STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
THURSDAY, JULY 31st 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#901 COLORADO @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 2:20 PM
•Rockies LH Pedro Hernandez (NR) - Hernandez got the call to make a spot start after the Rockies were forced to use scheduled starter Tyler Matzek during Tuesday's 16-inning marathon. The 25-year-old Venezuelan hasn't pitched in the majors since last season with Minnesota, where he went 3-3 with a 6.83 ERA in 14 games (12 starts). Hernandez has endured a rocky campaign at Triple-A Colorado Springs, going 6-6 with a 6.14 ERA in 18 games (16 starts).
•Cubs RH Jake Arrieta (5-2, 2.18 ERA, WHIP: 1.011) - Arrieta has recorded nine straight quality starts yet is in the midst of a four-start winless streak. The 28-year-old has emerged as the Cubs' most consistent starter, but they haven't rewarded him with much support of late and he didn't get a decision last time out despite holding the Cardinals to two runs over six innings. Arrieta has never faced the Rockies.
--KEY STAT: ARRIETA is 13-5 (+10.6 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARRIETA 4.6, OPPONENT 2.9.
#903 ST LOUIS @ #904 SAN DIEGO - 3:40 PM
•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (7-8, 4.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.435) - Miller returned from a brief stint in the bullpen and held the Cubs to two runs on three hits over 5 2/3 innings last Saturday. The 23-year-old made a case to stick in the rotation by retiring the first nine batters and not issuing a walk. Miller, who is 0-1 with a 5.19 ERA in two career games (one start) against San Diego, owns a 7-3 mark with a 2.93 ERA in 21 career games (15 starts) after the All-Star break.
--KEY STAT: MILLER is 1-7 (-8.1 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.0, OPPONENT 5.6.
--MILLER is 9-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 6.4, OPPONENT 3.3.
--MILLER is 1-10 against the run line (-10.0 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.6, OPPONENT 4.5.
--MILLER is 0-8 against the run line (-9.8 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 2.0, OPPONENT 5.6.
•Padres RH Odrisamer Despaigne (2-2, 1.66 ERA, WHIP: 1.105) - After posting a 1.31 ERA in his first five starts, Despaigne issued five walks and allowed five runs (two earned) over 3 2/3 innings against Atlanta last Saturday. “He was trying to be a little too fine, kind of hitting the corners instead of making pitches,” Padres catcher Yasmani Grandal told reporters. Opponents are batting .203 against the Cuban-born Despaigne, who was signed May 2 as a minor league free agent.
#905 PHILADELPHIA @ #906 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Phillies LH Cliff Lee (4-5, 3.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.411) - Lee is making his third start since spending more than two months on the disabled list and will be hoping for better results than his previous two turns. The 35-year-old allowed three runs on nine hits in a no-decision versus Arizona on Saturday after getting knocked around for six runs on 12 hits by San Francisco on July 21. Lee is 6-4 with a 2.74 ERA in 12 starts against Washington, including seven innings of two-run ball on May 2.
--KEY STAT: LEE is 32-19 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEE 5.0, OPPONENT 3.6.
•Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (6-6, 3.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.217) - Gonzalez was a hard-luck loser last time out, permitting one run on four hits over seven innings in a 1-0 defeat at Cincinnati to extend his winless drought to three starts. Gonzalez had an identical line over 7 1/3 innings in a 1-0 loss at Philadelphia on May 4 to fall to 5-3 with a stellar 2.48 ERA against the Phillies. Gonzalez has stymied slugger Ryan Howard, holding him hitless in 11 at-bats with six strikeouts.
--KEY STAT: GONZALEZ is 28-10 (+16.3 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.2, OPPONENT 3.0.
--GONZALEZ is 25-7 (+16.6 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 4.9, OPPONENT 2.3.
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#907 CINCINNATI @ #908 MIAMI - 7:10 PM
•Reds RH Johnny Cueto (11-6, 2.08 ERA, WHIP: 0.919) - Cueto has allowed three or fewer runs in nine straight starts while going 6-1, including seven shutout innings Saturday in a 1-0 victory over Washington. The Dominican Republic native is among the league leaders in WHIP (0.93) and ERA and has struck out 157 in 155 2/3 innings. Garrett Jones is 11-for-39 with a homer versus Cueto, who is 2-1 with a 5.27 ERA in five career starts against Miami.
--KEY STAT: CUETO is 12-5 against the run line (+10.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.6, OPPONENT 2.5.
--CUETO is 14-4 UNDER (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.9, OPPONENT 2.9.
•Marlins RH Tom Koehler (7-7, 3.91 ERA, WHIP: 1.247) - Koehler battled through five innings, giving up three runs and nine hits, to beat Houston in his last outing. The 28-year-old Bronx, N.Y. native yielded three or fewer runs in six of his last seven starts and has given up 108 hits in 124 1/3 innings overall. Koehler, who has not given up an unearned run this season, pitched 3 1/3 scoreless innings as a reliever against Cincinnati in 2013.
#909 PITTSBURGH @ #910 ARIZONA - 9:40 PM
•Pirates LH Jeff Locke (2-2, 3.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.121) - Locke will look to bounce back from his worst outing since his recall from Triple-A Indianapolis in early June, when he was shelled for six runs on 10 hits in Colorado on Saturday. That halted a string of eight consecutive quality starts for Locke, who allowed a total of 15 earned runs in that span. Locke is 0-1 with a 6.92 in three appearances (two starts) versus Arizona and has been tormented by Paul Goldschmidt (4-for-6).
--KEY STAT: LOCKE is 0-7 (-8.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LOCKE 2.6, OPPONENT 6.3.
•Diamondbacks RH Josh Collmenter (8-5, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.307) - Collmenter is also coming off a disastrous performance that saw him last only 2 2/3 innings and give up six runs on 11 hits in a loss at Philadelphia on Saturday. That outing followed back-to-back starts in which Collmenter allowed one run over seven innings. Collmenter has pitched decidedly better at home, posting a 6-2 record with a 2.94 ERA and 1.04 WHIP in 14 appearances (10 starts).
--KEY STAT: COLLMENTER is 12-4 (+9.4 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLLMENTER 4.6, OPPONENT 3.5.
#911 ATLANTA @ #912 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Braves RH Julio Teheran (10-6, 2.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.045) - Teheran won his second straight decision and fourth in the last five after allowing three runs in six innings en route to a 5-3 victory over San Diego on Saturday. The 23-year-old Colombian didn't yield a homer after permitting four in his previous three outings. Teheran was blitzed in his previous meeting with the Dodgers, taking the loss in the National League Division Series after allowing six runs on eight hits in 2 2/3 innings.
•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (12-2, 1.76 ERA, WHIP: 0.801) - Kershaw continued his scorching run after scattering three hits Saturday en route to his fourth complete game - and second shutout - of the season. The two-time Cy Young Award recipient has won nine in a row and struck out at least seven in 12 consecutive outings. For all of his success, Kershaw has yet to record a decision versus Atlanta, although he has limited the Braves to a .189 batting average in four career starts.
--KEY STAT: KERSHAW is 15-0 (+15.0 Units) against the money line against ational League East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.5, OPPONENT 1.7.
--KERSHAW is 9-23 against the run line (-14.7 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.0, OPPONENT 2.7.
--KERSHAW is 12-3 against the run line (+10.5 Units) against National League East opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.5, OPPONENT 1.7.
--KERSHAW is 15-3 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.1, OPPONENT 1.6.
--KERSHAW is 13-4 UNDER (+8.4 Units) after giving up no earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 3.3, OPPONENT 2.1.
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