Service Plays Tuesday 07/21/09

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Indian Cowboy


4 Unit Play. Take Indiana Fever -2.5 over the Washington Mystics (Tuesday @ 7pm est). When you ride a double-digit win streak, certainly you are doing something right. The Fever were riding high going into Connecticut, where the Sun had revenge, and lost in their last game. But, Indiana has been steadily improving and their ATS backers have been cashing along the way. I like them as they come off a rare loss today as they continue their road trip into Washington. Indiana has four players averaging double-digits and they have solid depth. These two teams have not hooked up this year, but Indiana certainly has the gusto to go in and win on the road in Washington. After all, this team defeated Chicago on the road 83-54. The Mystics come off a big win 68-67 over New York at home and certainly they are riding high off the victory. But, I suspect they will likely have a let down today. This team has quite a bit of talent, but remember, they had lost to Phoenix and San Antonio at home, so certainly, they could lose today at home to the Fever who come off a rare SU loss.


4 Unit Play. Take Under 9 between the Boston Redsox @ Texas Rangers (8:05pm est). Tommy Hunter, the Bama' alum, throws for the Rangers today. He is 1-1 with a 2.35 era as he is one of the pride and joys of this team for the future. Tommy pitched six scoreless innings at Seattle and did not pick up a decision in his last start. He has certainly proved capable over his last three starts holding the opposition to just 3 runs over nearly 18 innings of work. I suspect Hanson, who faces the Redsox for the first time today will have an advantage as the pitcher typically gets the edge the first time through the lineup. I do think the Redsox coming off a loss will be successful the second time through the lineup, but for the most part, Tommy should hold his own. With the Redsox coming off a 3-6 loss yesterday, I expect Beckett to be strong today. Plus, Josh is a native of Texas and usually pitches very well against the Rangers as he has a 2-1 record with a 3.63era lifetime record against the Rangers.


4 Unit Play. Take the Oakland A's -1.5 Runs (+162) over the Minnesota Twins (10:05pm est). I've never been a big fan of the Run-Line but I think the game today has potential. For starters, the dog price is appealing. You have Braden who comes off one of his worst starts of his career. He got absolutely rocked at home by the Angels in his last start as he gave up his worst numbers of the season as it relates to hits and runs - 10 and 6. He looks to bounce-back at home against the Twins and he faces Swarazak, who has not had much luck with the A's thus far. Swarazak in his limited stint with the A's gave up 3 runs in less than 4 innings of work earlier this season against Oakland. In fact, the only reason he is starting this game is that Kevin Slowey is taking a bit longer to come back from his wrist injury. I look for Braden to bounce-back and certainly, I don't want to pay the hefty juice on the ML. If Oakland has success in hitting as they are liable today to and Braden is too bounce-back as we expect him too, then we should be able to cash on the RL. Plus, the value is there for us to take a shot at the solid value.
 

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Brandon Lang


5 Dime Brewers (Looper over Vazquez)

5 Dime Angels (O'Sullivan over Chen)

5 Dime Athletics (Braden over Swarzak)


FREE - Rays
 

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Free Silver Key Pick for Tuesday ML Baseball

COLORADO COOK -R -140 Over Arizona (8:40 et)
 

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SmartMoney

Smart Money MLB Wiseguys just hit #971 Cleveland UNDER

Smart Money MLB Over on #961 Arizona/Colorado was just hit by sharps offshore.
 

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Sam Clayton

**10-2 in 25 dime plays this year, No. 11 goes tonight!**

25 DIME - ANGELS (GAME 1)

Huge oddsmaker error by Vegas today listing the Halos as only -130 favorites in today's series opener against Kansas City. We'll get to the pitching matchup in just a second, but first let's focus on an extremely important intangible -- a diamond in the rough if you will. In their last 12 series, the Angels have taken the all-important first game 11 times. Mike Scoscia's team is remarkably difficult to prepare for and given their matchup tonight against the frail-hitting Royals, I love Los Angeles in this spot. Ervin Santana has started to turn the corner after a shaky start as he threw a three-hit gem his last start at Oakland. Kansas City counters with Sidney Ponson (chuckle), a career journeyman that is 0-2 with a 13.97 ERA in two road starts this season. I highly doubt he has any success against the Angels, a team that is capable of beating you in every single way possible. Power, speed, defense, pitching -- they've got it all. Ride the Halos in Game 1 of the doubleheader as Tuesday's top play winner.

