Service Plays Tuesday 3/15/11

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THE WINNING PRESCRIPTION - MARCUS LANGDON

(556) Colorado St -6.5
(543) Dayton -5.5
(565) Hofstra +2
(575) Furman +4.5
 
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Dallas at Portland

The Mavericks look to take advantage of a Portland team that is coming off a 92-81 loss at Atlanta and is 2-8-1 ATS in its last 11 games following a SU defeat. Dallas is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mavericks favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 15
Time Posted: 2:30 p.m. EST

Game 531-532: Milwaukee at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 116.702; Atlanta 120.051
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 3 1/2; 172
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 5 1/2; 174
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+5 1/2); Under

Game 533-534: New York at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 119.105; Indiana 112.508
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6 1/2; 220
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 217
Dunkel Pick: New York (-4); Over

Game 535-536: Washington at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 109.271; Chicago 123.829
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 14 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 16; 192
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+16); Over

Game 537-538: Dallas at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 122.784; Portland 118.890
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 1 1/2; 189 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-1 1/2); Under
 
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NY Islanders at NY Rangers

The Islanders look to take advantage of a Rangers team that is coming off a 3-2 win over San Jose and is 1-6 in its last 7 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. The Islanders are the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Islanders favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+155). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MARCH 15
Time Posted 6:00 a.m. EST
Game 51-52: Atlanta at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 11.017; New Jersey 11.833
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-200); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-200); Over

Game 53-54: Washington at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 13.054; Montreal 11.446
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-120); 5
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); Under

Game 55-56: Boston at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 11.935; Columbus 10.826
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-140); Under

Game 57-58: NY Islanders at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.669; NY Rangers 11.736
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-175); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+155); Over

Game 59-60: Philadelphia at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 11.818; Florida 10.858
Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-165); Over

Game 61-62: Pittsburgh at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.327; Ottawa 12.182
Dunkel Line & Total: Ottawa by 1; 4
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-135); 5
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+115); Under

Game 63-64: Carolina at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 10.396; Buffalo 11.639
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-160); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-160); Over

Game 65-66: Los Angeles at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.680; Nashville 11.923
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (+105); Under

Game 67-68: San Jose at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 12.168; Dallas 10.618
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (+100); Over

Game 69-70: Phoenix at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.348; Calgary 12.605
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-145); Under
 
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Dayton at College of Charleston

The Cougars look to build on their 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games against the Atlantic 10. College of Charleston is the pick (-4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cougars favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-4 1/2). Here are all of today's games and the first round NCAA and other tournament games.

TUESDAY, MARCH 15
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (3/14)

Game 521-522: Ohio at Marshall (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 55.779; Marshall 65.074
Dunkel Line: Marshall by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Marshall by 7
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (-7)

Game 539-540: NC-Asheville vs. AR-Little Rock (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NC-Asheville 56.480; AR-Little Rock 53.819
Dunkel Line: NC-Asheville by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: NC-Asheville by 4
Dunkel Pick: AR-Little Rock (+4)
Game 541-542: UAB vs. Clemson (9:00 p.m. EST)

Dunkel Ratings: UAB 62.663; Clemson 70.039
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Clemson by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-4 1/2)

Game 543-544: Dayton at College of Charleston (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 58.159; College of Charleston 64.888
Dunkel Line: College of Charleston by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: College of Charleston (-4 1/2)

Game 545-546: Vermont at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vermont 50.534; Cleveland State 60.046
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 11 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vermont (+11 1/2)

Game 547-548: Coastal Carolina at Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 53.596; Alabama 68.997
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 15 1/2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 12 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-12 1/2)

Game 549-550: Harvard at Oklahoma State (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Harvard 58.920; Oklahoma State 62.418
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Harvard (+6 1/2)

Game 551-552: Murray State at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Murray State 56.406; Missouri State 65.760
Dunkel Line: Missouri State by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Missouri State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-7 1/2)

Game 553-554: Boston College at McNeese State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 63.161; McNeese State 58.715
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 4 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston College by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: McNeese State (+5 1/2)

Game 555-556: Fairfield at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fairfield 56.302; Colorado State 60.218
Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 4
Vegas Line: Colorado State by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Fairfield (+6 1/2)

