Service Plays Thursday 7/10/14

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MLB

Detroit Tigers at Kansas City Royals

The 'Over' has been a hot bet when Tigers southpaw Drew Smyly has pitched away from Comerica Park (6-2 O/U). Tigers take on Royals tonight in a series that has produced three 'Over' this season in Kansas City.


Los Angeles Angels at Texas Rangers

The 'Over' has been the right choice when Texas pitcher Colby Lewis has pitched recently, going 7-1 'Over' in his last eight starts. Lewis gets the ball in Arlington Thursday when his club takes on Los Angeles Angels platting a league second best 4.91 runs/game.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | CONNECTICUT at INDIANA
Play On - Home favorites (INDIANA) revenging a loss versus opponent by 10 points or more, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% after 15 or more games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at TULSA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) a good team (+3 to +7 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG differential), after scoring 80 points or more
77-38 since 1997. ( 67.0% | 0.0 units )
2-2 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | MINNESOTA at TULSA
Play On - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (TULSA) vs. division opponents, off 2 or more consecutive upset losses as a home favorite
54-23 since 1997. ( 70.1% | 28.7 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
 
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McAllister set to rejoin Indians' rotation
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

CLEVELAND -- A new face is ready to join the Cleveland Indians' frequently altered rotation.

It qualifies as an old face, too.

Right-hander Zach McAllister will be recalled from Triple-A Columbus on Saturday, and he will start that day against the Chicago White Sox. He is taking the place of right-hander Justin Masterson, who landed on the disabled list Tuesday due to an inflamed right knee.

McAllister started the season in Cleveland's rotation, but after he went 3-4 with a 5.89 ERA in 10 starts, he was placed on the disabled list with a lower back strain. When he was healthy again, he was optioned to Columbus, where he pitched so well he has earned a return to the major league club and a spot back in the rotation. In six starts at Columbus, McAllister went 5-0 with a 2.23 ERA.

The two candidates to replace Masterson in the rotation were right-hander Danny Salazar and McAllister. Salazar is also at Columbus, where he is apparently pitching better than his numbers. In eight starts with in Triple-A, Salazar is 3-5 with a 4.93 ERA, but Cleveland manager Terry Francona said the reports from Columbus are that Salazar's last two starts were outstanding.

Although he got bypassed for this opening in the major league rotation, Salazar likely will be back on the big league club before the end of the month. The Indians have a doubleheader scheduled for July 19 in Detroit. They will need an extra pitcher that day, and Francona indicated that it probably would be Salazar.
 
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Hendricks the latest Cubs pitching prospect to arrive
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

CINCINNATI -- When Jeff Samardzija and Jason Hammel were traded to Oakland, it created a buzz among the Chicago Cubs' minor-league pitchers.

Right-hander Kyle Hendricks, who arrived at Great American Ball Park on Wednesday, the day before his scheduled major league debut, said his teammates at Triple-A Iowa were energized by the news.

"As players, we talked about who's going to go up, what's going to happen," he said. "It says something about the guys we have down there that any of them could come up and fill the spot. I hope they're giving me a real opportunity. That's what you want."

Hendricks went 10-5 with a 3.59 ERA and 97 strikeouts in 102 2/3 innings. His success this season has been bolstered by the improvement in his four-seam fastball, which has become a go-to pitch.

"I usually throw mostly two-seam," he said. "I've been using my four-seam with more velocity to both sides of the plate. It's been a real key for me."

Hendricks said he'll have 15 friends and family members in attendance Thursday for his first start.

Chicago's youth movement is well under way, with No. 7 prospect Arismendy Alcantara making his debut and right-hander Dallas Beeler making his second start Wednesday.

"We all know that those young guys are there," manager Rich Renteria said. "Any time there (are) the beginnings of change it sends a ripple effect throughout the minor league system. For them, it opens up opportunities. They still have to go out and perform."
 

