The correct dates for our upcoming 3 bets are listed below:
January 27: Chicago {A} bet
January 28: Sacramento {A} bet
January 28: Portland {A} bet
All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.
Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System
January 27: Chicago {A} bet
January 28: Sacramento {A} bet
January 28: Portland {A} bet
All bets labeled with either {B} or {C} are Exterminator system plays. Bet a flat percentage of your bankroll as instructed in the system manual.
Since you're a member of my Exterminator system, make sure to follow the guidelines below:
- All {A} bets are not part of the Exterminator system. Unless, however, if you have the ability to buy 3 points at -170 odds, then it is strongly advisable to place a small wager on all the {A} bets with buying 3 points, up to 5% of your bankroll. This is an optional betting strategy, which has proven to be a profitable one based on my research. Buying 3 points on {A} bets has won over 65% of the time over the years, so you should bet on {A} bets if you can buy 3 points at -170 odds.
-All {B} and {C} bets are qualified under both the original NBA system as well as the Exterminator system. For the Exterminator system, bet a flat percentage of your bankroll on both {B} and {C} bets. You do not need to buy any points on these bets under the Exterminator system.
- Remember to bet on the point spread (handicap line)
- If your team is a favorite, bet on the money line. If the team is a big favorite resulting in odds that are too unfavorable for you to be comfortable with, then you can either optionally skip the series, or bet on the point spread plus 3 points as normal (only applicable under the original NBA system), but do not continue betting on the series if your team wins the game but the bet does not cover.
Always consider the injury and the best/worst road team filters. Check the injuries to ensure your team's best player isn't out. I will always make my best effort to notify you of game-changing injuries whenever I am aware of them to ensure that you don't make wagers on team that don't pass the injury filter. However, I cannot make guarantees that I will always be able to be on top of every single injury, every game, every day, at all times. Some teams may hold off on releasing relevant injury information until much later in the day. A bet will be unofficial if it does not pass the filters of the system. Ultimately as a bettor, I always strongly encourage that if there's any uncertainty about the status of your team's best player for a game that you always check on final injury updates.
Good luck,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System
[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]Anaheim at Vancouver[/h] The Ducks head to Vancouver tonight to face the Canucks (26-16-3) and come into the contest with a 7-1 record in their last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. Anaheim is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-115). Here are all of today's NHL picks.
| TUESDAY, JANUARY 27 Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST |
| Game 51-52: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 9.102; Philadelphia 11.311 Dunkel Line & Total: Philadelphia by 2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A |
| Game 53-54: NY Rangers at NY Islanders (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 12.171; NY Islanders 11.223 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-125); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+105); Over |
| Game 55-56: Washington at Columbus (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.378; Columbus 10.875 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-145); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Under |
| Game 57-58: Winnipeg at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Winnipeg 10.773; Pittsburgh 12.301 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-115); Under |
| Game 59-60: Detroit at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.144; Florida 10.209 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-135); 5 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-135); Over |
| Game 61-62: Tampa Bay at Carolina (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.567; Carolina 10.409 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-160); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-160); Over |
| Game 63-64: Dallas at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 11.982; Montreal 10.881 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-160); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+140); Under |
| Game 65-66: Colorado at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.877; Nashville 10.911 Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-180); 5 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+160); Under |
| Game 67-68: Buffalo at Calgary (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 8.867; Calgary 11.145 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 2 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-275); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-275); Over |
| Game 69-70: Minnesota at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 10.689; Edmonton 11.557 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+120); Over |
| Game 71-72: Anaheim at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.112; Vancouver 10.769 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-115); 5 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-115); Under |
GOODFELLA FREE PICK
Tuesday Night NBA Total
504 DET / 503 CLE
Personal Play on OVER 206.5 (possible upgrade to a premium rated pick later, too).
I have this total at 208.5 and I’ve made a small(er) personal play on the OVER 206.5, with the possibility of this play being ‘upgraded’ to a ‘rated client play’, too.
