Bet Republic (new service posted in another forum)
NBA record 42-15 (all documented, publicly)
Mil/Dal Un 198
This is from a system that is 27-7 overall, 19-6 to the Over, 8-1 to the Under. The lone loss on an Under was on 12/12/09 when it called for Under 188' and landed on 195 (also @ Dallas.) BUT . . . 25 points were scored in OT.
So, regulation ended at 170, 18' under the posted total.
NBA record 42-15 (all documented, publicly)
Mil/Dal Un 198
This is from a system that is 27-7 overall, 19-6 to the Over, 8-1 to the Under. The lone loss on an Under was on 12/12/09 when it called for Under 188' and landed on 195 (also @ Dallas.) BUT . . . 25 points were scored in OT.
So, regulation ended at 170, 18' under the posted total.
Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Minnesota -11
For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on Minnesota in this situation:
Jeremy Nash scored 22 points, John Shurna added 19 and Northwestern went on a run late in the second half to beat Illinois 73-68 Saturday night after dropping 11 straight to the Illini; I expect a "letdown" this evening.
Drew Crawford scored 15, and the Wildcats (14-5, 3-4 Big Ten) got a measure of revenge for an overtime loss last month that spoiled their first AP poll appearance in nearly 41 years. They went on a 15-2 run that turned a six-point deficit into a 61-54 lead and hung on from there, sending Illinois to its third straight loss.
The achilles heel of this team is to find consistency on the road though; dating back to last season; 7-18 SU its last 25 away from friendly confines. Northwestern also always has a difficult time against Minnesota; 2-5 ATS its last seven vs. the Golden Gophers.
On the other side of the court: I was "on" Minnesota in its home loss to Michigan State on Saturday; the Golden Gophers had this game in the bag but fell apart in the final minute; this won't happen again.
Minnesota scored only six points in the final seven minutes in losing its third straight, with an overtime loss to Indiana sandwiched between two losses to Michigan St. The Gophers led by as many as 13 in the second half.
It's true that Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS its last five overall, but it always plays strong in front of the hometown crowd; 6-2 ATS its last eight at William Arena.
Bottom line: I expect a similar big start from the Golden Gophers in this one, but expect them to clamp down on the defensive end down the stretch this time around.
Minnesota gave Michigan State matchup problems, and Northwestern will have the same issues tonight; look for MINNESOTA to improve to 10-6 ATS this season when playing the roll of favorite and for Northwestern to fall to 1-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest after 15 games into the season!
9* MINNESOTA
Minnesota -11
For a number of different reasons I believe we're getting excellent value on Minnesota in this situation:
Jeremy Nash scored 22 points, John Shurna added 19 and Northwestern went on a run late in the second half to beat Illinois 73-68 Saturday night after dropping 11 straight to the Illini; I expect a "letdown" this evening.
Drew Crawford scored 15, and the Wildcats (14-5, 3-4 Big Ten) got a measure of revenge for an overtime loss last month that spoiled their first AP poll appearance in nearly 41 years. They went on a 15-2 run that turned a six-point deficit into a 61-54 lead and hung on from there, sending Illinois to its third straight loss.
The achilles heel of this team is to find consistency on the road though; dating back to last season; 7-18 SU its last 25 away from friendly confines. Northwestern also always has a difficult time against Minnesota; 2-5 ATS its last seven vs. the Golden Gophers.
On the other side of the court: I was "on" Minnesota in its home loss to Michigan State on Saturday; the Golden Gophers had this game in the bag but fell apart in the final minute; this won't happen again.
Minnesota scored only six points in the final seven minutes in losing its third straight, with an overtime loss to Indiana sandwiched between two losses to Michigan St. The Gophers led by as many as 13 in the second half.
It's true that Minnesota is just 1-4 ATS its last five overall, but it always plays strong in front of the hometown crowd; 6-2 ATS its last eight at William Arena.
Bottom line: I expect a similar big start from the Golden Gophers in this one, but expect them to clamp down on the defensive end down the stretch this time around.