10 DIME - TIGERS

Given the way they came up empty-handed in all three games in New York, I would not want to play the Tigers by any means as they return to Comerica Park tonight. Detroit played incredible baseball and took the Yankees to the brink every game, losing three games by a combined four runs. If those bitter defeats don't stir up the fire in the belly, nothing will. Detroit has the luxury of taking their frustration out in front of the home fans, where they are 27-13 this season. Knowing full well that they need to come out strong in order to retain their small lead in the AL Central, Detroit will be inspired and motivated to take care of business. Rick Porcello gets the call for the Tigers and he's been impressive at home all year long. In his last six starts at Comerica, Porcello is 3-1 with a 2.99 ERA and he's allowed more than three runs only once over that span. The rookie right-hander bested the M's on April 19 with a line of 7 IP, 5 H, 1 ER and nothing points to anything different tonight. Expect the Tigers to get the ball rolling at home and take the opener.
 

The Degenerate Gambler
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Destroy The Book Sports
7/21/09- Tuesday

4-1 monday
58% in July

one from their 5 play card

5*boston-170
 

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Charlie Sports

mlb. st. louis @ houston under 8' runs ( 500* ).
mlb. florida @ san diego under 7' runs (30*)
mlb. clevelnad-130 (20*)
mlb. florida-130 (20*)
mlb. washington-145 (10*)

mlb. tampa bay-140 (10*) Bonus Play
 

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Chris Jordan

Chris Jordan Tuesday's winners ...
300? PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES (LIST Blanton and Harden) - I had the Cubs as my Bonus Play last night, and boy was that a mistake. The Phils didn’t just win their ninth straight; they devoured the contending Cubs with an impressive display of power, an impressive display of defense and an impressive outing by short-term starter Rodrigo Lopez, who will likely make way for Pedro Martinez next month. Winning for the 13th time in 14 games, the Phils put a 10-spot on the board after pounding out nine hits.

It doesn’t get any easier today, for Chicago, as I believe the defending World Series champs re geared to move to .500 at home for the first time this season. The National League East-leading Phillies have won six in a row and are 10-1 at Citizens Bank Park this month after last night’s 10-1 shellacking of Chicago in the series-opener. At home, the Phils are batting .300 with 18 home runs and averaging almost seven runs this month.

I could go on and on, up and down the lineup, with this team. Raul Ibanez is batting .348 (8 for 23) with three homers and nine RBI in his last six games, Ryan Howard has stroked two home runs in his last three games against the Cubbies and Shane Victorino is batting .428 with 3 runs scored in his last two games … you get the point. Tonight the red-hot Phils take a crack at Rich Harden, who is 1-2 in his last three starts with a 7.62 ERA.

Tonight we’ll get a stellar performance from Joe Blanton, whose last start was washed away with a postponement in Florida. He didn’t mind, as the Marlins jumped out to an early lead. Tonight he regroups and continues to pitch well. He’s 2-0 in his last three starts, and brings in a stifling 1.83 ERA from those outings. I’ll take Philly here.

300? BOSTON RED SOX RUN LINE (With Beckett over whomever) - Boston, arguably the best all-around team in the bigs, is mired in a (gasp!) three-game skid, while the Rangers are looking for their third-straight win. Good thing Boston has ace Josh Beckett toeing the slab tonight. The Sox will need that pitching prowess tonight, since they’ve scored six total runs during their losing streak. Nevertheless, they’re tied for fifth in the league with 110 home runs, so at any time expect a breakout game. I think it’ll be tonight.