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MLB PLAY OF THE DAY


LA Angels ML (-122)


Risking 6.8 units to win 5.58 units


8:05pm start


Lewis/Shoemaker must start



The Angels come into this one playing really well, winning 8 of 10 and 15 of 19. LA has been able to put up 4 or more runs in 15 of 17 games. The big boys are getting their hits with Trout reaching base in 7 of 10 games and Pujols homering 4 times in the same stretch.


The Rangers want that All Star Break to come sooner than later as they desperately need to get their act together. They’ve lost 4 in a row and 8 of 9 in July. The last time both teams faced each other, the Angels were able to sweep Texas at home in a 3 game series.


Colby Lewis comes into this one with a 6-5, 5.51 ERA. He’s pitching better lately after a long recovery from hip and shoulder surgeries. His last appearance at home against the Angels was back in 2011 when he gave up 9 earned runs in 11 innings. He also gave up 2 in 5 2/3 innings this past May in LA. The Rangers have given up 4 or more runs in 9 of 10 recent games.


Matt Shoemaker is holding down a 7-2 record with a 4.38 ERA. He took on the Rangers in June and allowed only one run in 7 2/3 innings. In 3 of 4 recent starts, he’s only given up 2 runs or less while pitching 6 innings or more.


Take the Angels for a strong play this evening.
 

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Thunderstorms could spoil this matchup Thursday
Andrew Avery

The Washington Nationals and Baltimore Orioles are schedule to conclude a three-game set at Camden Yards Thursday, but thunderstorms in the area could have the final say.

According to DailyBaseballData, there is a 30 percent chance of thunderstorms in the forecast prior to game time, but that escalates to a 50 percent chance by the time the first pitch is to be thrown.

The O's are currently -108 home faves in the series finale.
 

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MLB

National League

Cubs-Reds
Hendricks is making MLB debut; he was 10-5, 3.59 in 17 AAA starts.
Bailey is 2-2, 2.76 in his last six starts.

Cubs are 0-6 since Samardzija trade, scoring twelve runs; they had been 11-8 in the 19 games before the trade. .
Cincinnati won eight of its last nine home games.

Eight of last eleven Cincinnati games stayed under total.

Braves-Mets
Harang is 3-0, 3.43 in his last three starts.
Colon is 0-2, 6.92 in his last two starts, 1-1, 1.93 vs Atlanta this year.

Braves lost last four games, after winning nine in row.
Mets won five of their last six games.

Five of last seven Colon starts went over the total.

Phillies-Brewers
Buchanan is 0-2, 4.91 in his last couple starts.
Garza is 2-0, 2.30 in his last two starts.

Phillis won their last three games.
Milwaukee lost eight of its last nine games.

Seven of last nine Buchanan starts stayed under.

Pirates-Cardinals
Volquez is 3-0, 0.86 in his last three starts.
Miller is 0-2, 7.32 in his last four starts.

Pirates lost their last four road games.
St Louis won six of its last eight home games.

Under is 9-2-1 in Cardinals' last twelve home games.

Padres-Dodgers
Despaigne is 2-0, 0.92 in his first three MLB starts.
Kershaw is 7-0, 0.69 in his last seven starts; he hasn't allowed a eun in his last 36 innings.

Padres won six of their last nine games.
Dodgers lost three of their last four games.

Four of six Kershaw home starts went over the total.


American League

White Sox--Red Sox
Quintana is 2-0, 0.94 in his last four starts.
Lester is 3-0, 2.13 in his last five starts.

White Sox won five of their last seven games.
Red Sox lost 13 of their last 19 games.

15 of last 21 games at Fenway Park stayed under.

Bronx-Indians
Phelps has a 2.13 RA in his last two starts, but Bronx is 3-9 when he starts.
House is 1-1, 3.50 in his last three starts.

Bronx Bombers won six of their last eight road games.
Indians won five of their last eight games.

Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Cleveland home games.

Angels-Rangers
Santiago is 0-2, 5.96 in his last five starts.
Lewis is 2-2, 6.41 in his last seven starts.

Angels won eight of their last ten games.
Rangers lost ten of their last eleven games.

lLast six Texas games went over the total.

