Dave Cokin
Astros -108 (McHugh/Santiago)
Not the best time to be on the Astros off the wrong way sweep against Texas. Their offense has gone to sleep and the Halos are hitting, with Pujols livening up a lineup changer. But too many qualifiers here to ignore. McHugh with the fairly substantial metrics advantage over Santiago. And what could be a major advantage in the bullpen if it's close late. Astros pen is very well rested. Angels main two guys, Street and Smith, have each worked back to back nights. Looks to me like a game the Angels would have to win early, and I'll take my chances that won't happen against McHugh. Price here is a decent enough indicator, so I'll lay the very small number with the Astros.
Diamondbacks +105 (Despaigne/De La Rosa)
Great result for Arizona on Wednesday, as they take two easy wins at Colorado where the bullpen wasn't extended at all, plus they hit it great. Rubby De La Rosa has been better than that 5.40 ERA indicates. He did not pitch well last outing, so a little concern there, but he's got a sweet BB/K ratio and I think he's a little undervalued right now. Odrisamer Despaigne did a number on the Diamondbacks earlier this season, but he's got some major regression due with a stupid .159 BABIP so far. I'm convinced he's a smoke and mirrors guy with all the different angles and release points, and the more guys see him the less success he'll have. Padres aren't hitting at all right now, getting blanked in two straight games, so nice offensive momentum edge with the home team here. Diamondbacks at even or better are a good take.
Astros -108 (McHugh/Santiago)
Not the best time to be on the Astros off the wrong way sweep against Texas. Their offense has gone to sleep and the Halos are hitting, with Pujols livening up a lineup changer. But too many qualifiers here to ignore. McHugh with the fairly substantial metrics advantage over Santiago. And what could be a major advantage in the bullpen if it's close late. Astros pen is very well rested. Angels main two guys, Street and Smith, have each worked back to back nights. Looks to me like a game the Angels would have to win early, and I'll take my chances that won't happen against McHugh. Price here is a decent enough indicator, so I'll lay the very small number with the Astros.
Diamondbacks +105 (Despaigne/De La Rosa)
Great result for Arizona on Wednesday, as they take two easy wins at Colorado where the bullpen wasn't extended at all, plus they hit it great. Rubby De La Rosa has been better than that 5.40 ERA indicates. He did not pitch well last outing, so a little concern there, but he's got a sweet BB/K ratio and I think he's a little undervalued right now. Odrisamer Despaigne did a number on the Diamondbacks earlier this season, but he's got some major regression due with a stupid .159 BABIP so far. I'm convinced he's a smoke and mirrors guy with all the different angles and release points, and the more guys see him the less success he'll have. Padres aren't hitting at all right now, getting blanked in two straight games, so nice offensive momentum edge with the home team here. Diamondbacks at even or better are a good take.
This guy is a liar. He is not 8-1 last 9 picks.
He has a "special" where he charged $200 for a guarantee pick and would pay $1000 if he lost. I laughed when I saw this and saw later he removed all traces of him every posting it. Must have lost. I asked him in the comments what happened with it and he deleted the comment and blocked me LOL
