Service Plays Tuesday 11/10/09

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NCAAF LONG SHEET

Week 11

Tuesday, November 10

OHIO U (6 - 3) at BUFFALO (3 - 6) - 11/10/2009, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
BUFFALO is 2-0 straight up against OHIO U over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NCAAF SHORT SHEET

Week 11

Tuesday, 11/10/2009

OHIO U at BUFFALO, 7:00 PM ET ESPN2
OHIO U: 11-3 ATS off road game
BUFFALO: 25-12 Over vs. conference
 
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NCAAF ADDITIONAL

Week 11

Trend Report

Tuesday, November 10

7:00 PM
OHIO vs. BUFFALO
Ohio is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Buffalo
Ohio is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
Buffalo is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
 
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NBA ADDITIONAL

Tuesday, November 10

Trend Report

7:00 PM
ORLANDO vs. CHARLOTTE
Orlando is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Orlando's last 6 games on the road
Charlotte is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Orlando
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Charlotte's last 8 games when playing Orlando
 

CHRISTOPHERWALKEN
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Underground Sports Connection

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Tuesday

200* Over 198- Thunder/Kings
 

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Eafra Soccer:

15-4-1 on last 20 top soccer plays!
19-10 on last 29 NHL plays!
4-0 on last 4 MNF plays!

11/10/09:

Real Madrid -3/3.5

Good luck bettors!
Twitter: EafraSoccer
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Steelers (-3) last night.

Today it's the Nuggets and Flames. The surplus is 625 sirignanos.
 
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DCI
Orlando 93, CHARLOTTE 90
MIAMI 103, Washington 90
Denver 105, CHICAGO 104
Portland 99, MEMPHIS 91
DALLAS 98, Houston 97
Oklahoma City vs. SACRAMENTO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
 
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DCI
Season: 84-59 (.587)

Pittsburgh vs. BOSTON: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Minnesota vs. TORONTO: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Calgary vs. MONTREAL: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Edmonton vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vancouver vs. ST. LOUIS: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
SAN JOSE 3, Nashville 2
 
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DUNKEL NHL

Calgary at Montreal

The Flames look to take advantage of a Montreal team that is 0-5 in its last 5 games versus the Western Conference. Calgary is the pick (-120) according to Dunkel, which has the Flames favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-120). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Pittsburgh at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 11.973; Boston 11.346
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+125); Under

Game 3-4: Minnesota at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.324; Toronto 12.488
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-140); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-140); Over

Game 5-6: Calgary at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.680; Montreal 11.571
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-120); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-120); Under

Game 7-8: Edmonton at Ottawa
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.194; Ottawa 10.773
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 9-10: Vancouver at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.061; St. Louis 11.375
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 11-12: Nashville at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Nashville 11.587; San Jose 12.986
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-250); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-250); Over
 
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DUNKEL NBA

Portland at Memphis

The Blazers look to build on their 7-2 ATS record in their last 9 road games. Portland is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by 8 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Portland (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 501-502: Orlando at Charlotte
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 122.319; Charlotte 119.394
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 3; 188
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 503-504: Washington at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 118.531; Miami 123.037
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 4 1/2; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 187 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+6 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: Denver at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 121.691; Chicago 121.149
Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 207 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 2; 204
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+2); Over

Game 507-508: Portland at Memphis
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 123.688; Memphis 115.046
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 8 1/2; 207
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 203
Dunkel Pick: Portland (-5 1/2); Over

Game 509-510: Houston at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 120.798; Dallas 128.434
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7 1/2; 191 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 6; 199
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-6); Under

Game 511-512: Oklahoma City at Sacramento
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 114.982; Sacramento 116.201
Dunkel Line & Total: Sacramento by 1; 195
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 1 1/2; 199 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Sacramento (+1 1/2); Under
 
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DUNKEL
Ohio at Buffalo

The Bobcats look to build on their 6-1-1 ATS record in their last 8 games as a road underdog. Ohio is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Bobcats favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+1 1/2). .

TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10
Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST
Game 101-102: Ohio at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio 85.578; Buffalo 78.803
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 5; 42
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 1 1/2; 45
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (+1 1/2); Under
 
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Pick ‘n’ roll: Tuesday’s best NBA bets


Orlando Magic at Charlotte Bobcats (NA)

The Magic pulled a disappearing act Sunday night in Oklahoma City when the Thunder beat the defending Eastern Conference champs 102-74.

Orlando players said the right things to the press following the game about how it was “embarrassing” and they shouldn’t be quitting like that in a regular season game.

But reporters say Dwight Howard was singing in the shower after the disappointing loss.

“It doesn’t seem to bother anybody in the locker room,” coach Stan Van Gundy told the Orlando Sentinel.

