Larry Ness' 7* Conference Showdown-CBB
One only need to check the latest AP poll (released Monday) to realize that its a "down year" for the SEC in 2008-09. Not a single SEC team is represented. Both Kentucky and Florida have been in the top-25 this year but no longer. I'm not 'sold' on either team being much of an NCAA 'threat' this year but I'm siding with Kentucky in this game, as I believe this is a "must win" for the Wildcats. Kentucky reached the top-25 by winning 11 of 12 games (lone loss was on a buzzer-beating three-pointer by Louisville) but promptly dropped out of the rankings with three straight losses. The first came 85-80 at Ole Miss and then came a 78-77 home loss to South Carolina. The team's third straight loss was downright 'ugly,' as the 'Cats never led (trailed by as many as 16) in a 66-57 home loss to Miss St on Feb 3. The good news for Billy Gillispie's team is that Kentucky hasn't played since and has had an entire week to prepare for Florida and to "fix what is wrong!" Meeks (25.1) and the 6-9 Patterson (18.3-9.2) carry the scoring load but the 'Cats have some solid frontcourt depth, which is important against Florida. The 6-9 Stevenson (7.9-6.7) is having a decent season and is joined by the 6-7 Harris (5.3-3.0), the 6-10 Harrellson (4.7-3.2) and the 6-7 Miller (4.2-3.4). Liggins (6.0-2.9-3.3) and Porter (3.5) join Meeks in the backcourt. Florida has a pretty nice roster but I feel the whole is NOT greater than the sum of its parts. The 6-6 Calathes (18.1-5.3-6.4) is a wonderful player and the guard combo of 5-8 freshman Walker (9.3) and senior Hodge (7.7), "ain't bad." The Gators are 'loaded' up front with the 6-8 Tyus (12.4-6.2), the 6-9 Parsons (10.4-5.9) and the 6-8 Warner (9.2-4.4) plus 6-10 freshman Kadji (5.0-2.6) and 6-5 freshman Shipman (4.0-2.3). Florida leads a tight SEC East division with a 6-2 mark, with South Carolina at 6-3, then Kentucky and Tennessee at 5-3. However, the Gators haven't been away from home much since Christmas (just four games), going 2-2. In their last road outing, they got hammered at Tennessee, losing 79-63. They could suffer a similar fate here. Meeks has to be considered the frontrunner for SEC player-of-the-year and is due for a big-time scoring effort. As Rod Stewart sang, "Tonight's the night."
SEC Showdown on Kentucky
Larry Ness' Oddsmaker's Error-CBB
Clemson has a recent history of falling apart after fast starts. The team opened 16-0 TY and while the team's fall has not been as dramatic as in years past, the Tigers are just 3-3 since. A 'danger sign' may be Saturday's 65-661 loss to Florida State. It came three days after the Tigers had routed then-No. 4 Duke 74-47 at home, as the Tigers blew a 19-point second-half lead (ouch!). The 6-5 Rivers (14.2-6.2) is joined on the perimeter by guards Oglesby (13.0) and Stitt (8.0), while the 6-7 Booker (14.9-5.0) and the 6-9 Sykes (8,2-5.0) start in the frontcourt,. Depth is good with guards Young and Smith (combined 7.5 PPG) and forwards Potter and Grant (10.4 PPG and 5.8 RPG, combined). As for BC, the Eagles moved to 13-2 on the season with their 85-78 upset on then-No. 1 North Carolina at Chapel Hill on Jan 4. However, a four-game slide followed. BC has recovered though, as the Eagles had won five straight before losing 93-76 on Sunday at No. 7 Wake Forest. BC was outscored 47-29 in the second half after leading by one at the half but let's give them some slack, as the talented Demon Deacons were combining off an embarrassing 27-point loss at Miami-Fla. Rice (18.0-3.9-5.5) is arguably the best player in this game and he teams with two big guards, the 6-4 Sanders (12.0-4.2) and the 6-5 Raji (10.8-6.3) on BC's perimeter. That trio is more than a match for Clemson's trio. Inside, the 6-7 Trapani (13.9-6.8) and the 6-10 Southern (5.8-5.2) should hold their own with Booker and Sykes, although it's fair to say that Clemson has more depth. That said, I really like Al Skinner over Oliver Purnell on the sidelines and I'm still waiting for Clemson's typical late-season 'crash.' It just may have begun last Saturday. The Tigers dominated the Eagles in two games last year, as Clemson won 78-56 at home last February and beat Boston College 82-48 in the ACC tourney. However, LY's BC team was a 14-17 'mess' while TY's team is 18-7 (12-3 at home) and headed back to the "Big Dance." 'They' may call this an upset but I believe the Eagles are the better team in this situation.
