Service Plays Tuesday 07/21/09

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Gina

Tuesday, July 21st, 2009 7:05 p.m. est.

Cleveland Indians (36-57) at Toronto Blue Jays (46-47)
(L) Cliff Lee (5-9) vs. (L) Brett Cecil (3-1)

Go with the Blue Jays tonight at Rogers Centre with rookie Brett Cecil on the hill to grab their third straight victory. Cleveland has had past success against Toronto, but presently playing horribly away from home, just 16-29 thus far this season. The Indians have dropped nine of their last 12 road games and six of Cliff Lee's last 7 road starts. The lefty is 1-4 with a 4.37 ERA in eight career starts against Toronto.

Toronto Blue Jays +105
 

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Scott Delaney
Scott Delaney Tuesday night ... 10-DIME ANGELS (WITH O'Sullivan and Chen) - Alright, it’s a re-write from last night’s Pay-After release that was rained out, as I am backing this kid Sean O'Sullivan, who has lived up to his hype and has rapidly opened eyes after his first four Major League starts. As I stated last night, this kid has done a great job in keeping his team in ball games against some very tough lineups, including Colorado and Texas. He’s displayed durability, he’s shown toughness and he’s provided resourcefulness for the American League West-leading Angels.

Sullivan has recorded 15 strikeouts against a mere six walks over 23-2/3 innings. He had his roughest start in his most recent appearance, on July 4, at home versus the Orioles, as the brawny right-hander was tagged for four earned runs on nine hits in 5-2/3 innings. He took a no-decision out of that one, and the Angels are a perfect 4-0 in his starts.

On the other hand, we’re going against Bruce Chen, whose numbers don't look so great, despite giving the Royals a chance to win in his first two starts, pitching at least six innings in both of them. It’s his last two starts that are suspect, as he lasted 4-2/3 innings and gave up seven runs against Detroit on July 7, and then surrendered three runs in three innings of his last start on July 12 against Boston. He’s 0-4 with a 6.86 ERA overall, and against a superior lineup, he’ll struggle.

After a hard-fought 1-0 win in Oakland on Sunday, the Angels have won nine of 12, so I believe they’ll most certainly be able to manhandle a Royals team that has now lost eight of nine.

5-DIME ASTROS (WITH Rodriguez) - I wasn’t necessarily a believer of Wandy Rodriguez until his last outing, in which he threw six scoreless innings against the Major League-leading Dodgers last Thursday. He extended his scoreless innings streak to 17 over three starts. He has a 0.41 ERA in his last three starts, allowing one earned run in 22 innings, and in his only appearance against the Cardinals this season he produced a quality start in giving up five hits and three runs in six innings.

And that was at Busch Stadium on April 12. This one is at home, where the southpaw is 1-0 in his last three starts there, having given up five earned runs over 22 innings for a stellar 2.04 ERA. Expanding the look at Rodriguez to his last five starts overall, he’s 4-0 with a stifling 1.54 ERA, while he’s recorded 33 strikeouts in those outings.

He’ll most certainly out pitch Todd Wellemeyer, who has had difficulty on the highway, as evidenced by his 5.90 ERA with a suitcase in hand. Trouble is for him tonight is left-handed hitters are crushing Wellemeyer with a .345 batting average and .604 slugging percentage.

This might seem like a hefty price to lay, but the Astros are 29-18 since losing a season-high seven in a row near the end of May, and they’re just three games behind the Redbirds, who have now lost four in a row at Houston dating to last season. Take the home team here.
 

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Coach K

MLB
2* A's -130, Rays -124, Angels/Royals gm #2 under 9.5 (-105), BoSox/Rangers over 9 (-125)
1* O's/Yanks over 10.5 (-120), Yanks/Nationals parlay +165

He has won his last 4 days in a row and 9 out of the last 12 to add onto his 40+ units he won in June (playing mostly 2u's a game). The dude just wins! You guys talk about all these other scamdicappers and how you need them. They don't even come close to what I've experienced with Coach K and he's FREE!

