Larry Ness
8* South Florida -3.5
How much do the Wolfpack have left after their excellent run in the ACC tourney? NC St upset NCAA-bound Clemson (Thu) and Florida State (Fri) before "running out of gas" against Ga Tech on Saturday (lost 57-54), which was playing for its NCAA 'life!' NC State was just 5-11 in the ACC regular season but Greensboro (site of ACC tourney), has always been 'good medicine' for the Wolfpack. This was year was no different, as they went 3-0 ATS. Traveling to South Florida for this game will be no 'picnic.' USF went 20-12 this year, going 19-10-2 ATS. The Bulls are 11-4 SU at home (8-4-2 ATS) and easily own the best player on the floor in 6-4 junior Jones (21.3-6.2-3.7). He's joined in the backcourt by seniors Howard (10.4-3.8-3.9) and Mercer (9.4-4.6). USF has plenty of height up front now that the 6-10 Gilchrist (13.8-6.1) is back after missing 15 games with a foot injury. The 6-11 Famous (10.5-7.5) is the fifth starter with 6-8 freshman Fitzpatrick (4.3-4.6) coming off the bench. NC State's 6-8 Smith (16.9-7.5) is an excellent player but I'm not sure his frontcourt partners Horner (11.2-4.8) and Wood (8.1-3.3) are up to the challenge. I'm SURE the Wolpack's guard duo of of Gonzalez (9.8-3.8 APG) and Degand (5.8-2.6 APG) will be overmatched by Jones and Co. away from the friendly confines of Greensboro. Lay it with the Bulls.
8* South Florida -3.5
How much do the Wolfpack have left after their excellent run in the ACC tourney? NC St upset NCAA-bound Clemson (Thu) and Florida State (Fri) before "running out of gas" against Ga Tech on Saturday (lost 57-54), which was playing for its NCAA 'life!' NC State was just 5-11 in the ACC regular season but Greensboro (site of ACC tourney), has always been 'good medicine' for the Wolfpack. This was year was no different, as they went 3-0 ATS. Traveling to South Florida for this game will be no 'picnic.' USF went 20-12 this year, going 19-10-2 ATS. The Bulls are 11-4 SU at home (8-4-2 ATS) and easily own the best player on the floor in 6-4 junior Jones (21.3-6.2-3.7). He's joined in the backcourt by seniors Howard (10.4-3.8-3.9) and Mercer (9.4-4.6). USF has plenty of height up front now that the 6-10 Gilchrist (13.8-6.1) is back after missing 15 games with a foot injury. The 6-11 Famous (10.5-7.5) is the fifth starter with 6-8 freshman Fitzpatrick (4.3-4.6) coming off the bench. NC State's 6-8 Smith (16.9-7.5) is an excellent player but I'm not sure his frontcourt partners Horner (11.2-4.8) and Wood (8.1-3.3) are up to the challenge. I'm SURE the Wolpack's guard duo of of Gonzalez (9.8-3.8 APG) and Degand (5.8-2.6 APG) will be overmatched by Jones and Co. away from the friendly confines of Greensboro. Lay it with the Bulls.
BigFella
NHL 3/16/2010
7:00:00 PM Boston at Carolina moneyline Carolina -135
Play of the Day
NHL 3/16/2010
7:00:00 PM Buffalo at Atlanta moneyline Atlanta +120
NHL 3/16/2010
7:00:00 PM Montreal at NY Rangers overunder Montreal/NY Rangers o5.5 +120
FREE PICK
NHL 3/16/2010
7:00:00 PM Montreal at NY Rangers puck line -1.5 +200
NHL 3/16/2010
8:00:00 PM Edmonton at Minnesota puck line -1.5 +110
NHL 3/16/2010
8:30:00 PM San Jose at Dallas moneyline San Jose -155
NHL 3/16/2010
7:00:00 PM Boston at Carolina moneyline Carolina -135
Play of the Day
NHL 3/16/2010
7:00:00 PM Buffalo at Atlanta moneyline Atlanta +120
NHL 3/16/2010
7:00:00 PM Montreal at NY Rangers overunder Montreal/NY Rangers o5.5 +120
FREE PICK
NHL 3/16/2010
7:00:00 PM Montreal at NY Rangers puck line -1.5 +200
NHL 3/16/2010
8:00:00 PM Edmonton at Minnesota puck line -1.5 +110
NHL 3/16/2010
8:30:00 PM San Jose at Dallas moneyline San Jose -155
Dr. Bob
Tuesday NBA Opinions
MIAMI (-1 1/2) over San Antonio
Rotation #554 - 4:35 pm Pacific
Miami is playing at a high level recently and the Heat are better off without injured F Michael Beasley, who is decent offensively but horrible on defense. In fact, the Heat allow 1.07 points per possession when Beasley is on the court and only 1.02 ppp when he's on the bench. With Beasley out the Heat defense is 2.2 points better per game than it is overall for the season. Even without factoring that in my ratings still favor the Heat by 2 1/2 points in this game (with no adjustment for Parker being out for the Spurs) and Miami applies to a 69-18-1 ATS home momentum situation. Unfortunately, a not as great 8-6 ATS subset of that angle applies to this game, so I'm reluctant to make the Heat a Best Bet given that the best part of the situation doesn't apply. I'll still lean with Miami at -2 or better.