Oddsmaker's Error on Boston College
Larry Ness' Weekly Wipeout Winner: 7-1 run
Former TCU head coach Neil Dougherty spent six seasons in Fort Worth compiling a 75-108 record with just one winning season. Jim Christian, who went 138-58 in six years at Kent State, brought hope to TCU. The Horned Frogs opened 13-6 but will enter this game on a four-game losing streak, falling to 13-10 with five straight ATS losses. TCU's frontcourt is not bad, with the 6-7 Langford (14.1-4.9), the 6-9 Buljan (11.7-7.2) and the 6-6 Ruzgas (10.6). The backcourt features Moss (9.7), Ebie (5.9-3.9 APG) and Mitchem (5.5). TCU beat 80-73 UNLV in Fort Worth back on Jan 10, shooting 56.6 percent from the floor. The Horned Frogs cannot be expected to shoot that well again, as they are shooting 44.3 percent on the season as a team, while averaging a modest 65.0 PPG. UNLV won 30 and 27 games the last two years and enters this game 17-6, despite consecutive OT losses. The first came at home vs San Diego St and the second at New Mexico, 73-69. UNLV could really use a win here and I expect the Rebels will get just that. The 6-7 Darger (9.6-4.6) and the 6-8 Santee (6.5-3.0) don't quite match up with TCU's frontline but UNLV's perimeter game is vastly superior. Adams (14.0-4.3-3.1), Willis (11.1-3.7-3.3) and Bellfield (6.5-3.4 APG) form an excellent guard trio plus 6-6 swingman Rougeau (10.6-7.3) ranks right behind Adams as the team's MVP. UNLV finds itself in fifth-place among the 10 MWC teams and it's about time to "make a move." The good news is that the Rebels will once again host the MWC tourney but Kruger knows he needs to get his team back on track after two straight OT setbacks. Lay the points.
Weekly Wipeout Winner on UNLV
Larry Ness' Las Vegas Insider - NBA
The Warriors are happy to have Monta Ellis back and while he's only averaging 12.0 PPG through his first nine game, this guy averaged 20.2 PPG last season and it's just a matter of time. Golden St is just 4-5 in the nine games since his return but the Warriors are 6-2-1 ATS, which means he's making a difference where it 'counts!' However, Biedrins (13.0-11.8), who can be counted on for nightly double-doubles, is out with an ankle problem. Even with that, this Warrior team looks pretty good right now. Jackson (20.1-4.9-6.2) is having a terrific season, Crawford (19.0 PPG in his 35 games with GS) is settling in and Maggette (19.7-5.9) is healthy (for now). Azubuike (13.5-4.7) is nearly doubling his point production from his first two seasons (8.1), while guards CJ Watson (9.3) and rookie Morrow (8.4) have both been nice compliments plus center Turiaf (5.0-3.8) has brought some defensive intensity to a team which owns little of that. The Warriors average 106.8 PPG (2nd to only the Lakers) but allow a league-high 111.0 PPG, meaning this game with the Knicks, who average 104.3 PPG and allow 106.6, won't exactly be a defensive struggle. There wasn't much defense played when these teams met Nov 29 in MSG, as the Knicks won 138-125, in what remains the highest-scoring non-overtime game in the NBA this year. Former Warrior Al Harrington (21.2-6.3) had 36 points and 12 rebounds and David Lee (16.2-11.8) had 37 points and 21 rebounds in that contest. PG Chris Duhon (12.5-8.0 APG) set a New York franchise record with 22 assists in that game and along with Nate Robinson (15.0-3.5 APG), who's having a career-season, makes the Knicks 'go.' However. the Warriors didn't have Jackson in that earlier meeting and of course Ellis was still serving his suspension. This time around, both are set to go and as mentioned at the top, I like the way the Warriors have played lately. The Warriors have faced winning teams in each of their last seven games. They own wins over the Hornets, Suns and Jazz plus lost in OT to the Spurs during that span. The Knicks opened their three-game West Coast trip on Sunday in Portland, blowing a 13-point fourth-quarter lead and losing 109-108 on Brandon Roy's buzzer-beater. It won't get an easier tonight in Oakland, where they've lost their last six visits.
Las Vegas Insider GS Warriors