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2-0 last night, +2.16 units
31-22 overall, +5.47 units

Atlanta Braves -185, San Diego Padres +115, Cincinnati Reds +190, Seattle Mariners +147, New York Yankees -180, Chicago White Sox +125
 

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Trace Adams

1000* - Tampa Bay w/Niemann over Richard, 500* - Toronto w/Cecil over Lee
The Rays threatened severely last night, loading the bases in the 9th before bowing 4-3 to snap their 3 game winning streak.



Look for Tampa to take this middle game, as Jeff Niemann has simply been brilliant lately, going the route his last time out, in a 6-hit shutout. That moves his mark to 4-0 his last 7 starts.



The Rays will tee off on Sox starter Clayton Richard who is on a 1-2 slide his last 3, with an ERA near 12.



The White Sox pitching has looked shaky their last couple of games, and let's face facts, the Rays are a better team than the Sox.



No issue with laying a little road wood in this one.



1000♦ - Tampa Bay w/Niemann over Richard



♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦



I said it before, but this Cleveland team should be ashamed of themselves. They have talent, but this is a heartless, gutless squad that continues to slump. The Indians lost the final 3 of their 4 game set at home with the Mariners, as they have now lost 13 of their last 18 overall.



Toronto has a little momentum going, as they won their last pair of Boston to end the weekend.



Brett Cecil will go against Cliff Lee, and while Lee may appear to be the logical choice, it is hard to get excited by his 5-9 mark this season.



Cecil did work 6 innings of 1 earned run ball in the last series meeting against the Tribe back on May 5th in a no-decision.



The Jays have won 3 of the 5 season series meetings this season, and they win again tonight.



500♦ - Toronto w/Cecil over Lee



♦♦Note: Both listed pitchers must start, or no action on the play!♦♦



PAID AND CONFIRMED BY MYSELF AND CORK GOOD LUCK[/B] :toast:
 

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angels gm1 -128
tampa-120
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Matt Rivers

75,000* NL NO-BRAINER Plus Bonus Lock
Your winners here are on:



1. 75,000♦ Cubs

2. 50,000♦ Royals (Nightcap and maybe change of pitcher but stay with play as I think Chen will be in that game creating a nice takeback...Stay with second game no matter what)





1. I am not a moron and certainly understand how Rich Harden is not the consistent bona fide stud that he used to be but he does show flashes at times and when all is said and done is definitely still better than the not bad but very mediocre Joe Blanton.



The Cubbies had a rough first half partially due to injuries but with Aramis Ramirez back have looked better of late. Combine the third baseman's health along with Alfonso Soriano finally remembering how to hit a Homerun plus a semi baller in Derrek Lee and you have a Chicago club that is formidable and dangerous right now, just ask the Nationals about that.



No doubt the Phillies are the clear superior offense with total studs in Utley, Howard and Ibanez along with Rollins, Victorino and Werth. Charlie Manual's club is scary good when on and they have been just that over the past month or so. Things have been better of late at Citizens Bank for sure but this team still does not have as good of a mark at home as on the road and there may be a little something to that. There may not but there may.



The bottom line is that I just cannot pass up the Cubs flamethrower today plus some jack. Harden can be lights out if he brings that A game and I just see this as a total no-brainer.







2. Bruce Chen obviously frightens me and the Royals have been struggling ever since the solid first month to the season but Ervin Santana is far from the really good pitcher he used to be and at home to get this takeback with the at least capable enough boys from Kansas City is fine with me.



Anaheim is still a beat up club with both Guerrero and Hunter hurting and with the lack of pop right now I can see Mike Scioscia's club not perform up to expectations today. Chen is far from good but he has looked alright a few times in this, his 89th or so comeback, and up against what is a fairly punch and judy offense could make the former Brave/Met/well everything almost hold his own for six or seven innings.



The Royals have guys like DeJesus, Butler, Guillen, Teahen and a few others that do not equate to a good offense in 162 game season but there is a high enough upside to back them in this always quality home dog role.



If Santana all of a sudden looks like the hurler from last season then we are in some trouble but until that happens consistently I will gladly fade him in this spot. Yes he was better last time out in Oakland but the A's are an offense that can totally crap on themselves so I do not put all that much stock onto that eight inning one run performance.



The price is right, period!

