Service Plays Thursday 4/29/10

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DUNKEL MLB

Oakland at Toronto

The A's look to build on their 5-0 record in Justin Duchscherer's last 5 starts. Oakland is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, APRIL 29
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Atlanta at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 14.696; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.608
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+170); Over

Game 903-904: Arizona at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Kennedy) 15.239; Cubs (Lilly) 16.433
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-165); No Total
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-165); N/A

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.363; Houston (Oswalt) 15.212
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-170); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-170); Over

Game 907-908: Milwaukee at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Davis) 14.549; San Diego (LeBlanc) 15.288
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Diego (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-140); Over

Game 909-910: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Burres) 13.621; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 14.671
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-240); Over

Game 911-912: Minnesota at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 16.533; Detroit (Willis) 14.947
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-145); Over

Game 913-914: Chicago White Sox at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Floyd) 15.742; Texas (Feldman) 14.242
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+120); Over

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Burnett) 14.929; Baltimore (Matusz) 15.025
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-190); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+165); Over

Game 917-918: Oakland at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Duchscherer) 15.234; Toronto (Romero) 14.365
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+120); Under

Game 919-920: Kansas City at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Hochevar) 16.106; Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.656
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-250); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-250); Under
 
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DUNKEL NBA

Dallas at San Antonio

The Spurs look to close out the series and build on their 8-2-1 ATS record in their 11 games as a home favorite. San Antonio is the pick (-3) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY,APRIL 29
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 547-548: Dallas at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 119.455; San Antonio 128.670
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 189
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3; 191
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (-3); Under

Game 549-550: Phoenix at Portland
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 127.911; Portland 120.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 205
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 1; 201 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+1); Over
 
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DUNKEL NHL

Detroit at San Jose

The Red Wings look to build on their 6-2 record in their last 8 meetings in San Jose. Detroit is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, APRIL 29
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 53-54: Detroit at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 12.897; San Jose 12.235
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Under
 
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Pure Lock FREE MLB PLAY for Thursday!
MLB: NY YANKEES @ BALTIMORE 7:05 PM EST
PLAY ON: NY YANKEES (BURNETT/MATUSZ) LISTED
 
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Spreitzer Knockouts on fire!!!
Date: Thursday, April 29, 2010
$35.00 Guaranteed: Scott Spreitzer CRUSHED the books yesterday, cashing his BIG UNDERDOG SHOCKER with the Phillies over San Fran! Scott's on a 104-65 MLB run since July, and he's **19-1, 95%** with MLB KNOCKOUTS, including 11-1 this season. Grab the MLB AFTERNOON KNOCKOUT on Thursday, then BUST the books again! 4/29/2010

I'm laying the price with the Cubs on Thursday afternoon. Arizona clobbered southpaw Greg Smith yesterday. But beating up on lefties is not the norm for the "Snakes," and I expect a return to normal at Wrigley. Arizona went into yesterday's contest 0-2 in road day games against lefthanders, and 1-3 overall this season. They were 17-30 against southpaws a season ago, averaging just 4 rpg. Ted Lilly was fantastic in his first start of the season last time out. He was on a pitch count of 80, yet needed only 78 tosses to get through six scoreless innings, allowing just three hits and two walks, with four punchouts. Lilly has been a strong starter for the Cubs at Wrigley, especially in afternoon starts. Not only do I expect another strong effort from the southpaw, but I believe he'll get decent run support. The Cubs are scoring an average of 5.8 rpg in four daytime home outings against righthanders this season. Former Yankee Ian Kennedy has not looked too hot on the road and in day action in April. His career numbers are not good in just about every key category that I use. And this will be his first start at Wrigley, never an easy task for a mediocre pitcher. Arizona has a history of losing in today's situation. They're 11-27 in their last 38 road games, including 8-19 in their last 27 when the "host" sends a lefty to the bump. Meanwhile, the Cubs are on a 21-5 run in home starts with Lilly on the bump. While the line opened roughly -1.55, I believe it's at least 30-cents too short for the reasons noted above. I'm laying the price with Chicago on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott.


Date: Thursday, April 29, 2010
$35.00 Guaranteed: Scott Spreitzer is ready to deliever the books a BONE-JARRING BLOW on Thursday. Scott CASHED his KNOCKOUT release (Lakers over OKC) on Tuesday, now on a 18-3, 86% all-sport KO run in April, including 7-1, 88% winners in the NBA. Grab the next 25* NBA KNOCKOUT WINNER then BREAK the books again! 4/29/2010

I'm laying the points with the Spurs on Thursday night. I wasn't at all surprised with the game-five results. After all, it was desperation time for a pretty good team on their home floor. But now the Mavericks travel to one of the best playoff home sites over the last decade-plus, and you can bet San Antone will feel the urgency this time. The Spurs are 20-6-3 ATS the last 29 times as a playoff favorite...they take care of business, no doubt. A big part of their success is predicated by outstanding defensive play. That's the way it's been in the Spurs' three wins in this series. They held Dallas to 89, 90, and 88 points in the wins. And while the Spurs have several ways of slowing down Nowitzki, they found out in game-three, that Dirk can "get his," as long as they don't let the rest of the team beat them. In game-three, Nowitzki scored 35 points on 13 of 23 shooting. The rest of the team was limited to 21 field goals on 53 attempts (39.6%). Besides the red-hot ATS run mentioned above, the Spurs are also on an 8-2-1 ATS run in their last 11 as a home favorite. This is also a strong league-wide spot for the Spurs. You are 39-16 ATS when playing on a fave of more than 3 but less than 10 points, when they're in same season revenge and off a blowout loss of 20 or more points. And the Spurs themselves, are on a 31-11 ATS run at home off a loss of at least 15 points. The average final score: 98-89. Yet another example of how well they play on the defensive end, especially off an ugly loss. The series ends here as far as I'm concerned. I'm laying the points with the Spurs on Thursday. Thanks! GL! Scott.
 
