KING CREOLE
NBA Total Tue, 01/26/10 - 10:05 PM ƒŠ
double-dime bet 509 GSW / 510 SAC Under 220.0 Bodog
Analysis: 10:00pm ET / Golden State Warriors @ Sacramento Kings
2** BEST BET on: UNDER the TOTAL
The OU line's way too HIGH in this battle between the dregs of the Pacific Division. Particularly when you factor in the major injury issues for each team. And besides, so far in the 2009/2010 season..... PACIFIC DIVISION games in which the host is favored by < 10 points have gone 1-5 O/U.
Sacramento returns home from a l-o-n-g road trip with their tails between their legs. The KINGS lost EVERY SINGLE game on that 6-game trip... and are actually 0-7 SU in their last 7 games overall. Sharp players already know that you don't want to be riding on a home favorite off such a long road trip... and you don't want to be going Over the Total either. The King's are on a major 'UNDER" run as well... going 0-2 O/U in their last two games... and 2-9 O/U in their last 11.
Meanwhile, the Warriors are on a current ATS winning streak... going 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games... and 8-2 ATS in their last 10. From a Totals perspective, we note that they too have gone 0-2 O/U in their last two games... and 1-4 O/U in their last 5. These two teams played each other 2 weeks ago (Jan. 10th). and that game went UNDER the TOTAL by 19 points (final score: 108-101... OU line was 228).
From a System standpoint, let's first take a look at Sacramento's recently-concluded LONG road trip.
1-7 O/U so far this season: All NBA home favs of < 10 points playing off 5 or more ROAD games in a row (Kings).
Now let's look at the current losing streak for tonight's host.
2-10 O/U since 1992L All division home favorites playing off 7 or more SU LOSSES in a row (Kings)... when the OU line is 200 > points.
So far in this month of January, All NBA DIVISION games in which the OU line is 215 > points have gone a PERFECT 0-4 O/U....
I also ran a query for the opposite ATS streaks in this game.
0-3 O/U last 6 weeks: All NBA home teams play~ing off BBB ATS losses (Kings)... versus an opponent off BBB AYS wins (Warriors).
Both teams come into this one with 2 days rest...
9-25 O/U so far this season: All NBA home teams in a '2/2' REST situation (Kings). And when the host is favored by 4 > points, these games have gone 1-7 O/U since December 1st.
The Golden State Warriors traveled to Phoenix on Saturday night and lost to the Suns by a score of 112-103 (UNDER by 18 points). They may have lost the game... but they DID get the cash (as in ATS win). How's this query to seal the deal?
0-5 O/U last 3 seasons: All WESTERN CONFERENCE road teams playing off a SU road loss BUT an ATS win against the Phoenix Suns (Warriors).