Tuesday NCAAB Play- GC
Tuesday 6* NBA Highest Rated First half Side backed with 32-3 System + 93% Secondary system + 15-2 NBA Totals system. Monday Cashes with Baltimore. NBA 30-14 on the year. Free NCAAB play below
On Tuesday the Free NCAAB play is on Illinois Chicago. Game 717 at 8:00 eastern. Illinois Chicago has better numbers here in this one tonight in their game vs Northern Illinois. They are 16-3 vs teams who allow 77 or more points per game the past few seasons and 15-8 vs losing teams. Northern Illinois has lost 3 of the last 4 when coming in with 7 or more days rest. When they allowed 80 or more in their last game they are 3-13. When they scored 80 or more in their last game they are 5-10. Illinois Chicago has won 3 of the last 4 games in the series and is a live dog here tonight getting 2-3 points. On Tuesday I have a 6 unit highest rated First half play this season. This game is backed with 2 Huge systems one of which is 32-3, the other hits at 93%. I also have a 15-2 totals system on the card. We cashed our only Play last night with Baltimore. NBA stands at 30-14 on the year. For the Bonus Play take Illinois Chicago plus the points. GC
Tuesday 6* NBA Highest Rated First half Side backed with 32-3 System + 93% Secondary system + 15-2 NBA Totals system. Monday Cashes with Baltimore. NBA 30-14 on the year. Free NCAAB play below
On Tuesday the Free NCAAB play is on Illinois Chicago. Game 717 at 8:00 eastern. Illinois Chicago has better numbers here in this one tonight in their game vs Northern Illinois. They are 16-3 vs teams who allow 77 or more points per game the past few seasons and 15-8 vs losing teams. Northern Illinois has lost 3 of the last 4 when coming in with 7 or more days rest. When they allowed 80 or more in their last game they are 3-13. When they scored 80 or more in their last game they are 5-10. Illinois Chicago has won 3 of the last 4 games in the series and is a live dog here tonight getting 2-3 points. On Tuesday I have a 6 unit highest rated First half play this season. This game is backed with 2 Huge systems one of which is 32-3, the other hits at 93%. I also have a 15-2 totals system on the card. We cashed our only Play last night with Baltimore. NBA stands at 30-14 on the year. For the Bonus Play take Illinois Chicago plus the points. GC
Stat Man !!!
***** TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- 76ers won three of last four games; they covered last eight games.
-- Raptors covered six of last seven games as a road underdog.
-- Hawks won eight of their last ten games.
-- Rockets won/covered their last five home games.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Nets lost their last seven games (2-5 vs spread).
-- Bobcats lost five of their last seven games.
-- Lakers failed to cover their last six tries as a road favorite. Wizards lost eight of last nine games, but they're 5-1 as a home dog.
-- Pistons lost eight of last nine games (0-4 vs spread last four).
-- Kings are 0-4-1 vs spread in last five games as road underdog.
-- Orlando lost four of its last five games. Nuggets lost three of last four games, covered one of last six.
-- Warriors lost their last seven games (2-5 vs spread). Minnesota lost nine of last 11 games, covered one of last five as a road underdog.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Warriors are 2-3 vs spread if they played the night before. Teams are 1-3 vs spread the night after playing Utah.
• TOTALS
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-- Four of last five Philly road games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Charlotte home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1 in Lakers' last eight road games.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Last five Sacramento road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-4 in Orlando road games this season.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Golden State home games.
• QUICK HITS
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--PHILADELPHIA @ NEW JERSEY, 7:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 15-7 ATS in all games. NEW JERSEY: 3-13 ATS after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse.
--TORONTO @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET TORONTO: 12-27 ATS after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points. CHARLOTTE: 8-0 ATS after 3+ unders.
--LA LAKERS @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 1-6 ATS after BB unders. WASHINGTON: 6-1 UNDER as a home underdog.
--ATLANTA @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET ATLANTA: 34-18 OVER off an Under. DETROIT: 6-18 ATS when playing 8+ games in 14 days.
--SACRAMENTO @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 1-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. HOUSTON: 6-1 OVER as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 pts.
--ORLANDO @ DENVER, 9:00 PM ET NBA ORLANDO: 30-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. DENVER: 7-20 ATS when the line is +3 to -3.
--MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET MINNESOTA: 19-9 OVER Away after allowing 105+ points. GOLDEN STATE: 18-5 ATS off a road loss by 10+ points.
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• NOTES & TIPS
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--After a 3-8 start that seemed to imperil the decision to pair Amar'e Stoudemire with Raymond Felton and hope for Steve Nash-like results, the Knicks are among the hottest teams in the league at the quarter pole. They've won eight in a row and 13 of 14, and while they've played some feeble defensive teams during that stretch, their ten road wins are the most in the league -- impressive regardless of the competition. After striking out on LeBron James and Dwyane Wade during free agency, the Knicks (16-9) are off to their best start since the 1994-95 season, when Pat Riley was the coach.
--The Carmelo Anthony saga has taken another turn. After the Nuggets dropped a 129-125 decision to the New York Knicks, the three-time All Star reportedly told ESPN that he would only sign a three-year $65-million contract extension if he is traded to the Knicks.
--Word has it that Los Angeles Clippers owner Donald Sterling has been chirping Baron Davis from his courtside seats. An unnamed source says Sterling has been heard saying “Why are you in the game?” and “You’re out of shape!” Davis declined comment about the situation, but says that he is trying to hard and can’t seem to get into the flow of the game.
--The Lakers get a big piece of their championship puzzle back Tuesday – a 7-foot, 285-pound piece. Center Andrew Bynum is expected to make his season debut against the Wizards Tuesday after sitting out the first quarter of the schedule while recovering from knee surgery. Bynum practiced Monday, which is a big indication that the five-year veteran is ready to play. Bynum’s return plugs a huge hole in Los Angeles’ frontcourt. Forwards Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom have been manning the paint in the past few weeks due to Bynum’s absence and injuries to reserves Theo Ratliff and Derrick Caracter.
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*** PHILADELPHIA (-1.5, O/U 189) @ NEW JERSEY ***
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Over the past two weeks, the Philadelphia 76ers have steadily climbed from last place in the Eastern Conference into the playoff mix. Their turnaround began with a win over the New Jersey Nets, the East's current last-place team. The 76ers look to win for the sixth time in eight games Tuesday night when they visit the Nets, losers of seven in a row. Philadelphia entered its home contest against New Jersey on Nov. 27 having won just three of its first 16 games.
The first meeting was tied through three quarters before the 76ers pulled away late to win 102-86, their fifth straight victory in the series. Philadelphia hasn't won six straight over the Nets since March 23, 1979-March 21, 1980. Jrue Holiday led the way with 20 points and 13 assists, while Andre Iguodala added 16 points for the Sixers, who won for the second time in 10 games. Philadelphia has won four of six since, however, to move into 10th place in the East, not far behind eighth-place Milwaukee.
"We just trying to find a good rhythm," Iguodala said after Sunday's 88-70 victory over New Orleans. "The guys are starting to believe in themselves. As long as we continue to play the right style of basketball, we'll have success." Philadelphia's defense has keyed the team's surge, allowing an average of 88.3 points in the last seven games after yielding 101.8 points in the first 16. This improved defense has led to convincing victories, with the Sixers winning their last five by an average of 16.2 points.
Philadelphia completely frustrated the Hornets on Sunday, limiting them to 23 first-half points, and the fewest total points scored by an opponent since holding Milwaukee to 69 on Jan. 30, 2008. "Our defense has been terrific,'' Sixers coach Doug Collins said. Philadelphia's defense could pose problems for New Jersey, which is averaging 88.2 points in its last five games.
The Nets bounced back from their loss in Philadelphia two weeks ago to beat Portland the following night, but have lost seven straight since. New Jersey played well against the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday and had a chance to win, but after tying the game at 85 with 4:54 to play, the team missed 14 of its last 17 shots and ended up losing 99-92. "They executed and we didn't," Nets guard Devin Harris said. "We missed a ton of shots at the rim, shots we normally make just didn't go down for us."
Harris finished with 16 points and 10 assists despite leaving in the first quarter of Thursday's loss to Dallas with a shoulder injury. He had 19 points against the 76ers last month. Brook Lopez led the Nets with 25 points in that game, and also finished with 25 points against the Lakers. The 7-foot center has scored at least 24 points in each of his last three games after combining for 18 points in his previous two.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Philadelphia by 1; O/U 187.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Philadelphia -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -1.89
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 45-60 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.6, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 12-25 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.5, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 42-21 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.3, OPPONENT 94.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 27-10 UNDER (+15.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 89.1, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 60-39 UNDER (+17.1 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home underdog since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.2, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 61-39 against the 1rst half line (+18.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.7, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 30-54 against the 1rst half line (-29.4 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.8, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 30-47 against the 1rst half line (-21.7 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 50.4, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 86-52 UNDER (+28.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 45.4, OPPONENT 48.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 47-26 UNDER (+18.1 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.4, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 52-31 UNDER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 46.7, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
(28-6 since 1996.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93
The average first half score in these games was: Team 43.8, Opponent 42.5 (Total first half points scored = 86.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team (NEW JERSEY) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as a home underdog.
