Service Plays Thursday 4/2/09

[SteveMcQueen]

Beat Your Bookie

Daily Premium Hoops & Hockey Winners for Thursday


NCAA Basketball


100* Play Baylor (-4) over Penn State (NCAA)

Baylor is 12-4 ATS when playing on a neutral court the last 3 seasons
Baylor is 6-1 ATS when playing their 2nd road game in 3 days
Baylor is 15-5 ATS in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons


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Other Hoops & Hockey Plays


50* Play Utah (+5) over Denver (NBA)

30* Play Boston (-240) over Ottawa (NHL)

 

[SteveMcQueen]

GamblersWorld
Tip of the Day - April 2, 2009


Today's TIP OF THE DAY:
Sport: NCAA Basketball

Game: 7:00PM NIT: Baylor Bears vs. Penn State Nittany Lions

Prediction: Baylor Bears

Current Line: -3.5

Over/Under: 139

Reason: The Baylor Bears and the Penn State Nittany Lions will both be gunning for a victory on Thursday when they meet at Madison Square Garden in the championship game of the National Invitational Tournament.

Oddsmakers currently have the Bears listed as 3½-point favorites versus the Nittany Lions, while the game's total is sitting at 139.

Curtis Jerrells went for 25 points and eight assists, as Baylor ran past San Diego State 76-62 in the semifinals on Tuesday night.

Baylor cashed as 1-point favorites as the game played over the 136-point total listed by oddsmakers.

Talor Battle scored 17 points to lead Penn State over Notre Dame 67-59 in the semifinals on Tuesday night.

Penn State cashed as 3.5-point underdogs as the teams played under the 138-point total set by sportsbooks.

Team records:
Baylor: 24-14 SU, 13-16-1 ATS
Penn State: 26-11 SU, 18-12 ATS

Baylor most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
After a win are 6-4

Penn State most recently:
When playing on Thursday are 4-6
After playing Notre Dame are 1-0
After a win are 6-4

A few trends to consider:
Baylor is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Penn State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

 

[SteveMcQueen]

MTi Comp Selection

The Bucks are 0-6 OU (-21.5 ppg) since November 02, 2008 as a dog after a game at home after a loss in which they made more baskets than their opponent and the Seventysixers are 0-5 OU (-21.3 ppg) since November 23, 2008 as a home favorite with at most one day of rest after a win in which the percentage of their baskets that were assisted was at least ten percentage points higher than their season-to-date average. In addition, Philadelphia is 0-6 OU (-17.4 ppg) since January 26, 2009 after a win at home in which Thaddeus Young was not the Seventysixers' high scorer and 0-5 OU (-17.1 ppg) since February 07, 2008 at home after a win in which Andre Miller had at least 10 assists.

Take the UNDER.

 

[backdoorcover1]

Brad Diamond

NIT CHAMPIONSHIP

Play on: 20* (708) Penn State over Baylor
Make no mistake, the Bears have more natural talent than the group from Mount Nittany. However, can?t help using the Lions in this key spot for the Blue and White. Remember, Penn State has a huge contingent of graduates in the New York area as the Lions bring the largest Alumni base in the country. Home court advantage (?), you bet! Realize Baylor is far away from their Big-12 roots and they play against the most effective half-court unit thus far in the tourney. In addition, I fully expect a controlled effort from the Penn State guards to keep the Bears run and gun mindset under control. Finally, Baylor plays out of character this evening knowing they board at 1-7 ATS as a chalk in this price range. Finally, this could be a historic game for Penn State on the basketball court.

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
Pass Today, only 4 games scheduled and all look lined right.

 

[number1fan]

Maddux Sports

Hockey
#3 - NHL - 3 units on Ottawa +200
#13 - NHL - 3 units on Anaheim +150
#15 - NHL - 3 units on Los Angeles +105

 

[backdoorcover1]

Joe Wiz premium parlay

Baylor
Denver

 

[cocomandoug]

Karl Garrett

20 DIMER - BAYLOR BEARS
20 DIMER - BAYLOR BEARS



As impressive as Penn State was in rocking Notre Dame on Tuesday, I don't think they will be able to do it again against the senior-laden Bears.



Yes, Penn State will have another 16 busloads or so of fans in the stands, but Baylor won't mind being in the "underdog" role here, as the Bears have been road-bound for quite some time, and they have come out of each roadie with the win.



Loved what I saw from the Bears on Tuesday night, as they just shredded San Diego State. You can see in their eyes they will not be satisfied without leaving NYC without this NIT title.



I have no issue laying a few points with Baylor tonight, as I suspect this one will be close for a while, but come final buzzer, the Bears will be wearing the crown both straight up, and against the spread.



Lay the points.
Today's Complimentary Selection

Outright winner last night on Toronto for free, as the G-Man is now on a 7-2 comp play run the last 9 days.



NBA for Thursday, and the G-Man is laying the points with the home team Nuggets.



Denver is on a roll right now, winning their last 4, and 9 of their last 10 straight up, while covering in 4 of their last 5.



The Jazzmen have cooled a bit of late, splitting their last 10 games straight up, while going just 2-8 against the spread in those 10, failing 4 straight.



The home team in this series has won the last 5 meetings, while the Nuggets have been the spread winner in each of the last 3 tilts. The favorite in the series is on a 21-10-1 spread run the last 32 games contested between the teams!



Right now the Nuggets are just too hot to handle.



G-Man laying the wood with Denver in this Thursday night TNT clash.



