NBA "TRUE STEAM" for Tuesday 1-5-09 :
1.) PISTONS opened +9....Now +8.5
Once again we have a "Steam Play" which is very easy to miss, due to the fact the adjustment made by the books looks minor...But nothing could be further from the truth, and I'll explain why...CRIS opened this game up at 9, and more importantly...PINNY opened it up at -9 (+100)...And the Outfits went to work, buying up all the DET +9 that was out there...What is really telling about the Pinny line is that it appears they didn't want the Outfits taking the points with them, which isn't what you would expect, since the betting public is expected to come in heavy on Dallas...And this is one of those games, where they can expect some "volume"...So it appears that at 9, the books felt the public would be taking the worst of it for sure...But what they didn't plan on, was the Wiseguys coming in so strong...Because I can tell you for fact, that this is a big position for the Outfits, which may even grow some...And they are the ONLY reason that this line hasn't gone the other way, up to -10...in anticipation of what's to come, as soon as the public bettors begin to get down for tonight...Finally, we can be pretty sure that the Wiseguys love this position, because they could have very easily sat back and waited on those public bettors to possibly give them even more value on this play...But as soon as one of those Betting Syndicates showed their hand...the rest decided to join the party and go to work...This is why we are now looking at -8.5, all across the board, even at Bodog...which caters to public money...VR
VR's "TRUE-STEAM"..."15-5" the L/4 Wks..."67%" OVERALL !!
1.) PISTONS opened +9....Now +8.5
Once again we have a "Steam Play" which is very easy to miss, due to the fact the adjustment made by the books looks minor...But nothing could be further from the truth, and I'll explain why...CRIS opened this game up at 9, and more importantly...PINNY opened it up at -9 (+100)...And the Outfits went to work, buying up all the DET +9 that was out there...What is really telling about the Pinny line is that it appears they didn't want the Outfits taking the points with them, which isn't what you would expect, since the betting public is expected to come in heavy on Dallas...And this is one of those games, where they can expect some "volume"...So it appears that at 9, the books felt the public would be taking the worst of it for sure...But what they didn't plan on, was the Wiseguys coming in so strong...Because I can tell you for fact, that this is a big position for the Outfits, which may even grow some...And they are the ONLY reason that this line hasn't gone the other way, up to -10...in anticipation of what's to come, as soon as the public bettors begin to get down for tonight...Finally, we can be pretty sure that the Wiseguys love this position, because they could have very easily sat back and waited on those public bettors to possibly give them even more value on this play...But as soon as one of those Betting Syndicates showed their hand...the rest decided to join the party and go to work...This is why we are now looking at -8.5, all across the board, even at Bodog...which caters to public money...VR
VR's "TRUE-STEAM"..."15-5" the L/4 Wks..."67%" OVERALL !!
Indian Cowboy's stuff today:
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>4 Unit Play. #706. Take the Charlotte Bobcats -6.5 over the Chicago Bulls (Tuesday @ 7pm est). </o>
>4 Unit Play. #706. Take the Charlotte Bobcats -6.5 over the Chicago Bulls (Tuesday @ 7pm est). </o>
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<o>4-0 in NBA in January ($+1600)</o>
>4-0 in NBA in January ($+1600)</o>
<o>Winning 7 of 8 CBB Weeks</o>
>Winning 7 of 8 CBB Weeks</o>
<o>Winning 3 Straight NBA Weeks</o>
>Winning 3 Straight NBA Weeks</o>
<o>Winning Back to Back Football Weeks</o>
>Winning Back to Back Football Weeks</o>
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<o>Daily Youtube video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZw24p8fDQ8</o>
>Daily Youtube video: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FZw24p8fDQ8</o>
<o>Comp: Nets vs. Bucks</o>
>Comp: Nets vs. Bucks</o>
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<o>You have to give the Bulls front office some credit for putting heat on the coaching staff and they are shaping up as the Bulls are 14-18 now. Chicago has covered 4 of 5 and 7 of 10 but they do come off a home loss to the Thunder and look to bounce-back here. Having said that, the Bobcats have revenge against the Bulls from an earlier loss and come off a huge victory over the Cavs and the Heat on the road. This team has consistently begin to play better as Jordan has made some quality personnel moves of late. Yes, Michael Jordan has actually pulled some right strings of late and that could just be because he is getting better at the gig after making some horrendous mistakes such as Kwame Brown and believing that Sean May can actually play. This team has brought in veteran talent such as Stephen Jackson and Boris Diaw over the last two seasons and it has added a defensive toughness to this team. Charlotte has played well at home all year as they are 11-4 at home and have covered their last four straight ballgames themselves. I like the Bobcats here with revenge and note that the Bulls are 0-8 ATS when they are an underdog by this margin and the Bobcats are 6-0 ATS against the NBA Central of late. </o>