Tuesday Night NBA Total
504 DET / 503 CLE
Personal Play on OVER 206.5 (possible upgrade to a premium rated pick later, too).
I have this total at 208.5 and I’ve made a small(er) personal play on the OVER 206.5, with the possibility of this play being ‘upgraded’ to a ‘rated client play’, too.
Sportswagers
Arizona @ PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA/Arizona over 5½ -104
Ray Emery versus Mike Smith has the same over/under total as Jaroslav Halak/Henrik Lundqvist and many others, which is another example of the market not making adjustments to goaltenders. Having these two stiffs in the same range as others is like a pitching matchup of Kevin Correia against John Danks with a total of 7. Win or lose, we must try and take advantage of this soft and very beatable number. We all know the Flyers can score goals quickly and in bunches. Philadelphia’s last three games saw scores of 4-3, 7-4 and 3-2. That 4-3 game was against the Sabres while the 7-4 loss was against the Islanders. The other game was a 3-2 victory over Pittsburgh in a game that featured 75 shots on net combined and 12 power-plays. Play that same game over 100 times and it goes over 5½ in 99 of them. Ray Emery has a save % of .890 and on most nights he makes Anders Lindback look like Bernie Parent.
Meanwhile, Mike Smith isn’t much better than Emery or anyone else for that matter. Smith is good for one or two good games a month. If this is one of them, so be it but the more likely scenario is that the Flyers score four, five or more. Arizona is at or near the bottom in every defensive and goaltending category, which includes being the 4th worst team in shots on net allowed. The Coyotes 107 goals against in 5-on-5 play is ahead of only Buffalo, Toronto and Edmonton. The Coyotes have allowed 20 goals against in their past five games and there’s nothing suggesting a dramatic turnaround against this offensively oriented host. On the other side of that coin is the ‘Yotes offense but we’re not asking much from them. If the Yotes, score two or more, we’re cashing this ticket. If they score one or less, we still might cash it.
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA/Arizona over 5½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)
Washington @ COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS +138 over Washington
OT included. Speaking of overrated and overvalued teams and one need not look further than these Capitals. When Braden Holtby was hot, the Caps went on a serious run but when he was average at the start of the year, Washington had trouble winning. Well, Holtby has cooled off and the result has been three losses in a row for the Caps while allowing four goals or more in each loss. That’s includes a 5-4 loss to Edmonton in which they blew a 4-2, third period lead. Another troubling sign for the Capitals is the number of penalties they are taking recently. That’s a sign of a team that is getting pressured in its own end too frequently. Washington has taken 15 minors over its past three games, which is the NHL’s worst mark over the final three games before the break. The Caps rank 22nd in the league in 5-on-5 goals for and they rank 26th in the league in the fewest time spent in the offensive end. The Caps have been getting it done with smoke and mirrors and some hot goaltending. The Caps are the most overpriced team on today’s NHL board.
The Jackets won two of three games prior to the break. They defeated both Boston and Minnesota both on the road before losing to Winnipeg at the MTS Center. The Jackets have been banged up all season. Those injuries took a major toll on them, which resulted in their very poor start. Have we not seen this movie before? It seems every year the Jackets have a lousy first half and follow it up with one of the best second halves among all teams. By the end of the season, and as a result of that strong second half, expectations are high going into the next season. Then it repeats itself. What we know for sure is that the Jackets can go nose to nose and then some against these Capitals on Washington’s best day. Other than goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky being out, Columbus is relatively healthy with every other key body back in the lineup. Curtis McElhinney gets the call in net and he’s very capable of a strong game. Based on value alone, the Jackets are truly a must play here.
Our Pick
COLUMBUS +138 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.76)
Colorado @ NASHVILLE
Colorado +160 over NASHVILLE
OT included. This is strictly a play against Predators goaltender Carter Hutton. If Pekka Rinne were healthy the Preds would be the exact same price as they are with Hutton in net and that’s a weakness in the market that we must try and take advantage of. Hutton is a 30-year-old career minor-leaguer that comes in with a save % of .897. It’s been proven over and over that goaltending is the #1 factor in determining the outcome in a high majority of games and if the market doesn’t adjust to that simple fact, we’re happy to use that edge in our favor. It’s no coincidence that the Preds are 1-2 since Pekka Rinne went down with an injury. Nashville’s only win over its last three games occurred against Washington in a game they trailed in late in the third period. Subsequently, the Preds lost two in a row to Detroit and Montreal while being outscored 7-3 in those two games.
