The Duke's Sports
LA Clippers Over (199) for 2.5 Units
The Kings have struggled offensively lately; as a mater of fact, they've failed to top the century mark in points since March 21st -when they visited the Clippers. Tonight, they have the Clippers unrested off a lower scoring game against a solid defensive team - Portland. The Kings, which allow about 104 ppg at home, should be more accommodative defensively after all, the season is drawing to a close and defense isn't a priority for a team cleaning out its lockers in less than a week. What is a priority is for individuals in this game, Kings and Clippers, to pad their stats for contract negotiation leverage. Therefore, the Clippers' close range shots that wouldn't fall on account of being contested against Portland last night, should fall tonight vs the defensively soft Kings. At the same time, the unrested Clippers won't put forth the extra effort to slide their feet on the defensive end. LAC are 4-0 O/U unrested, 6-1 O/U when their starting five combine for more than 160 minutes the previous night, and 21-7 O/U as a road dog of less than 10' points. This has been a lower scoring series with 6 consecutive "unders" but considering the circumstances just mentioned, we find value with the "over".