Service Plays Tuesday 2/22/11

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Tuesday, February 22

LaSalle lost four of last five games; they're 3-3 as road dog, losing away games by 5-3-21 points. Xavier won its last four games, with only one win by more than 8 points; they're 2-4 as A-14 home favorite, winning by 29-5-11-7-8-7 points. Double digit home favorites are 9-13 vs spread in A-14 games. Visitors are 6-1 vs spread in last seven Xavier games.

Virginia Tech lost its last two road games, at Boston College/Virginia-- they're 2-4 overall on ACC road, with wins by 17 at Maryland, by 8 at NC State. Wake Forest lost its last six games (2-4 vs spread); they're 2-4 as ACC home underdog, losing by 19-24-1-25-18 points, with win over Virginia. ACC home favorites of more than 8 points are 8-14 vs spread. Wake (+19) lost 94-65 to Tech in Blacksburg back on Jan 15.

Ohio State is 1-5 vs spread in last six games, 2-4 as home favorite, with wins by 3-3-22-23-9-10 points. Illinois lost five of its last six on road, losing by 2-10-3-1-4 points. Buckeyes (-3.5) outscored Illini 27-8 from foul line, won 73-68 at Illinois Jan 22, with Sullinger going for 27/16. Double digit home favorites are 5-11 vs spread in Big 11 play. .

South Carolina lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread), losing three times by 18+ points; Gamecocks lost their last four home games, by 9-15-19-4 points. Ole Miss is 2-5 vs spread as SEC favorite, 2-4 SU on SEC road, winning by 27 at LSU, 9 at Arkansas. Underdogs are 9-6-2 vs spread in SEC games where spread is 2 or less points.

Northern Iowa lost four of last five games; they're 0-4 vs spread in last four home games; Panthers (-3.5) got hammered 70-45 at Indiana State Jan 7, trailing 18-2 at one point, 38-15 at half. MVC home favorites of more than 5 points are 11-19-1 vs spread. Sycamores covered six of last seven road games- they're 6-3 vs spread as an MVC underdog.

Illinois State (+3.5) won 79-78 in OT at Bradley Jan 26, game they once trailed 23-8; Redbirds lost their last six games, covering one of last five-- they're 1-3 as an MVC favorite. Bradley is 4-2 in last six games after an 11-game losing streak- they're 4-4 as an MVC road dog. Faves are 12-8 vs spread in MVC games where spread is 3 or less points, 6-3 at home.

Iowa State lost its last nine games (2-7 vs spread); Cyclones are 1-4 vs spread in last five road games, losing away games by 1-9ot-33-26-23-5 points- three of their last four losses were by 6 or less points. Texas is 3-3 as Big 12 home favorite, winning home games by 20-21-13-16-9-18 points. SEC home favorites of more than 13 points are 6-4 vs spread.

Vanderbilt won its last five games (4-1 vs spread); they're 1-4 as home favorite in SEC games, winning at home by 7-10-18-4-4 points, losing to Arkansas. Commodores (+1.5) lost 67-64 in Knoxville Jan 15, turning ball over 21 times in game they led by 10 at half. SEC home favorites of more than 4 points are 15-19. Tennessee lost four of last five games.

Minnesota (+7) lost 71-62 at Michigan State Dec 31, game Gophers led by 6 at half- they've lost nine of last 10 games vs Spartans. Both teams are struggling; Gophers lost five of last six games, losing last two home games by 13-9 points. Big 11 home favorites of 5 or less points are 14-6-1 vs spread. Michigan State lost its last six road games.

Louisville lost five of last six road games, with only win in double OT at UConn; Cardinals are 5-4 as Big East favorite, 1-1 on road. Rutgers lost six of last seven games but covered seven of last nine, including its last five games as an underdog. Big East home underdogs of 5 or less points are 7-4-1. Rutgers is 3-4 at home in Big East, losing by 8-9-3-5 points.

Memphis lost to Rice for first time Saturday, snapping 4-game winning streak; Tigers are 8-4 in C-USA, but have only two wins by more than six points (by 16 over Marshall, 16 over UCF). Houston lost four of its last five games; they're 4-2 as C-USA road dog, losing away games by 12-8ot-4-5ot-12. Double digit home favorites are 2-10-1 in C-USA.

