HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-May 27th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[915] Philadelphia |8*|-120|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[920] Tampa Bay |5*|-170|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[922] Boston |5*|-200|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[924] Minnesota |5*|+110|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[910] San Diego |2*|-115|B+0|Network N/A|6:35 pm EST
[918] Baltimore |2*|-150|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[918] Oak/Bal Over 9 |2*|-110|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
note: JSM Sports with a BIG MLB card tonight (BIG card...BIG money)
HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 27th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[520] LA Lakers |5*|-7|B+0|TNT|9:00 pm EST
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[915] Philadelphia |8*|-120|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[920] Tampa Bay |5*|-170|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[922] Boston |5*|-200|B+0|Network N/A|7:10 pm EST
[924] Minnesota |5*|+110|B+0|Network N/A|8:10 pm EST
[910] San Diego |2*|-115|B+0|Network N/A|6:35 pm EST
[918] Baltimore |2*|-150|+1.5 RL|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
[918] Oak/Bal Over 9 |2*|-110|B+0|Network N/A|7:05 pm EST
note: JSM Sports with a BIG MLB card tonight (BIG card...BIG money)
HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-May 27th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)
Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[520] LA Lakers |5*|-7|B+0|TNT|9:00 pm EST
Nite Owl Sports
Suns @ Lakers
Pick: Over 218
The Los Angeles Lakers looked to be in total control of the series taking a commanding 2-0 lead in LA, with Phoenix showing to be very little threat in either game. The venue changed, and along with it the momentum in this series as Phoenix took advantage of their home court to knot the series at two games apiece. We were on the Suns in both of their victories and I'm on them again tonight. Their back-to-back wins should give the Suns confidence playing in Los Angeles. The history of the conference finals have proven to bear that out. Teams that faced a 2-0 deficit and then won games three and four, now heading back on the road for a game five have historically been good bets. These teams have cashed in to a 15-6-1 ATS mark since 1991. The Lakers are a very good home team, but this is just too many points. The Suns are 19-5 ATS this season vs. teams at .600 or better and I think they fight tonight with confidence and keep it close.
We have made two totals picks so far in this series, in games 3 and 4 in Phx, going with the under both times for what we considered good line value against an inflated totals line. We went 1-1 on those two, losing what looked like a sure under in game 3 due to hot shooting by both teams and excessive fouling by Lakers in final two minutes of the game, resulting in 25 points being scored in those final two minutes and the game going over, and then prevailing in game 4 by jumping on the under early when it was 221.5, and holding on with our finger nails for a half point win – so as they say, the breaks “even out” over time, even though it seems that they really don’t, because those gut-wrenching unlucky losses “linger” more for bettors (just like for the NBA players, coaches and fans) than do the close, lucky victories.
Anyway, back to the #s and reasoning behind our pick on the OVER in this game. These two teams have gone 3-1 to the OVER vs the closing line in the four games of this series (counting game 4 as as over, vs the closing line of 220 for that game) and 4-0 vs the totals line in this game (218), but more significantly, for an average of 230 total ppg, including 235 and 236 total points in games one and two in LA. Moreover, the scoring has been consistently high throughout the four games, with with 7 of the 16 quarters played featuring 60> points (including a 73 point 2Q last game in Phx with a whopping 41 points by Suns), and just two of the 16 quarters having less than 50 total points scored. So these two offensively potent teams will score their points, and they have made up for their two scoring droughts (a 46 point 1Q in game 4 and a 40 point 2Q in game 3) with enough scoring “flurries” to catch up with and surpass the full game totals line all four times. So not really knowing when these rare scoring droughts will occur or when the more frequent flurries of scoring will happen, and with excessive late game fouling always a possibility unless one believes this game will be another home blowout victory for Lakers (which we don’t), the most logical way to play the OVER is on the full game line. So why have the line makers dropped the totals line for this game (from 220 in game 4 to 218 here), after not only four straight overs but two easy overs in games one and two in LA? Frankly, we don’t really know (because there are no significant injuries to either team) or care.
