NHL
Write-Up
Thursday. April 14
Montreal won six of last eight games against Boston, but lost 8-6/7-0 in two of last three meetings- they allowed total of 10 goals in last 10 series wins. Bruins won their last three home games, allowing five goals total. Habs won three of last four games, but none of teams they beat made the playoffs. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games, 6-2-1 in last nine Boston games, 5-1-1 in last seven Montreal games. .
Buffalo won five of last seven games against Flyers, with all four games this year going over total. Defending Eastern Conference champ Philly limped into playoffs losing five of last six games, with four of last five going over the total. Buffalo won four in row, seven of last nine games; four of last five Sabre games went over total.
Los Angeles-San Jose split six games this season; over is 8-5 in last 13 series games. LA lost six of last nine visits to the Shark Tank. Kings lost three of last four games, losing last two games after clinching the playoff spot. Sharks won nine of last 12 games, seven of last eight at home. 10 of Kings' last 12 games stayed under. Over is 10-2-1 in San Jose games.
Write-Up
Thursday. April 14
Montreal won six of last eight games against Boston, but lost 8-6/7-0 in two of last three meetings- they allowed total of 10 goals in last 10 series wins. Bruins won their last three home games, allowing five goals total. Habs won three of last four games, but none of teams they beat made the playoffs. Under is 7-3 in last ten series games, 6-2-1 in last nine Boston games, 5-1-1 in last seven Montreal games. .
Buffalo won five of last seven games against Flyers, with all four games this year going over total. Defending Eastern Conference champ Philly limped into playoffs losing five of last six games, with four of last five going over the total. Buffalo won four in row, seven of last nine games; four of last five Sabre games went over total.
Los Angeles-San Jose split six games this season; over is 8-5 in last 13 series games. LA lost six of last nine visits to the Shark Tank. Kings lost three of last four games, losing last two games after clinching the playoff spot. Sharks won nine of last 12 games, seven of last eight at home. 10 of Kings' last 12 games stayed under. Over is 10-2-1 in San Jose games.
MLB
Write-Up
Thursday, April 14
Hot pitchers
-- de la Rosa is 1-0, 1.74 in two starts this season. Reynolds allowed two runs in six IP in his first '11 start, at Pittsburgh. Dickey has a 3.27 RA in two starts this season.
-- Nolasco is 1-0, 2.40 in two starts this season.
-- Moseley has a 2.77 RA in two starts, but San Diego didn't score a run in either game.
-- Kuroda is 2-0, 1.72 in two starts this season. Garcia is 1-0, 0.60.
-- Royals won both Chen starts (1-0, 4.09), scoring 15 runs.
-- Gonzalez is 2-0, 0.69 in two starts this season. Coke allowed two runs in 6.2 IP in his first 2011 start, a 3-1 loss.
Cold pitchers
-- Wolf is 0-2, 10.80 in two starts this season. Pirates are 0-2 in Maholm starts this season (0-1, 3.65).
-- Lee is 1-1, 7.84 in two starts this season. Zimmerman is 1-1, 3.97.
-- Beachy is 0-1, 3.75 in two starts this season.
-- Norris is 0-1, 8.10 in two starts this season.
-- Hughes allowed 11 runs in six IP in two starts this season. Arrieta is 0-1, 8.68 in two starts this season.
-- Shields is 0-1, 4.73 in two starts this month. Pavano is 1-1, 6.75.
-- Fister is 0-2, 3.86 in two starts; Seattle scored one run each game.
Totals
-- Five of last seven Philly games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in Mets' last ten games.
-- Four of five Florida road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston home games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Minnesota games. Eight of eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Baltimore road games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Kansas City home games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Detroit games.
Hot teams
-- Colorado won eight of its last nine games.
-- Phillies won eight of their first eleven games. Washington won four of its last six games.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven games.
-- Cardinals won three of last four games, scoring 37 runs.
-- Bronx won five of its first seven home games.
-- Royals won seven of their last ten games.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven games.
Cold teams
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Braves lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost nine of their first twelve games. Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last four games.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its first eleven games. Twins lost three of their last four games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last ten games.
