Matt Rivers of OffshoreInsiders.com has a Thursday winner on the Phillies.
Call me stubborn and a sucker for backing these Phillies because they do stink right now, even with the win yesterday, but I am going to do just that. This team just has to start hitting at some point and at this takeback, even in the Bronx against the Big Bad Yankees, I can't help but make at least a small play on them. Granted Utley and Howard and the rest of Charlie Manual's boys are awful for whatever reason but it's not like they don't have the potential to turn things around. For Gosh sake this team has played in back-to-back World Series, right? I understand they are colder than ice but I like Kyle Kendrick and this price is just too much, red hot or ice cold.
Andy Pettitte has been great in most of his starts and is pitching like a young inspired kid. I have no qualms at all with the lefty and things will be far from easy for the visitors. But Philadelphia still has too many players that have to turn things around in the near future.
Kendrick certainly has a tall task against Joe Girardi's Yankees as the Bombers probably are the best team in the game but I can't help myself at this price and in a comp type play will take my chances on the Phillies and hope they can fight a little bit in an rare recent win.
The pick: Philadelphia +190
Call me stubborn and a sucker for backing these Phillies because they do stink right now, even with the win yesterday, but I am going to do just that. This team just has to start hitting at some point and at this takeback, even in the Bronx against the Big Bad Yankees, I can't help but make at least a small play on them. Granted Utley and Howard and the rest of Charlie Manual's boys are awful for whatever reason but it's not like they don't have the potential to turn things around. For Gosh sake this team has played in back-to-back World Series, right? I understand they are colder than ice but I like Kyle Kendrick and this price is just too much, red hot or ice cold.
Andy Pettitte has been great in most of his starts and is pitching like a young inspired kid. I have no qualms at all with the lefty and things will be far from easy for the visitors. But Philadelphia still has too many players that have to turn things around in the near future.
Kendrick certainly has a tall task against Joe Girardi's Yankees as the Bombers probably are the best team in the game but I can't help myself at this price and in a comp type play will take my chances on the Phillies and hope they can fight a little bit in an rare recent win.
The pick: Philadelphia +190
MLB
Matchup: N.Y. Mets at Cleveland
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) DICKEY, R.A. vs. (R) WESTBROOK, J
Play: N.Y. Mets (ML +105)
I really like the NY Mets in this game vs the Cleveland Indians...the Mets are hot and so is RA Dickey...the Mets have won nine of their last 10 games and 18 of their last 22 overall...the Mets are 7-0 in their last 7 interleague games...11-1 in their last 12 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game...10-1 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game...the Indians are 1-9 in their last 10 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record...3-13 in Westbrooks last 16 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance...2-10 in Westbrooks last 12 starts as a home favorite of -110 to -150...NY Mets are the play
DAVE COKIN
Matchup: Chi. White Sox at Pittsburgh
Time: 7:05 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (L) BUEHRLE, M vs. (R) OHLENDORF, R
Play: Chi. White Sox (ML -130)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Matchup: Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Time: 7:10 PM EDT (Thu)
Listed pitchers must go: (R) SHIELDS, J vs. (R) HUDSON, T
Play: Atlanta (ML -117)
DAVID MALINSKY
4* ARIZONA/BOSTON UNDER
Fenway Park is an entirely different place when the wind is blowing in, which is the case tonight, and with our timing for backing Danny Haren and John Lackey having us ahead of the curve we can take advantage of the excellent value that this one brings.
We cashed an easy ticket behind Haren in his last outing, a sharp eight IP against St. Louis in which he had nine K’s with a W, and the truth is that his 4.61 allowance, off of seasons of 3.07, 3.33 and 3.14, does not reflect his stuff at all. It has all been about the HR ball, with 17 allowed already, but even that category deserves an *. He allowed eight over a two-game stretch against Toronto and Colorado, but six of those eight came in the late innings of games that were one-sided. Since those two ugly showings it has been a 2-0/2.08 run over three starts, with 21 K’s vs. two W’s allowed, and the only HR came when he was working with a comfortable 6-0 lead against St. Louis. His momentum can carry forward here, and there is not a single fatigue rating from the bullpen behind him.