Minnesota gave Michigan State matchup problems, and Northwestern will have the same issues tonight; look for MINNESOTA to improve to 10-6 ATS this season when playing the roll of favorite and for Northwestern to fall to 1-3 ATS vs. good defensive teams which allow 64 points or less per contest after 15 games into the season!
9* MINNESOTA
Rocketman
Toledo +13.5
Kent State is scoring only 62.4 points per game on the road this year. Toledo is allowing only 62.4 points per game at home this year. Golden Flashes are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. Golden Flashes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Golden Flashes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games following three or more consecutive home games. Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This game should be low scoring and a lot closer than most people think. We'll play Toledo for 3 units tonight!
Toledo +13.5
Kent State is scoring only 62.4 points per game on the road this year. Toledo is allowing only 62.4 points per game at home this year. Golden Flashes are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games. Golden Flashes are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a favorite of 13.0 or greater. Golden Flashes are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 road games following three or more consecutive home games. Rockets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a SU loss of more than 20 points. Rockets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 50 points in their previous game. Home team is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings. This game should be low scoring and a lot closer than most people think. We'll play Toledo for 3 units tonight!
Tony George
Baylor +2.5
Road teams in the Big 12 are always at a disadvantage. Baylor is tough at home and one of the few teams who actually went on the road and competed at mighty Kansas, losing by 6 in Fog Allen. The Bears are off a win at home versus U Mass where they held them to 45 ppg. The Bears can light it up and have been hitting 51% from the floor in their last 5 games. K State after a beat down of Texas on national TV lost at home to Okie State, a team Baylor has beaten. Time for an overrated K State to get humbled again. Baylor 10-0 SU at home, and 9-1 ATS their last 10. Play 1 Unit on Baylor.
Baylor +2.5
Road teams in the Big 12 are always at a disadvantage. Baylor is tough at home and one of the few teams who actually went on the road and competed at mighty Kansas, losing by 6 in Fog Allen. The Bears are off a win at home versus U Mass where they held them to 45 ppg. The Bears can light it up and have been hitting 51% from the floor in their last 5 games. K State after a beat down of Texas on national TV lost at home to Okie State, a team Baylor has beaten. Time for an overrated K State to get humbled again. Baylor 10-0 SU at home, and 9-1 ATS their last 10. Play 1 Unit on Baylor.
Ron Raymond
Montreal +100
The Habs are 2-0 since they released Laracque who was labeled a “distraction” by management and should Halak get the nod, he’s 4-0 (100%) vs. the Panthers. When FLORIDA team played as a home team - before a division game - With 2 day off; the Panthers are 3-13-1 SU in this spot. Take Montreal.
Montreal +100
The Habs are 2-0 since they released Laracque who was labeled a “distraction” by management and should Halak get the nod, he’s 4-0 (100%) vs. the Panthers. When FLORIDA team played as a home team - before a division game - With 2 day off; the Panthers are 3-13-1 SU in this spot. Take Montreal.
Lenny Del Genio
Sacramento -6.5
Entering Tuesday night NBA action, 11 of the 15 teams in the Western Conference not only boast winning records, but are at least four games over .500. These are not two of them. Golden State is one of three teams in the entire conference NOT to have a winning home mark (9-11), but out on the road is where things get really bad (4-18). After an extended 5-2 ATS home stand, they lost at Phoenix on Saturday, 112-103. The big story here is that leading scorer Monta Ellis will be out for this game. That's 26.1 PPG, 4.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists as well as 42 minutes gone. What won't improve or decrease with Ellis out is the Warriors effort on the defensive end. They are last in the NBA yielding over 111 points per game. The rotation was already thin with Ellis in there with HC Nelson having to use players such as Cartier Martin! Sacramento has been struggling as well, if not worse, of late, but they have a great backcourt with Kevin Martin and Rookie of the Year Tyreke Evans. They are also 12-3 ATS when coming off a loss by 30 points or more. They beat Golden State by 13 here back in November and have revenge for a seven-point loss earlier this month. Take Sacramento.
