Service Plays Thursday 9/18/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

STATFOX FORECASTER
TAMPA BAY (301) AT ATLANTA (302)
Latest Line: Falcons -6; Total: 46

The Buccaneers lost and failed to cover despite hosting a St. Louis Rams team that was starting Austin Davis at quarterback in Week 2. The Falcons went to Cincinnati, where they lost 24-10 as 5.5-point underdogs. Expect the Bucs to try to slow the game down in an effort to avoid getting into a shootout against Atlanta quarterback Matt Ryan and his group of talented receivers. Tampa Bay has won-and-covered in two of the last three meetings, and the Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS over their past seven games at Atlanta. Bucs RB Doug Martin (knee) is questionable after having missed Sunday’s game.

STATFOX SIX PACK:
•ATLANTA is 8-1 ATS when playing on a Thursday since 1992.
•ATLANTA is 6-0 UNDER after a game with a turnover margin of -2 or worse over the L3 seasons.
•ATLANTA is 18-6 ATS after allowing 400 or more total yards in 2 consecutive games since 1992.
•TAMPA BAY is 1-8 ATS in the first half of the season over the L2 seasons.
•TAMPA BAY is 6-0 UNDER in September games over the L2 seasons.
•TAMPA BAY is 159-116 UNDER against conference opponents since 1992.

 

[safecracker]

PAUL LEINER

100* Kansas State +8.5
100* Indians -135
50* Yankees -115

Atlanta over
1500

 

[PeteEzra]

Steve Fezzik

Bucs/Falcons over 45 single dime

Not really a play. " I just have a lean to OVER46, if it drops back to 45, at OVER 45 I would play 1 star! NO PLAY at OVER 46! "

 

[AirTroop]

2Halves2Win CFB Week 4


Handicapper: CappsRealHard: 2-8 for -9.1u CFB YTD (About to heat UP!)...


1* 2-TEAM / TEASER: CFB Week 4 Comp Of The Week: Auburn -3 & o58 - TBD (TBDu)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Real Swoop

Buccaneers +7 (2*)
Kansas State +8 (1*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer has posted his College Football Thursday night KNOCKOUT, the side between Auburn & Kansas State! Scott’s a perfect 2-0, 100% winners this season with Thursday CFB and he’s on a long-term 123-91 winning run with his last 214 CFB Thurs/Friday releases. Make the move…then TAKE THE CASH!
I’m taking the points with Kansas State on Thursday night. Both teams had extra time to prepare for this one and we know how well the Wildcats have fared under Bill Snyder with extra time to work on an upcoming opponent. This should be an exciting tilt…we’ll see a pair of run/pass QBs when the two offenses take the field. K-State has to control the T.O.P. and I do believe they have the “goods” to play keep-away from the Tigers enough to keep this one close to the end. Auburn is known for their quickness advantage over most non-SEC teams they face, but K-State has enough to not get overwhelmed. But most of all, I don’t believe these teams are as far as apart as the line would indicate. I do believe this line is a general number, perception between the SEC and a Big-12 school from another locale other than Norman, Waco, or maybe Stillwater. Speaking of Stillwater, Oklahoma State represented the Big-12 and themselves quite well against Florida State. I believe K-State will do the same against Auburn. The Wildcats are 66-43 ATS in home lined games under Snyder and they’re 20-10, 67% ATS when his Wildcat teams are getting points. I’m grabbing the points with Kansas State, my KO on Thursday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

MLB

Toronto +1.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Primetime Insiders

3* Plays

Colorado -1.5 + 160

This may be a hard play to swallow as we are backing Yohan Flande who is 0-5 this season with an ERA north of 5.50. Our system actually likes Flande in this spot and think he will give the Diamondbacks fits. Flande is very dependent on his fastball but does actually have some success if he mixes it up with his changeup. Flande is also not prone to the home runs as he does a good job of not allowing line drives as we know those usually leave the park at Coors. The Rockies look to build on all the runs they scored last night and going up against Nuno who is also winless in 12 starts this season. Nuno on the other hand is not regarded as highly in our system and will struggle as he is very dependent on the fly ball out which we know is an issue at Coors. There should be a lot of runs scored in this contest but the majority scored by Colorado. This Rockies should be able to score enough runs to give Flande some room for error and get us the run line win.