>You have to give the Bulls front office some credit for putting heat on the coaching staff and they are shaping up as the Bulls are 14-18 now. Chicago has covered 4 of 5 and 7 of 10 but they do come off a home loss to the Thunder and look to bounce-back here. Having said that, the Bobcats have revenge against the Bulls from an earlier loss and come off a huge victory over the Cavs and the Heat on the road. This team has consistently begin to play better as Jordan has made some quality personnel moves of late. Yes, Michael Jordan has actually pulled some right strings of late and that could just be because he is getting better at the gig after making some horrendous mistakes such as Kwame Brown and believing that Sean May can actually play. This team has brought in veteran talent such as Stephen Jackson and Boris Diaw over the last two seasons and it has added a defensive toughness to this team. Charlotte has played well at home all year as they are 11-4 at home and have covered their last four straight ballgames themselves. I like the Bobcats here with revenge and note that the Bulls are 0-8 ATS when they are an underdog by this margin and the Bobcats are 6-0 ATS against the NBA Central of late. </o>
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4 Unit Play. #728. Take South Florida +1.5 over Notre Dame (Tuesday @ 7pm est). This is not going to be an easy game to win. But, it is a game that we can pull out here as keep in mind this is a conference game for both teams. South Florida is a much improved team this year as they have several key starters back and this team is the same team that beat Virginia at home earlier this year holding to less than 50 points at home. They ended up beating them by double-digits and Virginia is considered a top 50 squad in the nation. Notre Dame is a top 75 squad in the country and they are similarly ranked to South Florida. Both of these teams come off tough conference losses as Notre Dame fell short to UConn and South Florida fell short to Louisville on the highway. Nevertheless, South Florida is 8-4 ATS this year, 4-1 ATS when coming off a straight up loss of 20 points or more and the Irish are 3-10 ATS over their last 13 road games. I like the Bulls here with the home court, likely getting some home cooking calls in a close game, this team has played well at home beating the likes of Virginia, Kent State, Davidson on neutral court and nearly beating South Carolina on the road. This is also a solid public fade on the day as well as nearly 70% are riding Notre Dame here. </o>
>4 Unit Play. #728. Take South Florida +1.5 over Notre Dame (Tuesday @ 7pm est). This is not going to be an easy game to win. But, it is a game that we can pull out here as keep in mind this is a conference game for both teams. South Florida is a much improved team this year as they have several key starters back and this team is the same team that beat Virginia at home earlier this year holding to less than 50 points at home. They ended up beating them by double-digits and Virginia is considered a top 50 squad in the nation. Notre Dame is a top 75 squad in the country and they are similarly ranked to South Florida. Both of these teams come off tough conference losses as Notre Dame fell short to UConn and South Florida fell short to Louisville on the highway. Nevertheless, South Florida is 8-4 ATS this year, 4-1 ATS when coming off a straight up loss of 20 points or more and the Irish are 3-10 ATS over their last 13 road games. I like the Bulls here with the home court, likely getting some home cooking calls in a close game, this team has played well at home beating the likes of Virginia, Kent State, Davidson on neutral court and nearly beating South Carolina on the road. This is also a solid public fade on the day as well as nearly 70% are riding Notre Dame here. </o
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></o><o>Daily Research: NBA, SEC, ACC, Big10, Big12, Ivy</o>
>Daily Research: NBA, SEC, ACC, Big10, Big12, Ivy</o>
<o>Orlando vs. Indiana: Orlando beat this team by 8 earlier this year, they come off a road loss to the Bulls and look to bounce-back while the Pacers have been miserable and come off getting crushed by the Knicks and Nate Robinson on the road. A lean on the Magic off the loss here but the Pacers do have some revenge and might show some heart after the ugly loss in MSG. </o>
>Orlando vs. Indiana: Orlando beat this team by 8 earlier this year, they come off a road loss to the Bulls and look to bounce-back while the Pacers have been miserable and come off getting crushed by the Knicks and Nate Robinson on the road. A lean on the Magic off the loss here but the Pacers do have some revenge and might show some heart after the ugly loss in MSG. </o>