We have been watching John Lackey closely in recent weeks, seeing some signs that he was going to return to form after being out of rhythm in his first two months in a Red Sox uniform, and we saw the “buy signal” against Philadelphia in his lat outing. He flew through seven innings in an economical 86 pitches, not walking a batter, and posting an excellent ratio of 12 ground ball outs vs. only five in the air. Even with that outing his ERA is a full run higher than his average of the past five seasons, and the markets are attaching the kind of weight to that bottom line that brings us our value. There are also no fatigue issues to worry about from the Boston bullpen – while Jonathan Papelbon has worked back-to-back games, he only threw 17 pitches and will be available.
INDIAN COWBOY
Take #956. Take Minnesota Twins +100 over Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 1:10pm est)
Take #652. Take Under 146 Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever (Thursday @ 7:00pm est)
Take #714. Take Los Angeles Lakers -7 over Boston Celtics (Thursday @ 9:00pm est)
4-Unit Play. Take #956. Take Minnesota Twins +100 over Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 1:10pm est)
Many believe that Ubaldo is an unstoppable train and although that has been true more or less, I think he gets halted a bit today in Minnesota. Ubadlo is 12-1 with a 1.16 era but when he recently faced a decent American League lineup, he struggled a tad giving up three earned runs in a rain out ballgame where his team ended up getting the win after seven innings. I look for the Twins to take a page out of the Bluejays lineup and to likely to well at home today. Francisco Liriano has been lights out of late and I believe he will likely be up for the challenge. It does make me a bit uneasy that the Rockies will look to avoid the sweep against Liriano, but given the way Francisco pitched against the Braves yielding just one run while striking out 11 batters, that speaks volumes. In fact, in his start prior to that he struck out 10 at Oakland. I look for the Twins to have that edge today with Liriano and to have a small chip on their shoulder to try to be one of the few teams to be able to hit Ubaldo. I believe Liriano will be up for the challenge today and I can see the Twins squeaking this game out. The Rockies have bats have been silenced in Minnesota thus far against Minnesota pitching and I don't think it will get any easier with Liriano. The Rockies are 1-5 in their last six road games while the Twins are 8-1 in Liriano's last 9 ballgames against the National League.
5-Unit Play. Take #652. Take Under 146 Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever (Thursday @ 7:00pm est)
Many believe that this will be a high scoring ballgame given that nearly 75% of the public is on the over, but I believe this will have a strong defensive element to it. Bear in mind that these two teams are primarily defensive ballclubs given the way they are coached. Indiana has played 3 o 4 Unders at home with the exception coming to the Liberty. Seattle is the same team that is ranked 2nd in the league in overall defense, 2nd in the league in holding opponents field goal percentage at a low rate and first in the league in defensive rebounding. Not to be out done, Indiana is first in the league in defense, first in the league in holding opponents field goal percentage to a low bar and fourth in the league in rebounding. These two teams are aware that they are two of the better teams in the league and have been for quite some time. This is why this game was set early in the season to be featured on a Thursday night as the only game on tap. This explains why the line has also come down despite the majority of the public being on the over. The Under is 3-1-1 for the Storm in their last five ballgames overall and the Under is 7-1 in the Fever's last eight ballgames at home.
