Service Plays Thursday 6/5/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks

Washington at Connecticut

The Mystics head to Connecticut tonight to face a Sun team that is 1-6 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the two teams. Washington is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mystics favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.

THURSDAY, JUNE 5 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST

Game 651-652: San Antonio at New York (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 107.108; New York 113.326 Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 6; 153 Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4; 148 Dunkel Pick: New York (-4); Over

Game 653-654: Washington at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 105.882; Connecticut 104.703 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 144 Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 1 1/2; 148 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+1 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Spurs -4.5
Tigers(RL) -1.5(+123)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Thursday

Cards -125

Orioles +105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play Thurs Washington -170

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Blue Jays on Wednesday and likes the Tigers and Spurs (series) on Thursday.

The deficit is 295 sirignanos.

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
THURSDAY, JUNE 5TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#901 SAN FRANCISCO @ #902 CINCINNATI - 12:35 PM
•Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (7-3, 2.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.252) - Bumgarner rebounded from a poor ending in April in a big way, going 5-0 with a 2.08 ERA in six starts in May to earn National League Pitcher of the Month honors after losing his last three outings the previous month. The 24-year-old is coming off his best start of the campaign as he scattered three hits while recording a season high-tying 10 strikeouts in seven scoreless innings of a victory at St. Louis on Friday. Bumgarner has not pitched very well against Cincinnati over his career, going 1-2 with a 5.16 ERA in four outings.

--KEY STAT: BUMGARNER is 27-9 (+17.5 Units) against the money line after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 4.5, OPPONENT 2.8.

--BUMGARNER is 20-8 UNDER (+10.6 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 3.5, OPPONENT 2.7.

--BUMGARNER is 8-0 UNDER (+8.0 Units) when playing on Thursday over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUMGARNER 2.6, OPPONENT 1.6.

•Reds RH Mike Leake (3-4, 2.92 ERA, WHIP: 1.065) - Leake ended his seven-start winless streak Friday, when he yielded four runs - three earned - in six innings of a triumph at Arizona. The 27-year-old deserved better results during his skid as he allowed fewer than three earned runs in each of his last five outings prior to the victory over the Diamondbacks. Leake has had San Francisco's number, posting a 4-0 record with one complete game in five starts and one relief appearance.

--KEY STAT: LEAKE is 9-0 OVER (+9.1 Units) when playing on Thursday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEAKE 6.8, OPPONENT 5.8.

#903 PHILADELPHIA @ #904 WASHINGTON - 4:05 PM
•Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (1-5, 4.21 ERA, WHIP: 1.361) - Kendrick followed up his lone victory of the season with another sub-par performance against the New York Mets in his last trip to the mound. The 29-year-old yielded four runs on eight hits in six innings en route to a no-decision on Saturday. Kendrick was blitzed in his last outing versus Washington, allowing two homers and six runs total in 4 1/3 frames to drop to 5-8 lifetime against the club.

--KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 27-13 OVER (+13.3 Units) in road games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KENDRICK 5.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

•Nationals RH Doug Fister (3-1, 3.34 ERA, WHIP: 1.079) - Fister posted his third straight victory after permitting two runs on four hits in six innings of a 10-2 triumph over Texas on Saturday. The 30-year-old is 3-0 with a slim 2.13 ERA in his last four starts after yielding six runs on 21 hits in 25 1/3 frames. Fister excelled in his lone career start versus Philadelphia, allowing one run on three hits over eight stellar innings to pick up the win.

--KEY STAT: FISTER is 35-16 UNDER (+16.5 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FISTER 3.2, OPPONENT 3.4.

--FISTER is 5-17 against the run line (-14.8 Units) when playing on Thursday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FISTER 2.9, OPPONENT 4.1.

#905 NY METS @ #906 CHICAGO CUBS - 7:05 PM
•Mets RH Jacob DeGrom (0-2, 2.42 ERA, WHIP: 1.077) - The rookie deGrom has recorded quality starts in each of the first four outings of his career but doesn't yet have a win to show for it. He racked up a career-high 11 strikeouts and didn't allow a baserunner until the fourth last time out but wound up with a no-decision after giving up a three-run homer to Ryan Howard in the seventh. His two weaknesses have been walks (12) and home runs (four), but he has 25 strikeouts in 26 innings.

