Service Plays Tuesday 3/15/11

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Bob Akmens Sports North Dakota +15.5

LPW Sports Forecast James Madison +1

These 2 services typically dominate NHL ranking at The Sports Monitor, but can never find plays.
 
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HONEST DOG SPORTS

7 UNIT* PLAY OF THE DAY* Fairfield Stags, +6.5
8 UNIT* LEVEL 4* James Madison Dukes, +110 ML
16 UNIT* LEVEL 5* Northern Arizona Lumberjacks, +170 ML
32 UNIT* LEVEL 6* Portland Pilots, +110 ML
 
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BIG AL MCMORDIE

100% CLEMSON/UAB NCAA "PLAY-IN" WINNER
At 9 pm, our selection is on the UAB Blazers plus the points over Clemson. A lot of the talking heads are making noise about the inclusion of UAB in the NCAA Tournament -- and I can't disagree with that assessment, given that schools such as St. Mary's, Colorado and Virginia Tech were left out -- but I wouldn't have included Clemson, either, in the 68-team field. Indeed, when one compares the resumes of UAB and Clemson, one finds that the Tigers had 0 victories vs. any teams from the RPI-Top 50. Its best wins this season were against Boston College, Virginia Tech and Florida State, but none of those were true road games. Indeed, the only true road games that Clemson won were at Charleston, Georgia Tech, and Miami, and none of those teams are in the Tourney this year. I don't like laying points with teams who fit that kind of profile. UAB, for its part, at least accomplished something this year, and that was to win its Conference's regular season crown. The Blazers were 12-4 in the league, but fell to 8th-seeded East Carolina in the quarterfinal round of the C-USA Tourney. But before that game, UAB had won and covered seven of eight games! UAB plays at a VERY slow tempo (62.9 possessions per game (318th in country), and that will make it more difficult for Clemson to break away from the Blazers. Indeed, UAB was 7-1 ATS as underdogs of +2 or more points this year. And Clemson is an awful 10-32 ATS since 1991 as favorites away from home vs. foes off a pointspread loss (including 0-7 ATS in post-season games)! Clemson also favors a slow tempo (65 possessions per game (253rd in country), so I look for a very low-scoring game tonight. Grab the points with UAB. Good luck, as always...Al McMordie.
 
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NORM HITZGES

355-364
NBA
·******** Knicks -3 vs Indiana
·******** Chicago -14 vs Washington
NCAA
·******** Charleston +5.5 vs Dayton
·******** Harvard +5.5 vs Oklahoma State
·******** Murray St +8* vs Missouri State
·******** Boise -8 vs Austin Peay
·******** Clemson -4.5 vs UAB
 
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Super Sports Group

NCAA
NC Asheville v. Arkansas Little Rock 6:30pm
10* PICK: Arkansas Little Rock +4 Game Hidden Gem

NIT
Vermont v. Cleveland St 7pm
9* PICK: Cleveland St -10 Game Best bet of the day
8* PICK: OVER 129.5 Game
 
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Avvincente Sports

NHL - Islanders vs Rangers OVER 5.5 (Play of the day)

NHL - Penguins vs Senators UNDER 5 (Free pick of the day)
 
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WUNDERDOG
1 OF 5
NHL 144-117 Last 261 picks +$5320

Game: Pittsburgh at Ottawa (7:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Pittsburgh -130 (moneyline)

The Ottawa Senators had a good stretch of games, but allowed 6 goals in their last outing vs. the Sabres. They will be facing a Pittsburgh team that went for 5 goals in their last outing vs. Edmonton. That puts Ottawa in a bad spot as the Senators have been a dismal 2-14 in their last 16 facing a team that scored 5+ in their last game. They are also just 6-20 in their last 26 on home ice. Pittsburgh is touting a 41-16 mark facing teams that allowed 5+ in their last game. This is a bad spot for the Senators, so I'm playing on Pittsburgh in this one.
 
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WUNDERDOG
1 OF 9
CBB 237-184 Last 421 picks +$6530

Game: James Madison at Davidson (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: James Madison +2 (-110)

There is one reason why Davidson made the NIT. They're Southern Conference team with a marginal record at 17-14. They developed some brand recognition with their run in the NCAA Tournament a couple years ago. They really don't belong here. James Madison, on the other hand, clearly belongs. They're a mid-major conference and winners of 21 games and are now posted as an underdog. The Dukes have been under the radar all season long, and they have rewarded their backers with a 10-2 ATS mark playing in the role of an underdog in their last 12. The Wildcats have had over-zealous expectations since their coming out party in the big dance, but are just 21-44-3 ATS in their last 68. James Madison gets my call.
 
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Ras totals

565 Hofstra Over 139
555 Fairfield Over 127.5
569 Austin Peay Over 140.5
543 Dayton Over 140.5
563 James Madison Over 141
 
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BIGFELLA SPORTS

NHL 4*Power Play* NY Islanders +155

MLS 3*Premium* LA Galaxy +120

NBA 3*Regular* Mil Bucks +5½
 
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Ferringo NCAA Hoops


1.5-Unit Play. Take #584 Santa Clara (-4) over Northern Arizona (10 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

1.5-Unit Play. Take #586 Hawaii (-1.5) over Portland (1 a.m., Tuesday, March 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #540 UA-Little Rock (+4) over UNC-Ashville (6:30 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

0.5-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 130.0 UA-Little Rock vs. UNC-Ashville (6:30 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #563 James Madison (+2) over Davidson (7 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #579 Rider (+5) over Northern Iowa (8 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #551 Murray State (+8) over Missouri State (8 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #553 Boston College (-6) over McNeese State (9 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

1-Unit Play. Take #542 Clemson (-4.5) over UAB (9 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #543 Dayton (+5.5) over Charleston (7 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)

0.5-Unit Play. Take #565 Hofstra (+2) over Evansville (8 p.m., Tuesday, March 15)
 

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