Trace Adams

1000* - Tampa Bay w/Niemann over Richard, 50


PAID AND CONFIRMED BY MYSELF AND CORK
 
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The Duke's Sports

Complimentary MLB Premium for Tuesday:

Cleveland (-111) [Lee over Cecil] for 1.5 Units *'
Indians/Blue Jays 7:07: The Indians' pitching has been horrible this year, but the
reigning CY Young Award winner- Cliff Lee - should go deep enough into this one to
give the Tribe a fighting chance. Lee, who is coming off a 1 run complete game win
over Seattle, should stay in good form here; after all, Lee has been solid on the road
for most of the season; moreover, the Indians are 25-10 on the road w/ Lee vs teams
under .500. Furthermore, the Blue Jays have struggled with lefties this month (.236
BA). We'll look for Lee to go deep into this one to avoid the shaky Tribe 'pen.
Toronto will counter with Brett Cecil. The inconsistent southpaw is coming off a
strong outing @ Baltimore but could easily struggle here. The Indians are batting a
healthy .276 vs lefties this month and overdue to get their offense untracked. The
Blue Jays are just 1-4 in Cecil's last 5 starts.
Cleveland has won 4 of the last 5
meetings in Toronto and we'll take them here.
 

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hey

Matt Rivers

75,000* NL NO-BRAINER Plus Bonus Lock
Your winners here are on:



1. 75,000♦ Cubs

2. 50,000♦ Royals (Nightcap and maybe change of pitcher but stay with play as I think Chen will be in that game creating a nice takeback...Stay with second game no matter what)





1. I am not a moron and certainly understand how Rich Harden is not the consistent bona fide stud that he used to be but he does show flashes at times and when all is said and done is definitely still better than the not bad but very mediocre Joe Blanton.



The Cubbies had a rough first half partially due to injuries but with Aramis Ramirez back have looked better of late. Combine the third baseman's health along with Alfonso Soriano finally remembering how to hit a Homerun plus a semi baller in Derrek Lee and you have a Chicago club that is formidable and dangerous right now, just ask the Nationals about that.



No doubt the Phillies are the clear superior offense with total studs in Utley, Howard and Ibanez along with Rollins, Victorino and Werth. Charlie Manual's club is scary good when on and they have been just that over the past month or so. Things have been better of late at Citizens Bank for sure but this team still does not have as good of a mark at home as on the road and there may be a little something to that. There may not but there may.



The bottom line is that I just cannot pass up the Cubs flamethrower today plus some jack. Harden can be lights out if he brings that A game and I just see this as a total no-brainer.







2. Bruce Chen obviously frightens me and the Royals have been struggling ever since the solid first month to the season but Ervin Santana is far from the really good pitcher he used to be and at home to get this takeback with the at least capable enough boys from Kansas City is fine with me.



Anaheim is still a beat up club with both Guerrero and Hunter hurting and with the lack of pop right now I can see Mike Scioscia's club not perform up to expectations today. Chen is far from good but he has looked alright a few times in this, his 89th or so comeback, and up against what is a fairly punch and judy offense could make the former Brave/Met/well everything almost hold his own for six or seven innings.



The Royals have guys like DeJesus, Butler, Guillen, Teahen and a few others that do not equate to a good offense in 162 game season but there is a high enough upside to back them in this always quality home dog role.



If Santana all of a sudden looks like the hurler from last season then we are in some trouble but until that happens consistently I will gladly fade him in this spot. Yes he was better last time out in Oakland but the A's are an offense that can totally crap on themselves so I do not put all that much stock onto that eight inning one run performance.



The price is right, period!

Trace Adams

1000* - Tampa Bay w/Niemann over Richard, 50


PAID AND CONFIRMED BY MYSELF AND CORK


Thx iron and cork,love the TB pick,i actually wrote that on the chatter thread beacuase i didnt see any touts on it.Im not sure about his NO BRAINER pick. Has he seen the Phils play lately? Oh well,good luck and thx again
 
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Al Demarco has to be on the Dodgers run line since his pick is still available for purchase. There are only 3 NL games left on the board and it doesn't make sense for him to do the run line on the other 2 NL games.
 

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C-Stars Sports

5000 Units MLB AL Game Of The Year! Boston Over Texas
1000 Units LA Dodgers over Cincinnati
 

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