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Hot pitchers
-- Wainwright is 3-1, 1.97 in four starts this season.
-- Kennedy has a 1.38 RA in his last two starts. Lilly threw six shutout innings at Miller Park in his first 2010 start.
-- Oswalt is 23-1, 2.58 in his career against the Reds; he spent most of last week in Mississippi, cleaning up his mom's home that was wrecked by a tornado Saturday.
-- San Diego won both LeBlanc starts (1-0, 0.82).
-- Dodgers won last three Kershaw starts (1-0, 2.45).
-- Pavano is 2-0, 1.93 in two road starts this season.
-- Burnett is 2-0, 2.66 in his last three starts. Matusz is 2-0, 4.38 in four starts this season.
-- Duchscherer is 2-0, 0.95 in his last three starts. Romero is 1-1, 1.80 in four starts this season.
-- Garza is 3-1, 2.48 in four starts this season.

Cold pitchers
-- Jurrjens is 0-2, 7.00 in his last three starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts.
-- Davis is 0-1, 12.38 in two road starts this season.
-- Burres allowed six runs in four IP in his first '10 start.
-- Willis is 0-1, 4.24 in three starts this season.
-- Floyd is 0-2, 10.80 in his last three starts. Feldman is 0-2, 18.00 in his last couple starts.
-- Hochevar has a 6.62 RA in his last three starts.

Totals
-- Eight of last ten Atlanta games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 5-0-1 in last six games at Wrigley Field.
-- Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Cincinnati games.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Five of six Dodger home games went over the total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Detroit games.
-- Four of last five Texas home games went over the total.
-- Over is 9-4-1 in Bronx Bomber road games.
-- Seven of last eight games in Toronto stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last eight Tampa Bay home games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Padres won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Cubs won four of their last six games.
-- Cardinals won seven of nine home games.
-- Red Sox won seven of their last nine games.
-- Tampa Bay won 13 of its last 15 games.
-- Twins won eight of their last eleven road games.

Cold teams
-- Cincinnati lost five of its last seven road games. Astros are 5-9 this season at home.
-- Braves lost last eight games, scoring total of thirteen runs.
-- Dodgers lost six of their last seven games. Pirates are 2-7 in last nine games, but won last two in last inning.
-- Brewers lost five of their last six games.
-- Diamondbacks lost five of their last seven road games. .
-- Detroit lost four of its last five home games.
-- Bronx Bombers lost four of their last six games. Orioles are 4-17 this season, 1-7 at home.
-- Oakland lost its last four road games, outscored 25-11. Blue Jays lost six of their last seven games.
-- White Sox lost their last six road games. Rangers are 5-8 in their last thirteen games overall.
 

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Win or Lose for 4/29



Major League Baseball
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
901 ATL +1.5 -130 $12
901 ATL ML +183 $4
908 SD ML -134 $20
910 LAD -1.5 -115 $5
911 MINN ML -136 $8
914 TEX ML -130 $6
916 NYY/ Bal UN 8.5 -115 $10
918 TOR ML -129 $5



National Hockey League
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
54 SJ ML -135 $7
54 Det / SJ UN 5.5 -120 $15
3102 CHI SERIES -135 $10


SERIES BETS
NJ to WIN Eastern Conference +650 $4
Chi to WIN Western Conference +215 $5


National Basketball Association
Rot# Team Spread Line Wager
 
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JSM SPORTS
HRC PREMIUM MLB ACTION-April 29th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[901] Atlanta |8*|+185|B+0|Network N/A|1:40 pm EST
[913] Chicago |5*|+128|B+0|MLB Network|2:05 pm EST
[904] Chicago |5*|-165|B+0|WGN|2:20 pm EST
[917] Oakland |5*|+124|B+0|Network N/A|7:07 pm EST
[906] Houston |5*|-170|B+0|Network N/A|8:05 EST
[910] LA Dodgers |5*|-240|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST

****************************************
SYSTEM PLAYS

[908] Mil/SD |2*|U+100|B+0|Network N/A|10:05 pm EST
[910] Pit/LAD |2*|U+100|B+0|Network N/A|10:10 pm EST

HRC PREMIUM NBA ACTION-April 29th
Capper: JSM Sports (Handicappers Paradise)

Play Strengths
*****************
2* Action
5* Selection (Rated)
8* Premium (Rated)
10* Diamond (Rated)
*****************
[549] Phoenix |5*|+1|B+0|TNT|10:30 pm EST
 
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Benjamin lee Eckstein

"Mr Chalk" had Np on Wednesday.

With such a small card in bases on Thursday you would figure Ben lee would pass today.

But not "Mr Chalk" for Thursday "Mr Chalk" likes two the Astros -$160/Reds and the Dodgers -$240/Pirates.

"Mr Chalk" is 16-6 +$420 for the 2010 MLB season.
 
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Hondo's idling

Streaky Hondo snapped his mini-skid last night when the Rangers took care of biz against the Chisox to trim the deficit to a manageable 20 tovars. Today, he'll buy American, the American Idle, that is -- 10 units on Pavano to outduel Don't Ask Don trelle.
 

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