Cleveland -1.5 +125

Cleveland sends Salazar to the mound tonight against Feldman and Houston. Salazar is very underrated per our system and should be in line for a good night in Houston. Salazar is very strikeout dependent getting close to 10 strikeouts per 9 innings and is going up against one of the highest strikeout teams in baseball which should bode well for him. Feldman on the other hand is overrated per our system and could really be in for a long night against the plate savvy Indians and their above average offense. Salazar should be able to get 8 to 9 strikeouts tonight and enough run support to get us the run line win.

1* Plays

Milwaukee and Saint Louis Over 7

Lean

Milwaukee +125

 

[Jeter4life]

LegitNelson

NFL: Tampa +6.5 (6-2 ytd)
CFB: ?? waiting for his website to update (36-7 ytd)

kstate +7.5

 

[yankees10]

anyone have the diveshandicapping play for tonight? they said nfl comes free with it

K state + 8

 

[steliocantos]

bookiemonsters

POD
ARZ +100

MGs
KSTATE +8

PHI +110

PODS 50-22 run last 72 plays

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

R.a.w. Football

3* = tampa bay

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Locksmith Sports

CFB
Chairmans Play: 4* Kansas State +7.5

NFL
1* Tampa Bay +6.5 Buying .5 to +7 -125

MLB:
2* Washington -145
1* Pittsburgh Run Line -1.5 -105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Executive

200 kan st

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wayne root

no limit kansas state

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Chris James Sports

Falcons -6.5

Kansas St +8

Over Red Sox 7
Nationals ML
Phillies ML

 

[acer'sracers]

Northcoast: Top Opinion Atlanta -6 and Auburn -9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

VegasButcher - Los Angeles Dodgers -175

Cubs have swept the Reds in their last series, but prior to that they were 1-8 against TOR and PIT, both teams with top-5 lineups. The problem for the Cubs is that they’re just not very good offensively anymore. The big reason is due to Rizzo and Castro, their 2 best hitters, being out. Dodgers got embarrassed @ Colorado yesterday but this team is swinging the bats well right now. They have double-digits in hits in 6 of their last 9 games, and are averaging over 12 hits per game over this span. By comparison, Cubs only have 2 of their last 9 games with DD hits and are overall averaging just over 6 hits per. That’s a big gap. Of course the bigger reason for the play is that I’m fading Wada today. This is his 2nd time seeing this Dodgers lineup so the unfamiliarity factor is gone. Wada relies on his slider and changeup to keep hitters at bay as his fastball is a very mediocre pitch. Well, Dodgers rank top-5 against both of those pitches. In addition, Wada has been terrible lately, allowing 17 hits and 9 ER’s in his last 13.2 innings (3 starts). He has 7 K and 6 BB’s in that span. He has a 5.7 xFIP and 5.3 SIERA in these last few outings. I expect Greinke to dominate, Dodgers to continue hitting the ball well, and overall I love the chances of a ‘bounce back’ tonight. Dodgers are 43-22 (+15.6 U) off a loss and 44-31 (+11.5 U) on the road. This team is 8-2 this season as a road favorite in the -150 to -175 range, and I expect a win tonight.

#2: Seattle Mariners -1.5 RL -130

Angels were celebrating late into the night yesterday after clinching the playoffs, so predictably they’re resting all of their key guys. The lineup doesn’t have even one regular starter in it. For Seattle, this is a big game actually. Oakland is in the process of losing to the Rangers once again, and a win by the Mariners tonight will put them only 1 game behind the A’s for the playoffs. Expect Seattle and Hernandez to play hard, as I don’t expect them to play down to their competition due to the importance of the game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE PREZ

4* Atlanta Falcons -6.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Exodus to Black

NFL
Atlanta-6.5

NCAA FB
Auburn-7 -120