s reliable. He really needs no introduction, as he’ll give the Cubbies a chance to win about 90% of the time. Incidentally, when Dempster starts the Cubs are 8-11 on the year and that’s because the Cubs find ways to lose. So, this has nothing to do with playing against Dempster and everything to do with playing against the Cubs as a sick favorite of –2.43. Play Houston +2.26 (Risking 2 units).
Cleveland +1.69 over MINNESOTA Pinnacle
Kevin Slowey a 9-5 favorite over the hot Indians? Another big overlay because Slowey is one of the 10 most hittable pitchers in the game and is not deserving of this billing. Furthermore, he’s been torched in five of his last six starts and his ERA over that stretch is 9.11. To break it down even more, Slowey’s batted balls are probably the most disturbing in all of baseball. He has a groundball rate of 27% and a line drive rate of 22%. Of the 315 hitters that have put the ball in play, 16 have gone yard and only 7% (20 batters) of the 315 have hit the ball softly. His hit-ball stats look like this:
Hard% Med% Soft% Hard Med Soft HR
2009 30% 67% 3% 77 171 8 15
2010 36% 57% 7% 109 170 20 16
Fact is, Slowey is batting practice out there. Meanwhile the Indians have reeled off five wins in a row and this is its second five–game winning streak in less than a month. The Indians have hit .311 and averaged 6.2 runs during its winning streak. Justin Masterson has been a flammable tease for most of the season. That said, he has shown some significant monthly control gains this year. Masterson's approach remains a work-in-progress but there's still a lot of upside here, as he has terrific stuff and he surely has room for error against Slowey. Play: Cleveland +1.69 (Risking 2 units).
ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.16 over Philadelphia Pinnacle
The Cards are red-hot while the Phillies continue to struggle miserably and when you throw in this huge pitching mismatch it only makes sense to lay the runs. Jamie Moyer’s age may be finally catching up to him, as he’s allowed 12 hits and 13 runs over his last two starts covering just 8.1 innings. Over that same stretch of two games, he’s allowed 25 flyballs while inducing just eight groundouts and that’s a significant stat. The whole key against Moyer is to get guys on base because when he works from the stretch he’s absolutely brutal. The Phillies have dropped five of its last six games and that includes losing three of four to the Bad News Cubs. Meanwhile, the Cards have won six in a row and they’re seeing beach balls. They’ve scored 36 runs over that six game win streak and that includes beating up Clayton Kershaw and Chad Billingsley. Matt Holliday took the night off yesterday, yet the Cards still pounded out eight runs and four jacks. Keep your eye on an outstanding rookie in the line-up by the name of Jon Jay. This guy gets on base and looks incredibly comfortable at the plate. Chris Carpenter had a couple of rough starts prior to his last game but the skills are still elite and he was back to his old self last game out when he dominated the Dodgers. Carpenter has great numbers once again and even better numbers when he pitches at home. Blowout. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.16 (Risking 2 units).
KANSAS CITY +1.11 over Toronto Pinnacle
Jesse Litsch favored on the road is simply incorrect. Here’s a guy that is 0-4 with an ERA of 6.54 and in 31.2 innings has 10 walks and just 12 K’s. Litsch also has surrendered six bombs and in this park that caters to the gaps, Litsch could get into some serious trouble. Then there’s last night’s game. There are losses and then there are ugly losses and that’s precisely what happened last night. The Jays were 3-16 with men in scoring position. They had second and third with one out in the fourth when a flyball to center looked like a sure sac-fly. Instead, Adam Lind tagged and attempted to go to third when the centerfielder gunned him down before the run scored. In the 10th inning the Jays had one run in and no outs with men on first and third and didn’t score again and that same scenario occurred in the seventh. This was an ugly loss indeed and those tend to carry over. Anthony Lerew is an athletic pitcher who was once a top prospect in the Braves system but Tommy John surgery wiped out most of the '07 and '08 seasons. Atlanta released him in March '09 and he quickly signed with the Royals. He earned two starts as a September call-up later that year. Lerew has a nice assortment of pitches, including a solid changeup that features splitter-like action. He can run his fastball into the 87-93 mph range and mix in a slider as well. Lerew generally keeps the ball down and induces plenty of groundballs. He’s only walked seven batters while striking out 16 in just 25 innings and in no way is he the inferior pitcher in this game. The Jays have dropped 15 of its last 22 on the road and do not warrant being a favorite in this game. Wrong side favored. Play: Kansas City +1.11 (Risking 2 units).
Houston +2.26 over CHICAGO Pinnacle
Let’s just say that this line is absolutely ridiculous. Yeah the Cubs can win and yeah they have a big edge on the hill but so what. If the better pitcher won every time out we’d all be rich. Fact is, the Cubbies are a way below average team and can lose to anyone. Hell, they’ve dropped something like 10 of 12 games to the Pirates this year. The Astros are picking it up and have been doing so for the better part of the last six weeks. They’re 22-21 over its last 43 games and overall they just have better players on its club than the Cubbies do. Wesley Wright gets the call up from the minors but he’s no stranger to the majors. He has dominating stuff but his command is a serious problem. In 110 major league innings he’s struck out 111 but he’s walked 62. If he can hit the strike zone he could have a strong game. Ryan Dempster is tough and he’s reliable. He really needs no introduction, as he’ll give the Cubbies a chance to win about 90% of the time. Incidentally, when Dempster starts the Cubs are 8-11 on the year and that’s because the Cubs find ways to lose. So, this has nothing to do with playing against Dempster and everything to do with playing against the Cubs as a sick favorite of –2.43. Play Houston +2.26 (Risking 2 units).
