Jeff Scott Sports
3 UNIT PLAY
PENN STATE -6 over George Mason
The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games, while the Nittany Lions are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. George Mason has a fine year in the CAA as they were 22-10 overall and 15-6 in the conference. The Patriots were a solid home team this year (14-0), but on the road they went just 6-9, including just 2-4 in their non-conf road games. Some of their road games have reall been bad as they lost to Div 2 schools Liberty and Hampton away from home, while they needed OT to win at Vermont. The Patriots did win their first 2 games of the CAA tourney, but they were blownout in the championship game vs VCU, which is a team with the same talent level as the Lions. Penn State is a team that has been very solid at home, where they are 15-3 and have outscored their opponents by 8.7 ppg. Penn State has gone 7-1 and have outscored their opponents by 17 ppg. Penn state has a llowed just 58.4 ppg at home and will now be facing a George Mason squad that has had big troubles scoring down the stretch, as they have averaged just 56.1 ppg in their last 7 games. George Mason's defense has been tough this year, but the Nitany Lions have averaged 67 ppg on their home floor. Penn State should be in the big dance as they have had some impressive wins this year, so I look for them to take it out on a Patriots squad that has had some puzzling losses vs very weak teams, plus with their inabilty to score lately I just don't see them being able to put enopugh points on the board to keep this one close. Penn State by double digits here.
2 UNIT PLAY
NOTRE DAME -5.5 over UAB
The Blazers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog, while the Fighting Irish are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. UAB has been a tough team at home this year, but on the road it has been a different story. The Blazers are just 9-10 when playing away from home this year overall, including just 5-10 in their last 15 road games and they have dropped their last 5 non-conference games when playing away from home. Now they have to travel to play an Irish tream that has been a very solid team at home this year. Notre Dame comes in with a 12-3 mark at home and have outscored their opponents by 13.9 ppg on their home floor..Notre Dame has won 31 straight non-conf home games, including all 6 this year and they have outscored this years opponents by 28.5 ppg. The Irish had a rough season in the Big East, but playing in that conference can only make them strong for the NIT. They are clearly the more talented team and are playing at home, plus they are happy to be still playing, even though it's not in the Big Dance. The Irish should win this one easily. Besides I couldn't not make a pick on my Irish on St Patty's day, right? Just Kidding. I really feel this is a good spot for them to get an easy win.
3 UNIT PLAY
PENN STATE -6 over George Mason
The Patriots are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 road games, while the Nittany Lions are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS loss. George Mason has a fine year in the CAA as they were 22-10 overall and 15-6 in the conference. The Patriots were a solid home team this year (14-0), but on the road they went just 6-9, including just 2-4 in their non-conf road games. Some of their road games have reall been bad as they lost to Div 2 schools Liberty and Hampton away from home, while they needed OT to win at Vermont. The Patriots did win their first 2 games of the CAA tourney, but they were blownout in the championship game vs VCU, which is a team with the same talent level as the Lions. Penn State is a team that has been very solid at home, where they are 15-3 and have outscored their opponents by 8.7 ppg. Penn State has gone 7-1 and have outscored their opponents by 17 ppg. Penn state has a llowed just 58.4 ppg at home and will now be facing a George Mason squad that has had big troubles scoring down the stretch, as they have averaged just 56.1 ppg in their last 7 games. George Mason's defense has been tough this year, but the Nitany Lions have averaged 67 ppg on their home floor. Penn State should be in the big dance as they have had some impressive wins this year, so I look for them to take it out on a Patriots squad that has had some puzzling losses vs very weak teams, plus with their inabilty to score lately I just don't see them being able to put enopugh points on the board to keep this one close. Penn State by double digits here.
2 UNIT PLAY
NOTRE DAME -5.5 over UAB
The Blazers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games as a road underdog, while the Fighting Irish are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. UAB has been a tough team at home this year, but on the road it has been a different story. The Blazers are just 9-10 when playing away from home this year overall, including just 5-10 in their last 15 road games and they have dropped their last 5 non-conference games when playing away from home. Now they have to travel to play an Irish tream that has been a very solid team at home this year. Notre Dame comes in with a 12-3 mark at home and have outscored their opponents by 13.9 ppg on their home floor..Notre Dame has won 31 straight non-conf home games, including all 6 this year and they have outscored this years opponents by 28.5 ppg. The Irish had a rough season in the Big East, but playing in that conference can only make them strong for the NIT. They are clearly the more talented team and are playing at home, plus they are happy to be still playing, even though it's not in the Big Dance. The Irish should win this one easily. Besides I couldn't not make a pick on my Irish on St Patty's day, right? Just Kidding. I really feel this is a good spot for them to get an easy win.
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