Colorado is coming off a 3-2 OT victory against the then scorching hot Bruins. The Avs have picked up points in seven of their past nine games and over that span they scored 18 goals in five victories. Colorado played Tampa Bay, St. Louis and Boston in three successive games before the break. They defeated Boston, they outshot the Bolts in Tampa 42-31 and lost in OT and they also lost in St. Louis by a score of 3-1. Against Boston and Tampa, Colorado outshot that pair by a combined count of 78-45. Colorado’s only two regulation losses in its last nine games came against the Caps (2-1) and the aforementioned game in St. Louis. A close look reveals that the Avs are actually playing their best hockey of the year and they offer up some pretty sweet value here against a weak goaltender that has one victory this season.
Our Pick
Colorado +160 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.20)
Buffalo @ CALGARY
Buffalo +240 over CALGARY
OT included. If you’ve been following this section this season than you’re surely aware of our support for the Flames. Thing is, that support has come mostly when the Flames were taking back a price. As an underdog, these hard-working and talented Flames have had nothing but value in so many games but as a favorite in this price range with Jonas Hiller in goal (confirmed), Calgary is a HUGE risk. Hiller has had some nice games this season but he’s also had some absolutely brutal ones and that’s why he was backing up both Kari Ramo and recent call-up Joni Ortio for portions of the season. Hiller came on in relief of Ortio in Calgary’s 6-3 loss to Anaheim before the break but in three of his last four starts he posted save percentages of .829, .779 and .850. Additionally, Calgary returns home from a five-game trip and they have Minnesota and Edmonton on deck, which are much more important games than this one. On that five game trip, Calgary went 4-1 but don’t get misled by it, as they were held to 25 shots on net or fewer in every victory. That’s nothing but pure, unsustainable “puck luck”.
Give a young team that has dropped 11 in a row a week off to rejuvenate and to forget about the past and chances are they’ll come back with some renewed energy. We also like the fact that the Sabres scored seven goals before the break in two games combined against Philadelphia and Detroit. In fact, they had a 3-0 lead over the Red Wings before losing, 6-4. Those are good signs of a team that is on the verge of snapping out of it. Buffalo is going to win some games in the second half so the key would be trying to catch them at the right time in the right spot. This is definitely a “trouble” spot for the Flames in a game they could easily get caught sleepwalking through. The real key here is fading Jonas Hiller in goal at this price, which is a wager we would make 100% of the time. The last team to play the Sabres and not come away with at least one point? The Calgary Flames. Don't be surprised if it happens again.
Our Pick
Buffalo +240 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.80)
2014-15 NHL Year-to-Date
Arizona @ PHILADELPHIA
PHILADELPHIA/Arizona over 5½ -104
Ray Emery versus Mike Smith has the same over/under total as Jaroslav Halak/Henrik Lundqvist and many others, which is another example of the market not making adjustments to goaltenders. Having these two stiffs in the same range as others is like a pitching matchup of Kevin Correia against John Danks with a total of 7. Win or lose, we must try and take advantage of this soft and very beatable number. We all know the Flyers can score goals quickly and in bunches. Philadelphia’s last three games saw scores of 4-3, 7-4 and 3-2. That 4-3 game was against the Sabres while the 7-4 loss was against the Islanders. The other game was a 3-2 victory over Pittsburgh in a game that featured 75 shots on net combined and 12 power-plays. Play that same game over 100 times and it goes over 5½ in 99 of them. Ray Emery has a save % of .890 and on most nights he makes Anders Lindback look like Bernie Parent.
