Craig Davis
50 Dimes Miami Heat
Blowout city tonight as I believe the Utah Jazz, who have struggled on the road, are completely overmatched and have very little shot of winning tonight's game, let alone keeping this thing within nine points. Though they had some chemistry issues early on, Dwayne Wade, LeBron James and Chris Bosh have finally started to figure each other out and have, for the most part, dominated their opponents. Granted, they are human and have slipped up twice, in Boston and in New Orleans, but this team is loaded with talent and I really respect how they pride themselves in their defensive effort... something Utah could care less about. And think about the Heat's two losses this year... Boston and New Orleans... those two teams are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA and are the only type of team to give Miami fits. Not Utah.
Miami, as a franchise, shoots for its eighth straight home win over Utah tonight and 9th in 11 tries overall, including a run of 11 ATS covers in the last 12 meetings. So if Miami has had this type of dominance over the Jazz in the past, once can only wonder how ugly it's going to get tonight down in South Florida. This Miami offense hit a major milestone over the weekend as all three superstars scored at least 20 points for the first time this year. Wade had 29, James ended with 23 and Bosh added 21. Balance, finally.
Miami opened this six-game homestand against the Nets, winning 101-89, which dropped their average margin of victory (at home) to 23.4 over their first three home wins. 23.4 PPG is what they're beating teams by in three tries... impressive. And, as previously mentioned, the Heat has enjoyed a lot of success vs. the Jazz in the past, having last lost at home to Utah on March 10th of 2003. And although he wasn't playing with Miami at the time, LeBron James is averaging 33.3 points per game against Utah since 2007-08 while Dwayne Wade averages 32.3 PPG at home in his six seasons with the Heat.
But I'll say it again, this team prides itself in defense first, feeding its offense from the transition game off turnovers. The Heat are limiting teams to 40.4% shooting while holding all seven opponents to fewer than 100 points this year. The trick tonight will be keeping Utah quiet from behind the arc. In their victories this year, the Jazz are averaging 118 PPG and hitting 45% of their three-pointers. In their three losses they are shooting just 22% from downtown and scoring just 87 PPG.
Utah is the type of team Miami should have no problem "getting up" for and I'm expecting something in the neighborhood of a 105-88 Miami win.
50 Dimes Miami Heat
Blowout city tonight as I believe the Utah Jazz, who have struggled on the road, are completely overmatched and have very little shot of winning tonight's game, let alone keeping this thing within nine points. Though they had some chemistry issues early on, Dwayne Wade, LeBron James and Chris Bosh have finally started to figure each other out and have, for the most part, dominated their opponents. Granted, they are human and have slipped up twice, in Boston and in New Orleans, but this team is loaded with talent and I really respect how they pride themselves in their defensive effort... something Utah could care less about. And think about the Heat's two losses this year... Boston and New Orleans... those two teams are two of the best defensive teams in the NBA and are the only type of team to give Miami fits. Not Utah.
Miami, as a franchise, shoots for its eighth straight home win over Utah tonight and 9th in 11 tries overall, including a run of 11 ATS covers in the last 12 meetings. So if Miami has had this type of dominance over the Jazz in the past, once can only wonder how ugly it's going to get tonight down in South Florida. This Miami offense hit a major milestone over the weekend as all three superstars scored at least 20 points for the first time this year. Wade had 29, James ended with 23 and Bosh added 21. Balance, finally.
Miami opened this six-game homestand against the Nets, winning 101-89, which dropped their average margin of victory (at home) to 23.4 over their first three home wins. 23.4 PPG is what they're beating teams by in three tries... impressive. And, as previously mentioned, the Heat has enjoyed a lot of success vs. the Jazz in the past, having last lost at home to Utah on March 10th of 2003. And although he wasn't playing with Miami at the time, LeBron James is averaging 33.3 points per game against Utah since 2007-08 while Dwayne Wade averages 32.3 PPG at home in his six seasons with the Heat.
But I'll say it again, this team prides itself in defense first, feeding its offense from the transition game off turnovers. The Heat are limiting teams to 40.4% shooting while holding all seven opponents to fewer than 100 points this year. The trick tonight will be keeping Utah quiet from behind the arc. In their victories this year, the Jazz are averaging 118 PPG and hitting 45% of their three-pointers. In their three losses they are shooting just 22% from downtown and scoring just 87 PPG.
Utah is the type of team Miami should have no problem "getting up" for and I'm expecting something in the neighborhood of a 105-88 Miami win.
SAFESTWAGERING
Toledo Rockets (6-3)
@ N. Illinois Huskies (7-2) 8:00 ET
I'm not willing to pick a side this evening. Both teams have
good coaching, similar recruiting, and comparable records.
Even the student enrollment at each school is almost identical.
Unless you're a big fan of The Mid American Conference, you won't
know many of the players tonight. Toledo has dominated
the series 29-8, but N. Illinois is arguably the better team now (ranked 35th).
Those in favor of The Rockets will point out that their opponents
are a combined 34-39, while The Huskies opponents are 28-45.
If you like the Huskies, you can argue that they have been
competitive with a tougher strength of schedule and are
going for their 7th win in a row.
The line has been fluctuating between -10.5 and -12 (Huskies), which seems pretty honest, and not worth a bet.