4-Unit Play. Take #714. Take Los Angeles Lakers -7 over Boston Celtics (Thursday @ 9:00pm est)
I am a dog player by nature, but I will be on the Lakers tonight at Staples. I understand that Doc Rivers will have his boys ready for this game, but keep in mind that the lines are indicative of some things. For starters, 60% of the public are on the Celtics and the line continues to rise. I think the best thing that could have happened to the Lakers was to lose two of three in Boston and in particular, to lose back to back games in Boston. All that has done is to get this team fired up for these two contests at home. Although I can see the Celtics at times being held in check by the Lakers, I cannot see the Lakers being held in check today as much. Bear in mind that Bynum will play and that Kendrick Perkins will not play which does put a damper on this team. Also, the seven points although might seem significant, truly isn't in my opinion in the end especially with late free throws as both of these teams will look to extend the series. It seems Kobe will indeed get his wish of another Championship Ring tonight. I look for the Celtics to cover the first half of the ballgame but, then I look for the Lakers to have a big third quarter and to hold steady to close out the game for the s.u. and ats win.
Take #956. Take Minnesota Twins +100 over Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 1:10pm est)
Take #652. Take Under 146 Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever (Thursday @ 7:00pm est)
Take #714. Take Los Angeles Lakers -7 over Boston Celtics (Thursday @ 9:00pm est)
4-Unit Play. Take #956. Take Minnesota Twins +100 over Colorado Rockies (Thursday @ 1:10pm est)
Many believe that Ubaldo is an unstoppable train and although that has been true more or less, I think he gets halted a bit today in Minnesota. Ubadlo is 12-1 with a 1.16 era but when he recently faced a decent American League lineup, he struggled a tad giving up three earned runs in a rain out ballgame where his team ended up getting the win after seven innings. I look for the Twins to take a page out of the Bluejays lineup and to likely to well at home today. Francisco Liriano has been lights out of late and I believe he will likely be up for the challenge. It does make me a bit uneasy that the Rockies will look to avoid the sweep against Liriano, but given the way Francisco pitched against the Braves yielding just one run while striking out 11 batters, that speaks volumes. In fact, in his start prior to that he struck out 10 at Oakland. I look for the Twins to have that edge today with Liriano and to have a small chip on their shoulder to try to be one of the few teams to be able to hit Ubaldo. I believe Liriano will be up for the challenge today and I can see the Twins squeaking this game out. The Rockies have bats have been silenced in Minnesota thus far against Minnesota pitching and I don't think it will get any easier with Liriano. The Rockies are 1-5 in their last six road games while the Twins are 8-1 in Liriano's last 9 ballgames against the National League.
5-Unit Play. Take #652. Take Under 146 Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever (Thursday @ 7:00pm est)
Many believe that this will be a high scoring ballgame given that nearly 75% of the public is on the over, but I believe this will have a strong defensive element to it. Bear in mind that these two teams are primarily defensive ballclubs given the way they are coached. Indiana has played 3 o 4 Unders at home with the exception coming to the Liberty. Seattle is the same team that is ranked 2nd in the league in overall defense, 2nd in the league in holding opponents field goal percentage at a low rate and first in the league in defensive rebounding. Not to be out done, Indiana is first in the league in defense, first in the league in holding opponents field goal percentage to a low bar and fourth in the league in rebounding. These two teams are aware that they are two of the better teams in the league and have been for quite some time. This is why this game was set early in the season to be featured on a Thursday night as the only game on tap. This explains why the line has also come down despite the majority of the public being on the over. The Under is 3-1-1 for the Storm in their last five ballgames overall and the Under is 7-1 in the Fever's last eight ballgames at home.
4-Unit Play. Take #714. Take Los Angeles Lakers -7 over Boston Celtics (Thursday @ 9:00pm est)
I am a dog player by nature, but I will be on the Lakers tonight at Staples. I understand that Doc Rivers will have his boys ready for this game, but keep in mind that the lines are indicative of some things. For starters, 60% of the public are on the Celtics and the line continues to rise. I think the best thing that could have happened to the Lakers was to lose two of three in Boston and in particular, to lose back to back games in Boston. All that has done is to get this team fired up for these two contests at home. Although I can see the Celtics at times being held in check by the Lakers, I cannot see the Lakers being held in check today as much. Bear in mind that Bynum will play and that Kendrick Perkins will not play which does put a damper on this team. Also, the seven points although might seem significant, truly isn't in my opinion in the end especially with late free throws as both of these teams will look to extend the series. It seems Kobe will indeed get his wish of another Championship Ring tonight. I look for the Celtics to cover the first half of the ballgame but, then I look for the Lakers to have a big third quarter and to hold steady to close out the game for the s.u. and ats win.