(36-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.5%, +21.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 199.5
The average score in these games was: Team 97.1, Opponent 97.3 (Total points scored = 194.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (58% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (86-51).
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*** TORONTO @ CHARLOTTE (-5, O/U 202.5) ***
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Coming off the largest comeback in franchise history, the Toronto Raptors are hoping better defensive pressure will help them avoid a similar deficit. A matchup with the low-scoring Charlotte Bobcats should alleviate that concern. Toronto looks to win two straight on the road for the first time this season on Tuesday night when the host Bobcats try to rebound from an effort that sent owner Michael Jordan into a postgame tirade.
Down by 25 points in the third quarter and 16 entering the fourth, the Raptors ended a four-game losing streak Saturday with a 120-116 road win over Detroit. Toronto's largest comeback prior to that was a 104-89 victory at the Los Angeles Clippers on Nov. 13, 2009, when it overcame a 22-point deficit. "I've never been in a game where we were shooting 60 percent and we were down 20 points," said Coach Jay Triano, whose team trailed by 19 at halftime despite shooting 65 percent.
"We knew we weren't having any problems scoring, but we had to take care of the ball and we had to box out. We did that a lot better in the second half." While 14 first-half turnovers led to 29 of the Pistons' 72 points, Toronto's poor defense has been a lingering concern. The Raptors have given up an average of 118.4 points and allowed opponents to shoot 52.2 percent the last five games. "We've just got to out there with the mindset to play defense," Jerryd Bayless, who scored a career high-tying 31 on Saturday, said following Monday's practice.
"I know we know we can score, and defensively is where we're struggling." Bayless will likely start a third straight game for point guard Jose Calderon, who is hoping to return from a left foot injury in time for the start of a four-game homestand Wednesday against Chicago. While the Raptors look to shore up their defense, the Bobcats are desperately trying to find ways to boost their sagging offense. Charlotte shot a season-worst 33.8 percent and committed 22 turnovers in Saturday's 93-62 home loss to Boston.
After watching his team lose for the seventh time in 10 games and score the second-fewest points in franchise history, Jordan addressed his listless club in the locker room instead of coach Larry Brown. "With all due respect to Michael, it's not embarrassing to him. It's embarrassing to us and our families," Gerald Wallace said after missing 13 of 15 shots and scoring nine points. Although Charlotte is struggling and ranked among the league's worst with 93.6 points per game, Triano knows Wallace and leading scorer Stephen Jackson will provide a test for youngsters DeMar DeRozan and Sonny Weems.
"Gerald gets to the free throw line, he runs the floor. Stephen's going to shoot 3s, he's going to play a mid-range game," Triano said. "They're kind of like who Sonny and DeMar can evolve to be as players." Wallace scored 19 points with a season high-tying 14 rebounds, while Jackson scored 10 of his 20 points in the fourth quarter and had a steal with five seconds left that sealed a 101-96 victory in Toronto on Nov. 10. DeRozan scored just four in the loss but Weems had 20 in the last game he's come off the bench.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 3; O/U 197.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -2.40
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 58-37 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 96.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 12-27 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.8, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 27-9 OVER (+17.1 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.2, OPPONENT 110.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 30-13 OVER (+15.7 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.5, OPPONENT 109.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 49-26 against the 1rst half line (+20.4 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.7, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 76-51 against the 1rst half line (+19.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.4, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 17-33 against the 1rst half line (-19.3 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 50.7, OPPONENT 55.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 38-16 UNDER (+20.4 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.2, OPPONENT 45.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 34-14 UNDER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.1, OPPONENT 44.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
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--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (TORONTO) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(31-8 since 1996.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 48.3 (Total first half points scored = 96.3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
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*** LA LAKERS (-10.5, O/U 204) @ WASHINGTON ***
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Los Angeles spent its day off in Washington with President Obama, who congratulated the Lakers on winning last season's title. Kobe Bryant and his teammates know they have a lot of work to do to win another championship and schedule another day with the President. Coming off a sluggish performance over one of the league's worst teams, the Lakers look for a crisper effort Tuesday night against the Wizards, another bottom feeder they had some trouble against last week.
Los Angeles has won four of five following a four-game losing streak, but its last three victories weren't particularly inspiring. This stretch started with last Tuesday's 115-108 win over Washington. The Lakers led by just four points with 1:20 left before pulling away to win their eighth straight in the series. Bryant scored nine of his 32 points in the final 5:23 of the game, while Lamar Odom added 24 points.
A night after its close call against the Wizards, Los Angeles defeated the lowly Clippers 87-86 on Derek Fisher's layup at the buzzer. The Lakers then traveled to Chicago on Friday, finishing with a season low in points in an 88-84 loss, and then to New Jersey, where it hung on to win 99-92 on Sunday after falling behind by a point with 5:36 to play. "We have to muster up the energy and muster up the motivation to play every night," said Bryant, who scored 14 of his 32 points in the fourth quarter against the Nets. "I'm (annoyed) about it. We're not doing a good job of doing it."
The two-time defending champs have now faced fourth-quarter deficits in seven of their last nine games after trailing in the final period in just four of their first 15. "We can't be great every single night," said Odom, who finished with 22 points and seven rebounds Sunday. "But it's just the way we've been going for us for the last 10 to 15 games. We get a lead, give it away and have to fight back. We're not playing to our potential. Not taking anything away from the Nets, but we're just not playing well right now. It's a little disappointing."
The Wizards' play has also been disappointing, but unlike the Lakers, they haven't been finding ways to win. Washington which fell to New York 101-95 on Friday, has lost four straight and eight of nine. Coach Flip Saunders believes his team must pick up its intensity to have any chance of competing. "We came back in L.A. because we played hard," Saunders said after Monday's practice. "We're at a point right now because our talent level is not up to the team's we're playing at is that we're just going to have to play harder than people."
Saunders also said John Wall's status for this game is questionable with knee soreness. Wall, who sat out Wednesday's 116-91 loss to Sacramento with a sore foot, struggled to find his shot against the Knicks, finishing with eight points on 4 of 14 shooting. He has missed seven of Washington's first 22 games with foot and knee injuries, but had 22 points and a career-best 14 assists against the Lakers last week. Nick Young also played well at Staples Center, finishing with a season-best 30 points on 10 of 18 shooting, and could be poised for another big game. In six career games against the Lakers, the former USC guard is averaging 18.3 points, his most against any opponent and 8.9 points better than his career average.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 7; O/U 201.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -8
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -9.78
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--LA LAKERS are 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 100.6, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 56-71 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 102.5, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.4, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 51-30 UNDER (+18.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.3, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 27-9 UNDER (+17.0 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 93.6, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 67-40 UNDER (+23.0 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 103.1, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 87-59 UNDER (+22.1 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 97.9, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 43-58 against the 1rst half line (-20.8 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.2, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 46.1, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 58-31 UNDER (+23.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.5, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 59-33 UNDER (+22.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 46.5, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 10 or more points (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss against opponent off a road win.
(23-5 since 1996.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (5-24)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 11.3
The average score in these games was: Team 95.8, Opponent 101.5 (Average point differential = -5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 11 (40.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (LA LAKERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games.
(31-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 205.4
The average score in these games was: Team 101.4, Opponent 93.6 (Total points scored = 195)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (43-20).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (WASHINGTON) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(58-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +33.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.7, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 101.9)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-48).
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*** ATLANTA (-5, O/U 187) @ DETROIT ***
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Having thrived against losing clubs and on the road this season, the Atlanta Hawks would seem to have a good chance of continuing their recent surge as they visit the struggling Detroit Pistons. The Hawks, though, haven't earned many victories at The Palace of Auburn Hills recently, as they'll be trying to win there for only the second time in 11 games Tuesday night. The Hawks are 11-3 versus teams with losing records, though they've also beaten a couple of clubs that were above .500 during their current 8-2 run, which has followed a 2-7 stretch.
At 8-4, the Hawks are off to their best start away from home since moving to Atlanta in 1968. They are also 5-2 without leading scorer Joe Johnson, who is not expected to return from elbow surgery until next month. Forward Josh Smith overcame a cramping hamstring to help Atlanta beat Indiana 97-83 on Saturday night. Smith, who left in the fourth quarter of a loss to San Antonio the previous night, scored 21 points and added seven rebounds and four assists.
