Service Plays Thursday 6/2/11

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB
Write-Up


Thursday, June 2

Hot pitchers
-- Pelfrey has a 1.91 RA in his last four home starts. Maholm has a 2.14 RA in his last five starts overall.
-- Duke shut Houston out for seven innings in his '11 debut and also hit a 3-run homer. Zimmerman has a 3.28 RA in his last four starts.
-- Stauffer is 1-1, 2.77 in his last couple starts; Padres are 5-1 when they give him more than two runs.

-- Carrasco is 3-0, 4.15 in his last three starts; Indians scored 26 runs in those three games.
-- Swarzak has 3.38 RA in two starts; he had a no-hitter in 7th inning in his last start.
-- Shields is 5-2, 1.71 in his last eight starts. FHernandez is 1-1, 2.74 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Giants lost last three Sanchez road starts (0-2, 5.21). Lynn was 5-3, 4.06 in 10 AAA starts; hitters are batting .284 against him.
-- Norris is 0-3, 6.03 in his last five starts.

-- Bush has 3.86 RA in two starts this year, but only lasted 7 innings total in the two games.
-- Royals lost last three O'Sullivan starts (0-2, 13.80).

Totals
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six games at Citi Field.
-- Eight of last ten St Louis home games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last six Washington road games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine San Diego games.

-- Four of last five Cleveland games went over the total.
-- Four of last six Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-3-2 in Seattle's last thirteen home games.

Hot Teams
-- Pirates are 9-4 in their last thirteen games.
-- Cardinals won six of their last eight home games.
-- Arizona won 16 of its last 19 games.
-- Astros won five of their last six road games. Padres won five of their last seven games.

-- Rangers won seven of their last ten games. Indians won five of their last seven home games.
-- Mariners won 11 of their last 14 games.

Cold Teams
-- Mets lost eight of their last eleven games.
-- Giants lost six of their last nine games.
-- Washington lost eight of its last eleven games.

-- Kansas City lost eight of its last eleven games. Minnesota lost ten of its last twelve games.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its last twelve games.

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

FantasySportsGametime

MLB Baseball Thursday

Play Tampa Bay (+105) over Seattle (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 10:10 PM EST

Seattle has lost 82 of the last 127 games coming off a loss and they have also lost 30 of the last 47 games when batting .200 or worse over a 3-game span. Tampa pitcher, James Shields is 4-0 in road games this season with an ERA of 1.88 and he has an ERA of 2.80 vs. Seattle over his career.

Play Washington (+115) over Arizona (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 9:40 PM EST

Arizona pitcher, Zach Duke has lost 11 of the last 14 games after giving up one runs or less in his last outing and he has also lost 10 of the last 15 games vs. NL East Division Opponents.

Play Pittsburgh (+110) over New York Mets (Bonus)

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Paul Leiner

100* Mets -125
50* Over 9.5 Twins/Royals ​

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Goodfella

NBA TOTAL OF THE WEEK BIG BET!

Mavs/Heat - OVER 186

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

EasyBaseballBetting
Our systems say to go for:

Pirates (+120),
Mariners (-114),
Twins (+109),
Astros (+120)

NBA
1) OVER 186
2) Mavericks +4.5

Both of these teams are great on the road and with the Mavs looking to bounce back from their loss in Game 1 (as well as 4 straight losses in the 2006 Finals), we expect this to be a pretty close game. We also like the OVER again in this game. The nerves got the better of both teams in Game 1 and deflated the over from ever having a chance but we will stick to our guts and take it again. From Covers, Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings. Road team is 10-2-1 ATS in the last 13 meetings.

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

SPORTSWAGERS
RANDALL THE HANDLE

Washington +115 over ARIZONA Pinnacle
Was that really Zach Duke that came off the DL to throw seven scoreless innings and hit a jack in the same game? The same Zach Duke that the Pirates wanted no more part of? Duke was even fighting for a job out of spring training before he took a ball off his hand. On March 7th, he surrendered three homers in three innings in a spring game and had overall to that point had allowed 16 hits in seven innings and had a spring ERA of 9.00 before being injured five days later. Duke has a career BA of .304. Current Nats batters are hitting .365 against him. In 160 games started in his career, he’s won 46 times so winning two in a row is not in his M.O. Duke is coming off a disastrous 2010 (5.72 ERA, 1.65 WHIP). He struggled with the HR-ball (1.4 hr/9) last season, and is unlikely to be aided by the move from Pittsburgh to Arizona's hitter-friendly park. The move to a more challenging venue combined with Duke's marginal skills mark him as a pitcher to avoid. Jordan Zimmerman has thrown at least six innings or more in five straight starts and has not allowed more than three runs in any of those starts. In fact, he’s allowed two runs or less in seven of his 10 starts. He has outstanding control (13 BB in 50 IP) and most of the D-Back hitters have never faced him before. He has a BA of .248, a WHIP of 1.16, a good strikeout rate and an ERA of 3.88. That ERA comes with a low strand rate of 64%. When that normalizes, his ERA will drop a little more. The D-Backs have had a lot of late inning magic recently. And Since this one is based on Zimmerman vs Duke and because Zimmerman rarely pitches into the seventh inning and because the Nats bullpen is not good, the play here is Zimmerman in the game’s first half.
Play: Washington +115 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).