Write-Up
Thursday, April 14
Hot pitchers
-- de la Rosa is 1-0, 1.74 in two starts this season. Reynolds allowed two runs in six IP in his first '11 start, at Pittsburgh. Dickey has a 3.27 RA in two starts this season.
-- Nolasco is 1-0, 2.40 in two starts this season.
-- Moseley has a 2.77 RA in two starts, but San Diego didn't score a run in either game.
-- Kuroda is 2-0, 1.72 in two starts this season. Garcia is 1-0, 0.60.
-- Royals won both Chen starts (1-0, 4.09), scoring 15 runs.
-- Gonzalez is 2-0, 0.69 in two starts this season. Coke allowed two runs in 6.2 IP in his first 2011 start, a 3-1 loss.
Cold pitchers
-- Wolf is 0-2, 10.80 in two starts this season. Pirates are 0-2 in Maholm starts this season (0-1, 3.65).
-- Lee is 1-1, 7.84 in two starts this season. Zimmerman is 1-1, 3.97.
-- Beachy is 0-1, 3.75 in two starts this season.
-- Norris is 0-1, 8.10 in two starts this season.
-- Hughes allowed 11 runs in six IP in two starts this season. Arrieta is 0-1, 8.68 in two starts this season.
-- Shields is 0-1, 4.73 in two starts this month. Pavano is 1-1, 6.75.
-- Fister is 0-2, 3.86 in two starts; Seattle scored one run each game.
Totals
-- Five of last seven Philly games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Pittsburgh games stayed under the total.
-- Over is 8-1-1 in Mets' last ten games.
-- Four of five Florida road games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Houston home games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Minnesota games. Eight of eleven Tampa Bay games stayed under the total.
-- Three of four Baltimore road games stayed under the total.
-- Last four Kansas City home games went over the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Detroit games.
Hot teams
-- Colorado won eight of its last nine games.
-- Phillies won eight of their first eleven games. Washington won four of its last six games.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven games.
-- Cardinals won three of last four games, scoring 37 runs.
-- Bronx won five of its first seven home games.
-- Royals won seven of their last ten games.
-- Oakland won five of its last seven games.
Cold teams
-- Mets lost six of their last seven games.
-- Pirates lost four of their last five games.
-- Braves lost six of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost nine of their first twelve games. Padres lost five of their last seven games.
-- Dodgers lost three of their last four games.
-- Orioles lost three of their last four games.
-- Tampa Bay lost eight of its first eleven games. Twins lost three of their last four games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last ten games.
FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball Thursday
Play New York Yankees (-175) over Baltimore (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST
Baltimore has lost 24 of the last 34 road games when the total posted is 10 runs or higher and they have also lost 96 of the last 147 games vs. division opponents. Baltimore has lost 15 of the last 19 games vs. New York on the road and pitcher, Jake Arrieta has an ERA of 8.68 this season.
Play Oakland (-145) over Detroit (Bonus)
Play Philadelphia (-160) over Washington (Bonus)
MLB Baseball Thursday
Play New York Yankees (-175) over Baltimore (Top Play of the Day)
Starts at 7:10 PM EST
Baltimore has lost 24 of the last 34 road games when the total posted is 10 runs or higher and they have also lost 96 of the last 147 games vs. division opponents. Baltimore has lost 15 of the last 19 games vs. New York on the road and pitcher, Jake Arrieta has an ERA of 8.68 this season.