There are no excuses to lose that badly, but Orlando is shorthanded these days. Matt Barnes didn’t play because of flu-like symptoms leaving the team with just nine healthy bodies on Sunday.

Vince Carter is expected to return to the lineup on Tuesday, but the club is still missing Ryan Anderson (ankle), Rashard Lewis (suspension) and Mickael Pietrus (flu).

Orlando plays Cleveland on Wednesday, so the group could overlook the Bobcats a bit.

Pick: Under

Denver Nuggets at Chicago Bulls (+1.5, 204)

The Nuggets started out 5-0 with covers in four of those games. But George Karl’s boys are 0-2 in their last two games, losing by a combined 36 points along the way.

Denver welcomes sixth man extraordinaire J.R. Smith back tonight. The talented two-guard will make his first appearance this season after serving a seven-game suspension.

“He’s getting the repetitions he’s needed,” Karl told the Denver Post. “It’s not as easy as people think. J.R. is going to have some rust.”

Karl would probably prefer to add another big to his rotation, especially with power forward Kenyon Martin nursing a sore left leg.

Smith joins a crowded backcourt that includes Ty Lawson, Chauncey Billups, Anthony Carter, Arron Afflalo and Joey Graham.

Chicago’s Luol Deng should matchup well against Carmelo Anthony. He has the strength and athleticism to keep up with Melo.

The Bulls have kept games close all season. Expect that to continue Tuesday against the Nuggets.

Pick: Bulls
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

Ohio (6-3, 5-4 ATS) at Buffalo (3-6, 4-5 ATS)

The Mid-American Conference gets the national spotlight to itself as Ohio – looking to remain in the hunt for the MAC East Division title – travels to Buffalo for a divisional battle.

The Bobcats went on the road on Halloween and held off lowly Ball State 20-17, but failed to cover as a 5½-point road favorite. Ohio is 4-1 SU since MAC play began, but after cashing in the first three, it has come up short against the number the last two weeks. The Bobcats, who trail Temple by a game in the East Division standings, have stepped up on defense the last four weeks, allowing just 12.75 ppg.

The Bulls’ difficult season continued a week ago tonight when they blew a 29-16 fourth-quarter lead to Bowling Green, falling 30-29 as a three-point home favorite. Buffalo, which lost to Bowling Green despite a 411-361 edge in total offense (262-48 in rushing), has dropped six of its last eight games (3-5 ATS), with the last three decided by a total of eight points.

Buffalo has posted double-digit upset wins over Ohio the last two years, winning 31-10 as a four-point home ‘dog in 2007 and 32-19 as a 1½-point road pup last season. The home team has won eight of the last 10 in this rivalry dating to 1999, going 7-3 ATS. The SU winner has covered in nine of the last 10 meetings.

Ohio is on ATS runs of 5-2 overall, 5-2 in MAC action, 8-3-1 on the road, 6-1-1 as a road underdog, 5-1-1 after a SU victory and 7-3 after a non-cover. On the downside, the Bobcats are 4-12-1 ATS in their last 17 games when catching three points or less. The Bulls have covered in eight of their last 11 when coming off a non-cover, but otherwise are in pointspread slumps of 2-7 at home and 0-6 as a favorite (all at home).

The Bobcats have stayed under the total in four straight games (all in conference), but the over is 4-1 in their last five November outings and 7-1 in their last eight as an underdog of three points or less. Meanwhile, Buffalo carries “over” trends of 8-3 in conference play, 5-2 as a favorite (all at home) and 5-1 against winning teams. Finally, three of the last four meetings in this rivalry have topped the posted total.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OHIO and OVER


NBA

Denver (5-2, 4-3 ATS) at Chicago (4-2, 2-4 ATS)

The suddenly slumping Nuggets continue their six-game Eastern Conference road swing with a stop at the United Center for a battle with the Bulls.

Denver ripped off five straight victories to begin the season, including wins of 18 and 28 points to start this road trip, but has since hit the skids in losses to the Heat (96-88 as a one-point road favorite) and Hawks (125-100 as a three-point underdog). In Saturday’s 25-point loss in Atlanta, the Nuggets shot just 41 percent from the field (2-for-10 from three-point range), while the Hawks made 51.7 percent of their shots (8-for-19 from three-point range). After averaging 115.4 points during its five-game winning streak to tip off the season, Denver has averaged 94 ppg in the last two.

Chicago carries a three-game winning streak into this contest, with all three coming by a total of six points. The Bulls beat Milwaukee 83-81 a week ago today, stunned Cleveland 86-85 on Thursday and then edged Charlotte 93-90 on Saturday, but they cashed just once (in Cleveland as an 11½-point underdog). Chicago, which has failed to cover in four of its last five games, has been riding its defense early in the year, yielding 90 points or less in four of its six games.