Minnesota (+12 1/2) over PHOENIX
Rotation #563 - 7:05 pm Pacific
Road underdogs of 11 points or more are 45-19 ATS this season if they didn't play the previous night and Phoenix applies to a negative 67-147-2 ATS big favorite look ahead situation (they play Utah next). The Suns are also just 10-26-3 ATS in the Steve Nash era as a favorite of 9 points or more following a win of 12 points or more, so they may not give their best effort tonight against the lowly Timberwolves. Unfortunately, my ratings favor the Suns by 13 1/2 points and I don't want to give up that line value even though Phoenix is just 1-4 ATS laying 11 points or more this season. I'll just lean with Minnesota at +12 points or more based on the strong letdown situation.
Tuesday College Opinions
Connecticut (-7 1/2) over Northeastern
Rotation #570 - 4 pm Pacific
North Carolina (-8 1/2) over William & Mary
Rotation #578 - 6:30 pm Pacific
There is some talk of U Conn and North Carolina not being fired up to play in the NIT given that those teams are usually are competing in the later rounds of the NCAA tournament. However, that may not be the case given that teams that won 23 or more games the previous season are actually 66-36-1 ATS in their first NIT game, including 17-2 ATS if they enter off consecutive losses. North Carolina also applies to a 37-10 ATS first round NIT angle. I'll lean with U Conn and UNC based on the trends.
Tuesday NBA Opinions
MIAMI (-1 1/2) over San Antonio
Rotation #554 - 4:35 pm Pacific
Miami is playing at a high level recently and the Heat are better off without injured F Michael Beasley, who is decent offensively but horrible on defense. In fact, the Heat allow 1.07 points per possession when Beasley is on the court and only 1.02 ppp when he's on the bench. With Beasley out the Heat defense is 2.2 points better per game than it is overall for the season. Even without factoring that in my ratings still favor the Heat by 2 1/2 points in this game (with no adjustment for Parker being out for the Spurs) and Miami applies to a 69-18-1 ATS home momentum situation. Unfortunately, a not as great 8-6 ATS subset of that angle applies to this game, so I'm reluctant to make the Heat a Best Bet given that the best part of the situation doesn't apply. I'll still lean with Miami at -2 or better.
Minnesota (+12 1/2) over PHOENIX
Rotation #563 - 7:05 pm Pacific
Road underdogs of 11 points or more are 45-19 ATS this season if they didn't play the previous night and Phoenix applies to a negative 67-147-2 ATS big favorite look ahead situation (they play Utah next). The Suns are also just 10-26-3 ATS in the Steve Nash era as a favorite of 9 points or more following a win of 12 points or more, so they may not give their best effort tonight against the lowly Timberwolves. Unfortunately, my ratings favor the Suns by 13 1/2 points and I don't want to give up that line value even though Phoenix is just 1-4 ATS laying 11 points or more this season. I'll just lean with Minnesota at +12 points or more based on the strong letdown situation.
Tuesday College Opinions
Connecticut (-7 1/2) over Northeastern
Rotation #570 - 4 pm Pacific
North Carolina (-8 1/2) over William & Mary
Rotation #578 - 6:30 pm Pacific
There is some talk of U Conn and North Carolina not being fired up to play in the NIT given that those teams are usually are competing in the later rounds of the NCAA tournament. However, that may not be the case given that teams that won 23 or more games the previous season are actually 66-36-1 ATS in their first NIT game, including 17-2 ATS if they enter off consecutive losses. North Carolina also applies to a 37-10 ATS first round NIT angle. I'll lean with U Conn and UNC based on the trends.