Game 557-558: UTEP at New Mexico (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 63.665; New Mexico 70.708
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 7
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-5 1/2)

Game 559-560: Kent State at St. Mary's (CA) (11:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 58.516; St. Mary's (CA) 64.781
Dunkel Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Mary's (CA) by 11
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (+11)

Game 563-564: James Madison at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: James Madison 54.512; Davidson 56.494
Dunkel Line: Davidson by 2
Vegas Line: Davidson by 1
Dunkel Pick: Davidson (-1)

Game 565-566: Hofstra at Evansville (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hofstra 55.049; Evansville 57.831
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 3
Vegas Line: Evansville by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-1 1/2)

Game 567-568: San Jose State at Creighton (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 56.978; Creighton 63.155
Dunkel Line: Creighton by 6
Vegas Line: Creighton by 10
Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+10)

Game 569-570: Austin Peay at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Austin Peay 53.480; Boise State 66.120
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Boise State by 8
Dunkel Pick: Boise State (-8)

Game 575-576: Furman at East Tennessee State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Furman 50.939; East Tennessee State 51.856
Dunkel Line: East Tennessee State by 1
Vegas Line: East Tennessee State by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Furman (+4 1/2)

Game 577-578: Jacksonville at East Carolina (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 51.449; East Carolina 60.537
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 9
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 8
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-8)

Game 579-580: Rider at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rider 55.770; Northern Iowa 57.494
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 4
Dunkel Pick: Rider (+4)

Game 581-582: North Dakota at Air Force (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota 43.342; Air Force 56.215
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 13
Vegas Line: Air Force by 16
Dunkel Pick: North Dakota (+16)

Game 583-584: Northern Arizona at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Arizona 55.389; Santa Clara 61.451
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 6
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 4
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (-4)

Game 585-586: Portland at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 56.977; Hawaii 56.639
Dunkel Line: Even
Vegas Line: Hawaii by 2
Dunkel Pick: Portland (+2)
 
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Gold Sheet

UNC Asheville 71 - Arkansas-Little Rock 70—This is what an NCAA playin
game is all about! Arkansas-Little Rock (SE16) finished 7-9 in the 12-team
Sun Belt Conference, lost its last three contests to end the regular season, then
won four games in four days in the Sun Belt Tourney to finish 19-16 and earn its
first big to the Big Dance since 1990! Sr. G Solomon Bozeman, the Sun Belt
Player of the Year, was a poor man’s Kemba Walker in that tourney, averaging
22 ppg in leading the Trojans in all four games. UNC-Asheville (E16) stood a
more respectable third in the Big South at the end of the regular season, then
won three straight in the league tourney to finish 19-13. Thus, Asheville’s
Bulldogs are favored in this game (even though they lost 96-49 earlier TY at
Ohio State). They have the tallest big man in this game in 6-10 soph D.J.
Cunningham, but he is usually not a dominating force (9 ppg, 7.5 rpg). UALR
can be hurt on the boards, but the Trojans are a very veteran unit, with a
combined ten senior and juniors. And, at times, the treys flow freely (6-0 Little
Rock sr. Matt Mouza canned 8 of 10 vs. Denver back in February). Asheville’s
Bulldogs are good thieves (sixth in the nation in steals). But with the Trojans
owning Bozeman and other veteran guards, prefer to take the points in this affair
“featuring” happy-to-be-there teams.
NCAA EAST REGIONAL

NCAA Play-in game at UD Dayton Arena, Dayton, Ohio
Clemson 63 - Uab 62—Can’t excuse either of these play-in teams for
entering Dayton with big chips on their shoulders after their inclusion in these
proceedings was almost universally condemned by the TV talking heads,
especially the bald ones (that’s you, Dickie V.). Clemson (E12) might believe it
was disrespected after being forced to go the play-in route, but UAB (E12) really
has a point to prove after its credentials were completely trashed in most media
outlets. Players sometimes listen to that stuff.
The Blazers own the great equalizer in this clash with 5-8 waterbug PG
Aaron Johnson (7.7 apg and C-USA MVP), while 6-10 C Cameron Moore (14.3
ppg & 9.4 rpg) can at least hold his own with the Tigers’ main interior threat,
Jerai Grant. And 6-5 sr. Jamar Sanders (17.7 ppg) has taken over many UAB
contests this season. Note that Clemson found ways to drop a lot of close
games (lost 8 by 6 points or fewer), as the team continues in adjustment phase
to new HC Brad Brownell’s modified Princeton style, a far cry from predecessor
Oliver Purnell’s uptempo preference. The UD Arena venue is familiar to
Brownell (who coached across town at Wright State), and the Tigers’ defense
(60.4 ppg & 39.8% FGs) should allow them to advance, but the Blazers’ road
prowess (9-6 SU away from home) makes not-insignificant spread worth a look.
 