Sacramento -6.5
Entering Tuesday night NBA action, 11 of the 15 teams in the Western Conference not only boast winning records, but are at least four games over .500. These are not two of them. Golden State is one of three teams in the entire conference NOT to have a winning home mark (9-11), but out on the road is where things get really bad (4-18). After an extended 5-2 ATS home stand, they lost at Phoenix on Saturday, 112-103. The big story here is that leading scorer Monta Ellis will be out for this game. That's 26.1 PPG, 4.2 rebounds and 5.5 assists as well as 42 minutes gone. What won't improve or decrease with Ellis out is the Warriors effort on the defensive end. They are last in the NBA yielding over 111 points per game. The rotation was already thin with Ellis in there with HC Nelson having to use players such as Cartier Martin! Sacramento has been struggling as well, if not worse, of late, but they have a great backcourt with Kevin Martin and Rookie of the Year Tyreke Evans. They are also 12-3 ATS when coming off a loss by 30 points or more. They beat Golden State by 13 here back in November and have revenge for a seven-point loss earlier this month. Take Sacramento.
The winningest sports handicapper on the large network of websites, Matt Rivers is now exclusively on OffshoreInsiders. Tonight he has a pick on Northwestern plus the points. They are getting 12 at Minnesota. Your local guy hopes you say TLDNR to this:
I have backed the Wildcats on numerous occasions this season and many more times than not they have treated me right so I’m going stay on this gravy train today.
Tubby Smith certainly has a dangerous Minnesota team but to be honest with you they have been fairly underachieving. The Golden Gophers were pretty much everybody’s sleeper type team in the Big 10 but at 3-4 in-conference and 12-7 overall things have not been all that great.
UM just blew the huge home lead against MichiganState and will once again be without their point guard in Al Nolen and it doesn’t appear that star recruit Royce White will be on the court anytime soon. The Gophers have major issues and have also actually lost three in a row and four of five including being a similar favorite, as today, in Indiana and falling in overtime to the Hoosiers, 81-78.
At home I can see Minnesota man up and play one of their better games here but it’s not like Northwestern is the Northwestern of old. Bill Carmody has his team looking as if they want to make the Big Dance for the first time ever at 14-5 overall with some top notch wins including beating Notre Dame, Michigan on the road, Illinois, Purdue, Stanford, NC State and Iowa State.
Guys like John Shurna, Jeremy Nash and Michael Thompson have really stepped it up in a major way and the Wildcats right now are actually a good basketball team, believe it or not. This is all without the service of stud Kevin Coble as well who has not played a game.
This is another rough spot for Northwestern on the road, I admit that, and they did fail that last test in OhioState but 10 or so points is too much here and that is the bottom line.
OffshoreInsiders Matt Rivers pick: Northwestern +12
The free picks continues to feature premium winners from the top sports handicappers. Here are two of the best from the OffshoreInsiders.com Network of winners. The first if from the winningest of all-time in terms of money won, GodsTips led by scorephone legend turned Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy.
The Center of the Handicapping Universe says take Milwaukee +7 versus Dallas.
The analysis: This is a dichotomous ATS and straight up game. We discount 98 percent of trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. If a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, we bet for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued.
Our research and experience has validated the theory this isolates teams that sneak under the radar.
Dallas has a much better home straight up record than Milwaukee does on the road, yet the Bucks are much better against the spread. Dallas is 13-7 straight up at home, but 5-15 to the number. Milwaukee is 5-17 straight up on the road, yet 12-10 where it counts.
OffshoreInsiders GodsTips pick: Milwaukee
In fact, Dallas is 9-19 their last 28 against the spread overall despite a 29-15 straight up mark.
Now the future of sports betting is forensic sports handicapping founder Stevie Vincent. He has a Level winner on KansasState over Baylor. They are getting two-points.
Forensic ATS information on this game: Baylor 0-10 home versus opponent shoots more than 45 percent but allows less than 42 percent shooting, 0-6 home favorites of three or less, Kansas State 8-2 against teams with a winning record, 8-1 after two straight games where opponent was called for 22 or less fouls per game, 8-2 overall.