Meanwhile, Mike Smith isn’t much better than Emery or anyone else for that matter. Smith is good for one or two good games a month. If this is one of them, so be it but the more likely scenario is that the Flyers score four, five or more. Arizona is at or near the bottom in every defensive and goaltending category, which includes being the 4th worst team in shots on net allowed. The Coyotes 107 goals against in 5-on-5 play is ahead of only Buffalo, Toronto and Edmonton. The Coyotes have allowed 20 goals against in their past five games and there’s nothing suggesting a dramatic turnaround against this offensively oriented host. On the other side of that coin is the ‘Yotes offense but we’re not asking much from them. If the Yotes, score two or more, we’re cashing this ticket. If they score one or less, we still might cash it.
Our Pick
PHILADELPHIA/Arizona over 5½ -104 (Risking 2.08 units - To Win: 2.00)
Washington @ COLUMBUS
COLUMBUS +138 over Washington
OT included. Speaking of overrated and overvalued teams and one need not look further than these Capitals. When Braden Holtby was hot, the Caps went on a serious run but when he was average at the start of the year, Washington had trouble winning. Well, Holtby has cooled off and the result has been three losses in a row for the Caps while allowing four goals or more in each loss. That’s includes a 5-4 loss to Edmonton in which they blew a 4-2, third period lead. Another troubling sign for the Capitals is the number of penalties they are taking recently. That’s a sign of a team that is getting pressured in its own end too frequently. Washington has taken 15 minors over its past three games, which is the NHL’s worst mark over the final three games before the break. The Caps rank 22nd in the league in 5-on-5 goals for and they rank 26th in the league in the fewest time spent in the offensive end. The Caps have been getting it done with smoke and mirrors and some hot goaltending. The Caps are the most overpriced team on today’s NHL board.
The Jackets won two of three games prior to the break. They defeated both Boston and Minnesota both on the road before losing to Winnipeg at the MTS Center. The Jackets have been banged up all season. Those injuries took a major toll on them, which resulted in their very poor start. Have we not seen this movie before? It seems every year the Jackets have a lousy first half and follow it up with one of the best second halves among all teams. By the end of the season, and as a result of that strong second half, expectations are high going into the next season. Then it repeats itself. What we know for sure is that the Jackets can go nose to nose and then some against these Capitals on Washington’s best day. Other than goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky being out, Columbus is relatively healthy with every other key body back in the lineup. Curtis McElhinney gets the call in net and he’s very capable of a strong game. Based on value alone, the Jackets are truly a must play here.
Our Pick
COLUMBUS +138 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 2.76)
Colorado @ NASHVILLE
Colorado +160 over NASHVILLE
OT included. This is strictly a play against Predators goaltender Carter Hutton. If Pekka Rinne were healthy the Preds would be the exact same price as they are with Hutton in net and that’s a weakness in the market that we must try and take advantage of. Hutton is a 30-year-old career minor-leaguer that comes in with a save % of .897. It’s been proven over and over that goaltending is the #1 factor in determining the outcome in a high majority of games and if the market doesn’t adjust to that simple fact, we’re happy to use that edge in our favor. It’s no coincidence that the Preds are 1-2 since Pekka Rinne went down with an injury. Nashville’s only win over its last three games occurred against Washington in a game they trailed in late in the third period. Subsequently, the Preds lost two in a row to Detroit and Montreal while being outscored 7-3 in those two games.
Colorado is coming off a 3-2 OT victory against the then scorching hot Bruins. The Avs have picked up points in seven of their past nine games and over that span they scored 18 goals in five victories. Colorado played Tampa Bay, St. Louis and Boston in three successive games before the break. They defeated Boston, they outshot the Bolts in Tampa 42-31 and lost in OT and they also lost in St. Louis by a score of 3-1. Against Boston and Tampa, Colorado outshot that pair by a combined count of 78-45. Colorado’s only two regulation losses in its last nine games came against the Caps (2-1) and the aforementioned game in St. Louis. A close look reveals that the Avs are actually playing their best hockey of the year and they offer up some pretty sweet value here against a weak goaltender that has one victory this season.
