Service Plays Tuesday 5/25/10

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John Ryan

Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Play: Philadelphia Phillies

5* graded play on the Philies as they take on the NY Mets set to start at 7:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game. Phillies are coming off a tough 3 game set with Boston losing 2 of 3. Dice-K, who threw a 1 hitter and had a no hitter with 2 outs in the 8th, and Wakefield did a great job of containing this high octane offense. Mets starter Dickey has no chance to replicate those 2 starts. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 129-55 making 44.3 units since 2004. Play against all NL dogs in the month of May with a money line of +100 or higher and is hitting <=.255 facing a team with a good bullpen posting an ERA <=3.75. The ageless wonder Jamie Moyer takes to the hill and he is 14-5 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons; 14-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. He is now second on the all-time list with home runs allowed at 501 and just 4 behind the record holder of the late Robin Roberts with 505. This is not all bad though as to allow 500 home runs you must have lasted a very long time in MLB. Similar to the fact that strike out king Nolan Ryan also has the record for most walks. Mets are just 17-31 (-18.8 Units) against the money line versus a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 over the last 3 seasons. Phils are a rock solid 11-2 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. Phillies roll big in this one.
 

ugk
2,435

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THE DUKE SPORTS

LA Lakers Under (221') for 2 Units

The Suns will most likely stick to the 2-3 zone which disrupted the Lakers' rhythm in the 2nd quarter of Game 3. In the first two games of the series, Phoenix was getting hammered inside with Gasol but now they can cut off dribble penetration and block driving lanes to force Los Angeles to make that extra pass to get an open look; consequently, that should slow the game down a tad. At the same time, the Lakers should improve defensively with their adjustments. Los Angeles is 0-6 O/U as a small road favorite while the Suns are 2-7 O/U as a small home dog. Now that this 'total' propped up about 10 points from its opening in Game 1 of this series, we'll go the other way with the "under", considering the defensive adjustments made.
 

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Dozo Games Handicapping

NBA
2* Phoenix Suns +2 9pm est

MLB
3* Oakland A's -110 7pm est (This is the top play for the night)
2* St. Louis Cardinals -130 10pm est

Free Pick: 1* Boston Red Sox +105 7pm est

Paid Premium Plays: 21-9 +24.75 units or +$2475 (Free NI)
All Sports May 26-15 +22.95 units or +$2295 (Free Included)
Bonus Plays: 5-6 -2.80 units or $-280
 
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ALLDAYSPORTS
MLB
Favorite of the day - New York Yankees -115 (1 Unit)
Underdog of the day - Houston Astros +149 (1 Unit)
Run Line of the day - Texas Rangers +116 (1 Unit)
 
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DALLAS DAVE SPORTS

WNBA
Play of the Day:
Phoenix Mercury -5.5.. 7:00 PM EST

MLB
Plays of the Day:
Texas -137.. 8:10 PM EST
San Diego (RL) -153.. 10:05 PM EST
 

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