Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Sacramento/Portland Under 199
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "under":
Sacramento makes its first visit to Portland since a 109-77 loss Dec. 16th. The Kings are far from the team they were a year ago though; it took the Kings 40 games to notch their 10th victory last season, and coach Paul Westphal is trusting his young players more.
And a big part of Sacramento's recent turnaround has been its play on the defensive end.
Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of Sacramento's last five vs. Portland.
On the other side of the court: Back home following a disappointing eastern trip, the Trail Blazers look to snap a two-game slide with their fourth straight victory over the Kings.
Assistant Dean Demopoulos served as Portland’s head coach during a 1-3 trip that ended with Saturday’s 108-101 double-overtime loss to Milwaukee. LaMarcus Aldridge scored a season-high 31 points, including six straight in the first overtime, but Portland (14-11) was unable to close out the Bucks; with so many injured, I look for Portland to concentrate on its defense to create its offensive this evening.
The total has gone "under" the posted number in nine of Portland's last 13 at home.
Bottom line: When taking into account the Trailblazers injury problems, and the improved play on the defensive end by the Kings of late, and the rest of these strong O/U trends and facts, the sharp money in this matchup is on the UNDER!
9* UNDER.
Sacramento/Portland Under 199
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "under":
Sacramento makes its first visit to Portland since a 109-77 loss Dec. 16th. The Kings are far from the team they were a year ago though; it took the Kings 40 games to notch their 10th victory last season, and coach Paul Westphal is trusting his young players more.
And a big part of Sacramento's recent turnaround has been its play on the defensive end.
Keep in mind that the total has gone "under" the posted number in four of Sacramento's last five vs. Portland.
On the other side of the court: Back home following a disappointing eastern trip, the Trail Blazers look to snap a two-game slide with their fourth straight victory over the Kings.
Assistant Dean Demopoulos served as Portland’s head coach during a 1-3 trip that ended with Saturday’s 108-101 double-overtime loss to Milwaukee. LaMarcus Aldridge scored a season-high 31 points, including six straight in the first overtime, but Portland (14-11) was unable to close out the Bucks; with so many injured, I look for Portland to concentrate on its defense to create its offensive this evening.
The total has gone "under" the posted number in nine of Portland's last 13 at home.
Bottom line: When taking into account the Trailblazers injury problems, and the improved play on the defensive end by the Kings of late, and the rest of these strong O/U trends and facts, the sharp money in this matchup is on the UNDER!
9* UNDER.
Lenny Del Genio
Portland -7
The Sacramento Kings continued their series of frenetic results since leading scorer Kevin Martin went down in early November with a 120-100 win Saturday night at home vs. Minnesota. After the Martin injury, the team would go on to win four straight, then lose four straight, then win four straight, then lose four straight again. To some, Saturday night's win might signal the start of a third positive four-game stretch, but not us. Even without C Greg Oden (out for the year), the Blazers have a tremendous edge over Sacramento on the front line. They lead the league in rebounding and are a staunch defensive club, allowing just 91.7 PPG at home. They give up three points less per game than any other team in the Western Conference. Portland plays very well in the Rose Garden with six of their first eight home victories coming by nine or more points. This will be their first home game following a four-game East Coast swing and just one of two home dates in a 10-game span. Expect a focused effort as they are due for a cover with just four ATS wins over their last 14 games. Sacramento is just 5-15 ATS on the road off BB ATS wins and allows over 107 PPG away from home. Their last visit here resulted in a 32-point loss.
Portland is our 20* Western Conference Game of the Month.
Portland -7
The Sacramento Kings continued their series of frenetic results since leading scorer Kevin Martin went down in early November with a 120-100 win Saturday night at home vs. Minnesota. After the Martin injury, the team would go on to win four straight, then lose four straight, then win four straight, then lose four straight again. To some, Saturday night's win might signal the start of a third positive four-game stretch, but not us. Even without C Greg Oden (out for the year), the Blazers have a tremendous edge over Sacramento on the front line. They lead the league in rebounding and are a staunch defensive club, allowing just 91.7 PPG at home. They give up three points less per game than any other team in the Western Conference. Portland plays very well in the Rose Garden with six of their first eight home victories coming by nine or more points. This will be their first home game following a four-game East Coast swing and just one of two home dates in a 10-game span. Expect a focused effort as they are due for a cover with just four ATS wins over their last 14 games. Sacramento is just 5-15 ATS on the road off BB ATS wins and allows over 107 PPG away from home. Their last visit here resulted in a 32-point loss.
