Service Plays Tuesday 6/10/14

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Orioles lights out with Tillman on mound versus BoSox
By STEPHEN CAMPBELL

Chris Tillman has absolutely owned the Red Sox lately and he'll get a chance to do it again when his Orioles host their AL East rival Boston Red Sox Tuesday.

The Birds are 8-1 in Tillman's last nine starts versus the BoSox.

Brandon Workman gets the ball for the Sox. The Orioles are currently -113 favorites.



Holland not ready for rehab assignment

ARLINGTON, Texas -- After running through around fifteen minutes of fielding drills before Wednesday’s game, Rangers manager Ron Washington said starting pitcher Derek Holland isn’t ready for a rehab assignment yet.

“He’s not ready for rehab, so he’s got to work,” Washington said. “He’s better, but he’s not ready for competition.”

While he said he believes he is ready, Holland said he could feel his leg was still stiff through covering first and fielding bunts down both lines.

The staff watching Holland through the workout, including Washington, knew he wasn’t ready yet before he went over to talk with them, Holland said.

“I guess it just wasn’t as good,” Holland said. “It was their opinion. I’m going to go by them. They want to make sure everything is right. I do, too. I want it to be a one-time thing. I don’t want this to be a thing that I have to go back on the DL. I want to get it right the first time.”

Holland will be sent to Arizona on Wednesday to throw live batting practice and continue working on the leg strength of his surgically repaired left knee that was injured before the beginning of the season, resulting in the left-handed pitcher missing the entire season to date. He is expected to return from Surprise on June 24.

While he said he agrees with the precaution taken, his frustration was evident.

“I feel like I can go out and play with it, but the real thing is that is not going to happen,” Holland said.

Washington, on the other hand, said there is no need to worry as Holland’s rehab remains on schedule.

“Our projection was after the All-Star break, so no need to be getting excited right now,” Washington said. “It’s better. He’s able to move around, but he’s not ready for competition.”

Also, Engel Beltre (fractured right tibia, 60-day) and Jurickson Profar (torn teres major muscle in right shoulder, 60-day) will leave for Surprise on Tuesday.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | SAN DIEGO at PHILADELPHIA
Play On - Road underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (SAN DIEGO) with an excellent bullpen whose WHIP is 1.150 or better on the season, after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings
42-26 since 1997. ( 61.8% | 28.5 units )
2-3 this year. ( 40.0% | -0.0 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | MIAMI at TEXAS
MIAMI is 120-76 (+63.1 Units) against the money line after a game without an extra base hit since 1997.
The average score was: MIAMI (4.5) , OPPONENT (4.0)
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Kings on Monday and likes the Spurs on Tuesday.

The deficit is 375 sirignanos.
 
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Chase Diamond

10* Boston Red Sox +107

This game features the 28-35 Boston at the 32-30 Orioles. I really love the Red Sox in this game they will be super motivated in this game as a loss to the Orioles will drop them further back in the A.L. East and time is running out. Brandon Workman has put up solid numbers in 3 starts and will be working hard to try and keep his spot in the rotation. Chris Tillman is 5-2 with a 5.20 ERA ans is lucky to be 5-2. The public is going super heavy on the Orioles around 74% yet this line has moved 7 cents the other way. We will follow the sharps and take the Red Sox here today.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a winning record 148-90 since 1997. ( 62.2% | 49.0 units ) 1-6 this year. ( 14.3% | -5.6 units )

SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play On - Favorites vs. the money line (MIAMI) after going over the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games, on Tuesday nights 102-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 79.1% | 47.9 units ) 26-9 this year. ( 74.3% | 7.1 units )

SAN ANTONIO at MIAMI
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 95.5 and 100.5 points slow-down team averaging 76 or less shots/game on the season 177-104 since 1997. ( 63.0% | 62.6 units ) 3-3 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.3 units )
 
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HALL OF FAME PICKS / William Holloway

Mariners(+105)
The Mariners are 3-0 against the Yankees and Hisashi Iwakuma (4-2, 2.66 ERA) will get the ball for Seattle, who has posted a 1.91 ERA in winning eight of nine.
New York has totaled seven runs while striking out 31 times in losing all three home meetings with Seattle. And they send Vidal Nuno (1-2, 5.33)to the mound, who is winless in his last five
 
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ANTHONY MICHAEL

NBA playoffs!!! Game 3

#705 San Antonio Spurs +4.5 (9:05 edt)
The Spurs are awesome on the road and they are very accustomed to playing big time playoff games on the road. Look for a close game that has the Spurs getting the cover if not the outright win here.
 
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Hondo

Tuesday night: Mr. Aitch hopes to coast with that Bumgarner — 10 units on the Giants to pound Mister Fister.

Also, 10 on Nicasio to watch over Hondo’s investment on the Rockies.
 
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NBA
Long Sheet

Tuesday, June 10


SAN ANTONIO (75 - 27) at MIAMI (67 - 32) - 6/10/2014, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 40-26 ATS (+11.4 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MIAMI is 23-14 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 55-47 ATS (+3.3 Units) in all games this season.
SAN ANTONIO is 132-90 ATS (+33.0 Units) on Tuesday nights since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 66-38 ATS (+24.2 Units) against Southeast division opponents since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 285-227 ATS (+35.3 Units) after a non-conference game since 1996.
SAN ANTONIO is 44-25 ATS (+16.5 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 25-12 ATS (+11.8 Units) off a upset loss as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 91-70 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SAN ANTONIO is 309-258 ATS (+25.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 7-7 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 9-5 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
8 of 14 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NBA
Short Sheet

Tuesday, June 10


NBA Finals Game 3 Betting Trends

San Antonio Spurs
44-25 ATS in non-conference games
13-4 ATS off an upset loss as a home favorite
14-4 ATS off a home loss
28-16 ATS in road games after a game where they failed to cover the spread

Miami Heat
40-26 ATS after a non-conference game
12-4 ATS when playing 5 or less games in 14 days
15-5 ATS at home as a # 2 seed in the playoffs
8-18 ATS in home games off a road win
14-26 ATS at home coming off a road game

NBA Finals Game 3 Over/Under Trends

San Antonio Spurs - Over
56-46 OVER in all games this season
28-15 OVER in road games in non-conference games
19-7 OVER after back to back home games
28-18 OVER coming off an ATS loss

Miami Heat - Over
55-43 OVER in all games
29-20 OVER in all home games
51-37 OVER as a favorite
29-20 OVER as a home favorite
12-4 OVER as a #2 seed in the playoffs
16-5 OVER at home after a close win by 6 points or less

San Antonio Spurs - Under
63-41 UNDER after a close loss by 3 points or less
90-59 UNDER revenging a straight up loss as a home favorite

Miami Heat - Under
4-0 Under after back to back games as an underdog
 
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NBA

Tuesday, June 10


Trend Report

9:00 PM
SAN ANTONIO vs. MIAMI
San Antonio is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 6 of San Antonio's last 9 games when playing Miami
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Antonio
Miami is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against San Antonio
 

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