Tigers-Royals
Smyly is 1-4, 4.39 in his last five starts.
Guthrie is 0-1, 8.44 in his last two starts.

Detroit won seven of its last ten road games.
Royals are 8-11 in their last 19 games, 3-6 in last nine at home.


Four of last five Guthrie starts went over the total.

Twins-Mariners
Pino is 0-2, 6.14 in his last three starts.
Seattle is pushing King Felix back to Friday against the A's; they're going with a bullpen-by-committee approach in this game.

Minnesota lost six of its last nine games, but won last two.
Mariners won eight of their last twelve games, but lost last two.

Four of last five Seattle road games stayed under.


Interleague games

Nationals-Orioles
Gonzalez is 3-0, 0.00 (21 IP) in his last three starts.
Chen is 1-1, 5.40 in his last four starts.

Orioles won seven of their last nine games.
Washington won eight of its last ten games.

Nine of last thirteen Washington games went over.

A's-Giants
Kazmir is 4-1, 3.06 in his last six starts.
Hudson is 0-3, 5.92 in his last four starts (0-1, 1.93 in last two).

Oakland won six of last seven games, but lost last four on road.
Giants lost nine of their last thirteen games.

Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Oakland games.


Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Hendricks 0-0 Bailey 5-18
-- Buchanan 1-9; Garza 7-18
-- Harang 5-18 (3 of last 4); Colon 6-18 (3 of last 4)
-- Volquez 6-17; Miller 3-18 (3 of last 5)
-- Despaigne 1-3; Kershaw 2-13


-- Quintana 2-18; Lester 5-18
-- Phelps 1-12; House 3-7 (3 of last 4)
-- Santiago 2-11; Lewis 5-15
-- Smyly 6-14 (3 of last 6); Guthrie 5-18
-- Pino 0-4; Wilhelmson 0-0

-- Kazmir 4-18; Hudson 1-17
-- Gonzalez 9-4; Chen 6-17 (4 of last 8)

Teams' record when this starting pitcher starts:
-- Hendricks 0-0 Bailey 9-9
-- Buchanan 4-5; Garza 10-8
-- Harang 11-7; Colon 9-8
-- Volquez 9-8; Miller 8-10
-- Despaigne 2-1; Kershaw 10-3


-- Quintana 7-11; Lester 11-7
-- Phelps 3-9; House 4-3 (4-1 in last 5)
-- Santiago 3-8; Lewis 8-7
-- Smyly 4-10; Guthrie 10-8
-- Pino 2-2; Wilhelmson 0-0

-- Kazmir 14-4; Hudson 11-5
-- Gonzalez 5-13; Chen 10-7

Umpires
-- Chi-Cin-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Muchinski games.
-- Atl-NY-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Timmons games.
-- Phil-Mil-- Underdogs won four of last five Bellino games.
-- Pitt-StL-- Nine of last fifteen Drake games went over.

-- NY-Clev-- Road teams won eight of last ten Knight games.
-- Chi-Bos-- Underdogs won 12 of last 15 Hudson games.
-- Min-Sea-- Under is 11-5-1 in last 17 Scott games; faves won four of last five.

-- Wsh-Blt--Three of last four Bucknor games went over total.
-- SF-A's-- Over is 11-5 in Johnson games this season.
 

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What trend continues to roll on the diamond?
Andrew Caley

Another day on the diamond and another successful day for underdogs against the runline.

Underdogs put up an 1-4 record against the runline in Wednesday's Major League Baseball action, good for a success rate of almost 74 percent.

Dogs against the runline continue to be a solid bet this season, hitting just over 60 percent of the time.
 

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Game of the Day: Pirates at Cardinals

Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals (-117, 8)

The St. Louis Cardinals look to complete a sweep when they host the Pittsburgh Pirates in the finale of their four-game series on Thursday. St. Louis opened the set with a pair of walk-off victories before posting a 5-2 triumph on Wednesday. Matt Adams collected three hits and two RBIs while Kolten Wong added a solo homer a day after belting the winning blast in the ninth inning.