"He came up with huge plays then defensively did a great job," Coach Larry Drew said. "When he's playing like that and flying around, it makes us a much more effective team." Jamal Crawford paced the Hawks with 25 points as he topped the 20 mark for the third straight game. Center Al Horford added 16 points, 16 rebounds and a career-high eight assists. Crawford sat out the first matchup of the season with the Pistons on Nov. 3 due to turf toe. Smith had 22 points and 11 boards to help make up for his absence during a 94-85 home victory, which dropped Detroit to 0-5.
Things haven't gotten much better for the Pistons, as they've lost 12 of 15 and are on the verge of matching that season-high skid. Their fourth consecutive defeat Saturday against Toronto was particularly disheartening. Detroit scored 43 points in the second quarter and led 99-83 going into the fourth after going up by 25 in the third period. The Pistons, though, were outscored 37-17 in the final 12 minutes of a 120-116 home loss. "We just self-destructed. I don't know how else to explain this," forward Tayshaun Prince said. "I don't know what the carry-over from a game like this might be. I've never been a part of a game like this before."
A home matchup with Atlanta might provide the right opportunity for Prince's team to bounce back. Although the Pistons have dropped six of eight overall matchups, they have gone 26-4 in their last 30 home games against with the Hawks. Despite finishing 27-55 last season, Detroit won both meetings at The Palace, limiting Atlanta to 88 points each time. The Hawks have averaged 88.1 points during their 1-9 road stretch in the series. Ben Gordon scored 22 points in the last meeting at The Palace on April 7, a 90-88 Pistons win, and matched that total Nov. 3. The guard, though, has totaled 13 points and taken 11 shots combined in Detroit's last two games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 5.5; O/U 192
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -6.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -6.27
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DETROIT is 49-70 ATS (-28.0 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.1, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 42-62 ATS (-26.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 92.8, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--DETROIT is 92-60 UNDER (+27.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 94.3, OPPONENT 89.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 58-34 UNDER (+20.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 94.4, OPPONENT 94.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DETROIT is 45-21 against the 1rst half line (+22.7 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 48.8, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
The average score was DETROIT 53.6, OPPONENT 44.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--ATLANTA is 21-36 against the 1rst half line (-18.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.6, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 72-43 UNDER (+24.7 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 110 points or more since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 47.3, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 92-60 UNDER (+26.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.2, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 72-43 UNDER (+24.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.4, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (DETROIT) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
(23-3 since 1996.) (88.5%, +19.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.6, Opponent 41.6 (Total first half points scored = 86.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (DETROIT) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(44-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +27.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 50.4 (Average first half point differential = -1)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (76-46).
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*** SACRAMENTO @ HOUSTON (9.5, O/U 203) ***
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The Sacramento Kings were comfortable trading Kevin Martin to the Houston Rockets last season because of the development of Tyreke Evans. Lately, though, the Rockets appear to be getting the better end of the deal. Coming off a season-high 40-point effort, Martin will try to help the Rockets win their sixth straight at home Tuesday night when they face a Kings team that could be without the reigning rookie of the year.
Martin, a former Kings first-round pick who led them in scoring three times, was part of a three-team deal Feb. 18 that sent Carl Landry to Sacramento. Since the swap, Martin is averaging 22.2 points in 47 games. He scored 32 in the first half and finished with 40 in Saturday's 110-95 victory over Cleveland. Martin's output in the opening 24 minutes was the third-most in a half in franchise history.
"He came out at the very start and was very aggressive," said coach Rick Adelman, whose team will try to win six in a row at home for the first time since an 8-0 stretch that ended Jan. 15. "He made 3s, he got fouls, but when he passed the ball early in the game, he made two or three hard cuts. "That's something he's just got to continue to do. When he passes, he's got to make hard cuts, because he's so quick, it's going to give him the opportunity to get open."
Martin's previous high with Houston was 39 in a 117-107 victory over the Kings on April 12 in his first game in Sacramento since the deal. Kings coach Paul Westphal wishes Evans was making similar contributions. Bothered by an inflamed arch on his left foot, Evans is averaging 16.5 points - 3.6 fewer than in 2009-10 - and shooting 39.1 percent from the field. He has scored 13 points on 5-for-19 shooting in the last two games.
"We're not really adjusting the offense but certainly it can't continue like it is," Westphal said after his team made 36.7 percent of its attempts in Saturday's 104-83 home loss to Miami. "We've either got to get Tyreke playing like he can play or do something else." Evans was scheduled to travel with the Kings as they open a three-game trip, but if he can't go, Francisco Garcia will likely get the start.
"When the star player goes out, they saw last year, they can turn it around," said Martin, referring to his two-month absence early last season when he was sidelined with a broken left wrist. "Other guys, they get a big smile on their face to see what they can do with the number of shots that will be given to them now." Martin wasn't smiling when the Rockets hosted Sacramento on March 3. Facing the Kings for the first time, he missed 10 of 13 shots and scored 14 as the Kings ended a six-game skid at Toyota Center with an 84-81 victory.
Evans endured a 4-of-22 shooting performance and scored eight in that matchup, while Landry had 22 points with 10 rebounds. The Kings are averaging 85.0 points on 38.8 percent shooting during a five-game road skid. The Rockets are limiting opponents to 95.2 points, 9.7 fewer than their season average, and 45.2 percent shooting during their home winning streak. These team meet again in Sacramento on Sunday.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 11; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Houston -10.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -10.64
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 15-29 ATS (-16.8 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.6, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 92.2, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 88.6, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 85-59 UNDER (+20.1 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 98.4, OPPONENT 93.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 31-13 UNDER (+16.5 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.6, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 85-55 against the 1rst half line (+24.5 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 51.1, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 37-16 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) in road games after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 49.0, OPPONENT 52.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 81-46 UNDER (+30.4 Units) the 1rst half total vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.9, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 5*)
--SACRAMENTO is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 42.8, OPPONENT 49.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 41.6, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) the 1rst half total off a home loss this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 44.1, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - after a game where they covered the spread, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=25%).
(33-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.7%, +22 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.7, Opponent 52.6 (Average first half point differential = +0.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (80-47).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (SACRAMENTO) - poor three point shooting team (<=33%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game).
(38-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.8, Opponent 49.5 (Total first half points scored = 97.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (63-55).
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*** ORLANDO (-1.5, O/U 207 @ DENVER ***
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The Denver Nuggets are back home, where they've won nine straight games and will play 11 of their next 16. Whether Carmelo Anthony will still be with them by the end of that stretch is anyone's guess. Concluding a 1-3 road trip in New York only fueled speculation of Anthony's desire for a trade, a distraction the Nuggets will try to put behind them Tuesday night as they look to extend their home winning streak against the Orlando Magic.
Denver entered its trip east having won seven straight games, but stumbled in Charlotte last Tuesday before Anthony sat out a loss to Boston and a win at Toronto with a balky right knee. Anthony returned Sunday night and had 31 points and 13 rebounds against the red-hot Knicks, but that wasn't enough for the Nuggets to salvage a .500 trip as they lost 129-125. New York has long been the rumored favorite to land Anthony, who can become a free agent next summer.
The three-time All-Star stressed Sunday the importance of being offered a contract extension by any prospective suitor. He refused a three-year, $65 million offer from Denver in the offseason. Reports surfaced over the weekend that Anthony informed the Nuggets that the Knicks were the only team with which he'd sign an extension, but Anthony insisted Monday that wasn't the case. "More of the drama, man," Anthony said. "I was there and so it was a hot topic to talk about it. I'm not worrying about it. That's not my focus right now. My focus is to try to get some wins back home."
"I just really want to focus on basketball right now - let the business take care of business when that time comes. My goal is to go out there every night on the court and continue doing what I'm doing." Karl is avoiding the rumor mill, instead focusing on helping the Nuggets continue their home success. Denver has averaged 112.7 points during its nine consecutive victories at the Pepsi Center. "Melo's not going to bring my Christmas down," Karl said. "He's been a blessing in my career. He's been a great player for me. We need him to play really well this week for us to have a great week."
The Magic weren't having a very good week before visiting the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday. They'd averaged 86.8 points while losing four straight, including the first two stops on a four-game trip. Facing the league-worst Clippers got Orlando headed in the right direction. The Magic built a 26-point second-quarter lead en route to a 94-85 victory behind 22 points from Dwight Howard. "There are going to be tough times and tough stretches in the season and it's just about how you get out of it," guard Jameer Nelson told the team's official website.
