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MLB | Jun 30 '09 (8:05p)
New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers New York Mets
-130 at spbook
4* Major MLB Mound Mismatch of the Month on Mets -130
The Mets dipped below .500 with last night's loss and I think they'll finally consider this a wake up call. I know the order has been struggling without some of its big bats, but I like New York's chances tonight against the inexperienced Mike Burns. This will just be Burns' second career start as he steps in for the injured Dave Bush. He is much more accustomed to coming out of the pen with 46 career relief appearances and I can't ever see him being a full-time starter. He gave up four runs and six hits over 5 2-3 innings in a 6-4 loss to Minnesota last week to bring him into this start with an ERA of 6.35. To me, that answers any concerns we would have. The overwhelming reason to take the Mets in this bounce back spot is that ace Johan Santana is on the hill. He's put his terrible performance against the Yankees behind him and has put together back-to-back strong outings, including a win against Cardinals ace Carpenter last time out. The Mets are 7-1 in Santana's last 8 starts vs. National League Central, 12-4 in his last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 16-6 in his last 22 starts as a favorite, and 8-3 in his last 11 road starts. Additionally, the Mets are 9-0 after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season, bounce back to win by an average score of 5.4 to 2.3 in these games. Bet the Mets!
MLB Baseball Premium Picks
MLB | Jun 30 '09 (8:05p)
New York Mets vs Milwaukee Brewers New York Mets
-130 at spbook
4* Major MLB Mound Mismatch of the Month on Mets -130
The Mets dipped below .500 with last night's loss and I think they'll finally consider this a wake up call. I know the order has been struggling without some of its big bats, but I like New York's chances tonight against the inexperienced Mike Burns. This will just be Burns' second career start as he steps in for the injured Dave Bush. He is much more accustomed to coming out of the pen with 46 career relief appearances and I can't ever see him being a full-time starter. He gave up four runs and six hits over 5 2-3 innings in a 6-4 loss to Minnesota last week to bring him into this start with an ERA of 6.35. To me, that answers any concerns we would have. The overwhelming reason to take the Mets in this bounce back spot is that ace Johan Santana is on the hill. He's put his terrible performance against the Yankees behind him and has put together back-to-back strong outings, including a win against Cardinals ace Carpenter last time out. The Mets are 7-1 in Santana's last 8 starts vs. National League Central, 12-4 in his last 16 starts vs. a team with a winning record, 16-6 in his last 22 starts as a favorite, and 8-3 in his last 11 road starts. Additionally, the Mets are 9-0 after having lost 4 of their last 5 games this season, bounce back to win by an average score of 5.4 to 2.3 in these games. Bet the Mets!
Not to double post but I heard of another possible good source and I'm currently on a one week free trial...
Millennium Sports Invesments - Arizona Diamondbacks -130
I don't know what the rules are about non free sites so I'm not going to post a link I don't want to be bannned but if you spell out the name and add dot com you'll probably find it for anyone who wants. They are currently 79-27 on the MLB season so we'll see.
Millennium Sports Invesments - Arizona Diamondbacks -130
I don't know what the rules are about non free sites so I'm not going to post a link I don't want to be bannned but if you spell out the name and add dot com you'll probably find it for anyone who wants. They are currently 79-27 on the MLB season so we'll see.
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Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
11-2 in the last 4 days!
*200 Milwaukee Brewers +116
I look for the Brewers to take another game from the hurting Mets. I have found several trends that says this will happen. First, we have trends totaling 100-27 SU in favor of the Brewers winning. And finally we find the Brewers are 22-6 SU since 2006 season at home vs a team that has lost at least their last three games and it is not the first game of a series. Take the Home Dogs for a win tonight.
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Street Rosenthal of HandicappingTrends
11-2 in the last 4 days!
*200 Milwaukee Brewers +116
I look for the Brewers to take another game from the hurting Mets. I have found several trends that says this will happen. First, we have trends totaling 100-27 SU in favor of the Brewers winning. And finally we find the Brewers are 22-6 SU since 2006 season at home vs a team that has lost at least their last three games and it is not the first game of a series. Take the Home Dogs for a win tonight.
