Vince Akins's Pick Pack
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Matchup: San Antonio at Denver
Time: 9:05 PM EDT (Tue)
Play: San Antonio (-8 -105)
Line Source: 5Dimes
Posted on: January 20, 2015 @ 10:40:38 AM EST
4-STAR San Antonio over DENVER – If a team can’t get up at the start of the back-to-back, playing the second end of it, which is the fourth game in five nights, is not any more likely to see them play well. The Spurs are a very efficient team like Golden State, and those teams are bad matchups for the Nuggets.
Denver is playing their fourth game in five nights here. The Spurs are 9-0 ATS (8.72 ppg) since Feb 24, 2010 when their opponent is playing their fourth game in five days.
They faced Golden State yesterday and were destroyed, 122-79. The Nuggets are 0-10 ATS (-9.10 ppg) since Nov 30, 2012 after playing the Warriors.
Even as a huge dog in that game, they still failed to cover by 29 points. Teams with no rest that failed to cover by at least 27.5 points last game are 59-72-1 ATS.
Denver shot a brutal 34.5% from the field in the loss. The Nuggets are 0-8 ATS (-5.94 ppg) since Apr 23, 2011 at home after a double digit loss in which they shot less than 40% from the field.
Only two players reached double figure scoring for Denver as their starters combined for a mere 37 points. The Nuggets are 0-9 ATS (-11.83 ppg) since Jan 31, 2014 off a game in which 3 or fewer players scored 10 or more points in a loss.
San Antonio shot just 38.8% Sunday but it did not matter at all in a 89-69 win. The Spurs are 9-0 ATS (11.00 ppg) since Jan 05, 2002 as a road favorite after a game at home in which they shot less than 40% from the field.
Of their 31 baskets, 23 were assisted, their third straight game with a high assist total. The Spurs are 8-0 ATS (9.69 ppg) since Mar 28, 2014 as a favorite when at least 65% of their baskets were assisted for two straight games.
SPORTSBOOK BREAKERS PREDICTION: San Antonio 109, DENVER 93