And to get a better feel for whether we are getting decent line value with the full game OVER at 218, we looked at the full game totals results in a set of recent “representative games” for both teams, all in TY’s playoffs – for Lakers, games one and two of this series, as well as their two HGs vs Jazz in round two (but we did not include their first round home games vs Okie, which were played at a much slower pace than the Lakers’ playoff games TY vs Jazz and Suns). And for Suns, we also looked at games one and two of this series, as well as games 3 and 4 in SA (but we did not include Suns’ round one games in Portland, which like LA-Okie round one games, were played at a much slower pace than their games vs Lakers and Spurs). And in those games, Lakers were 4-0 to the OVER with an average of 222 total ppg in their four, while Suns were 3-0-1 to the OVER with an average of 221 total ppg in their four. Combining and averaging those results, and counting games one and two of this series for each team due to their added relevance, we get a nice 7-0-1 edge for the OVER, and a projected 221.5 points being scored tonite. Based on that and the added support for the OVER as detailed above, plus the fact that the two games of this series in LA easily went over (with 235 and 236 totals points scored), primarily because Lakers score better at home than on the road, and they seem to get a lot more trips to the FT line in the playoffs when they are at home, we’ll go with the OVER 218 points for 3 units.
Suns @ Lakers
Pick: Over 218
The Los Angeles Lakers looked to be in total control of the series taking a commanding 2-0 lead in LA, with Phoenix showing to be very little threat in either game. The venue changed, and along with it the momentum in this series as Phoenix took advantage of their home court to knot the series at two games apiece. We were on the Suns in both of their victories and I'm on them again tonight. Their back-to-back wins should give the Suns confidence playing in Los Angeles. The history of the conference finals have proven to bear that out. Teams that faced a 2-0 deficit and then won games three and four, now heading back on the road for a game five have historically been good bets. These teams have cashed in to a 15-6-1 ATS mark since 1991. The Lakers are a very good home team, but this is just too many points. The Suns are 19-5 ATS this season vs. teams at .600 or better and I think they fight tonight with confidence and keep it close.
We have made two totals picks so far in this series, in games 3 and 4 in Phx, going with the under both times for what we considered good line value against an inflated totals line. We went 1-1 on those two, losing what looked like a sure under in game 3 due to hot shooting by both teams and excessive fouling by Lakers in final two minutes of the game, resulting in 25 points being scored in those final two minutes and the game going over, and then prevailing in game 4 by jumping on the under early when it was 221.5, and holding on with our finger nails for a half point win – so as they say, the breaks “even out” over time, even though it seems that they really don’t, because those gut-wrenching unlucky losses “linger” more for bettors (just like for the NBA players, coaches and fans) than do the close, lucky victories.
Anyway, back to the #s and reasoning behind our pick on the OVER in this game. These two teams have gone 3-1 to the OVER vs the closing line in the four games of this series (counting game 4 as as over, vs the closing line of 220 for that game) and 4-0 vs the totals line in this game (218), but more significantly, for an average of 230 total ppg, including 235 and 236 total points in games one and two in LA. Moreover, the scoring has been consistently high throughout the four games, with with 7 of the 16 quarters played featuring 60> points (including a 73 point 2Q last game in Phx with a whopping 41 points by Suns), and just two of the 16 quarters having less than 50 total points scored. So these two offensively potent teams will score their points, and they have made up for their two scoring droughts (a 46 point 1Q in game 4 and a 40 point 2Q in game 3) with enough scoring “flurries” to catch up with and surpass the full game totals line all four times. So not really knowing when these rare scoring droughts will occur or when the more frequent flurries of scoring will happen, and with excessive late game fouling always a possibility unless one believes this game will be another home blowout victory for Lakers (which we don’t), the most logical way to play the OVER is on the full game line. So why have the line makers dropped the totals line for this game (from 220 in game 4 to 218 here), after not only four straight overs but two easy overs in games one and two in LA? Frankly, we don’t really know (because there are no significant injuries to either team) or care.
And to get a better feel for whether we are getting decent line value with the full game OVER at 218, we looked at the full game totals results in a set of recent “representative games” for both teams, all in TY’s playoffs – for Lakers, games one and two of this series, as well as their two HGs vs Jazz in round two (but we did not include their first round home games vs Okie, which were played at a much slower pace than the Lakers’ playoff games TY vs Jazz and Suns). And for Suns, we also looked at games one and two of this series, as well as games 3 and 4 in SA (but we did not include Suns’ round one games in Portland, which like LA-Okie round one games, were played at a much slower pace than their games vs Lakers and Spurs). And in those games, Lakers were 4-0 to the OVER with an average of 222 total ppg in their four, while Suns were 3-0-1 to the OVER with an average of 221 total ppg in their four. Combining and averaging those results, and counting games one and two of this series for each team due to their added relevance, we get a nice 7-0-1 edge for the OVER, and a projected 221.5 points being scored tonite. Based on that and the added support for the OVER as detailed above, plus the fact that the two games of this series in LA easily went over (with 235 and 236 totals points scored), primarily because Lakers score better at home than on the road, and they seem to get a lot more trips to the FT line in the playoffs when they are at home, we’ll go with the OVER 218 points for 3 units.