Play Oakland (-145) over Detroit (Bonus)
Play Philadelphia (-160) over Washington (Bonus)
GOLD STAR PICKS
Padres Vs. Astros
8:05 PM EDT
909 SAN DIEGO PADRES (r) moseley, d 8.5u15 8.5u15 8.5u20 +1.5(-194)
910 HOUSTON ASTROS (r) norris, b -117 -117 / -113 / -116 -120 -1.5(+178)
SD PADRES +110
Tigers Vs. A's
10:05 PM EDT
919 DETROIT TIGERS (l) coke, p 7.5u28 7.5u28 7.5u25 +1.5(-160)
920 OAKLAND ATHLETICS (l) gonzalez, g -145 -145 -155 -1.5(+147)
OVER 7.5
Padres Vs. Astros
8:05 PM EDT
909 SAN DIEGO PADRES (r) moseley, d 8.5u15 8.5u15 8.5u20 +1.5(-194)
910 HOUSTON ASTROS (r) norris, b -117 -117 / -113 / -116 -120 -1.5(+178)
SD PADRES +110
Tigers Vs. A's
10:05 PM EDT
919 DETROIT TIGERS (l) coke, p 7.5u28 7.5u28 7.5u25 +1.5(-160)
920 OAKLAND ATHLETICS (l) gonzalez, g -145 -145 -155 -1.5(+147)
OVER 7.5
SPORTS WAGERS
Seattle +120 over KANSAS CITY
This equation is a rather simple one that says - take +120 against Bruce Chen when we have the stronger starter. Chen went 12-7 with a 4.17 ERA in 140 IP at KC last with 11 wins in 23 games started, while the rest of KC starters won 35 in 139 games started. Remarkable when you consider that Chen’s skills are bordering on completely washed up. Chen managed to somehow stymie the Tigers in his last start but in his first start of the season v the Angels, 76% of his pitches were fastballs and the Halos crushed them (3 home runs, 2 doubles). Current M’s batters have faced Chen a combined 75 times and have a combined .324 BA against him. Doug Fister is not a veteran but he’s as crafty as one. He’s a soft-tosser with great command and those types have stuck around with success at this level forever. Fister is 0-2 this season but his ERA is 2.31 and he deserved better outcomes. Last year, in 160 IP his hr/9 was only 0.6 and his groundball/fly-ball rate was 49%/34%. All in all, Fister has made strides in groundball% and control, which provide the foundation for success. His control has reached elite levels and the Royals are exactly the type of team he can have more success against. Play: Seattle +120 (Risking 2 units).
Florida +129 over ATLANTA
The Marlins come in a game over .500 while the Braves have dipped two below. Brandon Beachy put up some very decent minor league numbers and he also performed well in a short stint with the Braves last season, fanning 15 in 15 IP, with a 3.00 ERA. However, in two starts this season he’s left the ball over the plate way too often and the result has been a groundball/flyball ratio of 29%/47% and that’s a huge reason for concern. He’s also served up a homer in each of his two starts. He’s a rookie throwing for a struggling Braves team that has just two wins in their past seven contests. Last season seemed to typify Ricky Nolasco. He got off to a poor start, caught fire and got hurt. Indeed those three trains -- inconsistency, superb skills and lack of durability -- have defined him. He’s off to another great start this season with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 2.41. Nolasco has yet to walk a single batter in 15 IP. Nolasco has the raw tools to break out and has been on the verge of doing so for two years. His hit% and strand% are the difference between his stellar 2008 numbers and his pedestrian ERAs the past two years but there's little doubt he has the base skills to step up his game and consistently be a sub-4.00 ERA pitcher. Play: Florida +129 (Risking 2 units).
Seattle +120 over KANSAS CITY
This equation is a rather simple one that says - take +120 against Bruce Chen when we have the stronger starter. Chen went 12-7 with a 4.17 ERA in 140 IP at KC last with 11 wins in 23 games started, while the rest of KC starters won 35 in 139 games started. Remarkable when you consider that Chen’s skills are bordering on completely washed up. Chen managed to somehow stymie the Tigers in his last start but in his first start of the season v the Angels, 76% of his pitches were fastballs and the Halos crushed them (3 home runs, 2 doubles). Current M’s batters have faced Chen a combined 75 times and have a combined .324 BA against him. Doug Fister is not a veteran but he’s as crafty as one. He’s a soft-tosser with great command and those types have stuck around with success at this level forever. Fister is 0-2 this season but his ERA is 2.31 and he deserved better outcomes. Last year, in 160 IP his hr/9 was only 0.6 and his groundball/fly-ball rate was 49%/34%. All in all, Fister has made strides in groundball% and control, which provide the foundation for success. His control has reached elite levels and the Royals are exactly the type of team he can have more success against. Play: Seattle +120 (Risking 2 units).
