Big Al - 4/29
Big Al's games are rated from 3* to 5* and Opinion (1*)
Opinios 24-16 (MLB)
Baseball Plays for Thursday, April 29
3* Rangers -130 (Feldman/Floyd)
3* Braves/Cardinals 'under' 7 (Jurrjens/Wainwright)
Opinion Royals/Rays 'over' 8.5 (Hochevar/Garza)
Basketball Plays for Thursday, April 29
4* Spurs -3.5 (NEW RATING, upgraded from 3*)
Opinion Trail Blazers -1
Big Al's games are rated from 3* to 5* and Opinion (1*)
Opinios 24-16 (MLB)
Baseball Plays for Thursday, April 29
3* Rangers -130 (Feldman/Floyd)
3* Braves/Cardinals 'under' 7 (Jurrjens/Wainwright)
Opinion Royals/Rays 'over' 8.5 (Hochevar/Garza)
Basketball Plays for Thursday, April 29
4* Spurs -3.5 (NEW RATING, upgraded from 3*)
Opinion Trail Blazers -1
jeff benton thursday
1-0 yesterday for + 20 dimes...overall, 28-30-3 for + 25 dimes.
Wednesday's Action 25 Dime: DALLAS MAVERICKS
IMPORTANT NOTE: If the best number you can get is 3 1/2, I want you to buy the half-point and take Dallas at plus-4. These NBA Playoff lines have been very sharp, and these teams know each other very well, and the last thing we want to do is get beaten by the hook. So it's a prudent move to buy the insurance and protect ourselves in case this game lands on a 4-point margin.
Mavericks
Just not willing to give up on the Dallas Mavericks, and judging by this very cheap pointspread, neither are the oddsmakers. If the roles were reversed and the Mavs were at home and needed a win to close out the series, they’d be laying at least – AT LEAST – six points. So this is Vegas telling us that they believe the Mavs are the better team.
Obviously, Dallas wasn’t as good as it looked – and San Antonio wasn’t as bad as it looked – in that 103-81 rout in Game 5. And when you look at the boxscore and see that Ginobili (18 minutes), Duncan (24 minutes) and Parker (25½ minutes) all had their evening cut short, San Antonio clearly threw in the towel in the second half. But for the first time since Game 1, the Mavs finally played a solid all-around game with contributions from a plethora of players (five scored in double figures, with Caron Butler going off for 35 points).
The Mavs entered this series as a healthy favorite for a reason, and it wasn’t just because they had home-field advantage. They had enjoyed a lot of recent success against the Spurs (including an opening-round playoff series win in five games last spring). And they come into this Game 6 having gone 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 games against the Spurs overall and 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 trips to San Antonio.
Also, remember back in Game 4 in San Antonio, the Mavs were in complete control at halftime, up by 11 points. But everything went wrong for Dallas (and right for the Spurs) in a pivotal third quarter that saw San Antonio outscore the Mavs 29-11. Despite that debacle, the Mavs still managed to make a game of it in the fourth quarter and they got the backdoor push, losing by three as a three-point underdog.
These teams are obviously extremely familiar with one another, meeting 18 times since the start of last season. And seven of the nine contests this season have been decided by single digits. I smell another tight one here, which makes the points we’re getting all the more valuable. Throw in the fact that Dallas comes into tonight on ATS runs of 7-2-1 overall, 5-1-1 on the road, 5-1 after a SU or ATS loss and 5-2-1 in playoff games against the Spurs, and I’ll confidently back the Mavs, who probably won’t even need the points as this series has had seven-game thriller written all over it from the start.
1-0 yesterday for + 20 dimes...overall, 28-30-3 for + 25 dimes.
Wednesday's Action 25 Dime: DALLAS MAVERICKS
IMPORTANT NOTE: If the best number you can get is 3 1/2, I want you to buy the half-point and take Dallas at plus-4. These NBA Playoff lines have been very sharp, and these teams know each other very well, and the last thing we want to do is get beaten by the hook. So it's a prudent move to buy the insurance and protect ourselves in case this game lands on a 4-point margin.
Mavericks
Just not willing to give up on the Dallas Mavericks, and judging by this very cheap pointspread, neither are the oddsmakers. If the roles were reversed and the Mavs were at home and needed a win to close out the series, they’d be laying at least – AT LEAST – six points. So this is Vegas telling us that they believe the Mavs are the better team.