EasyBaseballBetting
Below are our premium picks.
Pirates (+122) over White Sox
The Pirates are the second best ML team versus lefties. Buehrle is generally considered as a good pitcher, but he's not nearly as good on the road as at home. The White Sox are 2-4, -2.5 units with him on the road this season. Last year, the White Sox were 11-6 in his home starts but only 6-4 in his road starts. In 2008, the White Sox were 14-3 in his home starts but a HORRIBLE 4-14 in his road starts. With that said, the Pirates could easily be favorite today but aren't. So you take them.
Devil Rays (+111) over Braves
The Devil Rays will come to play today. As a dog this season, they are 10-4, +8.3 Units. In fact, as a favorite, they are losing units. Second, they are strongest after the first game of a series. Removing all Game 1s, these Devil Rays are 27-14, +6 units. Lastly, these
Below are our premium picks.
Pirates (+122) over White Sox
The Pirates are the second best ML team versus lefties. Buehrle is generally considered as a good pitcher, but he's not nearly as good on the road as at home. The White Sox are 2-4, -2.5 units with him on the road this season. Last year, the White Sox were 11-6 in his home starts but only 6-4 in his road starts. In 2008, the White Sox were 14-3 in his home starts but a HORRIBLE 4-14 in his road starts. With that said, the Pirates could easily be favorite today but aren't. So you take them.
Devil Rays (+111) over Braves
The Devil Rays will come to play today. As a dog this season, they are 10-4, +8.3 Units. In fact, as a favorite, they are losing units. Second, they are strongest after the first game of a series. Removing all Game 1s, these Devil Rays are 27-14, +6 units. Lastly, these
GamblersWorld
Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Date: 6.17.10 at 7:05PM
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees
Current Line: New York ( -190)
Over/Under: 10
Play On: UNDER 10
Inside the Board Room:
The Phils will take on the Yanks again today, but I can't help but see the Yanks come back to split the series. Kyle Kendrick isn't exactly the Phils best starter doing just ok this year, going 3-2 and has a 4.95 ERA this season. The Yanks will start Andy Pettitte. Lefthander Pettitte has a 2.46 ERA to go along with a 8-1 record this season.
The moral of this story? Take the UNDER tonight!
Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Date: 6.17.10 at 7:05PM
Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Yankees
Current Line: New York ( -190)
Over/Under: 10
Play On: UNDER 10
Inside the Board Room:
The Phils will take on the Yanks again today, but I can't help but see the Yanks come back to split the series. Kyle Kendrick isn't exactly the Phils best starter doing just ok this year, going 3-2 and has a 4.95 ERA this season. The Yanks will start Andy Pettitte. Lefthander Pettitte has a 2.46 ERA to go along with a 8-1 record this season.
The moral of this story? Take the UNDER tonight!
Michael Cannon
Thursday's Plays...
30 Dime Winner on the BOSTON CELTICS plus the points over the LA Lakers.
Brett Atkins
Thursday 40 Dime NBA Finals Game of the Year - BOSTON CELTICS
Jay McNeil
Thursday night winner ... 20 Dime Lakers (minus the points vs. Celtics)
LAKERS --- And so it is, do or die for both teams.
Thursday's Plays...
30 Dime Winner on the BOSTON CELTICS plus the points over the LA Lakers.
Brett Atkins
Thursday 40 Dime NBA Finals Game of the Year - BOSTON CELTICS
Jay McNeil
Thursday night winner ... 20 Dime Lakers (minus the points vs. Celtics)
LAKERS --- And so it is, do or die for both teams.