"This is just one game and we're happy to have it, but we have to build from it. Hopefully it's the start of another winning streak." That won't be easy in Denver, where Orlando has lost six of seven visits since Anthony entered the league - including all six Anthony when has played. The Magic have averaged 18.1 turnovers in those defeats, with Howard accounting for 4.3 per game in his six trips there. Chauncey Billups, who's shooting 31.8 percent in December, has scored 20.9 points per game against Orlando since 2005-06 - his highest average against any team he's faced at least seven times.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 2; O/U 207
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -1.38
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DENVER is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 102.2, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 107.6, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 95.7, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 95.2, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--DENVER is 59-38 OVER (+17.1 Units) as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 110.1, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 33-15 OVER (+16.4 Units) in home games after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 112.4, OPPONENT 103.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 21-6 OVER (+14.3 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 111.7, OPPONENT 103.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DENVER is 17-35 against the 1rst half line (-21.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 51.9, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 33-16 against the 1rst half line (+15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 55.9, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 35-17 UNDER (+16.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 51.9, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 68-45 UNDER (+18.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 48.7, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(24-5 since 1996.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.4
The average score in these games was: Team 108.2, Opponent 104 (Total points scored = 212.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (58.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DENVER) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.
(43-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +27.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.1, Opponent 49.3 (Total first half points scored = 96.5)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (59-40).
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*** MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE (2.5, O/U 217) ***
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The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost nine of 11, and are coming off a 31-point thrashing. The Golden State Warriors' last month somehow has been even worse. A win at Minnesota in late November was the Warriors' only victory in their last 13 games. They'll try to snap out of that horrendous stretch Tuesday night at home while spoiling the likely season debuts of Jonny Flynn and Martell Webster with the Timberwolves. Minnesota had dropped eight of 10 heading into Chicago on Saturday, but the losses weren't particularly ugly.
Only twice had the Timberwolves lost by more than 10 points, and those came against Dallas and the Los Angeles Lakers. There was nothing competitive about their performance against the Bulls. Minnesota turned the ball over 20 times and fell behind by 21 by halftime in a discouraging 113-82 loss. "We're not mature enough a team defensively to have our defense lock a team like this down," coach Kurt Rambis said. "This is just one game, but we clearly didn't come out with the energy we had been playing with. The guys in there know it."
Golden State has had a much more difficult time being competitive lately. The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 11.1 points in their last 13 games, picking up their 12th loss in that span Monday at Utah, 108-95. "Our guys are giving it to me," coach Keith Smart said. "They're giving me what is necessary to get us moving in the right direction, to win. Now we just need to make sure we can stay together as a unit."
Golden State has played its last two games without Stephen Curry, who sprained his right ankle Wednesday at San Antonio - the fourth time he's seriously rolled it in the past two months. Curry might be out for a while, which has to be a relief to the Timberwolves. They've lost their four meetings with the Warriors since Curry entered the league by an average of 16.5 points, including a 146-105 rout in their last trip to Oakland on Nov. 9, 2009. Curry has averaged 23.5 points, 10.5 assists and 5.0 steals in the last two Golden State wins in the series.
The Timberwolves might want to focus their attention on Dorell Wright. Golden State's offseason acquisition had a career-high 30 points - hitting 9 of 12 3-pointers - in a 104-94 win at the Target Center on Nov. 27. That was enough to impress Minnesota's Michael Beasley, who played with Wright the past two seasons in Miami. "He just needed a shot," said Beasley, who had 28 points in the loss. "He just needed some minutes."
Beasley and Kevin Love - who has 20 points and 15 rebounds in six straight games, a first since Charles Barkley accomplished the feat in 1989-90 - should be getting some much-needed help Tuesday. Flynn is expected to make his season debut after working his way back from July hip surgery with two games in the NBDL. Swingman Martell Webster also should make his first appearance in a Timberwolves uniform since being acquired from Portland in June. He had back surgery during training camp. Flynn - picked one spot ahead of Curry in the 2009 draft - averaged 15.0 points, 6.0 assists and 5.3 turnovers last season against Golden State.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Golden St by 3, O/U 213.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Golden St -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Golden St -0.97
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 38-17 ATS (+19.1 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 109.9, OPPONENT 111.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 112.5, OPPONENT 113.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 20-36 ATS (-19.4 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.7, OPPONENT 109.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.5, OPPONENT 109.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 69-43 OVER (+21.7 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 106.7, OPPONENT 106.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 63-39 OVER (+20.1 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 99.6, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 34-15 OVER (+17.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 116.8, OPPONENT 112.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 53-78 against the 1rst half line (-32.8 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.9, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--MINNESOTA is 21-38 against the 1rst half line (-20.8 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.4, OPPONENT 56.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 57.5, OPPONENT 62.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 25-7 OVER (+17.2 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.8, OPPONENT 61.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 17-2 OVER (+14.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 50.9, OPPONENT 62.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (GOLDEN STATE) - playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%).
(84-34 since 1996.) (71.2%, +46.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 104.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.9, Opponent 55.3 (Total first half points scored = 109.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (39-16).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (52-20).
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***** TUESDAY, DECEMBER 14TH NBA INFORMATION *****
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(All results ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Content contained in this report remains exclusive private property of Stat/Systems Sports. Database information may not be reused or disseminated in any form without express written consent of the publisher.
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• HOT TEAMS
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-- 76ers won three of last four games; they covered last eight games.
-- Raptors covered six of last seven games as a road underdog.
-- Hawks won eight of their last ten games.
-- Rockets won/covered their last five home games.
• COLD TEAMS
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-- Nets lost their last seven games (2-5 vs spread).
-- Bobcats lost five of their last seven games.
-- Lakers failed to cover their last six tries as a road favorite. Wizards lost eight of last nine games, but they're 5-1 as a home dog.
-- Pistons lost eight of last nine games (0-4 vs spread last four).
-- Kings are 0-4-1 vs spread in last five games as road underdog.
-- Orlando lost four of its last five games. Nuggets lost three of last four games, covered one of last six.
-- Warriors lost their last seven games (2-5 vs spread). Minnesota lost nine of last 11 games, covered one of last five as a road underdog.
• BACK-TO-BACK
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-- Warriors are 2-3 vs spread if they played the night before. Teams are 1-3 vs spread the night after playing Utah.
• TOTALS
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-- Four of last five Philly road games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Charlotte home games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 7-1 in Lakers' last eight road games.
-- Six of last eight Atlanta road games stayed under.
-- Last five Sacramento road games stayed under total.
-- Under is 8-4 in Orlando road games this season.
-- Under is 5-2 in last seven Golden State home games.
• QUICK HITS
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--PHILADELPHIA @ NEW JERSEY, 7:00 PM ET PHILADELPHIA: 15-7 ATS in all games. NEW JERSEY: 3-13 ATS after a game where they made 20% of their 3 point shots or worse.
--TORONTO @ CHARLOTTE, 7:00 PM ET TORONTO: 12-27 ATS after a road game where both teams score 100 or more points. CHARLOTTE: 8-0 ATS after 3+ unders.
--LA LAKERS @ WASHINGTON, 7:00 PM ET LA LAKERS: 1-6 ATS after BB unders. WASHINGTON: 6-1 UNDER as a home underdog.
--ATLANTA @ DETROIT, 7:30 PM ET ATLANTA: 34-18 OVER off an Under. DETROIT: 6-18 ATS when playing 8+ games in 14 days.
--SACRAMENTO @ HOUSTON, 8:30 PM ET SACRAMENTO: 1-8 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 5 days. HOUSTON: 6-1 OVER as a home favorite of 9.5 to 12 pts.
--ORLANDO @ DENVER, 9:00 PM ET NBA ORLANDO: 30-16 ATS when the line is +3 to -3. DENVER: 7-20 ATS when the line is +3 to -3.
--MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE, 10:30 PM ET MINNESOTA: 19-9 OVER Away after allowing 105+ points. GOLDEN STATE: 18-5 ATS off a road loss by 10+ points.
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• NOTES & TIPS
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--After a 3-8 start that seemed to imperil the decision to pair Amar'e Stoudemire with Raymond Felton and hope for Steve Nash-like results, the Knicks are among the hottest teams in the league at the quarter pole. They've won eight in a row and 13 of 14, and while they've played some feeble defensive teams during that stretch, their ten road wins are the most in the league -- impressive regardless of the competition. After striking out on LeBron James and Dwyane Wade during free agency, the Knicks (16-9) are off to their best start since the 1994-95 season, when Pat Riley was the coach.
--The Carmelo Anthony saga has taken another turn. After the Nuggets dropped a 129-125 decision to the New York Knicks, the three-time All Star reportedly told ESPN that he would only sign a three-year $65-million contract extension if he is traded to the Knicks.