Obviously, Dallas wasn’t as good as it looked – and San Antonio wasn’t as bad as it looked – in that 103-81 rout in Game 5. And when you look at the boxscore and see that Ginobili (18 minutes), Duncan (24 minutes) and Parker (25½ minutes) all had their evening cut short, San Antonio clearly threw in the towel in the second half. But for the first time since Game 1, the Mavs finally played a solid all-around game with contributions from a plethora of players (five scored in double figures, with Caron Butler going off for 35 points).
The Mavs entered this series as a healthy favorite for a reason, and it wasn’t just because they had home-field advantage. They had enjoyed a lot of recent success against the Spurs (including an opening-round playoff series win in five games last spring). And they come into this Game 6 having gone 8-3-1 ATS in the last 12 games against the Spurs overall and 12-5-1 ATS in their last 18 trips to San Antonio.
Also, remember back in Game 4 in San Antonio, the Mavs were in complete control at halftime, up by 11 points. But everything went wrong for Dallas (and right for the Spurs) in a pivotal third quarter that saw San Antonio outscore the Mavs 29-11. Despite that debacle, the Mavs still managed to make a game of it in the fourth quarter and they got the backdoor push, losing by three as a three-point underdog.
These teams are obviously extremely familiar with one another, meeting 18 times since the start of last season. And seven of the nine contests this season have been decided by single digits. I smell another tight one here, which makes the points we’re getting all the more valuable. Throw in the fact that Dallas comes into tonight on ATS runs of 7-2-1 overall, 5-1-1 on the road, 5-1 after a SU or ATS loss and 5-2-1 in playoff games against the Spurs, and I’ll confidently back the Mavs, who probably won’t even need the points as this series has had seven-game thriller written all over it from the start.
KEITH FREDERICK
Suns at Blazers
Pick: Suns +1.5
If one takes a look at this series - when things are emotionally charged - like in Game 1 when the Blazers had listened for days how they would be without Roy and everyone stepped it up a notch then in Game 4 Roy surprises everyone with a Willis Reed type of appearance - Portland has been able to extinguish the Suns. However, when things are basically normal - the talent edge that Phoenix brings has given them the decided edge and a 3-2 lead in the series. Game 6 is "yet another" playoff game and see the Suns ending the series this evening.
Suns at Blazers
Pick: Suns +1.5
If one takes a look at this series - when things are emotionally charged - like in Game 1 when the Blazers had listened for days how they would be without Roy and everyone stepped it up a notch then in Game 4 Roy surprises everyone with a Willis Reed type of appearance - Portland has been able to extinguish the Suns. However, when things are basically normal - the talent edge that Phoenix brings has given them the decided edge and a 3-2 lead in the series. Game 6 is "yet another" playoff game and see the Suns ending the series this evening.
Deano
I hammered these two because I'm thinking he will start winning here soon. Probably should of just waited til may....dam
Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-April 29th
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
Expected Rating Scale: 2/5/8/10 DIMES
**********************************************************************
[915] New York |8♦|-160|B+0|MLB Network|7:00 pm EST
[920] Tampa Bay |2♦|-230|B+0|Network N/A|7:00 pm EST
**********************************************************************
It's been a rough start but don't worry, we will get all this back. All of my systems arn't even in full swing yet.
*Note
88-70-3 O.A. with Agent Releases (Cashed out 91♦ from NFL/NBA)
33-16 on 4♦ and up as well with NFL/NBA
-26.75♦ (MLB Rated)
-19.45♦ (MLB Overall)
I hammered these two because I'm thinking he will start winning here soon. Probably should of just waited til may....dam
Deano's HRC Smart Choice* Best Bets|Your Capping Agent-April 29th
Capper: Deano (Handicappers Paradise)
Expected Rating Scale: 2/5/8/10 DIMES
**********************************************************************
[915] New York |8♦|-160|B+0|MLB Network|7:00 pm EST
[920] Tampa Bay |2♦|-230|B+0|Network N/A|7:00 pm EST
**********************************************************************
It's been a rough start but don't worry, we will get all this back. All of my systems arn't even in full swing yet.
*Note
88-70-3 O.A. with Agent Releases (Cashed out 91♦ from NFL/NBA)
33-16 on 4♦ and up as well with NFL/NBA
-26.75♦ (MLB Rated)
-19.45♦ (MLB Overall)