•Cubs LH Travis Wood (5-5, 5.15 ERA, WHIP: 1.376) - Wood had his three-start winning streak snapped with an awful outing Friday at Milwaukee, allowing seven runs and 10 hits while lasting just 2 2/3 innings. The 27-year-old has yielded five or more runs in four of his last seven starts after doing so only twice in 32 outings last season. Wood is 2-0 with a 2.92 ERA in four starts against the Mets, with both wins coming in 2012.

#907 ARIZONA @ #908 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Bronson Arroyo (4-4, 4.39 ERA, WHIP: 1.316) - Arroyo's one constant is the ability to eat up innings, going at least seven frames in five of his last six starts, but he is winless in his last three turns and has been rocked twice. Arroyo gave up five runs on nine hits in a 6-4 loss at Cincinnati on Friday and posted an identical line in a 5-0 loss at St. Louis on May 20. He wedged a quality start between those outings, giving up one run in six innings versus the Mets.

--KEY STAT: ARROYO is 10-2 (+11.8 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .280 or better since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was ARROYO 5.8, OPPONENT 3.9.

•Rockies RH Juan Nicasio (5-3, 4.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.323) - Nicasio is coming off his second-shortest outing of the season, lasting 4 2/3 innings and getting knocked around for five runs on nine hits in a loss at Cleveland. It marked the fifth time in eight starts that Nicasio has allowed at least four runs, although he has managed to go 3-3 during that stretch. He continues to struggle with the long ball, surrendering 10 in 62 innings and nine in his last eight turns.

--KEY STAT: NICASIO is 15-3 OVER (+12.1 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NICASIO 7.0, OPPONENT 6.3.

--NICASIO is 14-2 OVER (+12.1 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NICASIO 7.5, OPPONENT 5.7.

--NICASIO is 15-5 OVER (+10.0 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NICASIO 6.9, OPPONENT 5.3.
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[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
THURSDAY, JUNE 5TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#909 OAKLAND @ #910 NY YANKEES - 1:05 PM
•Athletics LH Drew Pomeranz (5-2, 2.37 ERA, WHIP: 1.184) - Pomeranz yielded five runs in a 9-5 victory over the Los Angeles Angels on Friday after allowing five runs in his previous nine appearances (four starts) this season. The 25-year-old Tennessee native was 3-1 with an 0.95 ERA in his previous four starts covering only 19 innings while issuing seven walks in his last two turns (9 1/3 frames). Pomeranz has never pitched against the Yankees but has faced Alfonso Soriano (1-for-3, solo homer) and Carlos Beltran (2-for-8, double, two strikeouts).

•Yankees RH Masahiro Tanaka (8-1, 2.06 ERA, WHIP: 0.953) - Tanaka is slightly better at home (3-0, 1.98 ERA, .194 opponents batting average) and during the day (4-0, 1.21, .179), but remains modest during his eye-opening start. "No, I don’t feel that I’m the ace,” the 25-year-old Japan native told the New York Daily News after striking out nine while yielding an unearned run in eight innings of New York's 3-1 victory over Minnesota on Saturday. Tanaka is expected to face the Athletics again June 15 when the teams play a three-game series in Oakland.

#911 TORONTO @ #912 DETROIT - 1:05 PM
•Blue Jays LH J.A. Happ (4-2, 4.10 ERA, WHIP: 1.555) - Happ yielded a season-high six runs and nine hits while striking out six in 7 2/3 innings of a 6-1 loss to Kansas City on Saturday, but the two-run homer he allowed to Lorenzo Cain to make it 6-1 really strung. "It's frustrating to be out there and an out away from keeping us right in there," the 31-year-old Illinois native told Canada.com. Happ, who had won his previous three turns, prevailed in both road starts this season - Boston and Philadelphia - while compiling a 3.60 ERA over 10 innings.

--KEY STAT: HAPP is 9-27 (-17.9 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAPP 3.1, OPPONENT 4.8.

--HAPP is 15-5 UNDER (+9.5 Units) versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAPP 2.6, OPPONENT 4.0.

--HAPP is 16-4 UNDER (+11.4 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAPP 3.5, OPPONENT 3.9.

•Tigers RH Justin Verlander (6-4, 3.99 ERA, WHIP: 1.443) - Verlander was 1-2 with an 8.31 ERA in three starts prior to Friday, when he yielded three runs and five hits while striking out seven in 7 2/3 innings of a 6-3 victory at Seattle. "His velocity was good out of the gate," Tigers manager Brad Ausmus told reporters about the 31-year-old Virginia native. "He attacked the hitters. He wasn't tiptoeing around anyone. He was going after them." Verlander is 3-2 with a 4.02 ERA, 1.04 WHIP and .223 batting average against in eight starts against Toronto.