Utah (+4.5) won 75-62 at TCU Jan 22; Frogs were 3-13 from arc, 5-12 on foul line. Utes are just 2-4 at home in MWC, 1-1 as a home favorite. TCU lost its last ten games; they're 2-4 as MWC road dog, losing away games by 34-10-16-25-7-10 points. MWC home favorites of 8 or less points are 9-5 vs spread. Lord help TCU when they go to the Big East.

Weber State won/covered its last six Big Sky games, though they lost at San Jose by 16 in Bracket Buster game; Wildcats (-11.5) won 71-67 in first meeting vs Idaho State Jan 15. Big Sky home underdogs of less than 8 points are 10-5 vs spread. Bengals won three of their last four games, are 3-3 at home in Big Sky, with home losses by 7-10-19 points.
 
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Tuesday, February 22

Hot Teams
-- Phoenix won its last seven games, allowing 11 goals. Flyers won six of their last eight games.
-- Blue Jackets won six of their last eight games.
-- Iislanders won six of their last seven games.
-- Edmonton won its last three games, outscoring foes 13-5.
-- Red Wings won their last five games, allowing nine goals. Sharks won last three games and eight of last eleven.
-- Devils won their last seven games, allowing eight goals.
-- Calgary won its last three games by combined score of 17-3. Bruins won six of their last eight road games.
-- Canucks won nine of their last twelve games.
-- St Louis won three of its last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Predators lost three of their last four road games.
-- Carolina lost seven of its last ten games. Rangers lost eight of last ten.
-- Toronto is 5-7 in its last twelve games.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games.
-- Dallas lost four in row, eight of last nine games.
-- Canadiens lost six of their last seven games.
-- Avalanche lost their last ten games, outscored 21-6 in last four.

Totals
-- Three of last four Philly games went over the total.
-- Under is 9-1-2 in last dozen Nashville games.
-- Under is 6-2-2 in last ten Carolina games.
-- Eight of last nine Islander games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Detroit games went over the total.
-- Five of last seven Edmonton games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Dallas home games stayed under total.
-- Last six Boston games went over the total.
-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Montreal games.
-- Under is 6-2 in Colorado's last eight games.

Back-to-Back
-- Islanders are 2-8 on road if they played the night before.
-- St Louis is 8-4 if it played the night before.

Series records
-- Flyers lost three of last four games against Phoenix.
-- Predators won eight of last ten games against Columbus.
-- Rangers lost four of last five games against Carolina.
-- Islanders won three of last four games against Toronto.
-- Sharks won six of last eight games against Detroit.
-- Oilers lost six of their last eight games against Minnesota.
-- Devils lost three of last four games against Dallas.
-- Flames lost 5-0 in Boston when teams met LY.
-- Home side won both Montreal-Vancouver games LY.
-- Avalanche won their last six games against St Louis.

 
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Tuesday, February 22

Hot Teams
-- Indiana is 7-3 since coaching change, losing last two games by 7-6ot.
-- Miami won nine of its last ten games.
-- Thunder won five of its last seven games.
-- Memphis won four in row, nine of last 11 games, but Gay is out.
-- Warriors won seven of their last nine games.

Cold Teams
-- Washington lost ten of its last 12 games.
-- Toronto lost 17 of its last 19 games (0-6 vs spread last six on road). Bobcats lost four of their last six home games.
-- Pistons, Rockets both lost three of their last four games.
-- Sacramento lost seven of its last eight games.
-- Milwaukee lost eight of its last ten games. Minnesota lost its last four games (0-4 vs spread) by 11-20-14-8 points.
-- Clippers lost seven of their last nine games; Blake Griffin returns to Oklahoma here (also going to best friend's funeral there).
-- Nuggets lost four of their last six games (1-4-1 vs spread).
-- Celtics are 4-5 in their last nine road games.
-- Lakers lost last three games, including loss to Cavaliers. Atlanta lost three of its last four games.

Totals
-- Six of last seven Indiana road games went over the total.
-- Eight of last nine Toronto road games stayed under total.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Houston games.
-- Over is 8-3 in last eleven Miami home games.
-- Five of last six Milwaukee home games stayed under total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in Thunder's last ten home games.
-- Over is 7-3 in Denver's last ten home games.
-- Six of last seven Golden State road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 11-5 in Lakers' last sixteen home games.