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From the Real Animal:

Tuesday free NBA play is Milwaukee +5 1/2:

Two nights ago Milwaukee was embarrassed at Boston scoring 56 points. You know the Bucks are going to come out and play extremely hard tonight. "That's about as humiliating a defeat as you'll ever see," coach Scott Skiles said. "They got us on our heels and took our competitive fight away from us. We pretty much just gave into it." "The thing is, this is one game, we can't let this snowball, we can't let this affect us going to the next game, we have to put this behind us and prepare for the Hawks," guard Earl Boykins said. The Bucks have plenty of incentive too. Milwaukee is 10th in the Eastern Conference, 1 1/2 games behind Indiana and Charlotte for the eighth and final playoff spot. Atlanta is secure in 5th place in the Eastern Conference, although the Hawks have lost 10 of 15. Milwaukee has won two of three against Atlanta this season after blowing a 3-2 lead in the first round of the playoffs when these teams met last year. The Hawks are 8-19 ATS as a home favorite this year. The Bucks are a perfect 9-0 ATS this season after back-to-back games being called for 18 personal fouls. They are also 17-5 ATS the past two years following a road loss of 10 points or more. Grab the points with the Bucks.​
 

snp

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Sports N' Profits

Arkansas Little Rock +4 vs. UNC Asheville @ 630PM

UAB +175 vs. Clemson @ 9PM

UAB + 4 1/2 vs. Clemson @ 9PM

Dallas Mavericks vs. Portland Trail Blazers over 190 @ 1005PM

*** less then 48 hours to get your bracket in for our contest. NO ENTRY FEE and winner gets $200 cash! Head over to the sites promotion forum if interested in signing up! GL!
 

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jeff benton

0-3 for the week..0-2 sunday 0-1 sunday

Jeff Benton Tuesday's Action

20 Dime college basketball selaction on UAB as an underdog against Clemson in a Big Dance play-in game from Dayton, Ohio. As of 12:40 p.m. Eaastern time, the Blazers are catching betwhen 4 and 4½ points both here in Vegas and offshore.





10 Dime college basketball selection on Harvard as an underdog at Oklahoma State in the first round of the NIT. As of 12:40 p.m. Eastern time, the Crimson are catching between 5½ and 6 points both here in Vegas and offshore.





ANALYSIS




So put yourself in a UAB basketball jersey. All you’ve heard for the last 48 hours is how you don’t belong in the Big Dance, that you didn’t beat anybody, that your 22-8 record is more or less the result of facing a bunch of non-conference patsies and playing in a weak conference. How do you think you’d feel? I’ll tell you how you’d feel: You’d be pissed off and highly motivated to come out and prove your doubters wrong. And that’s just what the Blazers are going to do tonight against a Clemson team that was no more deserving of a bid than UAB.





Seriously, look at Clemson’s results: It went 0-3 against North Carolina and also lost its only meeting against Duke – clearly the top two teams in what was a very weak ACC this season. The Tigers also lost their three “toughest” non-conferecnce games (at South Carolina, Michigan at home, vs. Old Dominion at a neutral site). That means Clemson’s best victory came against … uh, Miami, Fla.? Virginia Tech? Florida State (which avenged that loss in a second meeting with the Tigers)? In other words, Clemson is a fraud. And note this about the Tigers, too: They went just 6-9 in road/neutral-site games.