--KEY STAT: VERLANDER is 14-21 (-22.1 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 4.3, OPPONENT 4.4.

--VERLANDER is 24-11 OVER (+12.2 Units) in home games versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VERLANDER 5.7, OPPONENT 4.4.

#913 LA ANGELS @ #914 HOUSTON - 7:10 PM
•Angels LH Tyler Skaggs (4-3, 4.14 ERA, WHIP: 1.186) - Skaggs has lost back-to-back starts since shutting down Houston on one run and five hits over seven innings on May 20. He also dominated the Astros in his first start of the season when he gave up one unearned run and four hits over eight innings. Skaggs has pitched six or more innings in 10 of his 11 outings.

•Astros RH Brad Peacock (1-4, 4.76 ERA, WHIP: 1.588) - Peacock has strung together consecutive strong outings and appears to be recovered from recent forearm soreness. He beat the Chicago White Sox on May 18 when he allowed two runs and five hits over six innings and returned May 29 to give up one run and six hits in six innings in a no-decision against Baltimore. Peacock allowed four runs and five hits in three innings April 7 in his lone career start against the Angels.

#915 BALTIMORE @ #916 TEXAS - 8:05 PM
•Orioles RH Chris Tillman (5-2, 4.63 ERA, WHIP: 1.400) - Tillman's last four outings have been marked by wild inconsistency - he followed up his first career shutout on May 16 by getting shelled for eight runs in one-plus innings in his next turn at Pittsburgh. Tillman endured another rough outing at Milwaukee on May 26, giving up six runs in 5 2/3 innings, before limiting Houston to one run over 6 2/3 innings last time out. Tillman is 3-1 with a 3.21 ERA in four career starts versus Texas.

•Rangers RH Colby Lewis (4-4, 5.44 ERA, WHIP: 1.770) - Lewis has alternated wins and losses and over his last starts and is coming off a rocky performance at Washington, giving up six runs (five earned) on nine hits over 5 2/3 innings. He has failed to get through six innings in eight of his nine turns and has pitched poorly at home with a 1-3 record and 7.52 ERA in four starts. Lewis' home WHIP is an unsightly 1.92 and opponents are batting .393 against him in Arlington.

--KEY STAT: LEWIS is 24-9 OVER (+14.1 Units) in home games versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LEWIS 7.3, OPPONENT 6.0.
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[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS INTERLEAGUE PITCHING REPORT
THURSDAY, JUNE 5TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________________

#917 MIAMI @ #918 TAMPA BAY - 4:10 PM
•Marlins RH Jacob Turner (1-3, 5.59 ERA, WHIP: 1.630) - Turner followed up a scoreless outing in his first win of the year on May 24 with a rocky showing against Atlanta at home Saturday, allowing five runs (four earned) in five innings while walking a season-high four. That snapped a string of five straight starts in which Turner had yielded exactly one free pass, but opponents are hitting a healthy .327 against him. The former first-round selection has has faced Tampa Bay.

•Rays RH Jake Odorizzi (2-5, 5.13 ERA, WHIP: 1.538) - Odorizzi gave up five runs on six hits in just 3 1/3 innings at Boston on Saturday, matching his shortest start of the season and ending what had been an impressive stretch. In his previous four outings, the 24-year-old allowed four earned runs in 21 2/3 frames while striking out 31. Odorizzi's second career start was against the Marlins at home just over a year ago, when he gave up six runs and eight hits in four frames.

#919 ST LOUIS @ #920 KANSAS CITY - 8:10 PM
•Cardinals RH Michael Wacha (4-3, 2.45 ERA, WHIP: 1.064) - Wacha turned in another strong effort Saturday, registering seven strikeouts while scattering three hits over six scoreless innings in a victory over San Francisco. The 22-year-old is 2-0 over his last five outings and has allowed three runs or fewer in each contest. Wacha won his only career start against Kansas City as he limited the Royals to a run and two hits over seven frames.