<o>Washington vs. Philadelphia: Washington has beat this team twice already this year so this is a big revenge game for the Sixers who come back home after a pretty good road trip. The Sixers won at Denver in a big road game and I like them here with the revenge as the Wizards just have not been able to win despite having some quality talent. Gilbert Arenas btw is a douche due to pulling out a handgun over a 25k gambling dispute with J.Crittenton. </o>
>Washington vs. Philadelphia: Washington has beat this team twice already this year so this is a big revenge game for the Sixers who come back home after a pretty good road trip. The Sixers won at Denver in a big road game and I like them here with the revenge as the Wizards just have not been able to win despite having some quality talent. Gilbert Arenas btw is a douche due to pulling out a handgun over a 25k gambling dispute with J.Crittenton. </o>
<o>Milwaukee vs. New Jersey: NJ has revenge from an earlier loss coming into this game, this is a great public fade and I wouldn't be a bit surprised if NJ wins this game at home as they did play very well against Cleveland before falling short in the end. I like Jersey here. </o>
>Milwaukee vs. New Jersey: NJ has revenge from an earlier loss coming into this game, this is a great public fade and I wouldn't be a bit surprised if NJ wins this game at home as they did play very well against Cleveland before falling short in the end. I like Jersey here. </o>
<o>Detroit vs. Dallas: Dallas here comes off getting romped by the Lakers at home. Detroit has revenge coming into this gam and I don't like how Dallas is favored by 71% of the public despite coming off the loss. Detroit has failed to cover their last nine contests however. I'm just staying away from this game. </o>
>Detroit vs. Dallas: Dallas here comes off getting romped by the Lakers at home. Detroit has revenge coming into this gam and I don't like how Dallas is favored by 71% of the public despite coming off the loss. Detroit has failed to cover their last nine contests however. I'm just staying away from this game. </o>
<o>Golden State vs. Denver: Denver has been great this year coming off an ATS loss but GS does have revenge losing to this team by 28 last time. GS has covered four of their last five here as well and that includes with wins over Boston, Phoenix and being very competitive against the Lake Show in Staples. Nevertheless, with Denver off a loss and laying the big number, no thanks. </o>
>Golden State vs. Denver: Denver has been great this year coming off an ATS loss but GS does have revenge losing to this team by 28 last time. GS has covered four of their last five here as well and that includes with wins over Boston, Phoenix and being very competitive against the Lake Show in Staples. Nevertheless, with Denver off a loss and laying the big number, no thanks. </o>
<o>Memphis vs. Portland: This is a tough call here. These two teams have split the regular season ballgames with Memphis recently winning on the road by ten points as a double-digit dog. However, Memphis is 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games including going 7-3 SU over their last 10 games as they are back to .500 despite having AI nearly crush this team's chemistry earlier this year. Portland comes off a loss to the Clips though, and has revenge, so no thanks. </o>
>Memphis vs. Portland: This is a tough call here. These two teams have split the regular season ballgames with Memphis recently winning on the road by ten points as a double-digit dog. However, Memphis is 8-1-1 ATS over their last 10 games including going 7-3 SU over their last 10 games as they are back to .500 despite having AI nearly crush this team's chemistry earlier this year. Portland comes off a loss to the Clips though, and has revenge, so no thanks. </o>
<o>Phoenix vs. Sacramento: Sac is the huge public dog here and Phoenix is the 70% public fav on the short line. Note that Sac comes off a loss to Dallas and Phoenix comes off a loss to Grizzlies at home after beating the Celtics and Lakers at home recently. With not wanting to go against Phoenix against a loss as well as not wagering on the big public fav, or going against Sac with revenge, I'm staying away from this game. </o>
>Phoenix vs. Sacramento: Sac is the huge public dog here and Phoenix is the 70% public fav on the short line. Note that Sac comes off a loss to Dallas and Phoenix comes off a loss to Grizzlies at home after beating the Celtics and Lakers at home recently. With not wanting to go against Phoenix against a loss as well as not wagering on the big public fav, or going against Sac with revenge, I'm staying away from this game. </o>
<o>Houston vs. LA Lakers: Lakers come off a huge win over the Mavs here and they lay the big number here. Houston did win at LA earlier this year and they have split the regular season. But, the Lakers are a type of team that loves to get big revenge like they did against the Mavs recently at home. Houston does come off a loss however and I hate laying the big number, so no thanks. </o>
