Steve Merril
3% play) DETROIT +7 (vs. San Antonio) - 7:35 pm ET #706
San Antonio is one of the best teams in the NBA, but they come into this game off a blowout win in Brooklyn last night. The Spurs beat the Nets 106-79 on Monday night in a game they virtually led from start to finish. San Antonio shot a terrific 53.7% (44-82) from the field while eleven players scored at least 2 points in the game. Despite the 27-point margin of victory, San Antonio had three starters play 24 minutes or more. Head coach Gregg Popovich is known for resting his key players on the second night of back-to-back sets, so it wouldn’t be a shocker to see some guys sit this game out. This is also just the second time all season in which the Spurs are playing a back-to-back road set; their last came way back in early November in games #3 and #4 when they beat the Knicks in a 94-84 lethargically played game.
Detroit comes into this game with two full days of rest, so they are the fresher team. The Pistons are also in excellent current form as they’ve won three consecutive games, and four of their last five games overall. Detroit has played terrific basketball at home where they are 13-5 SU this season while averaging 104.9 points per game on 44.4% shooting from the field and 35.9% shooting from three-point land. Detroit’s defense has been outstanding over their last five games; the Pistons held their opponents to just 91.2 points per game on 42.6% shooting from the field and 32.6% shooting from three-point land. We expect a close game throughout, so we’ll take Detroit plus the points on Tuesday night.
Play PISTONS (+) as a 3% play.
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NCAA Basketball
(3% play) WEST VIRGINIA +2 (vs. Kansas) - 7:00 pm ET (espn2) #742
Kansas is having a fantastic season as they come into tonight’s game at West Virginia ranked #1 in the country with a 14-1 SU record. The Jayhawks have been terrific on both ends of the court, but tonight’s game against the Mountaineers is simply a terrible situational spot and a bad matchup for Kansas. In their last three meetings against West Virginia, the Jayhawks are just 1-2 SU (0-3 ATS) with their lone win coming in overtime on their strong home court; they trailed by 14 points at the half in that game. Kansas will be playing their second consecutive road game, and it comes on the heels of their 109-106 triple overtime home win over Oklahoma last week. Kansas will also face 40 minutes of pressure from the Mountaineers who employ a relentless full-court press; the Jayhawks have yet to face a similar team this season. West Virginia is #1 in the country in turnover percentage meaning they force their opponents into a lot of mistakes. They also have the #2 three-point defense in the country; they hold their opponents to just 26.3% shooting from three-point land at home.
West Virginia is also having a terrific season as they come into this game with a 14-1 SU record. The Mountaineers are a perfect 7-0 SU at home where they own an incredible +36.7 point differential on the season. West Virginia’s defense has been tremendous at home as they are holding opponents to just 56.9 points per game on 40.1% shooting from the field. The Mountaineers’ offense has been phenomenal at home where they are averaging 93.6 points per game on 49% shooting from the field. West Virginia is also tremendous on the glass as they rank #1 in offensive rebounding percentage which allows them to get a lot of second-chance points. West Virginia matches-up extremely well with Kansas, so we’ll back the Mountaineers in this game on Tuesday night.
Play WEST VIRGINIA (+) as a 3% play.