--Word has it that Los Angeles Clippers owner Donald Sterling has been chirping Baron Davis from his courtside seats. An unnamed source says Sterling has been heard saying “Why are you in the game?” and “You’re out of shape!” Davis declined comment about the situation, but says that he is trying to hard and can’t seem to get into the flow of the game.
--The Lakers get a big piece of their championship puzzle back Tuesday – a 7-foot, 285-pound piece. Center Andrew Bynum is expected to make his season debut against the Wizards Tuesday after sitting out the first quarter of the schedule while recovering from knee surgery. Bynum practiced Monday, which is a big indication that the five-year veteran is ready to play. Bynum’s return plugs a huge hole in Los Angeles’ frontcourt. Forwards Pau Gasol and Lamar Odom have been manning the paint in the past few weeks due to Bynum’s absence and injuries to reserves Theo Ratliff and Derrick Caracter.
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*** PHILADELPHIA (-1.5, O/U 189) @ NEW JERSEY ***
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Over the past two weeks, the Philadelphia 76ers have steadily climbed from last place in the Eastern Conference into the playoff mix. Their turnaround began with a win over the New Jersey Nets, the East's current last-place team. The 76ers look to win for the sixth time in eight games Tuesday night when they visit the Nets, losers of seven in a row. Philadelphia entered its home contest against New Jersey on Nov. 27 having won just three of its first 16 games.
The first meeting was tied through three quarters before the 76ers pulled away late to win 102-86, their fifth straight victory in the series. Philadelphia hasn't won six straight over the Nets since March 23, 1979-March 21, 1980. Jrue Holiday led the way with 20 points and 13 assists, while Andre Iguodala added 16 points for the Sixers, who won for the second time in 10 games. Philadelphia has won four of six since, however, to move into 10th place in the East, not far behind eighth-place Milwaukee.
"We just trying to find a good rhythm," Iguodala said after Sunday's 88-70 victory over New Orleans. "The guys are starting to believe in themselves. As long as we continue to play the right style of basketball, we'll have success." Philadelphia's defense has keyed the team's surge, allowing an average of 88.3 points in the last seven games after yielding 101.8 points in the first 16. This improved defense has led to convincing victories, with the Sixers winning their last five by an average of 16.2 points.
Philadelphia completely frustrated the Hornets on Sunday, limiting them to 23 first-half points, and the fewest total points scored by an opponent since holding Milwaukee to 69 on Jan. 30, 2008. "Our defense has been terrific,'' Sixers coach Doug Collins said. Philadelphia's defense could pose problems for New Jersey, which is averaging 88.2 points in its last five games.
The Nets bounced back from their loss in Philadelphia two weeks ago to beat Portland the following night, but have lost seven straight since. New Jersey played well against the Los Angeles Lakers on Sunday and had a chance to win, but after tying the game at 85 with 4:54 to play, the team missed 14 of its last 17 shots and ended up losing 99-92. "They executed and we didn't," Nets guard Devin Harris said. "We missed a ton of shots at the rim, shots we normally make just didn't go down for us."
Harris finished with 16 points and 10 assists despite leaving in the first quarter of Thursday's loss to Dallas with a shoulder injury. He had 19 points against the 76ers last month. Brook Lopez led the Nets with 25 points in that game, and also finished with 25 points against the Lakers. The 7-foot center has scored at least 24 points in each of his last three games after combining for 18 points in his previous two.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Philadelphia by 1; O/U 187.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Philadelphia -2
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Philadelphia -1.89
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 45-60 ATS (-21.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 92.6, OPPONENT 101.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 12-25 ATS (-15.4 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 93.5, OPPONENT 98.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 42-21 ATS (+18.7 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.3, OPPONENT 94.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 27-10 UNDER (+15.9 Units) versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 89.1, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 60-39 UNDER (+17.1 Units) in road games after playing a game as a home underdog since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 93.2, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 61-39 against the 1rst half line (+18.1 Units) in home games after failing to cover 5 or 6 of their last 7 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.7, OPPONENT 46.6 - (Rating = 3*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 30-54 against the 1rst half line (-29.4 Units) after leading in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half since 1996.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 47.8, OPPONENT 49.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--PHILADELPHIA is 30-47 against the 1rst half line (-21.7 Units) as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 50.4, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--NEW JERSEY is 86-52 UNDER (+28.8 Units) the 1rst half total after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 45.4, OPPONENT 48.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--NEW JERSEY is 47-26 UNDER (+18.1 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 48.4, OPPONENT 50.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--NEW JERSEY is 52-31 UNDER (+17.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=36% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NEW JERSEY 46.7, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY UNDER - Road teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (PHILADELPHIA) - after a blowout win by 15 points or more against opponent after trailing their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half.
(28-6 since 1996.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93
The average first half score in these games was: Team 43.8, Opponent 42.5 (Total first half points scored = 86.4)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3).
--PLAY UNDER - Any team (NEW JERSEY) - off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog against opponent off an upset win as a home underdog.
(36-13 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.5%, +21.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 199.5
The average score in these games was: Team 97.1, Opponent 97.3 (Total points scored = 194.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 29 (58% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-6).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (86-51).
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*** TORONTO @ CHARLOTTE (-5, O/U 202.5) ***
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Coming off the largest comeback in franchise history, the Toronto Raptors are hoping better defensive pressure will help them avoid a similar deficit. A matchup with the low-scoring Charlotte Bobcats should alleviate that concern. Toronto looks to win two straight on the road for the first time this season on Tuesday night when the host Bobcats try to rebound from an effort that sent owner Michael Jordan into a postgame tirade.
Down by 25 points in the third quarter and 16 entering the fourth, the Raptors ended a four-game losing streak Saturday with a 120-116 road win over Detroit. Toronto's largest comeback prior to that was a 104-89 victory at the Los Angeles Clippers on Nov. 13, 2009, when it overcame a 22-point deficit. "I've never been in a game where we were shooting 60 percent and we were down 20 points," said Coach Jay Triano, whose team trailed by 19 at halftime despite shooting 65 percent.
"We knew we weren't having any problems scoring, but we had to take care of the ball and we had to box out. We did that a lot better in the second half." While 14 first-half turnovers led to 29 of the Pistons' 72 points, Toronto's poor defense has been a lingering concern. The Raptors have given up an average of 118.4 points and allowed opponents to shoot 52.2 percent the last five games. "We've just got to out there with the mindset to play defense," Jerryd Bayless, who scored a career high-tying 31 on Saturday, said following Monday's practice.
"I know we know we can score, and defensively is where we're struggling." Bayless will likely start a third straight game for point guard Jose Calderon, who is hoping to return from a left foot injury in time for the start of a four-game homestand Wednesday against Chicago. While the Raptors look to shore up their defense, the Bobcats are desperately trying to find ways to boost their sagging offense. Charlotte shot a season-worst 33.8 percent and committed 22 turnovers in Saturday's 93-62 home loss to Boston.
After watching his team lose for the seventh time in 10 games and score the second-fewest points in franchise history, Jordan addressed his listless club in the locker room instead of coach Larry Brown. "With all due respect to Michael, it's not embarrassing to him. It's embarrassing to us and our families," Gerald Wallace said after missing 13 of 15 shots and scoring nine points. Although Charlotte is struggling and ranked among the league's worst with 93.6 points per game, Triano knows Wallace and leading scorer Stephen Jackson will provide a test for youngsters DeMar DeRozan and Sonny Weems.
"Gerald gets to the free throw line, he runs the floor. Stephen's going to shoot 3s, he's going to play a mid-range game," Triano said. "They're kind of like who Sonny and DeMar can evolve to be as players." Wallace scored 19 points with a season high-tying 14 rebounds, while Jackson scored 10 of his 20 points in the fourth quarter and had a steal with five seconds left that sealed a 101-96 victory in Toronto on Nov. 10. DeRozan scored just four in the loss but Weems had 20 in the last game he's come off the bench.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Charlotte by 3; O/U 197.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Charlotte -3.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Charlotte -2.40
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 58-37 ATS (+17.1 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 96.8, OPPONENT 97.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 12-27 ATS (-17.5 Units) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.8, OPPONENT 108.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--TORONTO is 27-9 OVER (+17.1 Units) in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 101.2, OPPONENT 110.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 30-13 OVER (+15.7 Units) as a road underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TORONTO 102.5, OPPONENT 109.0 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 49-26 against the 1rst half line (+20.4 Units) in home games versus good shooting teams - making >=46% of their shots since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 48.7, OPPONENT 47.8 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 76-51 against the 1rst half line (+19.9 Units) in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders since 1996.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.4, OPPONENT 47.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--TORONTO is 17-33 against the 1rst half line (-19.3 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games since 1996.