Florida +129 over ATLANTA
The Marlins come in a game over .500 while the Braves have dipped two below. Brandon Beachy put up some very decent minor league numbers and he also performed well in a short stint with the Braves last season, fanning 15 in 15 IP, with a 3.00 ERA. However, in two starts this season he’s left the ball over the plate way too often and the result has been a groundball/flyball ratio of 29%/47% and that’s a huge reason for concern. He’s also served up a homer in each of his two starts. He’s a rookie throwing for a struggling Braves team that has just two wins in their past seven contests. Last season seemed to typify Ricky Nolasco. He got off to a poor start, caught fire and got hurt. Indeed those three trains -- inconsistency, superb skills and lack of durability -- have defined him. He’s off to another great start this season with a 1-0 record and an ERA of 2.41. Nolasco has yet to walk a single batter in 15 IP. Nolasco has the raw tools to break out and has been on the verge of doing so for two years. His hit% and strand% are the difference between his stellar 2008 numbers and his pedestrian ERAs the past two years but there's little doubt he has the base skills to step up his game and consistently be a sub-4.00 ERA pitcher. Play: Florida +129 (Risking 2 units).
WUNDERDOG (HORSES)
AQUEDUCT Race #1 at 1:00 PM Eastern
Top pick: #6 (POPPY DAY) - Freshened-up since early Feb. when she was over-matched in a New York-bred stakes at this distance. She's one for one on the main-track here, doing so in her maiden win last Nov. going 7 furlongs. Working nicely for her return, draws a good outside post, and Dominguez is aboard for the first time. The horse to beat.
2nd pick: #5 (Amply Rewarded) - Very consistent filly (8-3-2-2) is the field's lone three-time winner and is another that's won on this surface before. Stalker fits and is a win candidate.
3rd pick: #3 (Lady Gracenote) - Talented and lightly raced, she rallied to win an entry-level stste-bred allowance sprinting on the inner-surface a month ago. Race was her first in almost 10 months and home-bred by "Read the Footnotes" is a threat right back.
Golden Gate Fields Race #2 at 4:15 PM Eastern
Top pick: #3 (UNIONIZE) - Speedy, very consistent, he's 3-for-7 on this surface, and 2-for-3 at this trip. Has plenty of back class to call upon and Russell Baze is back aloft. Very tough from on, or just off the lead.
2nd pick: #4 (Dr. J J) - He's one of a pair entered by trainer Ed Moger Jr. and they'll race as separate interests. He finished second last out in a small field facing $5K foes and will drop back to the local bottom for this. Gelding won two in a row last fall here at this price and has faced better in every start since. Win candidate.
3rd pick: #5 (Saxman) - The second of the Moger Jr. runners finished an even fourth last out and was just under 4 lengths behind "Unionize" at the finish. He's come back with a bullet half-mile drill since and must be left in the mix.
Vic Monte (HORSES)
AQUEDUCT RACE 1 & 2
$20 DAILY DOUBLE
#3 LADY GRACENOTE & #2 SCOTT'S ALY CAT
AQUEDUCT RACE 5
$20 WPS
#5 GALAXY KAT
GULFSTREAM RACE 8
$20 WPS
#3 STORMY STORY
AQUEDUCT Race #1 at 1:00 PM Eastern
Top pick: #6 (POPPY DAY) - Freshened-up since early Feb. when she was over-matched in a New York-bred stakes at this distance. She's one for one on the main-track here, doing so in her maiden win last Nov. going 7 furlongs. Working nicely for her return, draws a good outside post, and Dominguez is aboard for the first time. The horse to beat.
2nd pick: #5 (Amply Rewarded) - Very consistent filly (8-3-2-2) is the field's lone three-time winner and is another that's won on this surface before. Stalker fits and is a win candidate.
3rd pick: #3 (Lady Gracenote) - Talented and lightly raced, she rallied to win an entry-level stste-bred allowance sprinting on the inner-surface a month ago. Race was her first in almost 10 months and home-bred by "Read the Footnotes" is a threat right back.
