Dr. Bob
Tuesday NBA Opinion
MILWAUKEE (-8) over Minnesota
Rotation #512 - 5:05 pm Pacific
Milwaukee lost at Minnesota in the first week of the season, but the Bucks generally perform their best, relatively, against bad teams, who aren’t as likely to take advantage of the Bucks’ poor offense. Milwaukee is 17-3 ATS the last two seasons against teams with a win percentage of less than .333 (excluding 0-1 teams) and road teams tend to play a bit flat in their first game after the All-Star break. My ratings favor Milwaukee by 8 points, so the line is fair, and I’ll lean with the Bucks at -8 or less.
Tuesday College Opinion/Possible Best Bet
La Salle (+14) over XAVIER
Rotation #519 – 4 pm Pacific
I had an opinion against La Salle on Saturday based on their horrible home record under coach John Giannini (22-48-2 ATS) but the Explorers are relatively good on the road (42-27-1 ATS) and they’re 16-8 ATS as a double-digit road underdog – including 9-1 ATS after a loss. Xavier, meanwhile, has been playing great against other good teams in conference play but the Musketeers continue to letdown against bad teams and they are now 0-5 ATS this season as a favorite of 11 points or more after beating lowly Fordham by just 7 points as a 22 point favorite on Saturday. I’ll lean with La Salle at +14 points or more and I’d take La Salle as a 2-Star Best Bet if the line goes back up to +15 points or more.