BONES BEST BET NHL
The last week of the NHL season can be tricky to bet on. We specifically try to focus on the games that have meaning as opposed to the games such as Senators vs Islanders with no playoff implications. That being said, we’ve got two ML parlays and a total here today. Playing on teams looking to solidify their playoff spot, or gain home ice advantage.
FLYERS ML + RANGERS ML +136 *2*
The teams in this parlay are going to meet in the first round of the playoffs, however both teams are still looking to grab home ice in that series. Almost all must win games for both these teams here on out to do that.
STARS ML + RED WINGS ML +134 *2*
The Stars and Coyotes are fighting hard for that final Western playoff spot. The Stars have taken 2 of the past 3 meetings between these clubs, and we don’t see the Predators playing spoilers to a hungry Dallas Stars team.
The Red Wings have taken 7 straight against Buffalo including all 3 match ups this year. Detroit have won 4 of 5 overall while the Sabres have won just 2 of their last 10. We can’t imagine the Red Wings want to play the Bruins in the first round, so look for them to try to stay ahead of Columbus.
LEAFS @ LIGHTNING O5.5 -115 *1*
The Leafs have played to 5 overs in their last 6 games and 7 in their last 9. The two lone unders had 5 total goals in each game – both an empty netter away from going over. The Leafs are 44-32 on the year to the over, while the Lighting are 39-36. Smaller bet here but definitely worthy of a play.
BONES BEST BET MLB
BLUE JAYS ML + NATIONALS ML +148 *2* (7:05 PM ET)
This is the Astros’ first road game of the season, a little tougher to play on the road and they have gone ice cold with the bats, scoring 1 run in 3 of their past 4 games. Buerhle was dealing in his first start, and we think he can put up similar results tonight against this lackluster Houston team. The Jays live and die by their starting pitching, their offense is not a problem – if they get good pitching, they win games. We think they get good pitching tonight.
Gonzalez was lights out in his first start, and against the Marlins last year whom he allowed just 2 runs over 19 innings (0.95 ERA!). The Marlins offense is hitting at an sustainability high clip, and we expect them to come back to earth tonight against a pitcher they had a lot of trouble with. The Nationals should be able to rough up Alvarez.
MARINERS ML -120 *2* (10:10 PM ET)
Seattle just swept the Angels in LA, and now they get them at their own home opener. Paxton was dealing when he pitched against the Angels in his first start, and we think he is fully capable of doing that again, the kid is going to be a stud. On the flip side we are still not huge fans of Hector Santiago. Look for the M’s to out pitch and out hit the Angels.
ROYALS ML +105 *2* (8:10 PM ET)
Big season debut here for Royals flame thrower Yordana Ventura. This guy can flat out pitch and it’s not just us who are excited to see what he brings this season. The Rays do not have a big lefty heavy lineup and this bodes well for the young right hander, the Rays have also lost two straight games after a hot start and their offense has scored a combined two runs in those games. They counter with Archer who is 0-1 in one career start against the Royals with a 6.35 ERA. We look for 6-7 solid innings from this young KC stud and the superb bullpen to close this game out.
YANKEES ML -125 *2* (1:05 PM ET)
Nova was LIGHT’S OUT in 3 of 4 starts against the Orioles last year, and was even better at home. On the flip side the Yankees roughed up Wei-Yin Chen quite a bit. The Orioles are struggling in a big way with the bats early on, and not getting the pitching to help them out. Look for New York to win this series today.
PHILLIES ML -106 *2* (4:05 PM ET)
Getting even money in the Phillies home opener is great value. Kendrick looked solid in his first start going 7 innings and giving up 5 hits. Kendrick is 6-1 his last 7 starts as a home favorite.
REDS @ CARDINALS O7 -110 *2* (8:15 PM ET)
13 runs were scored last week when these 2 pitchers faced each other. The Reds have 4 players with a career average over .400 against Lynn and 2 guys with .300 averages. 3 players on the Cards have career averages over .500 against Bailey with 2 guys batting over .300. 3 runs from each team and we’re free rolling – we expect min. 3 a piece here.
BONES BEST BET NBA
MAVERICKS @ JAZZ – O199 -105 *4* BEST BET
We have an Eric Lewis sighting. He is 46-16 O/U this year. These teams last met on March 12th and 209 total points were scored. The Mavs have went over today’s total in 9 of their last 10. They have also went over in 6 of 7 following an ATS loss. The Jazz have went over in 4 straight overall. The over is 4-1 the last 5 times these teams have played in Utah.
NETS +7 -105 *3*
The Brooklyn Nets are 3-0 straight up and ATS this year against the Miami Heat. All 3 were very tightly played games with the Nets winning by 1 point twice and 9 points in the other, with the game going to overtime. Brooklyn does not a great road team (-5.4 points on the road) but we’ll back them here with confidence. They match up quite well with Miami, don’t be surprised to see them win here yet again.
THUNDER @ KINGS – U202 -105 *2*
Three meetings between these two teams this season with all 3 going well under the number. 175, 201, and 192 points scored in each of the 3 match ups respectively.
