John Ryan
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
5* graded play on the Philies as they take on the NY Mets set to start at 7:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game. Phillies are coming off a tough 3 game set with Boston losing 2 of 3. Dice-K, who threw a 1 hitter and had a no hitter with 2 outs in the 8th, and Wakefield did a great job of containing this high octane offense. Mets starter Dickey has no chance to replicate those 2 starts. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 129-55 making 44.3 units since 2004. Play against all NL dogs in the month of May with a money line of +100 or higher and is hitting <=.255 facing a team with a good bullpen posting an ERA <=3.75. The ageless wonder Jamie Moyer takes to the hill and he is 14-5 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons; 14-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. He is now second on the all-time list with home runs allowed at 501 and just 4 behind the record holder of the late Robin Roberts with 505. This is not all bad though as to allow 500 home runs you must have lasted a very long time in MLB. Similar to the fact that strike out king Nolan Ryan also has the record for most walks. Mets are just 17-31 (-18.8 Units) against the money line versus a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 over the last 3 seasons. Phils are a rock solid 11-2 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. Phillies roll big in this one.
Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
Play: Philadelphia Phillies
5* graded play on the Philies as they take on the NY Mets set to start at 7:05 EST. Our proprietary sports handicapping model and simulator shows a high probability that the Phillies will win this game. Phillies are coming off a tough 3 game set with Boston losing 2 of 3. Dice-K, who threw a 1 hitter and had a no hitter with 2 outs in the 8th, and Wakefield did a great job of containing this high octane offense. Mets starter Dickey has no chance to replicate those 2 starts. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a record of 129-55 making 44.3 units since 2004. Play against all NL dogs in the month of May with a money line of +100 or higher and is hitting <=.255 facing a team with a good bullpen posting an ERA <=3.75. The ageless wonder Jamie Moyer takes to the hill and he is 14-5 (+10.9 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons; 14-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. He is now second on the all-time list with home runs allowed at 501 and just 4 behind the record holder of the late Robin Roberts with 505. This is not all bad though as to allow 500 home runs you must have lasted a very long time in MLB. Similar to the fact that strike out king Nolan Ryan also has the record for most walks. Mets are just 17-31 (-18.8 Units) against the money line versus a NL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 over the last 3 seasons. Phils are a rock solid 11-2 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in road games after 4 or more consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons. Phillies roll big in this one.