The average score was TORONTO 50.7, OPPONENT 55.6 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--CHARLOTTE is 38-16 UNDER (+20.4 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after playing a game as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.2, OPPONENT 45.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--CHARLOTTE is 34-14 UNDER (+18.6 Units) the 1rst half total in home games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CHARLOTTE 47.1, OPPONENT 44.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
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--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (TORONTO) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45.5-47.5%), after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better.
(31-8 since 1996.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 48.1, Opponent 48.3 (Total first half points scored = 96.3)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (23-5).
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*** LA LAKERS (-10.5, O/U 204) @ WASHINGTON ***
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Los Angeles spent its day off in Washington with President Obama, who congratulated the Lakers on winning last season's title. Kobe Bryant and his teammates know they have a lot of work to do to win another championship and schedule another day with the President. Coming off a sluggish performance over one of the league's worst teams, the Lakers look for a crisper effort Tuesday night against the Wizards, another bottom feeder they had some trouble against last week.
Los Angeles has won four of five following a four-game losing streak, but its last three victories weren't particularly inspiring. This stretch started with last Tuesday's 115-108 win over Washington. The Lakers led by just four points with 1:20 left before pulling away to win their eighth straight in the series. Bryant scored nine of his 32 points in the final 5:23 of the game, while Lamar Odom added 24 points.
A night after its close call against the Wizards, Los Angeles defeated the lowly Clippers 87-86 on Derek Fisher's layup at the buzzer. The Lakers then traveled to Chicago on Friday, finishing with a season low in points in an 88-84 loss, and then to New Jersey, where it hung on to win 99-92 on Sunday after falling behind by a point with 5:36 to play. "We have to muster up the energy and muster up the motivation to play every night," said Bryant, who scored 14 of his 32 points in the fourth quarter against the Nets. "I'm (annoyed) about it. We're not doing a good job of doing it."
The two-time defending champs have now faced fourth-quarter deficits in seven of their last nine games after trailing in the final period in just four of their first 15. "We can't be great every single night," said Odom, who finished with 22 points and seven rebounds Sunday. "But it's just the way we've been going for us for the last 10 to 15 games. We get a lead, give it away and have to fight back. We're not playing to our potential. Not taking anything away from the Nets, but we're just not playing well right now. It's a little disappointing."
The Wizards' play has also been disappointing, but unlike the Lakers, they haven't been finding ways to win. Washington which fell to New York 101-95 on Friday, has lost four straight and eight of nine. Coach Flip Saunders believes his team must pick up its intensity to have any chance of competing. "We came back in L.A. because we played hard," Saunders said after Monday's practice. "We're at a point right now because our talent level is not up to the team's we're playing at is that we're just going to have to play harder than people."
Saunders also said John Wall's status for this game is questionable with knee soreness. Wall, who sat out Wednesday's 116-91 loss to Sacramento with a sore foot, struggled to find his shot against the Knicks, finishing with eight points on 4 of 14 shooting. He has missed seven of Washington's first 22 games with foot and knee injuries, but had 22 points and a career-best 14 assists against the Lakers last week. Nick Young also played well at Staples Center, finishing with a season-best 30 points on 10 of 18 shooting, and could be poised for another big game. In six career games against the Lakers, the former USC guard is averaging 18.3 points, his most against any opponent and 8.9 points better than his career average.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Lakers by 7; O/U 201.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Lakers -8
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Lakers -9.78
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• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
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--LA LAKERS are 24-43 ATS (-23.3 Units) after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 100.6, OPPONENT 95.9 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 56-71 ATS (-22.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 102.5, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 9-24 ATS (-17.4 Units) after having won 4 of their last 5 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 101.4, OPPONENT 99.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 51-30 UNDER (+18.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 95.3, OPPONENT 102.2 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 27-9 UNDER (+17.0 Units) after failing to cover 3 of their last 4 against the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 93.6, OPPONENT 99.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--LA LAKERS are 67-40 UNDER (+23.0 Units) after playing a road game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA LAKERS 103.1, OPPONENT 96.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--LA LAKERS are 87-59 UNDER (+22.1 Units) when playing their 3rd road game in 5 days since 1996.
The average score was LA LAKERS 97.9, OPPONENT 97.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 43-58 against the 1rst half line (-20.8 Units) versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 47.2, OPPONENT 51.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--WASHINGTON is 16-31 against the 1rst half line (-17.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 46.1, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
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--WASHINGTON is 58-31 UNDER (+23.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 45.5, OPPONENT 50.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--WASHINGTON is 59-33 UNDER (+22.7 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 46.5, OPPONENT 50.6 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
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--PLAY ON - Home underdogs of 10 or more points (WASHINGTON) - off a home loss against opponent off a road win.
(23-5 since 1996.) (82.1%, +17.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (5-24)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 11.3
The average score in these games was: Team 95.8, Opponent 101.5 (Average point differential = -5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 11 (40.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (2-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (LA LAKERS) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games.
(31-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +22.2 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 205.4
The average score in these games was: Team 101.4, Opponent 93.6 (Total points scored = 195)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 26 (66.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (22-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (43-20).
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (WASHINGTON) - after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games against opponent after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games.
(58-22 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.5%, +33.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 105.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 51.7, Opponent 50.1 (Total first half points scored = 101.9)
The situation's record this season is: (5-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (36-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (82-48).
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*** ATLANTA (-5, O/U 187) @ DETROIT ***
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Having thrived against losing clubs and on the road this season, the Atlanta Hawks would seem to have a good chance of continuing their recent surge as they visit the struggling Detroit Pistons. The Hawks, though, haven't earned many victories at The Palace of Auburn Hills recently, as they'll be trying to win there for only the second time in 11 games Tuesday night. The Hawks are 11-3 versus teams with losing records, though they've also beaten a couple of clubs that were above .500 during their current 8-2 run, which has followed a 2-7 stretch.
At 8-4, the Hawks are off to their best start away from home since moving to Atlanta in 1968. They are also 5-2 without leading scorer Joe Johnson, who is not expected to return from elbow surgery until next month. Forward Josh Smith overcame a cramping hamstring to help Atlanta beat Indiana 97-83 on Saturday night. Smith, who left in the fourth quarter of a loss to San Antonio the previous night, scored 21 points and added seven rebounds and four assists.
"He came up with huge plays then defensively did a great job," Coach Larry Drew said. "When he's playing like that and flying around, it makes us a much more effective team." Jamal Crawford paced the Hawks with 25 points as he topped the 20 mark for the third straight game. Center Al Horford added 16 points, 16 rebounds and a career-high eight assists. Crawford sat out the first matchup of the season with the Pistons on Nov. 3 due to turf toe. Smith had 22 points and 11 boards to help make up for his absence during a 94-85 home victory, which dropped Detroit to 0-5.
Things haven't gotten much better for the Pistons, as they've lost 12 of 15 and are on the verge of matching that season-high skid. Their fourth consecutive defeat Saturday against Toronto was particularly disheartening. Detroit scored 43 points in the second quarter and led 99-83 going into the fourth after going up by 25 in the third period. The Pistons, though, were outscored 37-17 in the final 12 minutes of a 120-116 home loss. "We just self-destructed. I don't know how else to explain this," forward Tayshaun Prince said. "I don't know what the carry-over from a game like this might be. I've never been a part of a game like this before."
A home matchup with Atlanta might provide the right opportunity for Prince's team to bounce back. Although the Pistons have dropped six of eight overall matchups, they have gone 26-4 in their last 30 home games against with the Hawks. Despite finishing 27-55 last season, Detroit won both meetings at The Palace, limiting Atlanta to 88 points each time. The Hawks have averaged 88.1 points during their 1-9 road stretch in the series. Ben Gordon scored 22 points in the last meeting at The Palace on April 7, a 90-88 Pistons win, and matched that total Nov. 3. The guard, though, has totaled 13 points and taken 11 shots combined in Detroit's last two games.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Atlanta by 5.5; O/U 192
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Atlanta -6.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Atlanta -6.27
______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DETROIT is 49-70 ATS (-28.0 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 93.1, OPPONENT 97.8 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 42-62 ATS (-26.2 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DETROIT 92.8, OPPONENT 97.4 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--DETROIT is 92-60 UNDER (+27.9 Units) in home games after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 94.3, OPPONENT 89.6 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 58-34 UNDER (+20.4 Units) versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 94.4, OPPONENT 94.7 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DETROIT is 45-21 against the 1rst half line (+22.7 Units) in home games after having lost 4 of their last 5 games since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 48.8, OPPONENT 45.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--DETROIT is 7-0 against the 1rst half line (+7.0 Units) after allowing 105 points or more this season.