--KEY STAT: WACHA is 5-11 (-10.6 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was WACHA 3.3, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Royals RH Yordano Ventura (2-5, 3.45 ERA, WHIP: 1.256) - Ventura takes the mound for the first time since May 26, when he surrendered five runs and seven hits in 2 2/3 innings before exiting with discomfort in his elbow. The Dominican, who celebrated his 23rd birthday Tuesday, has lost each of his last four starts and is winless in six since tossing eight scoreless frames at Baltimore on April 25. Ventura will be facing St. Louis for the first time in his career.

#921 MILWAUKEE @ #922 MINNESOTA - 8:10 PM
•Brewers RH Wily Peralta (4-5, 2.73 ERA, WHIP: 1.240) - Peralta is enduring a five-start winless streak and is coming off his worst outing of the season after allowing six runs on five hits - two home runs - over 5 2/3 innings in a loss to the Chicago Cubs on Saturday. The 25-year-old Dominican yielded three or fewer runs in each of his first 10 starts before coming up short against the Cubs. Peralta fell in his lone career start against Minnesota, allowing four runs - three earned - on five hits and five walks in five frames.

--KEY STAT: PERALTA is 21-8 UNDER (+11.3 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PERALTA 2.4, OPPONENT 3.8.

•Twins RH Kevin Correia (2-6, 5.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.516) - Correia allowed nine hits in six innings at New York on Saturday but limited the damage to one run without factoring in the decision. The veteran posted a 6.75 ERA in his previous four turns and owns only five quality starts in 11 outings. Correia has a long track record against Milwaukee from his time in the National League and boasts a 5-6 record with a 4.57 ERA in 21 games - 12 starts.

--KEY STAT: CORREIA is 40-26 (+19.8 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CORREIA 4.6, OPPONENT 4.3.

--CORREIA is 33-21 (+17.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was CORREIA 4.5, OPPONENT 4.1.

--CORREIA is 20-8 UNDER (+11.5 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CORREIA 3.5, OPPONENT 4.0.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | WASHINGTON at CONNECTICUT
Play On - Any team (WASHINGTON) well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days, average team from last season that won between 45-55% of their games
59-26 since 1997. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
5-2 this year. ( 71.4% | 2.8 units )

WNBA | WASHINGTON at CONNECTICUT
Play On - Any team vs the money line (WASHINGTON) excellent free throw shooting team (>=80%) against an average free throw shooting team (71-76%), after 2 straight games making 80% of their free throws or better
69-31 since 1997. ( 69.0% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | WASHINGTON at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after having covered 2 of their last 3 against the spread, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA Playoffs

Miami beat Spurs in seven games in Finals LY, escaping tough spot in Game 6 to pull out OT win when it appeared Spurs were going to win series. Heat is 4-3 on road in playoffs, 0-1 when getting points; they're 1-3 in last four games. Home team won 11 of last 14 series games. Seven of last nine Miami games went over total; six of last eight San Antonio games stayed under. Spurs won last eight home games, are 9-1 at home in playoffs, covering last seven home games. Neither team has played this month, so fatigue is no factor here.

Over is 48-36 in playoffs this season, 6-6 in last round..
Favorites are 34-50 in playoffs this season, 10-2 in last round.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

St Louis Cardinals at Kansas City Royals

St Louis Cardinals and Kansas City Royals conclude their home-home I-70 interleague set with Royals having notched two victories in St Louis and Cardinals getting a little revenge with a win last night in K.C. St Louis mired in a 3-7 slump send out Michael Wacha, who currently sports a 4-3 record with a 2.45 ERA. The record disguises the fact that the right-hander has shown a dominating presence tossing 10 quality starts and hasn't allowed more than 3 runs in any of his 12 trips to the mound. The Royals have Yordano Ventura scheduled to start. Ventura ridding an 0-4 skid is 2-5 on the campaign with a 3.45 ERA and returns after nine days of rest having skipped his last turn of the rotation. Wacha in fine form, St Louis 3-1 in his last four appearances, Ventura struggling look for Cardinals to extend it's 8-0 streak playing in Royals' back yard and it's move to 17-6 as a favorite of -$1.10 to -$1.50 in interleague action.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Spurs look for revenge

Miami Heat (66-31) at San Antonio Spurs (74-26)

Line and Total: San Antonio -3.5, Total: 198.5

Game 1 of the NBA Finals kicks off Thursday night in San Antonio when the Spurs look to get revenge on the Heat for what happened in 2013.