Golden Gate Fields Race #2 at 4:15 PM Eastern
Top pick: #3 (UNIONIZE) - Speedy, very consistent, he's 3-for-7 on this surface, and 2-for-3 at this trip. Has plenty of back class to call upon and Russell Baze is back aloft. Very tough from on, or just off the lead.
2nd pick: #4 (Dr. J J) - He's one of a pair entered by trainer Ed Moger Jr. and they'll race as separate interests. He finished second last out in a small field facing $5K foes and will drop back to the local bottom for this. Gelding won two in a row last fall here at this price and has faced better in every start since. Win candidate.
3rd pick: #5 (Saxman) - The second of the Moger Jr. runners finished an even fourth last out and was just under 4 lengths behind "Unionize" at the finish. He's come back with a bullet half-mile drill since and must be left in the mix.
Vic Monte (HORSES)
AQUEDUCT RACE 1 & 2
$20 DAILY DOUBLE
#3 LADY GRACENOTE & #2 SCOTT'S ALY CAT
AQUEDUCT RACE 5
$20 WPS
#5 GALAXY KAT
GULFSTREAM RACE 8
$20 WPS
#3 STORMY STORY
GC MLB Play
Thursday AL Total of the Month from 95% Totals system that Beats Posted total by Over 3 Runs Per game + MLB 11-1 Power System Side and Triple Angle NHL Total. NBA Season ends with Sweep. MLB Bonus Play below.
On Thursday the Free MLB System play is on the Kansas City Royals. Game 918 at 8:10 eastern. The Royals are playing good ball right now and return home off a solid road dog win, which saw them score 10 runs in a big win in Minnesota. That big win coupled with the Seattle Mariners home dog loss sets up a solid system that plays on the Royals tonight. What we want to do is play on home favorites that scored 10 or more runs in a road dog win where they won by 5 or more runs and are taking on a team off a home dog loss by 2 or more runs and scored 4 or less runs. This system has cashed 9 of 11 times since 2004. The Royals are averaging 7 runs per game over the last 7 games and 6 runs per game at home this season. The Mariners have D. Fister going tonight and he has been just average in 3 starts, all at home vs KC compiling a 4.50 era. The Mariners have a bullpen with a 6.75 road era. KC Has B. Chen going tonight and he has decent numbers vs Seattle. Look for KC to get game 1 of the series tonight. On Thursday I have the AL Total of the Month from a solid 95% system that beats the posted total by over 3 runs per game. I also have a big 11-1 MLB Power system side and a triple angle NHL Playoff total. Jump on and Cash Big on Thursday. For the Bonus Play take the Kansas City Royals. GC
Thursday AL Total of the Month from 95% Totals system that Beats Posted total by Over 3 Runs Per game + MLB 11-1 Power System Side and Triple Angle NHL Total. NBA Season ends with Sweep. MLB Bonus Play below.
On Thursday the Free MLB System play is on the Kansas City Royals. Game 918 at 8:10 eastern. The Royals are playing good ball right now and return home off a solid road dog win, which saw them score 10 runs in a big win in Minnesota. That big win coupled with the Seattle Mariners home dog loss sets up a solid system that plays on the Royals tonight. What we want to do is play on home favorites that scored 10 or more runs in a road dog win where they won by 5 or more runs and are taking on a team off a home dog loss by 2 or more runs and scored 4 or less runs. This system has cashed 9 of 11 times since 2004. The Royals are averaging 7 runs per game over the last 7 games and 6 runs per game at home this season. The Mariners have D. Fister going tonight and he has been just average in 3 starts, all at home vs KC compiling a 4.50 era. The Mariners have a bullpen with a 6.75 road era. KC Has B. Chen going tonight and he has decent numbers vs Seattle. Look for KC to get game 1 of the series tonight. On Thursday I have the AL Total of the Month from a solid 95% system that beats the posted total by over 3 runs per game. I also have a big 11-1 MLB Power system side and a triple angle NHL Playoff total. Jump on and Cash Big on Thursday. For the Bonus Play take the Kansas City Royals. GC
