4-Star Dallas at Orlando OVER 190.5 - Dallas is off a come-from-behind win in Miami last night. They should be in no condition to play tough, in-your-face defense here. We'll take the OVER. Dallas is 7-0 OU (+13.0 ppg) off a win as a dog in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter and 6-0 OU when playing the second of back-to-back road games after winning the first, flying over by an average of 23.2 ppg. They are 1-0 OU in this spot so far this season, going over by 20.5 points. In addition, Dallas is 5-0 OU with no rest after a win in which they made fewer baskets than their opponent, eclipsing the total by an average of 24.7 ppg. MTi's exclusive player-based trends reveal that the Mavs are 9-0 OU (+18.1 ppg) with no rest after a road win in which Dirk Nowitzki was the Mavericks' high scorer and 8-0 OU (+24.3 ppg) on the road with no rest after a win in which Jason Kidd took fewer than 10 shots. The Magic are struggling and they just had a big personnel change. They are not a defensive team and we expect them to attempt to capitalize on the fact that the Mavs are off a big win last night by running the floor. With the Magic 4-0 OU (+15.1 ppg) with no rest after a loss in which Dwight Howard had at least 5 turnovers, we'll take the OVER. MTi's FORECAST: ORLANDO 103 Dallas 101
