Ok but the point is that Mets are not playing the Cubs and the reason for my question.
W/ Ratings
Billy Coleman
5* Tigers
3* Mets / Cubs Over
3* D'Backs / Padres Under
5* Mercury
3* Sky / Shock Under
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Luke Anthony
3* Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-132)
Josh Beckett is lights out, with a 9-3 record and 2.07 ERA and even better at home where he is 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA. The Red Sox seem to be scoring about 10 runs a game right now and they are going against a struggling arm for the Royals, Luke Hochevar. Hochevar is just 6-8 with a 5.29 ERA on the season and coming in with a 6.19 ERA in his last 3 starts! The Sox will rock him today at home and then I don't see the Royals knocking around Beckett like they did against the other guys this week. Look for Beckett to shut down the Royals lineup and the Sox to do what they do best, score runs for a blowout win today in Boston.
3* Boston Red Sox -1.5 (-132)
Josh Beckett is lights out, with a 9-3 record and 2.07 ERA and even better at home where he is 4-0 with a 1.61 ERA. The Red Sox seem to be scoring about 10 runs a game right now and they are going against a struggling arm for the Royals, Luke Hochevar. Hochevar is just 6-8 with a 5.29 ERA on the season and coming in with a 6.19 ERA in his last 3 starts! The Sox will rock him today at home and then I don't see the Royals knocking around Beckett like they did against the other guys this week. Look for Beckett to shut down the Royals lineup and the Sox to do what they do best, score runs for a blowout win today in Boston.
Ok but the point is that Mets are not playing the Cubs and the reason for my question.
W/ Ratings
Billy Coleman
5* Tigers
3* Mets / Cubs Over
3* D'Backs / Padres Under
5* Mercury
3* Sky / Shock Under
The person that posted it got the ratings wrong and the one team name wrong. it happens on all boards
Billy Coleman
4* Tigers
3* Cubs / Brewers Over
3* D'Backs / Padres Under
4* Mercury
3* Sky / Shock Under
WUNDERDOG (MLB)
MLB 61-59 last 120 picks ($470)
1 OF 6
Game: San Francisco at Philadelphia (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: San Francisco -115 (moneyline)
MLB 61-59 last 120 picks ($470)
1 OF 6
Game: San Francisco at Philadelphia (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: San Francisco -115 (moneyline)
This is exactly the type of game that brings out the best in a great pitcher, so I expect to see Tim Lincecum deliver a gem against the Phillies. He has pitched great of late, allowing 1 run or less in five of his last six starts. Kyle Kendrick is not one of the Phillies "A” level pitchers, but he certainly is above average. Lincecum has proven that he is a big-game pitcher, even on the road where the Giants boast an 8-1 record in his last nine road starts vs. a winning team. Kendrick hasn't been as good on regular four days rest where the Phillies are now 1-4 in his last five. The Giants are also 45-21 with Lincecum on the mound if he is off a quality start in his last appearance. San Francisco gets the call.
Dave Essler
911 PIT (+150) Bookmaker.com vs 912 ATL Dave Essler
Analysis: Absolutely the best play on the board tonight without laying chalk or playing RL's, which I actually considered for this bet. However, after looking even deeper, the Pirates SHOULD win this game. Let's work backwards for a minute. People are infatuated with the Braves bullpen, and quite frankly the are very good. However, recently it's been the PIRATES bullpen that's posted a 1.34 ERA over the last week, and that includes games against both the Reds and the Cardinals. Add to that the fact that as I type Jurrjens has thrown 100 pitches through six innings, so the Atlanta pen is going to get used again tonight. Possible advantage Pirates.
Now I do know that Derek Lowe CAN be a stud pitcher. Two things. First, even if his sinker is "decent" the Pirates are exactly the type of team that can cause him problems, because they are NOT the teams that are going to swing for the fences and WILL go to the opposite field and/or be quite happy with singles and doubles. Secondly, I love to fade him at home, which many of you already know. At home, his ERA is 5.04 which is a run more than on the road, and that's AFTER the last three games on the road where he gave up four in each game.
McCutcheon, Jones, Tabata, and Walker all have hits off of Lowe, and Overbay has two walks in three at bats. This all tells me that the Pirates will score, and add to that the fact that McCann is out and you not only lose the bat, but the presence behind the plate that Ross simply doesn't bring, especially handling pitchers.
Now Corriea. He has been a beast on the ROAD, winning nine and losing two, posting a 2.85 ERA and onlyä allowing opponents to hit ..218 against him. He's actually a LITTLE tougher on lefties, which should help him with Freeman, who hasn't faced him yet.
The Braves are the ones pressing to stay ahead for the Wild Card, and obviously we know what the Pirates are doing, and it doesn't appear they are all the fazed by it. I also think that getting AWAY from Pittsburgh and the sellout crowds might have taken some of the pressure of. So, in the end, if you want to give me a more-or-less first place team with solid starters and a great bullpen at this number against an aging pitcher in the heat and humidity, I will take it every single time.
911 PIT (+150) Bookmaker.com vs 912 ATL Dave Essler
Analysis: Absolutely the best play on the board tonight without laying chalk or playing RL's, which I actually considered for this bet. However, after looking even deeper, the Pirates SHOULD win this game. Let's work backwards for a minute. People are infatuated with the Braves bullpen, and quite frankly the are very good. However, recently it's been the PIRATES bullpen that's posted a 1.34 ERA over the last week, and that includes games against both the Reds and the Cardinals. Add to that the fact that as I type Jurrjens has thrown 100 pitches through six innings, so the Atlanta pen is going to get used again tonight. Possible advantage Pirates.
Now I do know that Derek Lowe CAN be a stud pitcher. Two things. First, even if his sinker is "decent" the Pirates are exactly the type of team that can cause him problems, because they are NOT the teams that are going to swing for the fences and WILL go to the opposite field and/or be quite happy with singles and doubles. Secondly, I love to fade him at home, which many of you already know. At home, his ERA is 5.04 which is a run more than on the road, and that's AFTER the last three games on the road where he gave up four in each game.
McCutcheon, Jones, Tabata, and Walker all have hits off of Lowe, and Overbay has two walks in three at bats. This all tells me that the Pirates will score, and add to that the fact that McCann is out and you not only lose the bat, but the presence behind the plate that Ross simply doesn't bring, especially handling pitchers.
Now Corriea. He has been a beast on the ROAD, winning nine and losing two, posting a 2.85 ERA and onlyä allowing opponents to hit ..218 against him. He's actually a LITTLE tougher on lefties, which should help him with Freeman, who hasn't faced him yet.
The Braves are the ones pressing to stay ahead for the Wild Card, and obviously we know what the Pirates are doing, and it doesn't appear they are all the fazed by it. I also think that getting AWAY from Pittsburgh and the sellout crowds might have taken some of the pressure of. So, in the end, if you want to give me a more-or-less first place team with solid starters and a great bullpen at this number against an aging pitcher in the heat and humidity, I will take it every single time.