Miami advanced to the championship with a 117-92 blowout victory versus the Pacers in a home Game 6, while San Antonio actually had to work hard for a 112-107 road win in Game 6 over Oklahoma City. Last year, these two teams met in the NBA Finals where the Heat ultimately won their second straight championship with a Game 7 victory.

Over the past three seasons, the Spurs are 3-2 SU and ATS versus Miami when at home, but overall, the Heat are 8-4 SU while the two teams have split games 6-6 ATS. Twenty-eight of the past 39 games played in this series have gone Under the total since 1996. San Antonio star PG Tony Parker (ankle) is likely to play in Game 1 after missing most of the second half of the team's series-clinching win in the Western Conference Finals.

For interested bettors, Miami is 16-5 ATS over the past two seasons after three straight games forcing its opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers. The Heat are also 11-3 ATS when playing five or less games in 14 days this season. However, the Spurs are 43-24 ATS in non-conference games over the past two seasons, and 32-17 ATS after a combined score of 205+ points this season.

The Heat embarrassed the Pacers in Game 6 behind an impressive overall team effort. SF LeBron James (27.1 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 5.0 APG, 1.8 SPG in playoffs) had an excellent game, finishing with 25 points (8-of-12 FG), six assists and four rebounds after having just seven points in Game 5. James was unstoppable attacking the rim, and really had it going from mid-range. He should have more difficulty against a Spurs team that tries to make the role players beat them.

PF Chris Bosh (15.2 PPG, 5.7 RPG, 1.3 BPG in playoffs) really got himself going in the final three games of the Eastern Conference Finals. Bosh averaged 23.3 PPG, 8.0 RPG and 1.3 BPG over that final stretch, and his outside shot appeared to be back after he struggled mightily in the opening rounds of this postseason. Bosh will need to have a big series, as he is the only player with size on the Heat roster, and will be going up against some talented frontcourt players.

SG Dwyane Wade (18.7 PPG, 4.3 APG, 3.9 RPG, 1.5 SPG in playoffs) had just 13 points in 25 minutes in Game 6, but he did have six assists and six rebounds. Wade looked like his old self in the first three rounds for Miami. If he can continue to drive aggressively and hit his outside shot occasionally, it will really help open up the floor for James in this series.

SG Ray Allen (9.1 PPRG, 3.5 RPG in playoffs) had some big moments against the Pacers, and the Heat will need his shooting off the bench against San Antonio.

Last year, the Spurs were devastated when a missed layup late in the series by PF Tim Duncan (16.5 PPG, 8.9 RPG, 1.4 BPG in playoffs) fell just short, which helped allow the Heat to win the NBA championship. Despite suffering from that loss, the Spurs have rebounded and made it all the way back for some revenge in 2014. Duncan has been a man on a mission for the Spurs, finishing with 19 points and 15 rebounds in a closeout game on the road against the Thunder. San Antonio force-fed him the ball late and he delivered down the stretch on nearly every touch. Duncan will need to be aggressive in his matchup with the weaker Chris Bosh.

PG Tony Parker (17.2 PPG, 4.9 APG in playoffs) was injured in Game 6 against the Thunder and was able to play only 19 minutes, but he is likely to play in Game 1 against Miami. Parker will need to use his speed to make sure he is making a living in the paint because the Heat point guards are one of the team’s major weaknesses.

SG Manu Ginobili (14.3 PPG, 4.1 APG, 3.3 RPG, 1.7 SPG in playoffs) had 15 points, six rebounds, five assists and four steals in Game 6 against the Thunder. Ginobili was all over the place for San Antonio in that series, making timely baskets and coming away with steals when the Spurs needed him most. His matchup with Dwyane Wade could come a long way in determining who wins this series.

SF Kawhi Leonard (13.3 PPG, 6.8 RPG, 1.7 SPG in playoffs) will be faced with the difficult task of covering LeBron James for most of this series. C Boris Diaw (10.0 PPG, 3.8 RPG, 2.7 APG in playoffs), who had 26 points (8-of-14 FG) in Game 6, will also check James for a couple of possessions per game.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Away dogs continue to roll against runline
By ANDREW CALEY

If you backed away dogs against the runline in major league action Wednesday night you probably went home happy.

Road underdogs took it to their home side counterparts last night going 8-2 against the runline, a success rate of an impressive 80 percent.

Taking away dogs against the runline has been the best bet in baseball all season, hitting at almost 64 percent for the season.