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Pat Hawkins
Astros at Padres
Pick: Padres +111
Houston starter Mike Hampton returns after a visit to the 15 day disabled list. The lefthander has been injury prone his entire career so a two week visit must have seemed like a nap. Look for some rust to acumulate on the lefthander has he was pitching well before going on the shelf, to regain that control is not always easy, look for the Padres offense to wake up and get to Hampton.
Astros at Padres
Pick: Padres +111
Houston starter Mike Hampton returns after a visit to the 15 day disabled list. The lefthander has been injury prone his entire career so a two week visit must have seemed like a nap. Look for some rust to acumulate on the lefthander has he was pitching well before going on the shelf, to regain that control is not always easy, look for the Padres offense to wake up and get to Hampton.
Steve Janus
5* Blue Chip Bet on Arizona Diamondbacks -138
This is a total mismatch on the mound. Dan Haren has been on of the best starters in the Majors this year, going 6-5 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP. His record doesn't reflect how well he's thrown this season due to a serious lack of run support, but Haren should give Arizona a great chance to win tonight, particularly with Bronson Arroyo on the mound for the Reds. Arroyo currently has an ERA of 5.54 and a WHIP of 1.46, but his last 3 starts are the most concerning. In those appearances, he is 1-2 with an 8.21 ERA and a 1.96 WHIP. The Diamondbacks will need to throw some support Haren's way to pick up the victory, but it's hard to pass up on a pitcher that has been this good at this price tonight.
5* Blue Chip Bet on Arizona Diamondbacks -138
This is a total mismatch on the mound. Dan Haren has been on of the best starters in the Majors this year, going 6-5 with a 2.25 ERA and a 0.82 WHIP. His record doesn't reflect how well he's thrown this season due to a serious lack of run support, but Haren should give Arizona a great chance to win tonight, particularly with Bronson Arroyo on the mound for the Reds. Arroyo currently has an ERA of 5.54 and a WHIP of 1.46, but his last 3 starts are the most concerning. In those appearances, he is 1-2 with an 8.21 ERA and a 1.96 WHIP. The Diamondbacks will need to throw some support Haren's way to pick up the victory, but it's hard to pass up on a pitcher that has been this good at this price tonight.
WeCoverSpreads
A's +110
Gio Gonzalez gets the start for Oakland today and he is considered by many a future #2 starter in this league. He had a rough outing in his lone start this season but this a great opportunity for the young pitcher to bounce back and gain some confidence especially since the Tigers have scored just 9 runs in their last four visits here. Make note Detroit is batting just .229 vs. southpaws on the highway this season as well.
Detroit will send Armando Gallaraga to the hill who owns a 5.87 ERA on the road this season; with a 1-4 record and has allowed 47 hits and 25 earned runs in 38.1 innings of road work. Gallaraga faced Oakland earlier this season; pitching 41 pitches and giving up 5 earned runs failing to make it out of the first inning. The Tigers have dropped their last five games in Oakland and we'll fade Gallaraga and the Tigers bats who have been struggling to drive in runs of late.
A's +110
Gio Gonzalez gets the start for Oakland today and he is considered by many a future #2 starter in this league. He had a rough outing in his lone start this season but this a great opportunity for the young pitcher to bounce back and gain some confidence especially since the Tigers have scored just 9 runs in their last four visits here. Make note Detroit is batting just .229 vs. southpaws on the highway this season as well.
Detroit will send Armando Gallaraga to the hill who owns a 5.87 ERA on the road this season; with a 1-4 record and has allowed 47 hits and 25 earned runs in 38.1 innings of road work. Gallaraga faced Oakland earlier this season; pitching 41 pitches and giving up 5 earned runs failing to make it out of the first inning. The Tigers have dropped their last five games in Oakland and we'll fade Gallaraga and the Tigers bats who have been struggling to drive in runs of late.