Portland is our 20* Western Conference Game of the Month.
Wunderdog Premium NHL
Game: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 6 -120 (risk 3 to win 2.5)
The defending Stanley Cup Champions have it going at home thanks to goaltending and defense that has allowed just 39 goals in 17 games, or just better than two per contest. This will be the first of back-to-back games vs. the Flyers. The Flyers have really struggled putting the puck in the net over their last 10 games. Aside from a six-goal outburst against the Islanders, the other nine show just 11 goals. Even including the big game, they are scoring just 1.7 per night over their last 10 games. Without that game, they are scoring barely one per game. The Flyers have played UNDER the total to a 34-15-4 mark in their last 53 on the road. When coming off a good defensive showing where the Penguins allowed two goals or less, they have played 41-19-1 in their next game to the UNDER. The last four played in Pittsburgh have all gone UNDER, so I like the UNDER in this one.
Game: Washington at Colorado (9:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington -150 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2)
The Washington Capitals are a very good hockey team that is playing hot right now. They have tasted defeat just twice in their last nine games. The Avalanche started out hot, but have faded with just six regulation wins in their last 18 games, and have followed a win with five losses in their last seven. The Washington Capitals have never been intimidated coming to Colorado, and have a good track record against the Avalanche as they are 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings. I'll go with Washington in this one.
Game: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 6 -120 (risk 3 to win 2.5)
The defending Stanley Cup Champions have it going at home thanks to goaltending and defense that has allowed just 39 goals in 17 games, or just better than two per contest. This will be the first of back-to-back games vs. the Flyers. The Flyers have really struggled putting the puck in the net over their last 10 games. Aside from a six-goal outburst against the Islanders, the other nine show just 11 goals. Even including the big game, they are scoring just 1.7 per night over their last 10 games. Without that game, they are scoring barely one per game. The Flyers have played UNDER the total to a 34-15-4 mark in their last 53 on the road. When coming off a good defensive showing where the Penguins allowed two goals or less, they have played 41-19-1 in their next game to the UNDER. The last four played in Pittsburgh have all gone UNDER, so I like the UNDER in this one.
Game: Washington at Colorado (9:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington -150 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2)
The Washington Capitals are a very good hockey team that is playing hot right now. They have tasted defeat just twice in their last nine games. The Avalanche started out hot, but have faded with just six regulation wins in their last 18 games, and have followed a win with five losses in their last seven. The Washington Capitals have never been intimidated coming to Colorado, and have a good track record against the Avalanche as they are 5-2-1 in the last eight meetings. I'll go with Washington in this one.
Wunderdog
Game: New Mexico State at U C L A (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New Mexico State +8 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
What a difference a year makes. UCLA has been in the thick of the national title hunt the past several years, but now the cupboard is truly empty. The Bruins have lost to Long Beach State by 11 and Portland by 27 points, and suffered a loss to UC Fullerton at home - not a good team amongst them. This isn't just a bad team by UCLA standards it is a bad team period. The shooting has been abysmal and they have no one that can shoot free throws, or drain a three-point shot. New Mexico is off a road game at UTEP, and pinned the first loss of the season on the Miners, so they certainly have enough to stay in this one. I'll go with New Mexico State.
Game: New Mexico State at U C L A (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on New Mexico State +8 (-110) (risk 3 to win 2.7)
What a difference a year makes. UCLA has been in the thick of the national title hunt the past several years, but now the cupboard is truly empty. The Bruins have lost to Long Beach State by 11 and Portland by 27 points, and suffered a loss to UC Fullerton at home - not a good team amongst them. This isn't just a bad team by UCLA standards it is a bad team period. The shooting has been abysmal and they have no one that can shoot free throws, or drain a three-point shot. New Mexico is off a road game at UTEP, and pinned the first loss of the season on the Miners, so they certainly have enough to stay in this one. I'll go with New Mexico State.