TAMPA BAY +108 over SEATTLE Pinnacle
The M’s are hot with 12 wins in 16 games but they’ve had a rather favorable schedule over that stretch that saw them play the Twins five times and series with San Diego, Baltimore and the Angels. They did take two of three from the Yanks but in the two wins they beat Ivan Nova and A.J. Burnett and when they faced C.C. Sabathia they lost 7-1. Felix Hernandez is not good he’s great. At age 24, he's proven to be durable. A three-year run of 200+ with no signs of fatigue and in fact, his second half in 2010 (3.08 xERA, 118 BPV) was better than his first. He's a strikeout machine--at least 175 Ks in each of the past five seasons; 200+ Ks in the past two seasons. Batters who don't strike out against him make weak contact--GB% has inched upward, while LD% has declined, over the past two seasons. One has to squint to come up with cautions about Hernandez. The mileage on his arm continues to be an easy target, but no skills metrics back up that theory. Expecting another sub-3.00 ERA is asking a lot, but he's repeated it once already. There are no sure things in the world of pitchers--but Hernandez provides as much high-level certainty as any. The problem is he pitches for a team that could lose 2-1 or even 1-0. Only the Twins in the AL have scored fewer runs and no team in entire league has less than Seattle’s 29 bombs. The Mariners team BA is .229, which is also last in the league. James Shields is no fluke. Last season it seemed like every GB missed a glove, and every FB cleared the wall. We can't state this strongly enough that his skills are as good as anyone. Shields’ has whiffed 81 in 85 frames while walking just 18. He has a 2.15 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. He not only has the physical ability to dominate but he has the mental makeup too. He’s one of the most easy-going and laid back guys in the majors with an intense passion to compete. Oh yeah, and he pitches for a team that can score runs and that is 15-10 on the road. Current Rays are hitting .277 off King Felix in 83 combined AB’s and they might need only two here to get us to the cashier’s booth.
Play: Tampa Bay +108 (Risking 2 units).

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Super Sports Group

Houston v. San Diego 10:05pm
PICK: OVER 6.5 Game -105 Best bet of the day
PICK: Astros ML +115 Game

Tampa Bay v. Seattle 10:10pm
PICK: OVER 6.5 Game +105 Hidden Gem

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

EARLY SHARP MOVES

957 - Under 6.5 Hou / SD

951 - New York Mets ML

959 - Under 9.5 Tex / Cleveland

 

[Dr_Baseball]

Has anyone seen Dr. Bob's write up for his play and opinion on the NBA game tonight?

Thanks!

 

[takster]

Mighty missed with the Angels Wednesday.

Thursday it's the Heat. The deficit is 2253 sirign



Read more: http://www.nydailynews.com/sports/m...-06-02_mighty_quinn_june_2.html#ixzz1O8NwD500

 

[localboyz]

Jimmy the Greek

NYM -125
San Francisco +110
Arizona -125 (best bet)
Houston +110 over 6
Cleveland -120
Kansas City -120 over 9.5
Tampa Bay even

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

EARLY SHARP MOVES

957 - Under 6.5 Hou / SD

951 - New York Mets ML

959 - Under 9.5 Tex / Cleveland

Add:

953 - Under 8.5 San Francisco / Saint Louis

 

[jdsabre]

SPORTSPICKS365
REGULAR* MLB* NY Mets ML
REGULAR* MLB* Over 7.5

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

WUNDERDOG (MLB)

Game: Texas at Cleveland (7:05 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 9.5 -115

Game: Minnesota at Kansas City (8:10 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 10 -120

Game: Washington at Arizona (9:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: Washington +115 (moneyline)

 

[jdsabre]

SPORTSWAGERS
RANDALL THE HANDLE

Washington +115 over ARIZONA Pinnacle
Was that really Zach Duke that came off the DL to throw seven scoreless innings and hit a jack in the same game? The same Zach Duke that the Pirates wanted no more part of? Duke was even fighting for a job out of spring training before he took a ball off his hand. On March 7th, he surrendered three homers in three innings in a spring game and had overall to that point had allowed 16 hits in seven innings and had a spring ERA of 9.00 before being injured five days later. Duke has a career BA of .304. Current Nats batters are hitting .365 against him. In 160 games started in his career, he’s won 46 times so winning two in a row is not in his M.O. Duke is coming off a disastrous 2010 (5.72 ERA, 1.65 WHIP). He struggled with the HR-ball (1.4 hr/9) last season, and is unlikely to be aided by the move from Pittsburgh to Arizona's hitter-friendly park. The move to a more challenging venue combined with Duke's marginal skills mark him as a pitcher to avoid. Jordan Zimmerman has thrown at least six innings or more in five straight starts and has not allowed more than three runs in any of those starts. In fact, he’s allowed two runs or less in seven of his 10 starts. He has outstanding control (13 BB in 50 IP) and most of the D-Back hitters have never faced him before. He has a BA of .248, a WHIP of 1.16, a good strikeout rate and an ERA of 3.88. That ERA comes with a low strand rate of 64%. When that normalizes, his ERA will drop a little more. The D-Backs have had a lot of late inning magic recently. And Since this one is based on Zimmerman vs Duke and because Zimmerman rarely pitches into the seventh inning and because the Nats bullpen is not good, the play here is Zimmerman in the game’s first half.
Play: Washington +115 in the first five innings (Risking 2 units).

