Dave Malinsky
NHL Play Tampa Bay -1.5 (+190) over Montreal
The Lightning have owns the Canadiens this year as they have won all 8 games played. Last night Tampa didn't play well, but won the game anyway. The Canadiens really looked dejected after that game and Tampa should be more focused tonight and win the game easily.
NHL Play Tampa Bay -1.5 (+190) over Montreal
The Lightning have owns the Canadiens this year as they have won all 8 games played. Last night Tampa didn't play well, but won the game anyway. The Canadiens really looked dejected after that game and Tampa should be more focused tonight and win the game easily.
TheSportsCapper
THURSDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play Kansas City -120 over Cleveland (MLB PLAY)
Cleveland has lost 13 of the last 18 games vs. division opponents and they have lost 38 of the last 57 games when playing as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Cleveland has lost 27 of the last 46 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less and they have lost 16 of the last 25 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season.
10* Play Tampa Bay -160 over Texas (MLB PLAY)
Texas has lost 43 of the last 68 games vs. AL East Division Opponents and they have lost 75 of the last 123 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Texas has lost 50 of the last 79 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have lost 41 of the last 74 games when batting .240 or worse over the last ten games.
======================================================
5* Play Minnesota -110 over Oakland (MLB)
5* Play Houston -105 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB)
THURSDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play Kansas City -120 over Cleveland (MLB PLAY)
Cleveland has lost 13 of the last 18 games vs. division opponents and they have lost 38 of the last 57 games when playing as a road underdog of +100 to +125. Cleveland has lost 27 of the last 46 road games when the total posted is 7.5 runs or less and they have lost 16 of the last 25 games when pitching in the 1[SUP]st[/SUP] half of the season.
10* Play Tampa Bay -160 over Texas (MLB PLAY)
Texas has lost 43 of the last 68 games vs. AL East Division Opponents and they have lost 75 of the last 123 games vs. right-handed starting pitchers. Texas has lost 50 of the last 79 games when playing as an underdog of +125 to +175 and they have lost 41 of the last 74 games when batting .240 or worse over the last ten games.
======================================================
5* Play Minnesota -110 over Oakland (MLB)
5* Play Houston -105 over Los Angeles Angels (MLB)
BeatYourBookie
THURSDAY MLB BASEBALL
50* Play St. Louis -115 over Chicago Cubs
St. Louis is 17-4 vs. right-handed starting pitchers this season
St. Louis is 15-4 vs. division opponents this season
50* Play Houston -150 over LA Angels
Houston is 15-5 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Houston is 7-1 after having won six or seven of the last eight games
50* Play Minnesota -110 over Oakland
Oakland is 6-22 when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher
Oakland is 1-8 in day games this season
THURSDAY MLB BASEBALL
50* Play St. Louis -115 over Chicago Cubs
St. Louis is 17-4 vs. right-handed starting pitchers this season
St. Louis is 15-4 vs. division opponents this season
50* Play Houston -150 over LA Angels
Houston is 15-5 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
Houston is 7-1 after having won six or seven of the last eight games
50* Play Minnesota -110 over Oakland
Oakland is 6-22 when pitching as an underdog of +100 or higher
Oakland is 1-8 in day games this season
Winning Angle Baseball
THURSDAY
Play San Francisco -120 over Miami (Top Play)
Tim Hudson has won 10 of the last 11 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and he has won 49 of the last 80 games when pitching in the month of May. Tim Hudson has won 74 of the last 107 games when pitching as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and he has won 28 of the last 44 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
Play Tampa Bay -160 over Texas (Top Play)
Chris Archer has won 10 of the last 14 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has won 5 consecutive games when pitching on a Thursday. Chris Archer has won 30 of the last 50 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 1.93 over his last three starts.
Play St. Louis -120 over Chicago Cubs (Top Play)
John Lackey has won 29 of the last 45 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 25 of the last 36 home games. John Lackey has won 27 of the last 47 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 1.80 in home games this season.
Play Houston -105 over Los Angeles Angels (Top Play)
Hector Santiago has lost 7 of the last 8 games when pitching in the month of May and he has lost 16 of the last 26 games vs. division opponents. Hector Santiago has lost 19 of the last 29 home games and he has lost 26 of the last 41 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
THURSDAY
Play San Francisco -120 over Miami (Top Play)
Tim Hudson has won 10 of the last 11 games vs. NL East Division Opponents and he has won 49 of the last 80 games when pitching in the month of May. Tim Hudson has won 74 of the last 107 games when pitching as a home favorite of -125 to -175 and he has won 28 of the last 44 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
Play Tampa Bay -160 over Texas (Top Play)
Chris Archer has won 10 of the last 14 games when pitching as a favorite of -150 or higher and he has won 5 consecutive games when pitching on a Thursday. Chris Archer has won 30 of the last 50 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 1.93 over his last three starts.
Play St. Louis -120 over Chicago Cubs (Top Play)
John Lackey has won 29 of the last 45 games when pitching as a favorite of -110 or higher and he has won 25 of the last 36 home games. John Lackey has won 27 of the last 47 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he has an ERA of 1.80 in home games this season.
Play Houston -105 over Los Angeles Angels (Top Play)
Hector Santiago has lost 7 of the last 8 games when pitching in the month of May and he has lost 16 of the last 26 games vs. division opponents. Hector Santiago has lost 19 of the last 29 home games and he has lost 26 of the last 41 games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
Just a quick update to let you know that after Pittsburgh lost to Cincinnati yesterday, the RPI difference between the 2 teams is now greater than the .15 threshold coming into this {C} bet!
This is a situation that is very rare, but it has happened before. The last time it happened was last year on August 13th, 2014 when the MLB system bet on Atlanta started out as within the .15 RPI threshold, but by the time the {C} bet came around it dipped below the .15 RPI threshold. Atlanta ended up winning the game, and I recorded that win as an unofficial win afterward. I stated at the time the following:
"We'll record Atlanta's series as an unofficial win because I believe it is most sensible for us to label the official/unofficial nature of a series based on its largest potential bet size, rather than its smaller potential bet size."
Obviously this only applies to the original MLB betting system and not the Exterminator system, since each Exterminator bet is independent.
From my memory, the historical record in this scenario where the RPI threshold started out as within the RPI range but falls out of range by the time the {C} bet comes around is very good. Here's today's wager:
Pittsburgh {C} bet
Remember to bet on the +1.5 run line if it is offered, or the money line if it is not offered.
Make sure to observe the following Exterminator system guideline:
In the month of May: Bet normally on all the qualifying bets under the original MLB system. That means risking a flat 5% (conservative), 10% (average), or 15% (aggressive) of your bankroll depending on your risk level on every qualifying {A}, {B}, and {C} bet in the original MLB system. Again, you want to bet that same percentage amount for all the {A}, {B}, and {C} bets that qualified under the original system.
Also, please keep in mind the following filters of the system:
- Do not bet on a team whose road record winning percentage is in the bottom 10% in the league if they are playing on the road
- Play is only official if the RPI value of our team is no more than .015 lower than opponent's.
- Play is only official if our team is not playing against a top 2 highest ranked RPI team
Note that the system plays are official only when they pass all the filters above. If they fail to pass any filter, then the play is considered unofficial.
Regards,
Tony Chau, author of the best-selling Exterminator Betting System