JR ODonnell | NBA Sides Thu, 05/27/10 - 9:00 PM
triple-dime bet 520 LAL -7.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 519 PHO
Analysis:
3* Signature Winner= Lakers - "the Juice"
LAKERS- 7.5 GAME AT 9
JR O off a perfect Wednesday rolls into the NBA Ticket tonight on fire!! We will go to the Staples Center as the Lakers - 7.5 will crush Phoenix after 2 su~b par performances. The Lakers need to control the Suns bench as the Suns bench just killed the Lakers last outing shooting 20-32 from the field, We will look for the Lakers to play some much needed "D" tonight and Phil Jackson will have the Troops ready to play!! Stats and trends will have the public on the Suns as they have done well on the road boys, not tonight as this is the Big Show and this is the Lakers at home. JR'S POWER RATINGS HAVE THIS BABY @ -13 POINTS. POWERFUL 5 POINTS OFF
PLAY THE LAKERS - 7.5 AS THEY ROLL OVER THE SUNS TONIGHT.
triple-dime bet 520 LAL -7.5 (-110) Sportbet vs 519 PHO
Analysis:
3* Signature Winner= Lakers - "the Juice"
LAKERS- 7.5 GAME AT 9
JR O off a perfect Wednesday rolls into the NBA Ticket tonight on fire!! We will go to the Staples Center as the Lakers - 7.5 will crush Phoenix after 2 su~b par performances. The Lakers need to control the Suns bench as the Suns bench just killed the Lakers last outing shooting 20-32 from the field, We will look for the Lakers to play some much needed "D" tonight and Phil Jackson will have the Troops ready to play!! Stats and trends will have the public on the Suns as they have done well on the road boys, not tonight as this is the Big Show and this is the Lakers at home. JR'S POWER RATINGS HAVE THIS BABY @ -13 POINTS. POWERFUL 5 POINTS OFF
PLAY THE LAKERS - 7.5 AS THEY ROLL OVER THE SUNS TONIGHT.
Tony George | NBA Total Thu, 05/27/10 - 9:00 PM
dime bet 519 PHO / 520 LAL Over 217.5 BetUS
Analysis:
Play 1 Unit on the Over in this game. An all out blitz on offense on both si€des of the ball tonight, no conservative play from either team and all the games in this series have went over, and oddsmakers adjusted this line down from 219 in the last game, for what reason I have no idea. Both teams have scorers all over the floor and both teams play wide open.
Play 1 Unit on the Over.
dime bet 519 PHO / 520 LAL Over 217.5 BetUS
Analysis:
Play 1 Unit on the Over in this game. An all out blitz on offense on both si€des of the ball tonight, no conservative play from either team and all the games in this series have went over, and oddsmakers adjusted this line down from 219 in the last game, for what reason I have no idea. Both teams have scorers all over the floor and both teams play wide open.
Play 1 Unit on the Over.
Andre Gomes Thu, 05/27/10 - 8:10 PM
NOTE: THIS IS A WNBA PLAY
WNBA – 603 Seattle Storm @ 604 Chicago Sky
*TRIPLE Dime Play*
This is my biggest play of the season so far as we have a tremendous situation favoring Chicago and my projected line is the Sky being the FAVORITES by 2/3 points so I’m not only taking the points but also the moneyline as well.
There is no big discrepancy in the WNBA right now between Seattle 4-0 and Chicago 0-4 however note that Chicago isn’t such a bad team and also like I’ve been saying in the WNBA the effort is 80% the way for winning a ballgame and the “effort” will be the X factor for tonight.
This is a flat terrible spot for Seattle and I expect a big letdown from them. Note that all of their 4 games were played on the West coast and so this is their first long trip to the East. Plus they played an exhausting game against Phoenix that went to OT last Saturday and last Tuesday they played at home against Washington in another tight ballgame. Seattle trailed the game the majority of the time and only in the fourth quarter they were able to take the lead, the effort was tremendous, just look for their “big 4” minutes in that game:
S. Cash 37:52
L. Jackson 31:51
S. Bird 34:12
T. Wright 29:51
Now they had to travel to Chicago with just one day off to rest and playing on the road against a hungry and desperate team! Seattle doesn’t have a solid bench so if their starters start feeling the tiredness than bye bye Seattle.