TAMPA BAY +108 over SEATTLE Pinnacle
The M’s are hot with 12 wins in 16 games but they’ve had a rather favorable schedule over that stretch that saw them play the Twins five times and series with San Diego, Baltimore and the Angels. They did take two of three from the Yanks but in the two wins they beat Ivan Nova and A.J. Burnett and when they faced C.C. Sabathia they lost 7-1. Felix Hernandez is not good he’s great. At age 24, he's proven to be durable. A three-year run of 200+ with no signs of fatigue and in fact, his second half in 2010 (3.08 xERA, 118 BPV) was better than his first. He's a strikeout machine--at least 175 Ks in each of the past five seasons; 200+ Ks in the past two seasons. Batters who don't strike out against him make weak contact--GB% has inched upward, while LD% has declined, over the past two seasons. One has to squint to come up with cautions about Hernandez. The mileage on his arm continues to be an easy target, but no skills metrics back up that theory. Expecting another sub-3.00 ERA is asking a lot, but he's repeated it once already. There are no sure things in the world of pitchers--but Hernandez provides as much high-level certainty as any. The problem is he pitches for a team that could lose 2-1 or even 1-0. Only the Twins in the AL have scored fewer runs and no team in entire league has less than Seattle’s 29 bombs. The Mariners team BA is .229, which is also last in the league. James Shields is no fluke. Last season it seemed like every GB missed a glove, and every FB cleared the wall. We can't state this strongly enough that his skills are as good as anyone. Shields’ has whiffed 81 in 85 frames while walking just 18. He has a 2.15 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. He not only has the physical ability to dominate but he has the mental makeup too. He’s one of the most easy-going and laid back guys in the majors with an intense passion to compete. Oh yeah, and he pitches for a team that can score runs and that is 15-10 on the road. Current Rays are hitting .277 off King Felix in 83 combined AB’s and they might need only two here to get us to the cashier’s booth.
Play: Tampa Bay +108 (Risking 2 units).

SPORTS WAGERS

Dallas +4½/+175 over MIAMI

Frustrating first game for the Mav’s. The shots they were hitting in the first three rounds were not falling in the first game of this series. Jason Terry had plenty of open looks and so did a few others. Dirk was cold and when he’s cold the Mav’s are in trouble. Despite all that, Dallas was down just five with about 2½ minutes to go. They also had an eight-point lead at one time and had they been able to knock down a few, they could have been up a dozen or so. The Mav’s are a perimeter team. They have to hit those shots to win. Perhaps the layoff had something to do with it but they proved they can stick with the Heat even when everything goes wrong. It’ll be interesting to see if Rick Carlisle gives Jose Barea 18 minutes again. He’s simply not well-suited for this style. His running around like a chicken with no head worked against a slow Lakers team and against a run-and-gun Thunder squad. Against the Heat he did not belong. In any case, the Mav’s defense was terrific and a repeat performance and some better shooting gives them a great chance to win here. Miami’s defense is the cream of the crop. Chris Bosh had a great game, as did Lebron, D-Wade and even Mario Chalmers. You can never count out the Heat, as they’re that good. However, no bench and no PG is makes them vulnerable and in a close match-up that could easily go either way, we’ll take the points and the nice tag. Play: Dallas +175 (Risking 1 unit) Play Dallas +4½ (Risking 1.05 units to win 1).

 

[TheCiscoKid]

Jimmy the Greek

NYM -125
San Francisco +110
Arizona -125 (best bet)
Houston +110 over 6
Cleveland -120
Kansas City -120 over 9.5
Tampa Bay even

Thought he was dead.......just sayin'

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Jimmy Boyd

NBA
5* Mavs +5

MLB
4* D-backs

 

[jdsabre]

INDIAN COWBOY

6-Unit Play. GAME OF THE MONTH* #704. Take Over 186 Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat (Wednesday @ 9pm est).

 

[jdsabre]

KEITH GLANTZ
25* NBA* Miami Heat OVER
25* MLB* Seattle Mariners ML
100* MLB* Arizona Diamondbacks ML

 

[WINNERS_ONLY]

Thought he was dead.......just sayin'

New fellow member localboyz posted Jimmy The Greek, just trying to contribute on his first post, he did copy and paste from another forum where the guy goes by this name and post his own plays.