True, UAB went one-and-done in the Conference USA tournament, losing 75-70 in overtime to East Carolina after winning the regular-season league title. However, what few have mentioned is the Blazers second-leading scorer and leading rebounder – forward Cameron Moore – played just 14 minutes in the loss to East Carolina before leaving with an injury (and he had five rebounds in those 14 minutes). Moore is back healthy for this one, and he will be a difference-maker against an opponent that’s not at all dominant on the boards.





Finally, while Clemson strughled away from home this year, UAB was 9-6 SU and – here’s the kicker – 11-3-1 ATS in road/neutral-site games. Additionally, the Blazers are 3-0-1 ATS in their last four games as an underdog, 15-7 ATS in their last 22 as a neutral-site underdog and 9-3 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games. By comparison, the Tigers are in ATS funks of 1-5 in non-conference action, 2-4 as a favorite, 3-11-1 at neutral sites and 8-20 when laying points at neutral venues.





Bottom line: The pundits are indeed correct in claiming that one of these teams didn’t belong in the Big Dance … but that team is Clemson, not UAB.





ANALYSIS




Harvard went 23-6 in the regular season and came within six points of a perfect Ivy League record and within nine points of a 27-2 record. That’s right, four of the Crimson’s six losses were by a total of nine points. Check it out: They lost Ivy League games to Princeton 65-61 on the road, Yale 70-69 on the road and Princeton 63-62 in Saturday’s winner-take-all neutral-site contest at Yale (a game Harvard led until a leaning jumper at the buzzer gave Princeton the win, the Ivy League crown and the Big Dance berth). The fourth narrow defeat was back on Dec. 4, when Harvard went to Michigan and fell 65-62 as an 8½-point underdog.





That means just two teams – George Mason (66-53 season-opening home win) and UConn (81-52 home win) – manhandled Harvard this year. And believe me when I tell you that Oklahoma State is NOT George Mason or UConn. The Cowboys went 19-13 in the regular season, including 7-11 in the Big 12. One of OSU’s conference losses came against Colorado, and I mention that because the Buffaloes got destroyed at Harvard this year. And even though the Cowboys had a decent showing in the Big 12 tournament, upsetting Nebraska 53-52 as a four-point underdog and nearly shocking top-seeded Kansas before falling 63-62 as a 14½-point pup, they’re still just 5-9 SU and 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games, including 1-5 ATS as a favorite.





Despite playing in the up-tempo Big 12, OSU scored more than 66 points just twice in its last nine games. At the same time, Harvard averaged nearly 72 ppg this season (shooting 47.6 percent overall, including better than 51 percent in the last five games. And if this thing comes down to a foul-shooting contest, I like my chances with Harvard, whose 81.2 percent free-throw percentage ranks second in the entire country.






 
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Helmut

44 College of Charleston OVER 142
546 Cleveland State OVER 131
556 Colorado State OVER 129
578 East Carolina OVER 131.5
 
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PittViper Sports

GOLD = 3 unit wager
SILVER = 2 unit wager
BRONZE = 1 unit wager

NBA Basketball:
SILVER: ROT# 534 - 7:00pm - Indiana Pacers +5 -110 (my line: -1.72)

NHL Hockey
SILVER: ROT# 52 - 7:00pm - Atlanta/New Jersey under 5 -105
SILVER: ROT# 62 - 7:30pm - Ottawa/Pittsburgh under 5 +115
SILVER: ROT# 63 - 7:30pm - Buffalo/Carolina over 5.5 +100
SILVER: ROT# 67 - 8:30pm - San Jose/Dallas over 5.5 +120
SILVER: ROT# 69 - 9:30pm - Phoenix/Calgary over 5.5 +115
BRONZE: ROT# 55 - 7:00pm - Boston Bruins -140
BRONZE: ROT# 59 - 7:30pm - Philadelphia Flyers -160
BRONZE: ROT# 61 - 7:30pm - Pittsburgh Penguins -130
 
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Hammer The Book

NBA
3- Atlanta Hawks -5
3.5- Portland Trailblazers +2

MARCH MADNESS
3- UNC Ashville -4
3- Clemson -4
4- Evansville -2
5- Santa Clara -4 1/2
4- Hawaii -1 1/2

NHL
3- NY Rangers ML
3- Los Angeles Kings ML
3- San Jose Sharks ML
5- Calgary Flames ML
 

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