When you have a team like the Rangers, an explosive team that leads all of baseball with 139 home runs, you need a guy like Beckett – who can command both his 2- and 4-seam fastballs to both sides of the plate and who can mix in a two-plane curveball and highly regarded changeup – to keep aggressive hitters off-balance.

The dominating right-hander finished his first half with a stunning three-hit shutout of Kansas City last Sunday, and since the beginning of May, the Cy Young-candidate is 9-1 with a 2.14 ERA in 13 starts, with opponents hitting .204 against him.

I’m not listing Tommy Hunter, as I’m not too concerned about him despite Boston’s rather bleak performances against rookie hurlers, but I will tell you last August the BoSox pounded him for nine runs in 1-2/3 innings at Fenway Park. True, it was part of a brief stint in the majors for Hunter, but Boston still blasted him and that’s a positive sign mentally for a team that needs a breakout ball game.

300? L.A. DODGERS RUN LINE (Based on any pitchers going) - Had some folks question my play on the Dodgers last night. Once we built the lead I was confident, and truth is, the game was out of hand more than the score indicated. It was the blowout I anticipated. And now that the Jason Schmidt-hurdle is out of the way, and the dodgers were able to break out with a nice little offensive surge, I’m looking for the overall performance for win number four in a row.

Once again, based on the price of this game, it’s easy to see what the oddsmakers are telling us about the Dodgers – they’re deservedly steep favorites. This time around we’re going to lay the run line, which I don’t mind laying with a team that continues to defy all naysayers by winning ball games however it can.

After last night’s setback, Cincinnati has lost 11 of 15 since July 3. And as I said last night, with things heating up in the National League, these are the types of series the Dodgers need to win handedly.

I’ve got the momentum on my side with L.A., the team boasting the best record in baseball, as it’s now won eight of nine meetings going back to last season. Going back even further, the Dodgers have won 22 of the last 28 meetings, while the Reds are on a 3-9 slide in their last 12 as an underdog and have lost 10 straight at Chavez Ravine. Lay the run line tonight, as the Dodgers dismantle the visiting Reds.



Bought, Paid, Confirmed by ME! GL
 

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Doc's Sports

3-Unit Play Take # 955 Chicago Cubs +120 over Philadelphia Phillies (7:05p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take # 961 Arizona Diamondbacks +145 over Colorado Rockies (8:40p.m.)

3-Unit Play Take #976 Chicago White Sox +120 over Tampa Bay Rays (8:10p.m.)
 

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62W-39L,

<TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR bgColor=#dddddd><TD vAlign=top>The Hammer</TD><TD vAlign=top align=right>Guaranteed Selections</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE><TABLE border=0 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=3 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top>Date: Tuesday, July 21, 2009
$20.00 Guaranteed: Last year we were 80-43 for PLUS $3490 in Baseball and that is playing just $100 per game, my Dime Players made over $34,900 in Baseball Last Year! Get my PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB MONEY LINE WINNER for just $20 and pay only after you win! 63-38 RUN!
</TD><TD vAlign=top noWrap align=right>7/21/2009</TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2> </TD></TR><TR><TD colSpan=2>PRIVATE INVESTORS CLUB MONEY LINE WINNER
Colorado w/Cook -143 8:40 EST</TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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Karl Garrett
30 DIMER - MILWAUKEE (Looper over Vasquez)
30 DIMER - MILWAUKEE BREWERS (Looper over Vasquez)


This Milwaukee team is puzzling, as clearly they are a better team than the Pirates, but last night they let a chance to gain ground in their division pass them by, as Pittsburgh roughed them up pretty good.

The Brewers have now lost 9 of their last 12 on the road.

That is going to change tonight, as I fully expect Braden Looper to handle this lineup, and I also fully expect the Brewers bats to get it going against rookie Virgil Vazquez who is on an 0-3 run since winning his debut.

In Vasquez' last 3 starts, he has allowed 12 runs on 18 hits, in just 13-plus innings of work. Chances are, Virgil ain't gonna be around too long in this start.

