Service Plays Thursday 7/28/11

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Bob Balfe

Texas Rangers -152

The Rangers have lost two straight and I can't remember the last time they dropped three in a row. Both pitchers are about dead even in stats this year and I think this game comes down to who hits the ball better. Texas is such an explosive team and should put up a good amount of runs tonight at home to get the win. Take the Rangers.
 

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winsportsnow
Thursday Parlay Report
Over 7.5 Pirates
Over 7.5 Rays
Blue Jays-155
 
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Sports Picks Direct

San Francisco (Lincecum) @ Philadelphia (Kendrick)

PLAY: Philadelphia (Kendrick) ML, +105
 
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O.C.Dooley

“1 UNIT” PRIMETIME TOTAL (Pirates at Braves OVER 7’ 7:10 eastern start Correia vs Lowe):
Of course the big news in this series was a couple of nights ago when one of the worst calls by an umpire in history robbed the visiting Pirates in inning #19. The bottom line is that surprising Pittsburgh who remains near the top of the National League Central division standings desperately need a confidence boosting game on offense especially since they will be spending the weekend in Philadelphia against the game’s most vaunted pitching rotation. The Pirates have lost five times in the past week due to an offense that collectively has batted only .214 and averaged a mere 2.4 runs per contest. Odds are strong that the lineup will wake up tonight against Atlanta veteran hurler Derek Lowe who has yielded 4+ runs in each of his most recent three mound assignments where his ERA (6.23) has skyrocketed. It seems like an eternity but Kevin Correia was actually one of Pittsburgh’s representatives at the All Star game. In three starts since the mid-summer classic Correia (9.42 ERA) has shown extreme fatigue and last time on the mound permitted 7 runs. That is good news for an injury-laden Braves lineup that is without top hitter Brian McCann who was just placed on the disabled list. Tonight is Chipper Jones bobblehead night in Atlanta but he may be unable to play due to a quad injury. Since these two teams have extended into extra innings each of the past couple of nights, I expect both starting pitchers to be given “extended” innings even if they struggle. Kevin Correia this season is 12-4 OVER the total when his Pirates have been cast as an underdog. Pittsburgh’s starting pitcher is also a stunning 11-2 OVER the past couple of campaigns versus opposition from the National League East
 

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[FONT=arial, helvetica][SIZE=-1]BIG AL's THURSDAY AFTERNOON MLB HIGH ROLLER WINNER

[/SIZE][/FONT][FONT=arial, helvetica][SIZE=-1]At 3:35 pm, our selection is on the Oakland Athletics over the Tampa Bay Rays.[/SIZE][/FONT]


BIG AL's NATIONAL LEAGUE TOTAL OF THE MONTH!

At 7:10 pm, our selection is on the Pittsburgh Pirates and Atlanta Braves 'over' the total.
 
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Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons | MLB Money Line

dime bet 924 TEX (-149) Bodog vs 923 MIN

Free pick: UNDER TWINS / RANGERS


Analysis: For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this contest is on the home side:

Coming into Wednesday, the Twins are 48-55 this year; 26-25 at home and 22-30 on the road.

They've seen the total go "under" the number in 50 of 97 this year (with six "pushes").

Scott Baker (8-5, 2.88 ERA) toes the rubber for the visitors, and had this to say after his first start off the DL, vs. the Tigers last Sunday:

"I kind of had an idea that I was going to feel OK, because once I was done, I just felt like I got a good workout," Baker said.

"As far as a hurting type of soreness, I don't have anything like that. I haven't played catch yet, but I feel like everything should be fine."

Baker looked great, and has now allowed a grand total of a single run over his last three starts, spanning 17 1/3's innings; he has 17 K's while going 3-0 in that stretch.

In his last start vs. the Rangers, Baker pitched a complete game, giving up one run on five hits.

In the other dugout: Coming into Wednesday the Rangers are 59-45 this year; 34-20 at home and 25-25 on the road.

They've seen the total go "under" the number in 47 of 111 games this year (with three "pushes").

Matt Harrison (8-7, 3.05 ERA) gave up four runs off eight hits in 6 2/3's innings of work in the Rangers' 5-4 win over the Blue Jays on Saturday.

He had eight K's and did not issue a walk, and was tagged with the no-decision.

Note though that Harrison came into that start having allowed three runs in his last three outings combined for a sub 1.00 ERA in the month of July.

Harrison is 0-1 with a 1.50 ERA in his only start vs. Minnesota this year.

Bottom line: I have a "free" selection on the "under in this game; I simply believe the hard hitting home side salvages the final game of this series, after dropping the last two and after winning the first one by 20-5; classic "letdown" spot for the visitors; 6* play on the TEXAS RANGERS!
 

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Chip Chirimbes

Twins at Rangers
Pick: Twins +145

The Texas Rangers are currently swinging the 'hottest' bats in baseball and scoring runs in bunches, but they are up against one of the 'hottest' pitchers in baseball tonight in Scott Baker. Baker is 4-1 in his last five starts with a 1.12 ERA in 32 innings and the Twins are 9-2 in their last 11 meetings with Texas. Take MINNESOTA!
 
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Khaliagent sports (Bonus Plays: 11-4 +12.26 units) (full card)

Thursday July 28th

Oakland -121 (medium bet to win 2 units)

adding:

Blue Jays ml -165 (medium bet to win 3 units)

Blue Jays -1.5 (+120) (medium bet 2 units to win 2.4 units)
 

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JLB (JLB4422 On Twitter)

Y-DAY'S PICKS RECAP:(2-1 +8.9Units)(288-251-9 +129.49Units YTD Record)


8:05 PM-PICK #1:

FREE PICK:**MLB** HAMMER (7 Units)
*FREE PREVIEW* MINNESOTA TWINS -RL +1.5 (-135)


8:15PM PICK #2: *GAME OF THE DAY*
**MLB** HAMMER (9 Units)
*MEMBERS PICK* ASTROS / CARDINALS UNDER 7.5 (-115)
 

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