OffshoreInsiders Stevie Vincent pick: KansasState
I have backed the Wildcats on numerous occasions this season and many more times than not they have treated me right so I’m going stay on this gravy train today.
Tubby Smith certainly has a dangerous Minnesota team but to be honest with you they have been fairly underachieving. The Golden Gophers were pretty much everybody’s sleeper type team in the Big 10 but at 3-4 in-conference and 12-7 overall things have not been all that great.
UM just blew the huge home lead against MichiganState and will once again be without their point guard in Al Nolen and it doesn’t appear that star recruit Royce White will be on the court anytime soon. The Gophers have major issues and have also actually lost three in a row and four of five including being a similar favorite, as today, in Indiana and falling in overtime to the Hoosiers, 81-78.
At home I can see Minnesota man up and play one of their better games here but it’s not like Northwestern is the Northwestern of old. Bill Carmody has his team looking as if they want to make the Big Dance for the first time ever at 14-5 overall with some top notch wins including beating Notre Dame, Michigan on the road, Illinois, Purdue, Stanford, NC State and Iowa State.
Guys like John Shurna, Jeremy Nash and Michael Thompson have really stepped it up in a major way and the Wildcats right now are actually a good basketball team, believe it or not. This is all without the service of stud Kevin Coble as well who has not played a game.
This is another rough spot for Northwestern on the road, I admit that, and they did fail that last test in OhioState but 10 or so points is too much here and that is the bottom line.
OffshoreInsiders Matt Rivers pick: Northwestern +12
The free picks continues to feature premium winners from the top sports handicappers. Here are two of the best from the OffshoreInsiders.com Network of winners. The first if from the winningest of all-time in terms of money won, GodsTips led by scorephone legend turned Grandmaster sports handicapper Joe Duffy.
The Center of the Handicapping Universe says take Milwaukee +7 versus Dallas.
The analysis: This is a dichotomous ATS and straight up game. We discount 98 percent of trends, but this has proven to be the exception to the rule. If a team has a great SU record but horrid ATS record or visa versa, we bet for that to continue as it is the sign of which teams are most under or overvalued.
Our research and experience has validated the theory this isolates teams that sneak under the radar.
Dallas has a much better home straight up record than Milwaukee does on the road, yet the Bucks are much better against the spread. Dallas is 13-7 straight up at home, but 5-15 to the number. Milwaukee is 5-17 straight up on the road, yet 12-10 where it counts.
OffshoreInsiders GodsTips pick: Milwaukee
In fact, Dallas is 9-19 their last 28 against the spread overall despite a 29-15 straight up mark.
Now the future of sports betting is forensic sports handicapping founder Stevie Vincent. He has a Level winner on KansasState over Baylor. They are getting two-points.
Forensic ATS information on this game: Baylor 0-10 home versus opponent shoots more than 45 percent but allows less than 42 percent shooting, 0-6 home favorites of three or less, Kansas State 8-2 against teams with a winning record, 8-1 after two straight games where opponent was called for 22 or less fouls per game, 8-2 overall.
OffshoreInsiders Stevie Vincent pick: KansasState
The Millionaires Club Guaranteed Selections
Date: Tuesday, January 26, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed: We are now 865-448 since joining this site! Bottom Line is we win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! This has proven to be very successful for us the past three years! Today we are featuring our MILLION DOLLAR COLLEGE HOOPS DIAMOND CLUB WINNER - $35 GUARANTEED! 1/26/2010
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536 Minnesota -11.5 9:00 EST
Date: Tuesday, January 26, 2010
$20.00 Guaranteed: We are now 865-448 since joining this site! Bottom Line is we win with a different approach to handicapping as we have situations that tell us what the line should be by looking at the teams stats compared to line history! This has proven to be very successful for us the past three years! Today we are featuring our MILLION DOLLAR COLLEGE HOOPS DIAMOND CLUB WINNER - $35 GUARANTEED! 1/26/2010
MILLION DOLLAR COLLEGE HOOPS DIAMOND CLUB WINNER
536 Minnesota -11.5 9:00 EST