Back-to-Back
-- None
 

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LPW Sports Forecast Comp(116-91 last 207) La Salle +14 over Xavier

JR Odonnell Mississippi -130
 

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OffshoreInsiders Senior Sports Handicapper Matt Rivers has a winner Tuesday on the Atlanta Hawks (+7.5) at the LA Lakers.

Sure I’ll grab around a touchdown with the boys from Hotlanta. The Hawks are good enough to compete with anybody in this league and that includes the Lakers at Staples. I’m really not all that afraid of Kobe and the struggling big bad Lakers. Things have not been great of late, with the three straight losses, and something is just off right now with Phil Jackson’s squad. Los Angeles has played some really questionable games of late and now after all of the hoopla of the All-Star game including Kobe earning another MVP award I can see a little bit of fatigue along with a letdown from the defending champs.

The Hawks aren’t going to win the championship but they are a tough squad that very well may better the 53-win season from a season ago. Joe Johnson and Al Horford were All-Stars and throw in a guy that plays like an All-Star in Josh Smith plus Jamal Crawford and a few others and I 100% expect the visitors to come after the defending champions. Teams get up for big games like this and therefore I can see the Hawks hanging a little extra giddy up in the tank. This is the Lakers in front of all of the celebrities and stars in LA. What more motivation can a team draw? Maybe playing at Madison Square Garden, maybe, but that is about it.

Kobe and the gang have dropped three in a row and that included the shocking upset loss in Cleveland to end the first half. One could say that the break came at a right time for the champs but I’m not so sure and somewhat believe this team may be just a little bit off and, break or no break, will continue to be a little bit off.

Top expert pick on this game: Atlanta from the real Matt Rivers
 

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Today's NBA Picks



Houston at Detroit



The Rockets look to take advantage of a Detroit team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games as a home underdog. Houston is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Rockets favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Houston (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.


TUESDAY, FEBRUARY 22
Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Toronto at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 112.066; Charlotte 116.201
Dunkel Line & Total: Charlotte by 4; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Charlotte by 7; 195 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+7); Under

Game 503-504: Indiana at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 119.145; Washington 114.085
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 214
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 1; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-1); Over

Game 505-506: Houston at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 118.666; Detroit 114.431
Dunkel Line & Total: Houston by 4; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 1 1/2; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-1 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Sacramento at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 115.071; Miami 128.171
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 13; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 13 1/2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+13 1/2);

Game 509-510: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 114.908; Oklahoma City 121.969
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 7; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 9; 208
Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+9)

Game 511-512: Minnesota at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 109.462; Milwaukee 119.845
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 10 1/2; 188
Vegas Line & Total: Milwaukee by 8; 196
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-8); Under

Game 513-514: Memphis at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 118.427; Denver 115.967
Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 2 1/2; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 1; 204
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-1); Under

Game 515-516: Atlanta at LA Lakers (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 118.197; LA Lakers 123.349
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 5; 195
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7 1/2; 189
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7 1/2); Over

Game 517-518: Boston at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 122.146; Golden State 115.741
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 6 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 4 1/2; 198
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-4 1/2); Over
 
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Richie Carrera
of bookie assassin

10 Dimes (NCAA) Houston +11.5 over MEMPHIS
10 Dimes (NBA) Atlanta +7 over LOS ANGELES Lakers
10 Dimes (NHL) Boston -110 over CALGARY
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

N.Y. Islanders +163 over TORONTO

Win, lose or draw, this line is ridiculous and must be played. Yeah, the Leafs are playing better but didn’t they just trade Tomas Kaberle and Kris Verseeg for the future? Toronto will benefit down the road for those moves but surely they’re not a better team on the ice today. The Islanders are red-hot with six wins in seven games and they scored four or more in five of those seven games. They Islanders are also coming off back-to-back wins over Florida and the Kings in which they outscored that pair 8-1. They play their third game in four days and tail end of back-to-backs and that fact certainly has influence on this line. However, winning takes a far less toll, the Islanders are relaxed and having fun and they offer up a tremendous amount of value here. Play: N.Y. Islanders +163 (Risking 2 units).