>Houston vs. LA Lakers: Lakers come off a huge win over the Mavs here and they lay the big number here. Houston did win at LA earlier this year and they have split the regular season. But, the Lakers are a type of team that loves to get big revenge like they did against the Mavs recently at home. Houston does come off a loss however and I hate laying the big number, so no thanks. </o>
<o>Georgia vs. Georgia Tech: I would like to take GT here but Georgia comes off an embarrassing loss to Missouri on the road and coach Fox obviously will look to get his team to bounce-back. Plus, I don't like the 5.5 line as that is typically indicative of an underdog likely to do well. </o>
>Georgia vs. Georgia Tech: I would like to take GT here but Georgia comes off an embarrassing loss to Missouri on the road and coach Fox obviously will look to get his team to bounce-back. Plus, I don't like the 5.5 line as that is typically indicative of an underdog likely to do well. </o>
<o><o><o>Illinois vs. Iowa: Illinois comes off the nationally televised loss to Gonzaga at home in overtime in a thriller and they look to bounce-back. They did beat Northwestern at home and have some big wins including over Vandy as well. I can see Illinois taking out some frustration off that loss to the Zags at home on Iowa here. </o></o></o>
><o><o>Illinois vs. Iowa: Illinois comes off the nationally televised loss to Gonzaga at home in overtime in a thriller and they look to bounce-back. They did beat Northwestern at home and have some big wins including over Vandy as well. I can see Illinois taking out some frustration off that loss to the Zags at home on Iowa here. </o></o></o>
<o>Minnesota vs. Purdue: Minnesota comes off a win over Iowa on the road by double-digits and prior to that defeating Penn State at home to open conference play at 2-0. Purdue crushed WVU at home recently and they swept this team last year and coverd both spreads as well. I lean on Minny here plus the points, but I can't go against the Boilermakers here. </o>
>Minnesota vs. Purdue: Minnesota comes off a win over Iowa on the road by double-digits and prior to that defeating Penn State at home to open conference play at 2-0. Purdue crushed WVU at home recently and they swept this team last year and coverd both spreads as well. I lean on Minny here plus the points, but I can't go against the Boilermakers here. </o>
<o>Texas vs. Arkansas: Texas has only had one road game this year and that was against Rice. Granted, they did win that game by about 20 or so points and Arkansas is not that much better than Rice. Arkansas has lost to UAB and Baylor at home and frankly, they are not all that impressive this year. I can see Texas covering the big number here despite being on the road. </o>
>Texas vs. Arkansas: Texas has only had one road game this year and that was against Rice. Granted, they did win that game by about 20 or so points and Arkansas is not that much better than Rice. Arkansas has lost to UAB and Baylor at home and frankly, they are not all that impressive this year. I can see Texas covering the big number here despite being on the road. </o>
<o>Miami (OH) vs. Colorado: Miami of Ohio is 3-9 but their SOS has been insane. This team lost by a buzzer beater to Kentucky in Rupp Arena, Cincy by just four and to Xavier by just three on the road. I can see Miami of Ohio hanging tough here and likely staying inside the number. This team comes off an ugly loss to Tulsa on the road though so I have to respect Colorado for that, but this is not a gimme game for Colorado. Look for Miami of Ohio to be solid in conference play when it starts for them as this brutal non-conference SOS will help them in the long run. </o>
>Miami (OH) vs. Colorado: Miami of Ohio is 3-9 but their SOS has been insane. This team lost by a buzzer beater to Kentucky in Rupp Arena, Cincy by just four and to Xavier by just three on the road. I can see Miami of Ohio hanging tough here and likely staying inside the number. This team comes off an ugly loss to Tulsa on the road though so I have to respect Colorado for that, but this is not a gimme game for Colorado. Look for Miami of Ohio to be solid in conference play when it starts for them as this brutal non-conference SOS will help them in the long run. </o>
<o>Central Florida vs. Ole Miss: Central Florida should have tough given that they hung tough against UConn on the road losing by just 9, they come off a shocking loss to Jacksonville at hom as a likely look-ahead to this game and to lost to Big East South Florida by just four on the road. Nevertheless, Ole Miss is a very talented team that is making noise in the SEC West as they are 11-2 and top 20 in the country. I'm just staying away here. </o>
>Central Florida vs. Ole Miss: Central Florida should have tough given that they hung tough against UConn on the road losing by just 9, they come off a shocking loss to Jacksonville at hom as a likely look-ahead to this game and to lost to Big East South Florida by just four on the road. Nevertheless, Ole Miss is a very talented team that is making noise in the SEC West as they are 11-2 and top 20 in the country. I'm just staying away here. </o>
jeffersonsports
This is a guaranteed play.