These non-conference foes meet twice each season, and the home team has swept the two-game series the last three years (5-1 ATS). Last year, the Nuggets crushed the Bulls 114-101 as an 8½-point favorite, but the Bulls returned the favor at the United Center with a 116-99 rout as a 1½-point underdog. Still, going back to 2003, Denver is on a 9-3 ATS roll against Chicago.

Despite stumbling in its last two games, Denver is still on positive pointspread surges of 25-10 overall, 9-3 on the road, 7-2 after a defeat and 6-2 when coming off a double-digit loss. However, George Karl’s club has failed to cover in 10 of its last 13 against Eastern Conference opponents and five of six versus the Central Division. Conversely, Chicago is 12-3-1 ATS in its last 16 against the Western Conference, but is otherwise in pointspread funks of 1-4 overall, 1-6-1 at home and 1-3-1 after two days of rest.

The over is 16-6 in Denver’s last 22 games against the Central Division, but the under is 6-2 in its last eight on the highway and 8-3 in its last 11 on Tuesday. Chicago is on “over” runs of 4-1 against the Northwest Division, 5-1 after a SU win, 7-0 against teams with a winning record and 8-3 when playing on two days of rest.

Finally, the winning team has scored at least 109 points in each of the last seven meetings in this rivalry, all of which have flown over the total. The over is also 5-1 in the last six head-to-head clashes in Chicago.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DENVER and OVER


Houston (4-2, 5-1 ATS) at Dallas (4-2 SU and ATS)

In an early-season showdown for first place in the Southwest Division, the Rockets make their first trip of the year to American Airlines Center for a clash with Dirk Nowitzki and the Mavericks.

These teams are off to identical starts, as both lost their season opener, won their next three, then suffered an overtime loss in Game 5 and now are coming off a blowout home victory. For Houston, it followed up Wednesday’s 103-102 overtime home loss to the Lakers with Friday’s 105-94 rout of Oklahoma City, covering as a 6½-point home favorite. The Rockets have cashed in five straight games since coming up a half-point short in a 96-87 season-opening loss at Portland as an 8½-point road underdog.

Dallas had its three-game winning streak snapped in Wednesday’s 114-107 overtime loss at New Orleans as a four-point road pup, but bounced back with a 129-101 rout of Toronto as a 7½-point home favorite on Saturday. The Mavericks have covered in four of their last five, and after scoring between 91 and 96 points in their first four games (93.5 ppg) they’ve tallied 107 and 129 in the last two. However, the defense has surrendered 114 and 101 points in the last two after giving up 80, 84 and 85 during the three-game winning streak.

These rivals split their four meetings last year, with each winning and covering once at home and once on the road. Still, Dallas is 8-3 SU and ATS in the last 11 meetings, 11-4 ATS in the last 15 clashes and 5-2 ATS in the last seven at American Airlines Center. Finally, the ‘dog is 6-1 SU and ATS in the last seven head-to-head battles, and the winner has cashed in each of the last 15.

The Rockets’ five straight spread-covers have all come against Western Conference opponents, while the Mavericks are 5-2 ATS in their last seven divisional games and 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 when playing on two days of rest.

Houston has topped the total in five straight games, but the under is 5-1 in its last six on Tuesday and 44-21-1 in its last 66 against Southwest Division rivals. Meanwhile, Dallas is 5-1 “over” in its last six divisional games, but the final three Mavericks-Rockets contests last year stayed under the total, which followed a 4-1 “over” streak in this series.

ATS ADVANTAGE: DALLAS
 
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NBA WRITE-UP

Tuesday, November 10

Hot Teams
-- Orlando won five of its last seven games. Charlotte is 3-0 at home, winning by 2-11-20 points; they covered last four games overall.
-- Miami won, covered five of its first six games.
-- Bulls won their last three games by combined total of six points.
-- Trailblazers won three of their last four games.
-- Mavericks, Houston both won four of last five games (Rockets are 6-0 vs spread this year).
-- Kings won three of their last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Wizards lost last four games, scoring 88.8 ppg.
-- Nuggets lost last two games by 8-25 points, after a 5-0 start.
-- Grizzlies lost last five games (1-3 vs spread in last four).
-- Thunder lost three of their last four games.

Totals
-- Three of four Magic road games stayed under the total.
-- Six of seven Washington games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Chicago games stayed under the total.
-- Five of seven Portland games stayed under the total; over is 4-1-1 in last six Memphis contests.
-- Last five Houston games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Sacramento games went over the total.
 

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