The biggest away dogs to come through were the Miami Marlins at +197, defeating the Tampa Bay Rays 5-4.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY METS at CHICAGO CUBS
Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHICAGO CUBS) poor power team (<=0.9 HR's/game) against a starting pitcher who gives up 1or more HR's/start, starting a well rested pitcher who is working on 5 or 6 days rest
51-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.1% | 27.3 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 0.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | OAKLAND at NY YANKEES
OAKLAND is 11-1 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in Road games on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
The average score was: OAKLAND (6.8) , OPPONENT (2.8)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Linecatchers:

Playersbet Bonus Play

Washington Nationals -1 -135

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Three big betting trends for the NBA Finals

The NBA Finals have arrived, which means a much-anticipated rematch between the Miami Heat and San Antonio Spurs, and a final opportunity for basketball bettors to scratch their itch prior to the offseason.

Here are three trends to pay attention to entering the NBA Finals:

Favorites, Under Rule Game 1

Looking for a strong start? Take the favorite and the Under in the opening game. Over the past seven NBA championship series, the favorite has covered the Game 1 spread six times. San Antonio's stunning 92-88 road victory over the Heat in the opening game of last year's NBA Finals is the only time in that stretch the underdog has covered.

The Under has been nearly as strong a trend over that span. Teams boast a 1-5-1 O/U mark over the previous seven openers, with Miami's 121-106 shootout win over Oklahoma City in 2012 the only Over in that time.

Miami Means More Offense

The Heat will participate in their fourth consecutive NBA Finals and their presence has meant more Overs than in seasons past. Miami and its Finals opponents - San Antonio, Oklahoma City and Dallas - have combined to go a respectable 9-7-2 O/U over the previous three championship series, running in stark contrast to the woeful 6-15-1 mark compiled by teams in the previous four NBA Finals.

Both the Heat and Spurs have been strong Over plays all year. Miami went 44-38 O/U in the regular season and is 11-4 O/U in the playoffs, while the Spurs were 44-37-1 O/U during the year and are 10-8 O/U in the postseason.

Spurs Stout at Home

It's one thing for a team to protect its home court, it's another for that team to do so against formidable road opponents. The Spurs, who will host the Heat in Thursday's NBA Finals opener, have covered in seven straight home games against teams with winning road records.

That stretch has seen the Spurs reel off seven consecutive home victories by an average of 23.7 points against the Thunder, Mavericks and Portland Trail Blazers, who combined to go 71-52 on the road in the regular season. The Heat were 22-19 on the road in the regular season and are 4-3 away from home in the playoffs.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

Hondo hit his long shot Wednesday night, scoring with the Marlins over the Rays, but went double-draino with the Pirates and Rockies to elevate the accounts payable to 885 whitakers.

Thursday: Mr. Aitch will wing it with the Jays over Zoolander, who hasn’t been a model of consistency lately — 10 units on Happ. Also, he will give deGrom Reaper an opportunity to slay the Cubs and earn a stall in the stable — 10 units on the Metamucils.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Anthony Michael (YouWinNow) - #702 San Antonio -4

The Spurs have a big time revenge angle going here and I think that it will be a big time motivator for them here in game 1. Now add to that the fired up crowd and the history of game 1 losses by the Heat. Miami always seems to lose game 1 but find a way to win, I see the losing this game 1 as well. Take the Spurs here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

River City Sharps

3 UNITS - ST. LOUIS CARDINALS ML

The St. Louis Cardinals are trying to create some momentum in Kansas City off their extra-inning win on Wedneday night. The Cards will send Michael Wacha (4-3, 2.45 ERA) to the mound and he will be opposed by the Royals Yordano Ventura (2-5, 3.45 ERA) The Cardinals have been wildly inconsistent this season, but not so for Wacha, who is 2-0 in his last five starts but the victim of little run support. The same cannot be said for Ventura, who has lost his last four starts and hasn't actually won a start since April 25th over the Orioles. He is 0-4 with a 4.50 ERA at home this season. The Royals are actually 1-6 in Ventura's last seven home starts and the Cardinals, while losing last night, have been beating up the teams they should. The Cardinals are 8-3 in their last 11 games vs. teams with a losing record. Wacha and the Cardinals get this done tonight.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FiveHoleFreddy

Brewers ML "2*"
Angels/Astros Under 9 "2*"