Meanwhile besides a real bad game the Sky were competitive in the last 3 games. Note that in 2 of their 4 first games they had to play back to back games on the road – the worst possible spot in the WNBA so the schedule wasn’t good for them anyway. Like Seattle they have a pretty good core of starters and it is a matter of time for them to start winning some games.
Take Chicago in here as my Triple Dime Play.
split the wager
Pick: 3 units on 604 Chicago Sky (+4.5) @ -110 on Bookmaker
Pick: 2 units on 604 Chicago Sky ML @ +170 on Bookmaker
NOTE: THIS IS A WNBA PLAY
WNBA – 603 Seattle Storm @ 604 Chicago Sky
*TRIPLE Dime Play*
This is my biggest play of the season so far as we have a tremendous situation favoring Chicago and my projected line is the Sky being the FAVORITES by 2/3 points so I’m not only taking the points but also the moneyline as well.
There is no big discrepancy in the WNBA right now between Seattle 4-0 and Chicago 0-4 however note that Chicago isn’t such a bad team and also like I’ve been saying in the WNBA the effort is 80% the way for winning a ballgame and the “effort” will be the X factor for tonight.
This is a flat terrible spot for Seattle and I expect a big letdown from them. Note that all of their 4 games were played on the West coast and so this is their first long trip to the East. Plus they played an exhausting game against Phoenix that went to OT last Saturday and last Tuesday they played at home against Washington in another tight ballgame. Seattle trailed the game the majority of the time and only in the fourth quarter they were able to take the lead, the effort was tremendous, just look for their “big 4” minutes in that game:
S. Cash 37:52
L. Jackson 31:51
S. Bird 34:12
T. Wright 29:51
Now they had to travel to Chicago with just one day off to rest and playing on the road against a hungry and desperate team! Seattle doesn’t have a solid bench so if their starters start feeling the tiredness than bye bye Seattle.
Meanwhile besides a real bad game the Sky were competitive in the last 3 games. Note that in 2 of their 4 first games they had to play back to back games on the road – the worst possible spot in the WNBA so the schedule wasn’t good for them anyway. Like Seattle they have a pretty good core of starters and it is a matter of time for them to start winning some games.
Take Chicago in here as my Triple Dime Play.
split the wager
Pick: 3 units on 604 Chicago Sky (+4.5) @ -110 on Bookmaker
Pick: 2 units on 604 Chicago Sky ML @ +170 on Bookmaker
Mr. Vegas
Suns/Lakers
This has been an over series all the way, a pair of uptempo teams with loads of scoring options. Phoenix was No. 1 in the NBA in scoring and tops in three point shooting. Their defense, though, hasn’t been able to contain the Lakers, especially on this court, scoring over 120 points in both games 1 and 2. The Lakers are on a 12-3-1 run over the total. Play the Suns/Lakers Game 5 Over the total.
Suns/Lakers
This has been an over series all the way, a pair of uptempo teams with loads of scoring options. Phoenix was No. 1 in the NBA in scoring and tops in three point shooting. Their defense, though, hasn’t been able to contain the Lakers, especially on this court, scoring over 120 points in both games 1 and 2. The Lakers are on a 12-3-1 run over the total. Play the Suns/Lakers Game 5 Over the total.
Thursday MLB Play-GC
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the Atlanta Braves. Game 913 at 7:10 eastern. The Braves have T.Hudson going tonight and he has been superb on the road this season with a 2.27 era and 0.82 era over his past 3 starts. In games against the Florida Marlins he is 8-2 2.92 era. Tonight he opposes R.Nolasco. In Nolasco starts the Marlins are 4-7 vs the Braves and he has a subpar 4.57 era. When pitching at home this season Nolasco has a putrid 6.14 era. Look for the Braves to win this one tonight vs the Marlins. For the Bonus Play take the Atlanta Braves. bol GC
On Thursday the Bonus Play is on the Atlanta Braves. Game 913 at 7:10 eastern. The Braves have T.Hudson going tonight and he has been superb on the road this season with a 2.27 era and 0.82 era over his past 3 starts. In games against the Florida Marlins he is 8-2 2.92 era. Tonight he opposes R.Nolasco. In Nolasco starts the Marlins are 4-7 vs the Braves and he has a subpar 4.57 era. When pitching at home this season Nolasco has a putrid 6.14 era. Look for the Braves to win this one tonight vs the Marlins. For the Bonus Play take the Atlanta Braves. bol GC