Wunderdog
Game: New York Knicks at Charlotte (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 198.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Charlotte Bobcats are an improved team and have played tough at home all season, where they are 8-3. One of the reasons is that this is a team not afraid to play defense and is never in a hurry on the offensive end. They are allowing just 91.5 points per game, and favored here, so the Knicks will have to score to push this one over the total. This one looks about right based on the 102-100 game they played here early in the season, but what goes unnoticed is that the game went to OT and was tied at 82 in regulation, just 164 points scored. The Knicks are 17-8 to the UNDER after a game in which they scored 100 or more. I like this one to go UNDER the total.
Game: San Antonio at Phoenix (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Antonio +130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)
The Phoenix Suns have run the table at home at 8-0, but they really haven't had too many challenges as seven of the eight teams that they have faced at home are terrible road teams. The seven teams combine for a winning percentage on the road of .216! The overall record of these teams is 19-69 on the road. They have had one challenge, beating Orlando by three, but overall this team is a lot more vulnerable than they look. San Antonio is a good team with veteran players that are more than capable of winning on the road. The Spurs are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 in Phoenix and have what it takes to win this game. I'll play the Spurs on the moneyline in this one.
Game: New York Knicks at Charlotte (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Game Total UNDER 198.5 -110 (risk 3 to win 2.7)
The Charlotte Bobcats are an improved team and have played tough at home all season, where they are 8-3. One of the reasons is that this is a team not afraid to play defense and is never in a hurry on the offensive end. They are allowing just 91.5 points per game, and favored here, so the Knicks will have to score to push this one over the total. This one looks about right based on the 102-100 game they played here early in the season, but what goes unnoticed is that the game went to OT and was tied at 82 in regulation, just 164 points scored. The Knicks are 17-8 to the UNDER after a game in which they scored 100 or more. I like this one to go UNDER the total.
Game: San Antonio at Phoenix (9:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on San Antonio +130 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.9)
The Phoenix Suns have run the table at home at 8-0, but they really haven't had too many challenges as seven of the eight teams that they have faced at home are terrible road teams. The seven teams combine for a winning percentage on the road of .216! The overall record of these teams is 19-69 on the road. They have had one challenge, beating Orlando by three, but overall this team is a lot more vulnerable than they look. San Antonio is a good team with veteran players that are more than capable of winning on the road. The Spurs are 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 in Phoenix and have what it takes to win this game. I'll play the Spurs on the moneyline in this one.
Mr East
NCAAB TUESDAY PICTURE PERFECT 17-0 ATS
WYOMING COWBOYS @ TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS
3 UNITS: TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS -22
The Tennessee Vols have a very potent offense, and really like to get up and down the floor. The last 3 games have seen this team red-hot, as they have shot 86-168 for 51.2%. The Cowboys depend on getting to the line for points, and Tennessee gets to the line more than their opponets by far, so those points won't be there. This game fits into a 17-0 ATS system that plays on hot shooting teams, vs teams that are getting to the line a lot, and plays on Tennessee here. I'm making the Vols a mid-level 5 unit play here.
NCAAB TUESDAY PICTURE PERFECT 17-0 ATS
WYOMING COWBOYS @ TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS
3 UNITS: TENNESSEE VOLUNTEERS -22
The Tennessee Vols have a very potent offense, and really like to get up and down the floor. The last 3 games have seen this team red-hot, as they have shot 86-168 for 51.2%. The Cowboys depend on getting to the line for points, and Tennessee gets to the line more than their opponets by far, so those points won't be there. This game fits into a 17-0 ATS system that plays on hot shooting teams, vs teams that are getting to the line a lot, and plays on Tennessee here. I'm making the Vols a mid-level 5 unit play here.
vegas-runner | CBB Total Tue, 12/15/09 - 7:30 PM <SUP> </SUP>
<DT> double-dime bet 725 Rider / 726 Rutgers Over 136.0 SportBet <DD>Analysis: �** NCAABB 2* PERSONAL PLAY OF THE DAY **
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<DT> double-dime bet 725 Rider / 726 Rutgers Over 136.0 SportBet <DD>Analysis: �** NCAABB 2* PERSONAL PLAY OF THE DAY **
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