The average score was DETROIT 53.6, OPPONENT 44.3 - (Rating = 2*)
--ATLANTA is 21-36 against the 1rst half line (-18.6 Units) in road games after 1 or more consecutive unders over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 46.6, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DETROIT is 72-43 UNDER (+24.7 Units) the 1rst half total after scoring 110 points or more since 1996.
The average score was DETROIT 47.3, OPPONENT 45.7 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 92-60 UNDER (+26.0 Units) the 1rst half total in road games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.2, OPPONENT 49.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--ATLANTA is 72-43 UNDER (+24.6 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after covering 3 of their last 4 against the spread since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 45.4, OPPONENT 49.1 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY UNDER - Home teams where the first half total is between 90.5 and 95.5 points (DETROIT) - after going over the total by more than 30 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 54 or more points total in their last ten games.
(23-3 since 1996.) (88.5%, +19.7 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 93.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 44.6, Opponent 41.6 (Total first half points scored = 86.1)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
--PLAY ON - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (DETROIT) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games.
(44-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +27.5 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.6
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.4, Opponent 50.4 (Average first half point differential = -1)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (18-10).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (76-46).
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*** SACRAMENTO @ HOUSTON (9.5, O/U 203) ***
--------------------------------------------
The Sacramento Kings were comfortable trading Kevin Martin to the Houston Rockets last season because of the development of Tyreke Evans. Lately, though, the Rockets appear to be getting the better end of the deal. Coming off a season-high 40-point effort, Martin will try to help the Rockets win their sixth straight at home Tuesday night when they face a Kings team that could be without the reigning rookie of the year.
Martin, a former Kings first-round pick who led them in scoring three times, was part of a three-team deal Feb. 18 that sent Carl Landry to Sacramento. Since the swap, Martin is averaging 22.2 points in 47 games. He scored 32 in the first half and finished with 40 in Saturday's 110-95 victory over Cleveland. Martin's output in the opening 24 minutes was the third-most in a half in franchise history.
"He came out at the very start and was very aggressive," said coach Rick Adelman, whose team will try to win six in a row at home for the first time since an 8-0 stretch that ended Jan. 15. "He made 3s, he got fouls, but when he passed the ball early in the game, he made two or three hard cuts. "That's something he's just got to continue to do. When he passes, he's got to make hard cuts, because he's so quick, it's going to give him the opportunity to get open."
Martin's previous high with Houston was 39 in a 117-107 victory over the Kings on April 12 in his first game in Sacramento since the deal. Kings coach Paul Westphal wishes Evans was making similar contributions. Bothered by an inflamed arch on his left foot, Evans is averaging 16.5 points - 3.6 fewer than in 2009-10 - and shooting 39.1 percent from the field. He has scored 13 points on 5-for-19 shooting in the last two games.
"We're not really adjusting the offense but certainly it can't continue like it is," Westphal said after his team made 36.7 percent of its attempts in Saturday's 104-83 home loss to Miami. "We've either got to get Tyreke playing like he can play or do something else." Evans was scheduled to travel with the Kings as they open a three-game trip, but if he can't go, Francisco Garcia will likely get the start.
"When the star player goes out, they saw last year, they can turn it around," said Martin, referring to his two-month absence early last season when he was sidelined with a broken left wrist. "Other guys, they get a big smile on their face to see what they can do with the number of shots that will be given to them now." Martin wasn't smiling when the Rockets hosted Sacramento on March 3. Facing the Kings for the first time, he missed 10 of 13 shots and scored 14 as the Kings ended a six-game skid at Toyota Center with an 84-81 victory.
Evans endured a 4-of-22 shooting performance and scored eight in that matchup, while Landry had 22 points with 10 rebounds. The Kings are averaging 85.0 points on 38.8 percent shooting during a five-game road skid. The Rockets are limiting opponents to 95.2 points, 9.7 fewer than their season average, and 45.2 percent shooting during their home winning streak. These team meet again in Sacramento on Sunday.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Houston by 11; O/U 204
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Houston -10.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Houston -10.64
______________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 15-29 ATS (-16.8 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.6, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 92.2, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 99+ points/game this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 88.6, OPPONENT 101.7 - (Rating = 2*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 85-59 UNDER (+20.1 Units) in home games after scoring 105 points or more since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 98.4, OPPONENT 93.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 31-13 UNDER (+16.5 Units) after having lost 6 or 7 of their last 8 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 94.6, OPPONENT 102.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--SACRAMENTO is 85-55 against the 1rst half line (+24.5 Units) after a blowout loss by 15 points or more since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 51.1, OPPONENT 50.4 - (Rating = 4*)
--SACRAMENTO is 37-16 against the 1rst half line (+19.1 Units) in road games after a game being outrebounded by opponent by 15 or more since 1996.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 49.0, OPPONENT 52.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--HOUSTON is 81-46 UNDER (+30.4 Units) the 1rst half total vs. teams who are called for 2+ more fouls/game than their opponents since 1996.
The average score was HOUSTON 46.9, OPPONENT 44.4 - (Rating = 5*)
--SACRAMENTO is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) the 1rst half total when playing 6 or less games in 14 days this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 42.8, OPPONENT 49.0 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) the 1rst half total after playing 2 consecutive home games this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 41.6, OPPONENT 48.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--SACRAMENTO is 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) the 1rst half total off a home loss this season.
The average score was SACRAMENTO 44.1, OPPONENT 51.0 - (Rating = 2*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY AGAINST - Favorites of 2 to 5.5 points vs. the first half line (HOUSTON) - after a game where they covered the spread, a bad team (25% to 40%) playing against a terrible team (<=25%).
(33-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.7%, +22 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.7, Opponent 52.6 (Average first half point differential = +0.1)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (80-47).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (SACRAMENTO) - poor three point shooting team (<=33%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), in a game involving two average rebounding teams (+/-3 reb/game).
(38-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.1%, +22.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.8, Opponent 49.5 (Total first half points scored = 97.4)
The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (32-11).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (63-55).
___________________________________
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*** ORLANDO (-1.5, O/U 207 @ DENVER ***
----------------------------------------
The Denver Nuggets are back home, where they've won nine straight games and will play 11 of their next 16. Whether Carmelo Anthony will still be with them by the end of that stretch is anyone's guess. Concluding a 1-3 road trip in New York only fueled speculation of Anthony's desire for a trade, a distraction the Nuggets will try to put behind them Tuesday night as they look to extend their home winning streak against the Orlando Magic.
Denver entered its trip east having won seven straight games, but stumbled in Charlotte last Tuesday before Anthony sat out a loss to Boston and a win at Toronto with a balky right knee. Anthony returned Sunday night and had 31 points and 13 rebounds against the red-hot Knicks, but that wasn't enough for the Nuggets to salvage a .500 trip as they lost 129-125. New York has long been the rumored favorite to land Anthony, who can become a free agent next summer.
The three-time All-Star stressed Sunday the importance of being offered a contract extension by any prospective suitor. He refused a three-year, $65 million offer from Denver in the offseason. Reports surfaced over the weekend that Anthony informed the Nuggets that the Knicks were the only team with which he'd sign an extension, but Anthony insisted Monday that wasn't the case. "More of the drama, man," Anthony said. "I was there and so it was a hot topic to talk about it. I'm not worrying about it. That's not my focus right now. My focus is to try to get some wins back home."
"I just really want to focus on basketball right now - let the business take care of business when that time comes. My goal is to go out there every night on the court and continue doing what I'm doing." Karl is avoiding the rumor mill, instead focusing on helping the Nuggets continue their home success. Denver has averaged 112.7 points during its nine consecutive victories at the Pepsi Center. "Melo's not going to bring my Christmas down," Karl said. "He's been a blessing in my career. He's been a great player for me. We need him to play really well this week for us to have a great week."
The Magic weren't having a very good week before visiting the Los Angeles Clippers on Sunday. They'd averaged 86.8 points while losing four straight, including the first two stops on a four-game trip. Facing the league-worst Clippers got Orlando headed in the right direction. The Magic built a 26-point second-quarter lead en route to a 94-85 victory behind 22 points from Dwight Howard. "There are going to be tough times and tough stretches in the season and it's just about how you get out of it," guard Jameer Nelson told the team's official website.