1♦ DENVER
(on a 1♦ to 5♦ basis)

 

[Peaches08]

Doc sports CBB

4u- Baylor -4 over Penn St.

 

[sLim901]

COMP

SportsBetCapping

3unit Bucks +7.5

 

[sLim901]

Handicapper: John Ryan Sports
Sport: NBA Basketball
Game: Utah Jazz @ Denver Nuggets - Thursday April 2, 2009 10:35 pm
Pick: 3 units TOTAL: Under 208 (-110)

Ai Simulator 3* graded play Under Denver/Utah. AiS shows a 72% probability that 205 or fewer points will be scored in this game. Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has posted a 33-12 UNDER mark for 73% victories since 2003. Play under with home teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 and is an explosive offensive team scoring 103+ points/game on the season facing an opponent after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games. Here is a second system that has gone 89-41 UNDER for 69% victories since 1996. Play under with all teams where the total is 200 to 209.5 and is a good shooting team shooting >=46% on the season facing an hot shooting opponent with 3 straight games making >=47% of their shots. Denver is a rock solid 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a victorious record - 2nd half of the season this season; 8-1 UNDER (+6.9 Units) versus good shooting teams making >=46% of their shots in the 2nd half of the season this season. take the UNDER.

 

[sLim901]

M@LINSKY

4- Denver -5

 

[sLim901]

Smooth44


(nba) 7:05pm Est
Philly -7 -120--------knockout Punch Of The Day



Other Picks
(cbb) 7:00pm Est
Penn State +4



(nba) 10:35pm Est
Utah +5 -120

 

[sLim901]

Doc NBA's pick

Cleveland vs Washington => Under

 

[sLim901]

C-Stars Sports

5000 Units NIT Tournament Championship Game of the Year - Baylor/Penn St. UNDER the total
50 Units Milwaukee/Philadelphia UNDER the total
50 Units - NHL - Detroit over St. Louis
50 Units - NHL - San Jose/Edmonton UNDER the total

 

[TheSaint]

Monster Buck

NBA: Jazz +5, Cavs -9, Bucks +8
NHL: Wings PL, Bruins PL, Carolina
MLB: Cubs, Mets (for tracking only)

 

[ryan1]

HalfBets.com

Looks like SSG missed the UTEP game yesterday but was 3-0 in NBA. Another guy on the site Touchdown Tommy was 3-1 in NBA as well. Tonight looks like SSG is going with the following on Halfbets

Baylor v. Penn St
PICK: OVER 65 1H (4*)
PICK: OVER 139 Game (7*)

:cripwalk:

 

[lumpiddy]

50k challenge
Teddy wizards +10.5 ==22-16 ytd
Prez Baylor -3.5 ==22-15-1 ytd
Lumpiddy Denver -5== 24-14 ytd
Dimes Wizards +10.5==20-18

 

[sLim901]

erin rynning

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

utah/playmaker

 

[TMStymie]

Andre Gomes

<dl><dt class="dtPgTop">Andre Gomes | NBA Sides</dt><dt>dime bet</dt><dt>706 DEN -4.0 (-110) BetUS vs 705 UTA </dt><dd>Analysis: The Northwest division is in a wild race between Denver, Utah and Portland. These 3 teams have similar records and the pattern between them is that they can't win on the road. The Jazz, Nuggets and the Blazers are 19-0 SU at home against Northwest opponents and for this game I doubt that the Jazz can stop this trend.

The Jazz were spanked last game in Portland by 104-125 and they never were in the game. I remember that the Jazz was playing a back to back game, as they faced the Knicks in the previous day, so we might consider that it was a bad spot for them. However the Jazz simply struggle playing away from Salt Lake City no matter the circumstances. In fact they are 3-8 ATS & 1-10 SU as road underdogs against Western teams and it's important to say that the only win was in Memphis (they were shorthanded, so they were dogs) so technically speaking they are still winless on the road against Western top caliber teams. Why they can't compete on the road? The answer is pretty simple: they can't protect the paint and they are systematically outmuscled by their opponents. Despite having Carlos Boozer and Andrei Kirilenko available, the Jazz was outscored in the paint 38-50 by the Blazers. A deep look to the stats and the Jazz are ranked just 25th in points in the paint allowed per game allowing 42.4 ppg. Only the Thunder, Clippers, Kings, Knicks and the Warriors have worse numbers!! For some reason since the New Year, they are 0-7 ATS in those games.

The Nuggets meanwhile are rolling right now. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games and all pieces are falling together (Carmelo Anthony is heating up averaging 30.9 points in his last seven games). After a bad stretch the Nuggets showed some mental toughness winning back to back games on the road in New Orleans and in Dallas. The Jazz lead the series by 2-1 and this game will clinch the series, so this is an important game for Denver, as they don't want to lose the tiebreaker. Curiously the Nuggets are 3-0 ATS in those games and in the last game in Utah (already in March), the Nuggets were pretty competitive. They played in the previous night at home against the Blazers and the Jazz were in the middle of the best stretch of the season. Despite that the Nuggets led the game by 10 points at the halftime (47-37), they ran out of gas in the second half, feeling the effect of a back to back game.

I expect the Nuggets to roll tonight. They are playing better basketball right now and they won't have any kind of mercy of the Jazz. The spread is relatively short for this game. In the first three games between these teams the line was 8, 8 and 9.5 points, so having the chance to grab 4 points is a big deal for us. Take the Nuggets in here.
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