Toledo shows no real dominance home or away, but N. Illinois'
defense plays much better at home. The coach has acknowledged
that they need to start pressing on D, earlier in the game.
In the 2nd half of of their last 3 games. The Huskies had held the opposition scoreless, until Western Michigan got a late TD last week.
Toledo's defense has some interesting numbers. Throw out
the Boise St. contest, and they have only given up an average of
16ppg on the road.
Take The Under
Toledo Rockets (6-3)
@ N. Illinois Huskies (7-2) 8:00 ET
I'm not willing to pick a side this evening. Both teams have
good coaching, similar recruiting, and comparable records.
Even the student enrollment at each school is almost identical.
Unless you're a big fan of The Mid American Conference, you won't
know many of the players tonight. Toledo has dominated
the series 29-8, but N. Illinois is arguably the better team now (ranked 35th).
Those in favor of The Rockets will point out that their opponents
are a combined 34-39, while The Huskies opponents are 28-45.
If you like the Huskies, you can argue that they have been
competitive with a tougher strength of schedule and are
going for their 7th win in a row.
The line has been fluctuating between -10.5 and -12 (Huskies), which seems pretty honest, and not worth a bet.
Toledo shows no real dominance home or away, but N. Illinois'
defense plays much better at home. The coach has acknowledged
that they need to start pressing on D, earlier in the game.
In the 2nd half of of their last 3 games. The Huskies had held the opposition scoreless, until Western Michigan got a late TD last week.
Toledo's defense has some interesting numbers. Throw out
the Boise St. contest, and they have only given up an average of
16ppg on the road.
Take The Under
BIG AL's 56-25 ATS NBA ROADKILL WINNER!
Nets At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Nets minus the points over Cleveland as we will fade the Cavaliers, who come into Tuesday's game off back to back upset wins. Last Friday, the Cavs went into Philly and upset the Sixers 123-116, as 5-point dogs. And then, last Saturday, they downed the Wizards 107-102 as 5-point dogs. Unfortunately for the Cavs, road dogs off back-to-back 5-point upset road wins are a poor 25-56 ATS since 1990! The Nets got off to a 2-0 start this with wins over Detroit and Sacramento, but have dropped four straight, largely due to playing Miami (twice) and Orlando in three of those four defeats. But the Cavaliers are nowhere near as good as those two clubs, and New Jersey will get back on the winning track today. Lay the points with New Jersey.
Nets At 7:05 pm, our selection is on the New Jersey Nets minus the points over Cleveland as we will fade the Cavaliers, who come into Tuesday's game off back to back upset wins. Last Friday, the Cavs went into Philly and upset the Sixers 123-116, as 5-point dogs. And then, last Saturday, they downed the Wizards 107-102 as 5-point dogs. Unfortunately for the Cavs, road dogs off back-to-back 5-point upset road wins are a poor 25-56 ATS since 1990! The Nets got off to a 2-0 start this with wins over Detroit and Sacramento, but have dropped four straight, largely due to playing Miami (twice) and Orlando in three of those four defeats. But the Cavaliers are nowhere near as good as those two clubs, and New Jersey will get back on the winning track today. Lay the points with New Jersey.
Almost disrespectful to say thank you to the guy that you make transfer your daily annoying ATS requests to the proper request thread. If you want to thank him, why not be patient for the ATS post which has been posted everyday. I mean c'mon, don't you even feel the least bit embarrassed causing CPaW extra work each day for a service he always posts when he gets it. Over 90 of your last 100 posts in the last couple of months have been for either an ATS request or thanking for the ATS post that he has had to move. Not really sure why the mods even put up with it everyday. Once in a while if late ok but everyday? No respect or appreciation for the free service you are being supplied. Try to show some class in the future.
@)Evan Altemus
3 Units Clippers / Hornets Under192.5
The Clippers offense is still poor despite their recent success. Their high scoring game against Utah is deceiving because that game went to double overtime and ended with 182 combined points in regulation. Baron Davis is not happy at all playing with the Clippers, and Los Angeles really doesn't have any other good scorers other than Eric Gordon. That's not good news when they are facing one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. New Orleans has had held all opponents under 100 points this season but hasn't been particularly explosive on offense. The Hornets scored 107 points at Houston and 101 points against Denver, but they were forced to be higher scoring in those games because the games were very close. New Orleans won't need to keep trying to score points in this game because I think they will control this game throughout and dominate the Clippers with their defense. Look for this game to go under the total.
3 Units Clippers / Hornets Under192.5
The Clippers offense is still poor despite their recent success. Their high scoring game against Utah is deceiving because that game went to double overtime and ended with 182 combined points in regulation. Baron Davis is not happy at all playing with the Clippers, and Los Angeles really doesn't have any other good scorers other than Eric Gordon. That's not good news when they are facing one of the best defensive teams in the NBA. New Orleans has had held all opponents under 100 points this season but hasn't been particularly explosive on offense. The Hornets scored 107 points at Houston and 101 points against Denver, but they were forced to be higher scoring in those games because the games were very close. New Orleans won't need to keep trying to score points in this game because I think they will control this game throughout and dominate the Clippers with their defense. Look for this game to go under the total.