"This is just one game and we're happy to have it, but we have to build from it. Hopefully it's the start of another winning streak." That won't be easy in Denver, where Orlando has lost six of seven visits since Anthony entered the league - including all six Anthony when has played. The Magic have averaged 18.1 turnovers in those defeats, with Howard accounting for 4.3 per game in his six trips there. Chauncey Billups, who's shooting 31.8 percent in December, has scored 20.9 points per game against Orlando since 2005-06 - his highest average against any team he's faced at least seven times.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Denver by 2; O/U 207
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Denver -1.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Denver -1.38
____________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--DENVER is 90-62 ATS (+21.8 Units) in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 102.2, OPPONENT 96.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 67-44 ATS (+18.6 Units) in home games after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games since 1996.
The average score was DENVER 107.6, OPPONENT 101.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 11-26 ATS (-17.6 Units) after 3 straight games forcing opponent to commit 11 or less turnovers since 1996.
The average score was ORLANDO 95.7, OPPONENT 96.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) vs. good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 95.2, OPPONENT 96.8 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--DENVER is 59-38 OVER (+17.1 Units) as a home favorite over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 110.1, OPPONENT 101.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 33-15 OVER (+16.4 Units) in home games after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 112.4, OPPONENT 103.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--DENVER is 21-6 OVER (+14.3 Units) in home games after allowing 100 points or more 3 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 111.7, OPPONENT 103.1 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--DENVER is 17-35 against the 1rst half line (-21.4 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 51.9, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 4*)
--ORLANDO is 33-16 against the 1rst half line (+15.2 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 55.9, OPPONENT 47.7 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--DENVER is 35-17 UNDER (+16.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DENVER 51.9, OPPONENT 52.5 - (Rating = 3*)
--ORLANDO is 68-45 UNDER (+18.3 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 48.7, OPPONENT 47.2 - (Rating = 3*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATIONS
--------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 (DENVER) - after going over the total by more than 24 points in their previous game, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 75%).
(24-5 since 1996.) (82.8%, +18.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 204.4
The average score in these games was: Team 108.2, Opponent 104 (Total points scored = 212.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 17 (58.6% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-2).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
--PLAY UNDER - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 (DENVER) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season, after 5 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 47% or higher.
(43-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.4%, +27.6 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 103.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 47.1, Opponent 49.3 (Total first half points scored = 96.5)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (28-8).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (59-40).
__________________________________
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*** MINNESOTA @ GOLDEN STATE (2.5, O/U 217) ***
------------------------------------------------
The Minnesota Timberwolves have lost nine of 11, and are coming off a 31-point thrashing. The Golden State Warriors' last month somehow has been even worse. A win at Minnesota in late November was the Warriors' only victory in their last 13 games. They'll try to snap out of that horrendous stretch Tuesday night at home while spoiling the likely season debuts of Jonny Flynn and Martell Webster with the Timberwolves. Minnesota had dropped eight of 10 heading into Chicago on Saturday, but the losses weren't particularly ugly.
Only twice had the Timberwolves lost by more than 10 points, and those came against Dallas and the Los Angeles Lakers. There was nothing competitive about their performance against the Bulls. Minnesota turned the ball over 20 times and fell behind by 21 by halftime in a discouraging 113-82 loss. "We're not mature enough a team defensively to have our defense lock a team like this down," coach Kurt Rambis said. "This is just one game, but we clearly didn't come out with the energy we had been playing with. The guys in there know it."
Golden State has had a much more difficult time being competitive lately. The Warriors have been outscored by an average of 11.1 points in their last 13 games, picking up their 12th loss in that span Monday at Utah, 108-95. "Our guys are giving it to me," coach Keith Smart said. "They're giving me what is necessary to get us moving in the right direction, to win. Now we just need to make sure we can stay together as a unit."
Golden State has played its last two games without Stephen Curry, who sprained his right ankle Wednesday at San Antonio - the fourth time he's seriously rolled it in the past two months. Curry might be out for a while, which has to be a relief to the Timberwolves. They've lost their four meetings with the Warriors since Curry entered the league by an average of 16.5 points, including a 146-105 rout in their last trip to Oakland on Nov. 9, 2009. Curry has averaged 23.5 points, 10.5 assists and 5.0 steals in the last two Golden State wins in the series.
The Timberwolves might want to focus their attention on Dorell Wright. Golden State's offseason acquisition had a career-high 30 points - hitting 9 of 12 3-pointers - in a 104-94 win at the Target Center on Nov. 27. That was enough to impress Minnesota's Michael Beasley, who played with Wright the past two seasons in Miami. "He just needed a shot," said Beasley, who had 28 points in the loss. "He just needed some minutes."
Beasley and Kevin Love - who has 20 points and 15 rebounds in six straight games, a first since Charles Barkley accomplished the feat in 1989-90 - should be getting some much-needed help Tuesday. Flynn is expected to make his season debut after working his way back from July hip surgery with two games in the NBDL. Swingman Martell Webster also should make his first appearance in a Timberwolves uniform since being acquired from Portland in June. He had back surgery during training camp. Flynn - picked one spot ahead of Curry in the 2009 draft - averaged 15.0 points, 6.0 assists and 5.3 turnovers last season against Golden State.
*STAN'S FORECASTER - Golden St by 3, O/U 213.5
*STAN'S POWER LINE - Golden St -2.5
*OUTPLAY FACTOR - Golden St -0.97
________________________________________
• TOP RATED TEAM ATS TRENDS
---------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 38-17 ATS (+19.1 Units) after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 109.9, OPPONENT 111.7 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 29-11 ATS (+16.9 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 112.5, OPPONENT 113.4 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 20-36 ATS (-19.4 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.7, OPPONENT 109.9 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 22-36 ATS (-17.6 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 98.5, OPPONENT 109.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 69-43 OVER (+21.7 Units) in home games versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 106.7, OPPONENT 106.0 - (Rating = 4*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 63-39 OVER (+20.1 Units) in home games after 4 or more consecutive losses since 1996.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 99.6, OPPONENT 102.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--GOLDEN STATE is 34-15 OVER (+17.4 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 116.8, OPPONENT 112.9 - (Rating = 3*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF TRENDS
----------------------------------
--MINNESOTA is 53-78 against the 1rst half line (-32.8 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 6+ points/game since 1996.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.9, OPPONENT 47.6 - (Rating = 5*)
--MINNESOTA is 21-38 against the 1rst half line (-20.8 Units) versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 48.4, OPPONENT 56.3 - (Rating = 4*)
• TOP RATED TEAM FIRST HALF OVER/UNDER TRENDS
---------------------------------------------
--GOLDEN STATE is 11-0 OVER (+11.0 Units) the 1rst half total after 3 or more consecutive unders over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 57.5, OPPONENT 62.3 - (Rating = 4*)
--MINNESOTA is 25-7 OVER (+17.2 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 49.8, OPPONENT 61.1 - (Rating = 3*)
--MINNESOTA is 17-2 OVER (+14.8 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a blowout loss by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 50.9, OPPONENT 62.2 - (Rating = 4*)
• HIGHEST RATED SUPER SITUATION
-------------------------------
--PLAY OVER - All teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (GOLDEN STATE) - playing on back-to-back days, in a game involving two bad teams (25% to 40%).
(84-34 since 1996.) (71.2%, +46.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 104.4
The average first half score in these games was: Team 53.9, Opponent 55.3 (Total first half points scored = 109.2)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (39-16).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (52-20).
____________________________________________
Justin "NO" Covers
Justin had his best night in two weeks by only losing the vig. He had 2 wins, two losses and a push.
This brings his 8 day total to 14-31-2.
Keep posting his plays Carv96. You make yourself look dumber than Justin"NO" Covers. (if thats possible).
And learn how to write and spell.
Pure gold boys. Hop on the gravy train !!
Justin had his best night in two weeks by only losing the vig. He had 2 wins, two losses and a push.
This brings his 8 day total to 14-31-2.
Keep posting his plays Carv96. You make yourself look dumber than Justin"NO" Covers. (if thats possible).
And learn how to write and spell.
Pure gold boys. Hop on the gravy train !!
BOB BALFE
NBA---NJ Nets +1
Philly is 1-10 on the road this season. Until they start winning games away from home, then we should fade them especially with such a low line. Take the Nets.
CBB----Louisville Cardinals -13.5
Drexel is not a bad team but are facing a undefeated Cardinals team tonight. Louisville has too much talent and size for this small Drexel program. The Cardinals should get an easy home win tonight to remain unbeaten. Take Louisville.
NBA---NJ Nets +1
Philly is 1-10 on the road this season. Until they start winning games away from home, then we should fade them especially with such a low line. Take the Nets.
CBB----Louisville Cardinals -13.5
Drexel is not a bad team but are facing a undefeated Cardinals team tonight. Louisville has too much talent and size for this small Drexel program. The Cardinals should get an easy home win tonight to remain unbeaten. Take Louisville.
