King Creole | NBA Total
double-dime bet – 736 OKL / 735 LAC - OVER 212.5
Analysis:
9:30pm ET – 6:30pm PT / #739 / Game Five / Round Two
LOS ANGELES CLIPPERS @ OKLAHOMA CITY THUNDER
2** Play on: OVER THE TOTAL
According to the OU results of this series, Game Five should see the ‘OVER’ cashing… if the current back-and-forth pattern holds true. Sunday’s Game Four was the lowest scoring game of the series thus far, with a combined total of 200 points. But let’s not forget that the Thunder came THIS close to putting that game into overtime… as a last-second tip-in was dancing tantalizingly around the rim. So far in the series, Game One went OVER… Game Two went UNDER… Game Three went OVER… and Game Four went UNDER.
We’ll be playing on a Thunder ‘OVER’ in some very favorable situations.
1) OKLAHOMA CITY has gone 9-1 O/U at home off a Playoff ‘Under’ when the OU Line is 214 or less points…
2) OKLAHOMA CITY has gone a PERFECT 10-0 O/U since February of this season as home with ONE day of REST when the OU line is 215 or less points (3-0 O/U in the Playoffs thus far)…
3) OKLAHOMA CITY has gone a PERFECT 6-0 O/U since February at home after scoring LESS than (<) 100 points in a game.
We’re still intrigued by the Clippers’ strong ‘OVER’ numbers whenever they have the ‘dog’ role attached to themselves. That’s just one of numerous situations that have us looking for a high-scoring outcome this evening.
1) LOS ANGELES has gone 14-2 O/U since December 1st of this season as UNDERDOGS…
2) LOS ANGELES has gone a perfect 7-0 O/U when off a Playoff ‘Under’…
3) LOS ANGELES has gone 8-0 O/U in the Playoffs after scoring 102 or less points… when the OU line is 195 or more points
This CLIPPERS / THUNDER series has gone 6-1 O/U in the last seven meetings IN Oklahoma City when the OU line is 215 < points.
As mentioned above, Sunday’s Game Four went ‘Under the Total’.
11-0 O/U last 4 years: All Playoff GAME FIVES (CLIPS @ THUNDER) off a Game Four UNDER… when the OU Line is > 182 points.
Ok City lost Game One… won Games Two and Three… and lost Game Four.
7-1 O/U last 5 years: All GAME FIVE home teams off a SU loss… BB SU wins… and a SU loss (THUNDER).
The host Thunder may have lost Game FOur, but they covered the spread. In fact, they’re on a 3-game ATS winning streak.
12-2 O/U since 2005 / 6-0 O/U since 2009: All PLAYOFF home favorites of -4 > pts (THUNDER) off 3 or more ATS Playoff wins in a row.
Also as mentioned above, the score of Sunday’s loss for OKC was 101 to 99.
9-1 O/U last 4 years: All PLAYOFF teams off a SU Playoff road loss if 3 < pts that also went ‘Under the Total’ (THUNDER) when the OU line is 175 > points.
This particular Day of the Week…
NBA Playoff Western Conference GAME FIVES on a TUESDAY have gone 8-1 O/U in the last 5 years…
NBA Playoff ROUND TWO games on a TUESDAY have gone 9-1-1 O/U since 2010 when the OU Line is > 182 points.