NCAA FOOTBALL
GEORGIA TECH-5.5
Long term members know that we are a huge Paul Johnson fan. There will be more wrinkles in the triple option than you can imagine. Paul Johnson with a month to prepare is about as good as it gets. Iowa can try to simulate the triple option in practice but it is so hard to simulate.
Big 10 teams prepare all year for Big 10 teams. I formations and a lot of pro sets. This is nothing like they have seen. Make no mistake, Ferentz is a great coach and will be prepared. That will keep us from making it a bigger play. We will roll with GT and one of the best coaches in the country. A lot of speed for Iowa to deal with.
GT-5.5
1 unit
Good luck,
Jefferson"
This is a guaranteed play.
NCAA FOOTBALL
GEORGIA TECH-5.5
Long term members know that we are a huge Paul Johnson fan. There will be more wrinkles in the triple option than you can imagine. Paul Johnson with a month to prepare is about as good as it gets. Iowa can try to simulate the triple option in practice but it is so hard to simulate.
Big 10 teams prepare all year for Big 10 teams. I formations and a lot of pro sets. This is nothing like they have seen. Make no mistake, Ferentz is a great coach and will be prepared. That will keep us from making it a bigger play. We will roll with GT and one of the best coaches in the country. A lot of speed for Iowa to deal with.
GT-5.5
1 unit
Good luck,
Jefferson"
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Service Selections for 01/05/10
machiavellisports
NCAAF Selections:
Iowa Plus 6 - This should be played at 1.5% of your bankroll
Over 51.5 - This should be played at 1% of your bankroll
NBA Selections:
All should be played at 1.5% of your bankroll
IND Over 210
CHI Plus 6.5
MIL Minus 1.5
MIL Over 191
DAL Under 189.5
PHX Over 225
POR Minus 1
HOU Plus 7
NCAAB Selections:
All should be played at 1.5% of your bankroll
S.Miss/Marshall Over 137
ND/S.Fla Under 138
Minn/Purdue Under 139.5
C.Fla/Miss Over 145.5
Iowa/Illinois Under 137
N.Mexico Plus 4
NHL Selections:
Montreal +186 - This should be played at 2% of your bankroll
Chicago -242 - This should be played at 1% of your bankroll
Vancouver -202 - This should be played at 1% of your bankroll
Best of Luck to All !!!!
machiavellisports
NCAAF Selections:
Iowa Plus 6 - This should be played at 1.5% of your bankroll
Over 51.5 - This should be played at 1% of your bankroll
NBA Selections:
All should be played at 1.5% of your bankroll
IND Over 210
CHI Plus 6.5
MIL Minus 1.5
MIL Over 191
DAL Under 189.5
PHX Over 225
POR Minus 1
HOU Plus 7
NCAAB Selections:
All should be played at 1.5% of your bankroll
S.Miss/Marshall Over 137
ND/S.Fla Under 138
Minn/Purdue Under 139.5
C.Fla/Miss Over 145.5
Iowa/Illinois Under 137
N.Mexico Plus 4
NHL Selections:
Montreal +186 - This should be played at 2% of your bankroll
Chicago -242 - This should be played at 1% of your bankroll
Vancouver -202 - This should be played at 1% of your bankroll
Best of Luck to All !!!!
http://pregame.com/EN/main/sports-betting-stats/sportsbook-spy-insights/
Spread: Iowa (55%), GT (45%)
ML: Iowa (82%), GT (18%)
