Dwayne Bryant
Iowa vs. Georgia Tech
Bet: Georgia Tech -5.5
Usually, I'll be the first one to jump on the better defensive team when getting points. I did it with Ohio State over Oregon, just to name one recent game. But, in my opinion, this game is a completely different animal.
First, I don't care how much time Iowa has to prepare for Tech's triple-option offense. They simply cannot simulate (in practices) the speed and precision that they will see in this game. Tech QB Josh Nesbitt is a dual threat, and that's putting it mildly. Only six QBs have a better passing efficiency rating than Nesbitt, and only four have rushed for more yardage.
Second, I think Iowa's lengthy layoff hurts them here. The Hawkeyes haven't played since November 21st. Even worse, QB Ricky Stanzi hasn't played since getting hurt in the first quarter against Northwestern on November 7th. That's basically a two-month layoff for a QB that only had mediocre numbers to begin with (56% completions, 15 TDs, 14 INTs). On the other hand, Tech has played TWICE since then, and against two good teams that have already won bowl games this season (Georgia & Clemson). So I expect Georgia Tech to be much sharper from the get-go.
Third, I believe the motivational edge goes to Georgia Tech. This team got hammered 38-3 by LSU in last season's Chick-fil-A Bowl. Now they get to come back and make a statement in a BCS game.
Bottom line: Iowa definitely has the better D, but they were gouged for 195 rushing yards by Michigan and 229 rushing yards by Ohio State. So they can definitely be gashed by Tech's #2-ranked rushing offense (307 rushing yards per game). The Tech D is nothing special, so Iowa won't get destroyed in this contest. But I do see a 14-point win for the Yellow Jackets. Lay it with Georgia Tech.