Our Pick
Colorado +160 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 3.20)
Buffalo @ CALGARY
Buffalo +240 over CALGARY
OT included. If you’ve been following this section this season than you’re surely aware of our support for the Flames. Thing is, that support has come mostly when the Flames were taking back a price. As an underdog, these hard-working and talented Flames have had nothing but value in so many games but as a favorite in this price range with Jonas Hiller in goal (confirmed), Calgary is a HUGE risk. Hiller has had some nice games this season but he’s also had some absolutely brutal ones and that’s why he was backing up both Kari Ramo and recent call-up Joni Ortio for portions of the season. Hiller came on in relief of Ortio in Calgary’s 6-3 loss to Anaheim before the break but in three of his last four starts he posted save percentages of .829, .779 and .850. Additionally, Calgary returns home from a five-game trip and they have Minnesota and Edmonton on deck, which are much more important games than this one. On that five game trip, Calgary went 4-1 but don’t get misled by it, as they were held to 25 shots on net or fewer in every victory. That’s nothing but pure, unsustainable “puck luck”.
Give a young team that has dropped 11 in a row a week off to rejuvenate and to forget about the past and chances are they’ll come back with some renewed energy. We also like the fact that the Sabres scored seven goals before the break in two games combined against Philadelphia and Detroit. In fact, they had a 3-0 lead over the Red Wings before losing, 6-4. Those are good signs of a team that is on the verge of snapping out of it. Buffalo is going to win some games in the second half so the key would be trying to catch them at the right time in the right spot. This is definitely a “trouble” spot for the Flames in a game they could easily get caught sleepwalking through. The real key here is fading Jonas Hiller in goal at this price, which is a wager we would make 100% of the time. The last team to play the Sabres and not come away with at least one point? The Calgary Flames. Don't be surprised if it happens again.
Our Pick
Buffalo +240 (Risking 2 units - To Win: 4.80)
2014-15 NHL Year-to-Date
| Range | W | L | P | +/- (Units) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yesterday | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Last 30 Days | 27 | 29 | 0.00 | +8.10 |
| Season to Date | 102 | 114 | 0.00 | +27.05 |
GC: NCAAB Play
Tuesday card has the SEC Game of the Month on ESPN with 11 Powerful angles, 3 are Perfect. In the NBA The lead play is a 100% Power system side with 6 Dominator angles. MWC NCAAB Play below.
The NCAAB play is on Boise St. Game 562 at 11:00 eastern. Boise has won the last 3 in the series here against Colorado St and are 7-1 at home winning by an average 78-53 score. They are 4-1 on Tuesday, 13-7 ats with road loss revenge and 3-0 ats off a conference win. Colorado St held on against a game San Diego St team at home but are 1-5 ats as a road dog of 3 or less and have lost straight up 22 of 26 times as a dog. They are 0-4 on Tuesdays. Look for Boise St to win great late tonight. On Tuesday the lead play are the SEC Game of the Month on ESPN with 3 Perfect angles and a powerful Never lost NBA Super system side. Jump on now and cash out on both. For the Bonus Play Take Boise St. GC
Tuesday card has the SEC Game of the Month on ESPN with 11 Powerful angles, 3 are Perfect. In the NBA The lead play is a 100% Power system side with 6 Dominator angles. MWC NCAAB Play below.
The NCAAB play is on Boise St. Game 562 at 11:00 eastern. Boise has won the last 3 in the series here against Colorado St and are 7-1 at home winning by an average 78-53 score. They are 4-1 on Tuesday, 13-7 ats with road loss revenge and 3-0 ats off a conference win. Colorado St held on against a game San Diego St team at home but are 1-5 ats as a road dog of 3 or less and have lost straight up 22 of 26 times as a dog. They are 0-4 on Tuesdays. Look for Boise St to win great late tonight. On Tuesday the lead play are the SEC Game of the Month on ESPN with 3 Perfect angles and a powerful Never lost NBA Super system side. Jump on now and cash out on both. For the Bonus Play Take Boise St. GC
