Service Plays Tuesday 07/28/09

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nic

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Sam Clayton

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%"><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD class=ForumPostContentArea><TABLE style="WHITE-SPACE: normal" border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=0 width="100%" height="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD>25 DIME - ROCKIES

Vegas is completely overrating the Mets' three-game winning streak, despite the fact that New York beat three average pitchers that are either barely above .500 or slightly under. You really have you ask yourself if the Mets can keep this streak alive with a depleted lineup sans Delgado, Beltran, Reyes and Sheffield. Jason Marquis (12-6, 3.43) gets the call tonight for Colorado, who tries to avoid losing two straight for only the third time this month. Marquis has actually been better on the highway this year, he's 7-3 with a 3.23 ERA away from Coors Field. He's won three of his last four starts and posts an outstanding 1.16 ERA over that span. And given the lack of power in the Metropolitans' lineup, you have to understand that a sinkerballer of Marquis caliber will see continued success. Marquis goes up against Mike Pelfrey, who continues to fail to live up to expectations in Queens. Pelfrey is 0-2 with a 9.53 ERA his last two starts and his WHIP is a horrid 1.58 over the same duration. This means he's allowing way too many runners on base -- something you just cannot do with the way Colorado drives the ball into the gaps. This low line is an absolute gift as the Rockies will get to Pelfrey early and add another tally to their win column. Play Colorado as your Tuesday top play winner.

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Jake Timlin
Tuesday's Action
400♦ Philadelphia Phillies

List both Hamels & Haren as starting pitchers or this play is void

No passing up on the Phillies plus money tonight. Not when the Phillies are absolutely red hot having won 16 of their last 18 games and still an MLB best 30-15 on the road this year. Now keeping the Phillies rolling will be Hamels who is pitching better as of late going 2-0 in his last 4 starts and who is 1-0 with a 2.13 ERA in two starts against Arizona.

Countering for the Diamondbacks will be Dan Haren who despite his amazing ERA he is just 5-4 at home this year due to an Arizona offense that is 27th in the league in hitting.

Simple, if old man Moyer can shut down the Diamondbacks so too will Hamels who unlike Haren will enjoy an explosive offense behind him.

All Philadelphia!




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME-------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Scott Spreitzer

4* Yankees
3* Boston-1'
3* Over White Sox
 

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Yankee Capper

Chicago Cubs -110
Kansas City Royals +110
Chicago White Sox +115
Pittsburgh/San Francisco Over 8
 

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charlie sports

mlb. atlanta @ florida under 8' runs & dodgers @ cards under 7' runs ( 500* 2 team parlay ).
mlb. seattle-120 (30*)
mlb. tampa bay+140 (20*)
mlb. giants-145(20*)
mlb. dodgers+115 (10*)
mlb. atlanta-125 (10*) Bonus Play


8'= 8.5 runs
7'= 7.5 runs
 

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Wunderdog MLB 2009/07/28

Game: Oakland at Boston (7:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Boston -240 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 1.7)

Game: Oakland at Boston (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Boston -1.5 runs -115 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.6)

Game: Atlanta at Florida (7:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Florida +1.5 runs -160 (runline) (risk 3 to win 1.9)

Game: New York Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:15 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Tampa Bay +125 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 3.8)

Game: New York Yankees at Tampa Bay (7:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 5 units on Tampa Bay +1.5 runs -130 (runline) (risk 5 to win 3.9)

Game: Houston at Chicago Cubs (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Chicago Cubs -1.5 runs +190 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.7)

Game: Washington at Milwaukee (8:20 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Washington +1.5 runs -120 (runline) (risk 3 to win 2.5)

Game: Philadelphia at Arizona (9:35 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Arizona -110 (moneyline) (risk 3 to win 2.7)

Game: Philadelphia at Arizona (9:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: 3 units on Arizona -1.5 runs +185 (runline) (risk 3 to win 5.6)

Game: Toronto at Seattle (10:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: 4 units on Toronto +100 (moneyline) (risk 4 to win 4)
 
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Sportbook Guru

MLB
10 units Chicago Cubs -122
5 units Philadelphia +110
4 units LA Dodgers +115
3 units San Fran -140
 
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Unlocked - Sports

1) Atlanta Braves vs. Florida Marlins
Pick: Atlanta -112 (3 units)
This will be an exciting divisional matchup featuring two teams who are tied for 2nd place in the NL East. The Marlins have been hot as of late winning 5 of their last 6. The Braves have been just as impressive winning 6 of their last 8. I like the Braves as a small favourite in this one for a few reasons. Atlanta has a significant advantage on the mound in this matchup featuring Jair Jurrjens (9-7, 2.67) and Ricky Nolasco (10-7, 5.42). Each pitcher has been strong as of late, but Jurrjens has been incredibly dominant going 3-0 with a 1.37 ERA and 0.81 WHIP in his last three starts. Atlanta’s offense has been on fire as of late, averaging 6.1 runs per game in its last 10 contests and averaging 0.319 versus right handed pitchers during that stretch. The Marlins on the other hand have been averaging 4.2 runs in their last 10 and batting 0.257 versus right handed pitchers down that stretch. Additionally, there are a few trends that heavily favour Atlanta in this one. Florida is 3-12 in its last 15 starts as a home underdog and 0-5 in Nolasco’s last 5 starts versus the Braves.