Braden Looper counters with a 2-0 mark his last 3 starts, and he did pitch the Brewers to an April win over the Pirates.

In fact, last night's loss was Milwaukee's first of the season in 6 games against the Bucs.

Pittsburgh is still just 4-8 their last 12 games.

Gotta expect a Milwaukee bounce-back win this evening in the Steel City.

PAID & CONFIRMED BY ME!

Love his pick!

GL!
 

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Speculating Sports
Tuesday's selections are highlighted by our NL GAME OF THE YEAR, as well as two additional selections. We went 2-0 last night including an easy winner with Colorado as our Run Line GAME OF THE MONTH, a big payout of +150. The White Sox also cashed for us as well. We are now 5-2 over the last 3 days and we're keeping the hot streak going tonight.

Chicago Cubs at Philadelphia 7:10pm EST
Selection: PHILADELPHIA -131
Profile: Philadelphia is absolutely red hot right now, evident by their 9 game win streak, and their 10-1 win last night over Chicago. One of the biggest keys in handicapping baseball is to back hot teams, while fading cold teams. The Phillies bats are on fire right now, and I look for them to continue their hot hitting in this game. The oddsmakers know that Rich Harden is due for a bad game here based on this number. Harden was priced very high last year and early this year, but the oddsmakers are telling us something with Philadelphia and Joe Blanton being priced at -131. Harden's velocity is down and, he hasn't had his usual dominating stuff. He is able to get by against weaker hitting line-ups, such as Washington and Pittsburgh. However, St. Louis, Milwaukee, Detroit, and Cleveland all hit him fairly hard. What's even worse for Chicago and Harden is that Philadelphia hits righties very hard, especially lately. The Phillies are hitting well over .300 as a team against them recently, and they hit almost 40 points better against them than lefties at home. Meanwhile, Philadelphia's starter, Joe Blanton, has pitched very well lately, and he has done it against the best line-ups in baseball. Over his last ten starts Blanton has shut down Boston, Tampa Bay, and the LA Dodgers. In addition, he has only allowed 7 earned runs in his last 5 starts at home. Look for Blanton to shut down the struggling Cubs line-up while the Phillies hit Harden enough for the win.
4 UNIT SELECTION

Boston at Texas 8:05pm EST
Selection: TEXAS +151
Profile: This game is a great opportunity to get Texas at a big underdog price. Josh Beckett has no doubt been dominant lately, but I expect him to have a letdown performance here. His performance has been much better at home than on the road this year. He gave up 7 runs at Philadelphia and 5 runs at Baltimore in his last 3 road starts. Beckett has no real motivation to get up for this game, which may prove important in the Texas heat. Texas' stadium is a tough place to pitch if you aren't motivated because of the power line-up that the Rangers have as well as the high temperatures. Texas got a win against Boston on Monday night, so they will bring some momentum into this game. Meanwhile, Rangers starter Tommy Hunter has been pitching better and better this season, and I look for him to be very motivated to pitch against the Red Sox. Boston is only hitting .240 against righties on the road this season, including a recent hitting slump on their current road trip. Take Texas as a large home underdog.
1 UNIT SELECTION

Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox 8:11pm EST
Selection: TAMPA BAY -130
Profile: Tampa Bay outplayed Chicago in their game on Monday, despite not getting the win. Chicago only won the game because they were able to get a 3 run home run early in the game. However, the Rays have been playing very well lately, and they have a great starting pitching advantage in this game. Tampa Bay's Jeff Niemann has pitched very well lately, allowing only one base runner per inning, while posting a 1.33 ERA over his last 3 starts. Meanwhile, Chicago starter Clayton Richard is in horrible current form, and I look for the Rays to absolutely crush him. They hit lefties very well, averaging almost .280 against them on the road. Meanwhile, Chicago hits righties almost 30 points lower at home than lefties, so Niemann should be able to shut them down. Tampa Bay has been able to play better on the road recently, and I look for them to get the win with a huge advantage in starting pitching.
2 UNIT SELECTION
 

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