Boston –104 over CALGARY

The most surprising team over the past month has been Calgary. They’re on a serious roll right now that just keeps going. Every time you expect it to come to an end, it doesn’t. Calgary is 11-1-2 in its last 14 games and moved into a tie for fifth place in the West. The Flames were 14th in the West before starting that run. Over its last three games, Calgary has outscored the opposition 17-3. Despite all that, we’re not buying it. A close look shows that the stars aligned just right for them. They caught every struggling team in the league during their run. The Flames last four wins have come against Montreal, Dallas, Colorado and Ottawa, all struggling teams that have a sickening combined record of 6-47 over the last little while. At or near the beginning of their streak they beat St. Louis, Atlanta and Dallas (again) and those are three more games against laboring squads. Throw in a couple of decent wins over Nashville twice and the Canucks once but it still does not add up to a convincing run. The Flames are going to hit the skids again and chances are it starts here against a Bruins team that has loaded up for a championship. The recent acquisition of Tomas Kaberle, Chris Kelly and Rich Peverley is serious and Peverley, the least known of the trio, might have been the best pick-up of them all. Furthermore, the Flames are coming off that highly emotional Heritage Classic game against the Canadiens in front of a huge crowd with tons of media on hand. A complete letdown is likely and so are the Flames returning to mediocrity because that’s who they are. Play: Boston –104 (Risking 2.08 units to win 2).


Edmonton +168 over MINNESOTA

The Wild have won a lot of games this season because of great goaltending. When you lay big juice with this host you’re taking a huge risk because on most nights they’re being outplayed. That’s not to say they’re a bad team. They find ways to win and they’re in just about every game they play. Despite that, they simply don’t warrant being this big a tag against anyone including Edmonton. The Oilers are dead last in the league but they’re a dangerous team because of an offense that can score goals. They’re also on a 3-0 run that has seem them outscore Dallas, Montreal and Atlanta by a combined 13-4. The Oilers have lost 14 straight at this venue and that’s really an incredible fact and one the Oilers are certainly aware of. This is an opportunity to get that proverbial monkey of their back and with some good energy and another strong effort the Oilers definitely have a chance to do just that. In no way can the Wild be endorsed as a –178 favorite. Play: Edmonton +168 (Risking 2 units).


Colorado +179 over ST. LOUIS

The Av’s are in a horrible funk but this one is all about playing against the Blue Notes. St. Louis will play its fourth game in five nights and tomorrow they’ll play their fifth game in six nights when they host the Oilers. This is a rescheduled game from one that was postponed earlier in the season, as the NHL does not schedule four games in five nights. The Blues are a big price tonight and they’ll be a big price tomorrow. Should they win here we’ll play against them tomorrow too because it’s extremely unlikely that they’ll win both games under these conditions. One also has to figure that the Av’s will be jacked up with Matt Duchene back in the line-up and their new teammates playing at their previous home. The Av’s are well-rested and in a much better scheduling spot than the Blues and it’s for that reason that the Av’s can get off the mattress here. Big overlay. Play: Colorado +179 (Risking 2 units).
 

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Just throwing this out there... Erin Rynning has a 20* NBA Game Of The Month tonight coming off the break with a bang
 
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GC NBA System Play Tuesday

On Tuesday the free NBA System Play is on the LA. Clippers. Game 509 at 8:05 eastern. This game fits a nice system that dates to 1995. What we want to do is play against home favorites of 10 or more with 4 or more days of rest that scored 120 or more as a home favorite in their game prior to the 4+ day break. These teams are 2-9 ats. While this system is solid, the sample is small for a 16 year study and the Clippers are not a good road team. The Clippers are however very good off a dog win covering in 7 of the 9 following games. Ironically they have won the last 3 times they have played here. The Thunder have lost 6 of 9 to the spread vs Pacific Division teams and 4 of 6 to the spread vs losing teams in the second half. If the line on this one were to shoot upwards of 12 points we would then recommend the Clippers on a unit rated basis. On Tuesday the NBA Comes back from the break and were 16 games over .500 on the season. Tonight the lead play is a double system NBA Side backed with an all star break return to action system. I also have 2 solid NCAAB Power Angle Plays up. One with 7 Power Angles good for the NCAAB Game of the week. The Other that applies to a blowout system. Last nights top play cashed with Kent. For the Bonus Play take the LA. Clippers. GC
 

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Seabass comp play on the Bruins 20-9 Bonus Play run . . .any play picks today??
 

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