Service Plays Thursday 9/18/14

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Betting As A Business

We are passing in tonight’s NFL

NCAAF
(1 Plays Total Risk 2.00 Units)

Auburn -7 / Kansas St. 7:30 ET 2.00 Units
(Play ON Auburn)

MLB
(1 Plays Total Risk 1.25 Units)

NY Yankees (Greene) -121 / Toronto (Dickey) 7:05 ET 1.25 Units
(Play ON NY Yankees)
 
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ALL SPORTS INSIDER

1-0 so far with PSV cashing in this after noon! Here is tonight’s picks:

Kansas State +9 *1 unit*

Atlanta -6 *5 units*

Pirates -1.5 *1 unit*

7-Point Teaser *3 units*
Atlanta +1
Kansas State +16

3-Team Parlay *3 units*
Atlanta Falcons -6
Dallas Cowboys -pk
Chicago Bears +2.5
 
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Diamond Dog Sports

NCAA FB
#304: Kansas State: +9.0 (-105) (.5*)

NFL
#301: Bucs: +6.5 (+100) - Buy Half Point to +7.0 (-110) (1.5*)
 
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The Gold Sheet

ATLANTA 27 - Tampa Bay 13—We can’t say this is the worst Tampa Bay
offense we’ve seen (remember, we had already been publishing for 19 years
when the expansion Bucs entered the NFL in ‘76). But so far, new QB Josh
McCown is not looking a whole lot better than Steve Spurrier, Parnell Dickinson,
or Jeb Blount did for John McKay’s earliest editions. And since Tampa Bay has
already lost to a pair of backup QBs (Derek Anderson & Austin Davis), we hardly
think the popgun Buc offense trades points with a Matt Ryan-led Atlanta attack that
was able to outscore Drew Brees and the Saints in its last home game.

Auburn 37 - KANSAS ST. 24—Have utmost respect for KSU program underHC Bill Snyder,
who’s been a dangerous underdog. But, prefer to back College
Final Four candidate Auburn, which is riding a 13-game spread win streak.
Nobody has truly figured out a way to slow down Gus Malzahn’s innovative,
hurry-up, zone-read attack, which has produced 30 pts. or more in 12 straight
games. AU’s quick QB Nick Marshall owns a more formidable supporting cast
than Wildcat counterpart Jake Waters (who’s KSU’s leading rusher), especially
with the emergence of juco A-A WR D’haquille Williams (13 grabs for 16.5 yds.
avg.). And remember, defensively-rebuilt Wildcats (only 4 returnees) lost by
DDs to Baylor & Oklahoma in Manhattan in 2013.
 
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Dave Essler - This was released to LT clients a couple days ago


304 Kansas St. / 303 Auburn UNDER 66.0 5dimes


Well, the line cratered a while back to 63/64 so I am sure we will get the best number. Several key points here. First of all, although we like what Auburn is doing, how many times have you seen a Bill Snyder coached team do the extraordinary. A lot. The close game K-State had at ISU last week was quite predictable, because THIS game was in their sites. They have UTEP next week, and are home until they travel to Norman October 18th. As far as Auburn is concerned, this is their first road game. Snyder knows damned well he's not going to win a shootout, and will, IMO, totally try to keep the ball away from Auburn, and I think they can. At ISU they held the up-tempo Cyclones to only 4-13 on third down and had a perfectly balances rushing/passing attack. They were hurt by a ton of penalties, which is somewhat expected on the road (so Auburn may fall victim to that tonight) and that's also a fixable problem, especially by someone like Snyder. In fact, after falling behind, they held ISU to ZERO points in the second half, again, on the road. Their defense should be plenty confident. They were held to two FG's in the Red Zone early. It's a non-conference game for Auburn, so perhaps less motivation. At home against a "decent" Arkansas team (but one that IMO doesn't have the defense K-State does) the score was 45-21, or 66. Simple math also says this game, with the line clearly favoring the Wildcats at this point, says it cannot (should not) be a 67 point game. I looked back at the NDSU/ISU game as well. Let's not forget NDSU is the three time defending FCS champion, so although ISU "should" be the better team, NDSU far from sucks. First game of the year. NDSU cared, ISU probably took it for granted. We'll see what happens.
 

Just another squirrel lookin' fer a nut!
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Capper: 2H. NFL YTD = 62%!!!


1* GAME: TAMPA BAY @ ATLANTA: Buccaneers +7 (-110: Risking 1.10 Units To Win 1.00 Units) – TBD (TBDu)

(*** COMP! ***)
 

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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS: 476-420-12 +204.2 UNITS

Bonus Play: San Diego -125 vs Philadelphia (14-2 Run on Bonus Plays)

MLB

LA Dodgers RL -1.5 +105

Washington RL -1.5 +125


NFL

Atlanta -6

NCAA

Kansas St +8.5
 

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