2) Detroit Tigers vs. Texas Rangers
Pick: Under 10 -120 (4 units)
There is a substantial amount of value playing the UNDER in this matchup. The total at 9.5 or 10 is inflated. Detroit sends rookie lefty Lucas French (1-1, 2.22) to the mound. He has been faring rather well recently with an ERA of only 2.17 in his last 3 starts. This works in our favour since UNDER is 8-2 in Texas’ last 10 home games versus left handed pitchers. Vincente Padilla (7-5, 4.67) will start for the Rangers. Padilla’s numbers haven’t been fantastic but the UNDER trends related to Padilla are heavily one sided. UNDER is 6-0 in Padilla’s last 6 home starts and 7-0 in Padilla’s last 7 overall. Overall, the Tigers and Rangers have been UNDER machines as of late. UNDER is 10-1 in Detroit’s last 11 and 10-0-1 in the Rangers last 11. UNDER is 22-5 in Texas’ last 27 when the total is set at 9 to 10.5.
 

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JACK JONES

15* on Tigers/Rangers UNDER 9.5

These two teams simply aren't scoring runs like you would expect them to. The Tigers have been terrible on offense of late, scoring just 2.6 runs per game and hitting only .228 as a team over the past week. Meanwhile, the Rangers have been winning, but haven't been hitting that well, scoring 4.3 runs per game and batting .251 as a team. Luke Scott starts for the Tigers and has been very effective in his 4 starts so far. He's just 1-1, but has a 2.16 ERA and 1.38 WHIP in his last 3 starts. Rangers' starter, Vicente Padilla's numbers are very average at a 4.67 ERA and 1.51 WHIP on the year, but the under is 11-5 in his 16 starts for Texas this season. After last night's under hit, the under in Tigers' games improved to 61-36 on the year, and the under in Rangers' games moved to 61-33 on the year. We will keep sticking with the under until some major line adjustments are made.
 
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Mr. A's

Tuesday, July 28th, 2009, 9:40 PM EST.
Philadelphia Phillies (57-40) at Arizona Diamondbacks (43-57)
(L) Cole Hamels (6-5) vs. (R) Dan Haren (10-5)
Oddsmakers: Arizona as a -130 home favorite with the total listed at 7½ 'over'.

Arizona Diamondbacks -130

Tuesday, July 28th, 2009, 10:05 PM EST.
Cleveland Indians (42-58) at Los Angeles Angels (58-40)
(L) David Huff (5-4) vs. (R) Jered Weaver (10-3)
Oddsmakers: Los Angeles as a -200 home favorite with the total listed at (NA) 'over'.

Los Angeles Angels -200
 
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Gina

Tuesday, July 28th, 2009 7:05 p.m. est.

New York Yankees (61-38) at Tampa Bay Rays (54-46)
(L) CC Sabathia (10-6) vs. (L) Scott Kazmir (4-6)

New York's CC Sabathia (10-6, 3.67), is 7-1 with a 2.63 ERA in 12 career starts against Tampa Bay and is 6-4 with a 3.33 ERA in 11 road starts this season.

Tampa Bay's Scott Kazmir (4-6, 6.69 ERA), is 5-4 with a 2.65 ERA in 13 career outings, including 12 starts against the Yankees, 4-1 with a 1.49 ERA over his last seven starts against them. However, the lefthander is 1-3 with a 9.50 ERA in seven starts at Tropicana Field this season.
Let's go with the hot bats of the Yankees again tonight with their ace left-hander CC Sabathia on the hill. New York has won 11 of their last 12 games and is 9-3 in its last 12 on the road. They have won five of the last 7 games against the Rays in the Sunshine State.

New York Yankees -145
 
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Primetime Sports Advisors
42 of last 59 (71%) last 6 weeks

Atlanta Braves-Jurrjens -108 vs Florida Marlins-Nolasco
Event Date: 07/28/2009
Event Time: 07:10 PM EST
Play: Atlanta Braves-Jurrjens -108
Comments: Risking 1.50 to win 1.39

Chicago White Sox-Buehrle vs Minnesota Twins-Baker
Over/Under: 8.5 (o +110)
Event Date: 07/28/2009
Event Time: 08:10 PM EST
Play: Over 8.5 +110
Comments: Risking 1.50 to win 1.65
 
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Systems plays

MON 7/27 1-1 +.45 UNITS
SYSTEMPLAYS CURRENT PLAYS:

Tues 7/28

MLB

CHC -119 ov Hou

19-15 SINCE THE BREAK
 

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