Cleveland +1.69 over MINNESOTA Pinnacle
Kevin Slowey a 9-5 favorite over the hot Indians? Another big overlay because Slowey is one of the 10 most hittable pitchers in the game and is not deserving of this billing. Furthermore, he’s been torched in five of his last six starts and his ERA over that stretch is 9.11. To break it down even more, Slowey’s batted balls are probably the most disturbing in all of baseball. He has a groundball rate of 27% and a line drive rate of 22%. Of the 315 hitters that have put the ball in play, 16 have gone yard and only 7% (20 batters) of the 315 have hit the ball softly. His hit-ball stats look like this:
Hard% Med% Soft% Hard Med Soft HR
2009 30% 67% 3% 77 171 8 15
2010 36% 57% 7% 109 170 20 16
Fact is, Slowey is batting practice out there. Meanwhile the Indians have reeled off five wins in a row and this is its second five–game winning streak in less than a month. The Indians have hit .311 and averaged 6.2 runs during its winning streak. Justin Masterson has been a flammable tease for most of the season. That said, he has shown some significant monthly control gains this year. Masterson's approach remains a work-in-progress but there's still a lot of upside here, as he has terrific stuff and he surely has room for error against Slowey. Play: Cleveland +1.69 (Risking 2 units).
ST. LOUIS –1½ +1.16 over Philadelphia Pinnacle
The Cards are red-hot while the Phillies continue to struggle miserably and when you throw in this huge pitching mismatch it only makes sense to lay the runs. Jamie Moyer’s age may be finally catching up to him, as he’s allowed 12 hits and 13 runs over his last two starts covering just 8.1 innings. Over that same stretch of two games, he’s allowed 25 flyballs while inducing just eight groundouts and that’s a significant stat. The whole key against Moyer is to get guys on base because when he works from the stretch he’s absolutely brutal. The Phillies have dropped five of its last six games and that includes losing three of four to the Bad News Cubs. Meanwhile, the Cards have won six in a row and they’re seeing beach balls. They’ve scored 36 runs over that six game win streak and that includes beating up Clayton Kershaw and Chad Billingsley. Matt Holliday took the night off yesterday, yet the Cards still pounded out eight runs and four jacks. Keep your eye on an outstanding rookie in the line-up by the name of Jon Jay. This guy gets on base and looks incredibly comfortable at the plate. Chris Carpenter had a couple of rough starts prior to his last game but the skills are still elite and he was back to his old self last game out when he dominated the Dodgers. Carpenter has great numbers once again and even better numbers when he pitches at home. Blowout. Play: St. Louis –1½ +1.16 (Risking 2 units).
KANSAS CITY +1.11 over Toronto Pinnacle
Jesse Litsch favored on the road is simply incorrect. Here’s a guy that is 0-4 with an ERA of 6.54 and in 31.2 innings has 10 walks and just 12 K’s. Litsch also has surrendered six bombs and in this park that caters to the gaps, Litsch could get into some serious trouble. Then there’s last night’s game. There are losses and then there are ugly losses and that’s precisely what happened last night. The Jays were 3-16 with men in scoring position. They had second and third with one out in the fourth when a flyball to center looked like a sure sac-fly. Instead, Adam Lind tagged and attempted to go to third when the centerfielder gunned him down before the run scored. In the 10th inning the Jays had one run in and no outs with men on first and third and didn’t score again and that same scenario occurred in the seventh. This was an ugly loss indeed and those tend to carry over. Anthony Lerew is an athletic pitcher who was once a top prospect in the Braves system but Tommy John surgery wiped out most of the '07 and '08 seasons. Atlanta released him in March '09 and he quickly signed with the Royals. He earned two starts as a September call-up later that year. Lerew has a nice assortment of pitches, including a solid changeup that features splitter-like action. He can run his fastball into the 87-93 mph range and mix in a slider as well. Lerew generally keeps the ball down and induces plenty of groundballs. He’s only walked seven batters while striking out 16 in just 25 innings and in no way is he the inferior pitcher in this game. The Jays have dropped 15 of its last 22 on the road and do not warrant being a favorite in this game. Wrong side favored. Play: Kansas City +1.11 (Risking 2 units).
Dave Cokin
Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BUSH, D vs. (R) LINCOLN, B
Play: Milwaukee (ML -122)
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Matchup: Boston at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) WAKEFIELD, T vs. (L) BRADEN, D
Play: Boston (ML +112) SOLID GOLD PLAY
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Matchup: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) BUSH, D vs. (R) LINCOLN, B
Play: Milwaukee (ML -122)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Matchup: Boston at Oakland
Time: 10:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) WAKEFIELD, T vs. (L) BRADEN, D
Play: Boston (ML +112) SOLID GOLD PLAY
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Last edited:
Matt Fargo 7/20
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San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 152 San Diego Padres Play Title:
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 161 Washington Nationals Play Title:
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 115 San Francisco Giants Play Title:
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San Diego Padres vs. Atlanta Braves (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 152 San Diego Padres Play Title:
Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds (MLB) - 7:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 161 Washington Nationals Play Title:
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgers (MLB) - 10:10 PM EDT Premium Play
Pick: Money Line: 115 San Francisco Giants Play Title:
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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 20th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
****************
[976] Minnesota |8*|-170|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[968] Detroit |5*|+115|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[973] Toronto |5*|-106|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-July 20th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
****************
[976] Minnesota |8*|-170|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[968] Detroit |5*|+115|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[973] Toronto |5*|-106|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