The news was not all good for the Cardinals as All-Star catcher Yadier Molina suffered a sprained right thumb while sliding into third base in the second inning and exited the game in the following frame. Neil Walker recorded two of his team's six hits, including a solo homer as Pittsburgh suffered its fourth straight road loss. The Pirates, who are 2-for-25 with runners in scoring position over the first three games of the series, are 5-7 overall against the Cardinals this season and 1-5 in St. Louis.

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, ROOT (Pittsburgh), FSN Midwest (St. Louis)

LINE HISTORY: The Cardinals opened as -122 faves and now sit -117. The total has held at the opening number of 8.

POWER RANKINGS: Pirates (-158), Cardinals (-174)

INJURY REPORT: Cardinals: C Yadier Molina (Questionable, thumb)

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Central Division rivals take the field today in St. Louis as the Cardinals host the Pirates. Both teams are battling to get into the wild card race and catch the Brewers for the Central Division lead. The Cardinals send Shelby Miller to the mound to try and complete the four-game sweep of the Pirates. Shelby is 0-2 with a ERA of 7.32 in his last 4 starts. With all-star catcher Yadier Molina questionable tonight the Cardinals are a -120 favorite, while we are dealing even odds on the Pirates on the money line and they are seeing 58 percent of the action. On the 1.5 run line all the action is on the Cardinals to cover the spread. The 8 run total is seeing 76 percent of the action on the over, as the last two games have combined for 16 runs." Michael Stewart.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (7-6, 3.88 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (7-7, 4.15)

Volquez posted his third straight victory on Saturday, limiting Philadelphia to one run and four hits over seven innings. The 31-year-old Dominican has allowed a total of two runs in 21 frames during his winning streak and has held the opposition to fewer than two runs in four of his last five outings. Volquez has not fared well against St. Louis, going 3-6 with a 5.58 ERA in 13 career starts.

Miller escaped with a no-decision against Miami on Saturday, when his winless streak reached five starts after yielding three runs and nine hits in 5 1/3 innings. The 23-year-old is 1-5 over his last nine outings, with the victory being a shutout at Toronto on June 7. Miller lost his first five career starts against the Pirates before posting victories at home on April 25 and in Pittsburgh on May 11.


TRENDS:

* Pirates are 0-4 in the last four meetings.
* Cardinals are 5-0 in their last five vs. National League Central.
* Cardinals are 1-4 in Miller's last five home starts.
* Over is 18-7-3 in the last 28 meetings in St. Louis.

CONSENSUS: 56.42 percent of wagers are on the Cardinals.
 

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Anyone have Roosters Moves? Interested to see what his early play is. I know he is 5-0 for the week.
 

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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Argentina and hit with under on Wednesday and likes A’s on Thursday.

The deficit is 307 sirignanos.
 

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | MINNESOTA at SEATTLE
Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SEATTLE) terrible offensive team - scoring <=4.2 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more
167-98 over the last 5 seasons. ( 63.0% | 59.1 units )
24-18 this year. ( 57.1% | 3.6 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | NY YANKEES at CLEVELAND
CLEVELAND is 42-15 (+26.4 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: CLEVELAND (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.4)
 

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Chase Diamond

Oakland A's vs. San Francisco Giants

15* San Francisco Giants +112

This game features the 57-34 Oakland at the 50-41 Giants. Giants are in a free fall but had a much needed win yesterday. Motivational advantage for the Giants here as they need this win far more then Oakland does. 66% of the public backing the road Oakland here has really pushed this line up I'm still liking the Giants for a 15* play
 

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EZWINNERS

2 STAR SELECTION

Game: Los Angeles Angels @ Texas Rangers

(966) Texas Rangers +1.5 (-$155)

(Risking $310 to win $200) (Action)
 

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Paul Leiner

100* St. Louis Cardinals -115

50* Oakland Athletics -120
 

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H&H Sports

MLB

3* Interleague GOM

San Francisco Giants


2*

New York Yankees


3*

Washington Nationals
 

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Cooper Wins

TOP Play

Game #1: Atlanta Braves @ NY Mets

NY Mets -110
 

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